SamaK Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Lost to AndrewsS 0-8 (ot), Tied BourkeR 3-3, Beat BreedingT 2-1, Beat BrowneL 4-3, Lost to ColemanK 1-7, Lost to ConeCW 1-4, Lost to CurtinT 0-1, Tied ErnstS 0-0, Beat EsneaultG 3-1, Plays FreezeB 11:59 PM, Lost to GelfandJ 1-2, Lost to GrecoD 1-6, Lost to GrecoG 2-6, Lost to HeffnerE 0-1, Plays HommeyerM 11:59 PM, Beat HudsonB 2-0, Plays JeziorskiM 11:59 PM, Lost to LeeD2 0-5 (ot), Lost to MuttrejaR 5-9, Beat PriceE 4-2, Lost to RizzoA 1-3, Beat SharpJ 3-2, Lost to SkardonS 1-9, Beat TavelP 2-0 (ot), Plays WatsonKR 11:59 PM, playoff odds down 35.7 to 0% 14 points 7 10-2 2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | SamaK 0 AndrewsS 8 (ot) | -12.2 | | -6.8 | | +13.5 | | -2.7 | | SamaK 1 GelfandJ 2 | -7.1 | | -1.2 | | +9.4 | | -1.4 | | SamaK 4 PriceE 2 | +6.2 | | +1.1 | | -10.5 | | +1.5 | | SamaK 0 LeeD2 5 (ot) | -5.9 | | -1.6 | | +13.1 | | -2.3 | | SamaK 1 GrecoD 6 | -5.9 | | -2.6 | | +7.8 | | -1.4 | | SamaK 2 GrecoG 6 | -5.6 | | -0.5 | | +10.4 | | -1.4 | | SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 | +5.2 | | +1.1 | | -9.6 | | +1.5 | | SamaK 1 SkardonS 9 | -5.0 | | -1.8 | | +7.9 | | -1.4 | | SamaK 2 HudsonB 0 | +4.1 | | +0.8 | | -9.1 | | +1.5 | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | -3.8 | | | | +10.5 | | -1.2 | | SamaK 4 BrowneL 3 | +3.0 | | +0.6 | | -8.0 | | +1.3 | | SamaK 3 EsneaultG 1 | +2.3 | | +0.4 | | -6.5 | | +1.2 | | SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | -2.1 | | | | +10.4 | | -1.2 | | SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 | -0.9 | | | | +9.7 | | -1.1 | | SamaK 3 BourkeR 3 | -0.5 | | -0.3 | | *-0.3 | | | | SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 | -0.4 | | | | +10.7 | | -1.1 | | SamaK 0 ErnstS 0 | *-0.3 | | -0.3 | | *-0.2 | | +0.0 | | SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 | +0.3 | | | | -9.3 | | +1.2 | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +0.3 | | | | -0.4 | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.3 | | | | -0.6 | | | | HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 | -0.3 | | | | +0.6 | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.3 | | | | -0.6 | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | -0.3 | | | | +0.9 | | | | ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.4 | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | PriceE 0 GrecoG 2 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | SamaK 0 HeffnerE 1 | | | | | +9.5 | | -1.0 | | RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | -1.0 | | | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | | | | | +0.5 | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | SharpJ 8 GrecoG 6 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | | | | | +6.1 | | -0.9 | | SamaK 2 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | -2.6 | | +0.8 | | BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 | | | | | +1.0 | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -1.0 | | | | RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -1.0 | | | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | | | +0.9 | | | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | | | | | -0.9 | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | | | +0.8 | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | -0.8 | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.6 | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.5 | | | | GrecoD 9 ConeCW 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BourkeR 0 RizzoA 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | PriceE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.2 | | | | GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | EsneaultG 4 ConeCW 4 | | | | | *+0.2 | | | | GrecoG 1 HommeyerM 1 | | | | | *+0.2 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | SamaK vs FreezeB | | | | | -5.4-5.5+2.5+5.0+4.8 | | +0.9+0.9-0.0-1.4-0.8 | | SamaK vs JeziorskiM | | | | | -5.0-3.8+1.7+4.9+4.4 | | +0.8+0.7+0.0-1.4-0.8 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | | | | | +1.1+1.0+0.2-1.8-1.1 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | | | | | -0.9-1.5*+0.0+0.8+1.0 | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | CurtinT vs HartleyK | | | | | -0.7-1.3+0.1*+0.0+0.8 | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | PriceE vs HudsonB | | | | | -0.4-1.0+0.2+0.3+0.4 | | | | BourkeR vs BrowneL | | | | | -0.5-0.8*-0.0+0.5+0.5 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the SamaK finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 25.1 | % | 199,160 | | 21 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | 70.8 | | 173,647 | | 20 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 39 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 94.7 | | 704,277 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 40 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 95.5 | | 57,172 | | 19 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 41 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 99.7 | | 463,180 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 99.3 | | 90,081 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 24 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 99.8 | | 8,274 | | 18 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 43 | 17 | 2 | | | | | 100.0 | | 935,449 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 44 | 17 | 2 | | | | | 100.0 | | 101,281 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 13 | 1 | | | | | 100.0 | | 59,268 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 31 | 43 | 19 | 2 | | | | | Yes | 439 | | 17 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 35 | 9 | 0 | | | | Yes | 410,240 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 0 | | | | Yes | 239,379 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 0 | | | | Yes | 12,826 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 36 | 9 | 0 | | | | Yes | 7,493 | | 16 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | Yes | 554,156 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | Yes | 104,513 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | Yes | 44,936 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 29 | 44 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | Yes | 15,281 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 44 | 27 | 3 | 0 | | | Yes | 909 | | 15 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | Yes | 211,421 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 49 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | Yes | 121,988 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | Yes | 11,541 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 34 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | Yes | 6,794 | | 14 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 12 | 1 | | Yes | 122,946 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 35 | 11 | 1 | | Yes | 46,375 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 31 | 9 | 1 | | Yes | 26,682 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 1 | | Yes | 721 | | 13 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 42 | 28 | 6 | | Yes | 63,226 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 43 | 26 | 5 | | Yes | 5,931 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 31 | 45 | 18 | 3 | | Yes | 1,127 | | 12 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 31 | 43 | 19 | | Yes | 11,864 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | 38 | 34 | 13 | | Yes | 280 | | 11 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 44 | 36 | | Yes | 1,019 | | 10 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 44 | 42 | | Yes | 36 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 23 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 95.0 | % | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |