BowmanD Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Beat AndrewsS 7-6, Lost to BourkeR 2-3, Beat ConeCW 7-1, Beat CurtinT 5-3, Beat EsneaultG 5-3, Beat FreezeB 8-4, Beat GelfandJ 6-3, Tied GrecoD 6-6, Lost to HartleyK 2-4, Beat HudsonB 4-3, Tied MuttrejaR 4-4, Beat RizzoA 5-0, Beat SkardonS 8-3, Beat WatsonKR 3-1, Plays at BreedingT 11:59 PM, Lost to BrowneL 2-4, Lost to ColemanK 4-6, Beat ErnstS 5-4, Lost to GrecoG 4-7, Plays at HeffnerE 11:59 PM, Plays at JeziorskiM 11:59 PM, Beat LeeD2 7-4, Beat PriceE 3-0 (ot), Beat SharpJ 8-7, Plays at TavelP 11:59 PM, playoff odds up 64.1 to 99.9% 30 points 14 5-0 2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | BowmanD 6 GelfandJ 3 | +9.3 | | +7.0 | | -6.2 | | +1.6 | | BowmanD 5 RizzoA 0 | +9.0 | | +7.6 | | -4.7 | | +1.5 | | BowmanD 5 CurtinT 3 | +8.7 | | +9.0 | | -3.2 | | +1.4 | | BowmanD 4 HudsonB 3 | +8.7 | | +6.7 | | -6.1 | | +1.6 | | BowmanD 5 EsneaultG 3 | +8.5 | | +5.8 | | -7.2 | | +1.6 | | BowmanD 2 BourkeR 3 | -8.0 | | -7.1 | | +4.6 | | -1.4 | | BowmanD 8 SkardonS 3 | +7.9 | | +4.7 | | -7.7 | | +1.6 | | BowmanD 7 ConeCW 1 | +7.8 | | +9.6 | | -2.0 | | +1.2 | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | +6.3 | | +10.0 | | -1.2 | | +1.1 | | BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | +4.9 | | +10.6 | | -0.5 | | +1.0 | | AndrewsS 6 BowmanD 7 | +4.6 | | +12.1 | | -0.2 | | +1.0 | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | -3.0 | | -9.4 | | | | -0.7 | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | +2.8 | | +11.3 | | | | +0.8 | | LeeD2 4 BowmanD 7 | +1.6 | | +12.8 | | | | +0.8 | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +1.3 | | +13.6 | | *No | | +0.8 | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | -0.6 | | -10.3 | | | | -0.6 | | PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot) | +0.4 | | +12.6 | | | | +0.6 | | BowmanD 4 MuttrejaR 4 | *+0.4 | | *-0.1 | | -0.7 | | +0.1 | | GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 | -0.3 | | -0.7 | | | | | | SharpJ 5 PriceE 3 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.7 | | | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | | | -1.3 | | | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | | | -1.3 | | | | | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | | | +1.2 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | | | -1.2 | | | | | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -1.1 | | | | | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | | | -2.1 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 | | | -14.6 | | | | -0.7 | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | -1.4 | | | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | +0.8 | | | | | | BowmanD 6 GrecoD 6 | *+0.1 | | -0.3 | | -0.6 | | +0.1 | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | | | -0.5 | | *No | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | -1.9 | | | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | | | *+0.2 | | | | | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | | | +1.8 | | | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | | | -2.5 | | | | | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | | | -12.3 | | | | -0.6 | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | | | -3.8 | | | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | | | -3.1 | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.8 | | *No | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | | | +1.0 | | | | | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | -4.1 | | | | | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | +3.0 | | | | | | PriceE 4 GrecoD 5 | | | -2.9 | | | | | | BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -2.8 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | -2.6 | | | | | | ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 | | | -2.5 | | | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | +2.4 | | | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | -2.4 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | -2.0 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | -1.9 | | | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | -1.4 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | +1.4 | | | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | -1.2 | | | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | -1.2 | | | | | | LeeD2 8 BreedingT 2 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.9 | | | | | | SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | | | -0.9 | | | | | | PriceE 1 ColemanK 3 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 4 PriceE 3 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | | | -0.6 | | | | | | SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 | | | +0.6 | | | | | | LeeD2 3 GrecoD 6 | | | -0.4 | | | | | | BreedingT 6 JeziorskiM 6 | | | *+0.2 | | | | | | SkardonS 2 ErnstS 3 | | | | | *No | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | BreedingT vs BowmanD | -0.1-0.8+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -14.2-21.6-1.5+13.9+15.5 | | | | -0.7-1.2+0.0+0.7+0.7 | | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | -0.1-0.8+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -14.1-21.6-1.5+13.7+15.5 | | | | -0.7-1.2+0.0+0.7+0.7 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | | | +3.6+6.3-0.6-3.5-3.8 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GelfandJ vs LeeD2 | | | +3.6+6.3-0.6-3.3-3.8 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | BreedingT vs GrecoD | | | +3.0+6.3-0.6-3.1-3.3 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | ColemanK vs GrecoD | | | +3.0+6.3-0.6-2.9-3.3 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | CurtinT vs AndrewsS | | | +2.5+6.6-0.5-3.0-2.9 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | RizzoA vs AndrewsS | | | +2.6+6.6-0.5-2.8-2.9 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | SamaK vs JeziorskiM | | | +3.6+5.6-0.5-3.3-3.7 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | TavelP vs JeziorskiM | | | +3.6+5.5-0.4-3.5-3.8 | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the BowmanD finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 38 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 99.6 | % | 3 | 56 | 34 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,077 | | 37 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 95.5 | | 0 | 31 | 43 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 174,452 | | 36 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 79.9 | | 0 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 17 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 704,181 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 79.5 | | 0 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 18 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,504 | | 35 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 45.9 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 37 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 462,419 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 56.4 | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,802 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 46.3 | | | 2 | 12 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,362 | | 34 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 17.9 | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 38 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 936,298 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 17.0 | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 39 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,317 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 24.5 | | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 31 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,333 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | In | 12.6 | | | | 1 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 492 | | 33 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 2.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 52 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 410,826 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | In | 5.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 51 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,167 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 4.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 52 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,845 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | In | 2.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 52 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,406 | | 32 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 552,798 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | In | 0.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 37 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,408 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | In | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 44,873 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | In | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 48 | 32 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,456 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | In | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 927 | | 31 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 211,572 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 15 | 40 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,289 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | In | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 24 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,433 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 100.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 32 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,672 | | 30 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.4 | | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 123,495 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 99.7 | | No | | | | | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,515 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 99.9 | | No | | | | | 0 | 8 | 32 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,378 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 99.9 | | No | | | | | | 9 | 30 | 41 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 728 | | 29 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 95.4 | | No | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 28 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,583 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 98.1 | | No | | | | | | 2 | 13 | 36 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,949 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 99.6 | | No | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 39 | 36 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,133 | | 28 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 81.6 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,984 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | 88.8 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 44 | 23 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 250 | | 27 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 50.7 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 962 | | 26 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 11.5 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 23 | 35 | 23 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 99.9 | % | 30.5 | % | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |