GrecoD Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Tied BowmanD 6-6, Plays at BreedingT 11:59 PM, Beat BrowneL 7-1, Plays at ColemanK 11:59 PM, Beat ErnstS 7-4, Lost to AndrewsS 6-9, Beat BourkeR 4-1, Beat ConeCW 9-3, Lost to CurtinT 6-9, Lost to EsneaultG 4-6, Beat FreezeB 5-0, Beat GelfandJ 9-7, Beat HartleyK 9-2, Beat HudsonB 9-6, Beat MuttrejaR 5-4, Beat RizzoA 3-0, Beat SkardonS 3-1, Beat WatsonKR 6-3, Lost to GrecoG 4-6, Plays at HeffnerE 11:59 PM, Beat LeeD2 6-3, Beat PriceE 5-4, Beat SamaK 6-1, Tied SharpJ 5-5, Plays at TavelP 11:59 PM, playoff odds up 64.3 to 99.999% 32 points 15 4-0 2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | GrecoD 4 BourkeR 1 | +9.0 | | +6.7 | | -6.1 | | +1.6 | | GrecoD 9 GelfandJ 7 | +9.0 | | +7.8 | | -4.8 | | +1.5 | | GrecoD 9 HudsonB 6 | +8.8 | | +5.6 | | -7.1 | | +1.6 | | GrecoD 5 MuttrejaR 4 | +8.5 | | +9.0 | | -3.5 | | +1.4 | | GrecoD 3 SkardonS 1 | +8.4 | | +5.8 | | -7.0 | | +1.6 | | GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 | +8.1 | | +9.8 | | -1.9 | | +1.3 | | GrecoD 4 EsneaultG 6 | -8.0 | | -6.2 | | +5.6 | | -1.4 | | SamaK 1 GrecoD 6 | +7.9 | | +4.7 | | -7.7 | | +1.6 | | GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 | +7.5 | | +9.2 | | -2.3 | | +1.2 | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | +6.4 | | +10.0 | | -0.9 | | +1.1 | | GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 | -5.9 | | -9.2 | | +1.2 | | -1.0 | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +4.9 | | +10.8 | | -0.4 | | +1.0 | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | +3.3 | | +10.8 | | | | +0.8 | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | +2.5 | | +11.9 | | | | +0.8 | | GrecoD 6 AndrewsS 9 | -1.4 | | -11.2 | | | | -0.7 | | LeeD2 3 GrecoD 6 | +1.3 | | +14.2 | | | | +0.8 | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | +0.5 | | +11.4 | | | | +0.6 | | SharpJ 5 PriceE 3 | -0.4 | | -1.0 | | | | | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | -0.3 | | -1.2 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | | | +0.5 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | | | +1.2 | | | | | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | | | -1.2 | | | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | +0.1 | | +1.7 | | | | +0.1 | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | BowmanD 6 GrecoD 6 | *-0.1 | | -0.3 | | -0.5 | | +0.0 | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | | | -1.8 | | | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | -1.4 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 1 ConeCW 2 | | | +0.8 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | -1.2 | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | PriceE 4 GrecoD 5 | | | +13.4 | | | | +0.6 | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | | | -1.4 | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.6 | | | | | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -1.1 | | | | | | EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | | | -1.1 | | | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | | | -1.9 | | | | | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | | | +2.8 | | | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | -1.9 | | | | | | LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -1.2 | | | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | | | *-0.3 | | | | | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | | | -8.5 | | | | -0.5 | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | +3.1 | | | | | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | -2.4 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | -2.3 | | | | | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | | | -2.2 | | | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | +2.2 | | | | | | PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot) | | | -2.2 | | | | | | BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -2.1 | | | | | | ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 | | | -2.1 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 | | | +2.0 | | | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | -1.9 | | | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | +1.7 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | | | -1.7 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | -1.6 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | +1.3 | | | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | -1.3 | | | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | | | +1.1 | | | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | | | +1.0 | | | | | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | PriceE 1 ColemanK 3 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | +0.8 | | | | | | LeeD2 4 BowmanD 7 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | BreedingT 6 JeziorskiM 6 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ColemanK vs GrecoD | *+0.0-0.0*In*InIn | | -14.4-29.2+2.2+14.7+15.7 | | | | -0.6-1.2+0.0+0.7+0.7 | | BreedingT vs GrecoD | *+0.0-0.0*In*InIn | | -14.4-29.1+2.3+14.5+15.7 | | | | -0.6-1.2+0.1+0.6+0.7 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | | | +3.8+6.9-0.7-3.8-4.1 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | | | +3.9+6.7-0.5-3.8-4.1 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | SamaK vs JeziorskiM | | | +3.8+6.5-0.5-3.6-4.1 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | TavelP vs JeziorskiM | | | +3.8+6.2-0.5-3.6-4.1 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | RizzoA vs AndrewsS | | | +2.4+6.4-0.6-2.5-2.7 | | | | +0.1+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | CurtinT vs AndrewsS | | | +2.4+6.3-0.6-2.7-2.7 | | | | +0.1+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | BreedingT vs BowmanD | | | +3.2+4.7+0.3-2.9-3.5 | | | | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | | | +3.2+4.7+0.3-2.9-3.5 | | | | +0.1+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the GrecoD finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | Yes | 47 | 51 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 199,544 | | 39 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 100.0 | % | 20 | 69 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 174,120 | | 38 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 99.8 | | 6 | 61 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 704,423 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 99.8 | | 5 | 61 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,881 | | 37 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 97.8 | | 1 | 37 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 461,459 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 98.6 | | 2 | 41 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,537 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 97.9 | | 1 | 37 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,383 | | 36 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 89.2 | | 0 | 15 | 40 | 34 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 937,665 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 89.6 | | 0 | 15 | 40 | 34 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,361 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 92.3 | | 0 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,171 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 90.7 | | | 19 | 40 | 32 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 450 | | 35 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 62.9 | | | 3 | 20 | 40 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 409,834 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 70.2 | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,550 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 71.3 | | | 5 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,803 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 62.0 | | | 3 | 20 | 38 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,440 | | 34 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 32.2 | | | 0 | 6 | 26 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 554,002 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 39.2 | | | 1 | 8 | 31 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,982 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 33.1 | | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,033 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 42.1 | | | 1 | 9 | 33 | 43 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,225 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | In | 40.2 | | | 1 | 8 | 31 | 44 | 14 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 965 | | 33 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 12.0 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 211,860 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 7.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,057 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 12.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,518 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | In | 15.4 | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 44 | 35 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,738 | | 32 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 123,048 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 1.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,203 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 2.4 | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 45 | 26 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,137 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | In | 2.6 | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 46 | 26 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 728 | | 31 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 41 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,267 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | In | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 7 | 35 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,987 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | In | No | | | | | 7 | 37 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,126 | | 30 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 99.9 | | No | | | | | 1 | 11 | 34 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,028 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | In | No | | | | | 1 | 10 | 35 | 43 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 267 | | 29 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 99.1 | | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 40 | 32 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,079 | | 28 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 90.2 | | No | | | | | | | 5 | 15 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 100.0 | % | 70.3 | % | 4 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |