How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
FreezeB 3 ColemanK 7 +8.9
+6.8
-6.1
+1.6
WatsonKR 1 ColemanK 7 +8.9
+7.9
-5.0
+1.5
CurtinT 1 ColemanK 3 +8.6
+6.7
-6.3
+1.6
HartleyK 2 ColemanK 8 +8.3
+8.5
-3.7
+1.4
RizzoA 4 ColemanK 6 +8.2
+5.6
-7.0
+1.6
ConeCW 7 ColemanK 5 -7.9
-7.1
+4.6
-1.4
ColemanK 9 MuttrejaR 6 +7.7
+4.7
-7.6
+1.6
AndrewsS 6 ColemanK 9 +7.3
+9.7
-2.4
+1.3
ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 +6.2
+9.4
-1.5
+1.1
LeeD2 2 ColemanK 8 +4.7
+10.3
-0.7
+1.0
BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 +3.2
+8.9
-0.3
+0.8
SharpJ 1 ColemanK 4 +2.2
+9.1
+0.7
PriceE 1 ColemanK 3 +1.2
+7.3
+0.6
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 +0.6
+6.5
+0.5
SamaK 0 LeeD2 5 (ot)*-0.6
*-0.2
BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2 -0.7
GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 -0.9
SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 +4.9
+0.4
BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 -0.6
SharpJ 5 PriceE 3 -0.9
BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 -0.5
LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 -0.5
BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 -0.5
GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 -0.5
EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 -0.5
BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 -0.7
ColemanK 6 BreedingT 6 +0.9
+0.1
MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 -0.5
ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 +4.2
+0.4
ColemanK 8 TavelP 0 (ot)*In
+2.2
+0.2
ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 +3.6
+0.4
ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 -1.6
-0.2
ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 +1.1
+0.2
AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 -0.9
GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 -0.8
SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 -0.8
SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 -0.8
LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 -0.8
GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 -0.8
ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 -0.8
HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 +0.8
SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 +0.8
PriceE 4 GrecoD 5 -0.7
LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.7
GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 +0.7
GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 -0.7
BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 +0.6
GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 +0.6
HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 +0.6
SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 -0.6
JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 -0.6
GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 -0.6
ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 -0.6
SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 -0.6
WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 +0.6
ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 -0.6
LeeD2 4 PriceE 3 -0.6
PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 -0.6
BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 +0.5
BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 -0.5
LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 -0.5
SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 +0.5
LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 -0.5
AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot)*-0.5
SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.5
BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 -0.5
GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 +0.5
AndrewsS 4 GrecoG 6 +0.5
JeziorskiM 7 RizzoA 0 -0.4
LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 -0.4
JeziorskiM 4 ConeCW 2 -0.4
LeeD2 2 BrowneL 1 -0.4
SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 -0.3
HommeyerM 1 CurtinT 4 -0.3
BreedingT 6 JeziorskiM 6 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
ColemanK vs GrecoD+0.1Yes+0.1-0.9-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.1
ColemanK vs SkardonS+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.9-0.1
+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the ColemanK finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
41-45InYes100No2,792,358*
4012-01InYes9550No409,846
21-10InYes9640No239,394
10-12InYes964No12,783
01-03InYes9550No7,444
3913-00In100.0%8118100No553,483
11-11InYes841510No104,819
02-02InYes831610No44,829
20-20InYes841510No15,247
00-13InYes84151No937
3812-10In100.06034600No212,275
03-01In100.05636810No121,305
01-12In100.05934600No11,483
10-21In100.06332500No6,714
3704-00In99.3234227710No122,873
02-11In99.7284324500No46,503
11-20In99.730432250No27,160
00-22In99.933432040No696
3603-10In96.2830382040No63,088
01-21In96.8933371830No5,968
10-30In97.31236341520No1,204
3502-20In80.111030391820No12,136
00-31In79.92103434182No254
3401-30In47.32133338131No1,082
3300-40In9.736483210No31
Total:In99.9%89821000No4,813,912

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs