BourkeR Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Lost to AndrewsS 3-6, Plays BrowneL 11:59 PM, Lost to ConeCW 3-6, Beat CurtinT 7-3, Beat ErnstS 3-2, Tied FreezeB 2-2, Beat GelfandJ 5-4, Tied HartleyK 3-3, Lost to LeeD2 2-6, Lost to MuttrejaR 1-5, Lost to RizzoA 0-3, Plays SharpJ 11:59 PM, Lost to WatsonKR 1-3, Beat BowmanD 3-2, Lost to EsneaultG 2-3, Lost to GrecoD 1-4, Plays at GrecoG 11:59 PM, Lost to HeffnerE 1-5, Tied HommeyerM 3-3, Lost to HudsonB 4-7, Lost to JeziorskiM 0-8, Plays at PriceE 11:59 PM, Tied SamaK 3-3, Lost to SkardonS 0-6 (ot), Tied TavelP 7-7, playoff odds down 35.7 to 0% 12 points 4 11-1 5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | SkardonS 6 BourkeR 0 (ot) | -9.8 | | -2.8 | | +15.5 | | -2.6 | | GrecoD 4 BourkeR 1 | -7.2 | | -3.2 | | +8.2 | | -1.5 | | HeffnerE 5 BourkeR 1 | -7.1 | | -4.3 | | +7.0 | | -1.5 | | JeziorskiM 8 BourkeR 0 | -6.9 | | -3.6 | | +7.7 | | -1.5 | | BowmanD 2 BourkeR 3 | +6.5 | | +2.6 | | -8.8 | | +1.6 | | EsneaultG 3 BourkeR 2 | -3.8 | | -0.8 | | +8.3 | | -1.3 | | HudsonB 7 BourkeR 4 | -2.5 | | -0.3 | | +7.7 | | -1.2 | | BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 | -2.0 | | | | +8.5 | | -1.1 | | BourkeR 5 GelfandJ 4 | +1.6 | | | | -7.6 | | +1.2 | | BourkeR 0 RizzoA 3 | -0.9 | | | | +7.1 | | -1.0 | | BourkeR 3 ConeCW 6 | -0.7 | | *No | | +8.2 | | -1.0 | | BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 | +0.5 | | | | -6.6 | | +1.0 | | SamaK 3 BourkeR 3 | -0.3 | | | | *+0.4 | | | | ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | +1.0 | | | | HommeyerM 3 BourkeR 3 | *-0.2 | | *-0.2 | | -0.7 | | +0.1 | | BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -0.1 | | | | +6.7 | | -0.9 | | TavelP 7 BourkeR 7 | *-0.1 | | *-0.2 | | -0.7 | | +0.1 | | BourkeR 2 FreezeB 2 | | | | | +1.2 | | -0.1 | | GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | BourkeR 3 HartleyK 3 | *Out | | | | +1.2 | | -0.0 | | BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 | *Out | | | | +0.3 | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | *Out | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 | *Out | | | | | | | | PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot) | *Out | | | | | | +0.2 | | LeeD2 4 PriceE 3 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.4 | | | | BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | +4.2 | | -0.8 | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | | | +3.2 | | -0.8 | | BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 | | | | | -2.3 | | +0.9 | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | HartleyK 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.5 | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | WatsonKR 6 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.4 | | | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | AndrewsS 4 GrecoG 6 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.3 | | | | EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | PriceE 0 GrecoG 2 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | GrecoD 4 EsneaultG 6 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | JeziorskiM 6 FreezeB 4 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | EsneaultG 7 WatsonKR 4 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 | | | | | *+0.2 | | | | RizzoA 3 HartleyK 3 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | BourkeR vs SharpJ | | | | | -0.4-0.3+0.3Yes+0.3 | | +0.8+0.7+0.0-1.2-0.7 | | BourkeR vs BrowneL | | | | | -0.4-0.3+0.3Yes+0.3 | | +0.8+0.9-0.1-1.2-0.8 | | SamaK vs FreezeB | | | | | -0.1-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | SamaK vs JeziorskiM | | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | ColemanK vs SkardonS | | | | | | | +0.1+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | | | | | | | +0.1+0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the BourkeR finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 92.0 | % | 198,598 | | 19 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 99.5 | | 173,644 | | 18 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 3 | | | | | 100.0 | | 704,608 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 18 | 3 | | | | | 100.0 | | 57,167 | | 17 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 39 | 13 | 0 | | | | Yes | 462,972 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 33 | 10 | 0 | | | | Yes | 89,942 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 39 | 12 | | | | | Yes | 8,142 | | 16 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | Yes | 936,803 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | Yes | 100,703 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | Yes | 59,098 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 14 | 39 | 38 | 8 | | | | Yes | 434 | | 15 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | Yes | 409,180 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | Yes | 238,840 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | Yes | 12,995 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 52 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | Yes | 7,344 | | 14 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 41 | 15 | 2 | | Yes | 554,355 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 12 | 1 | | Yes | 105,096 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 34 | 43 | 16 | 2 | | Yes | 45,198 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 49 | 29 | 6 | 0 | | Yes | 15,330 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 14 | 2 | | Yes | 896 | | 13 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 30 | 6 | | Yes | 212,343 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 43 | 34 | 8 | | Yes | 121,314 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 18 | 44 | 31 | 6 | | Yes | 11,432 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 28 | 44 | 22 | 4 | | Yes | 6,856 | | 12 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 47 | 28 | | Yes | 123,232 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 46 | 23 | | Yes | 46,210 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 37 | 40 | 14 | | Yes | 27,242 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 39 | 41 | 13 | | Yes | 709 | | 11 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 47 | | Yes | 62,510 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 45 | 38 | | Yes | 5,961 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 23 | 47 | 28 | | Yes | 1,161 | | 10 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | | Yes | 12,250 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 41 | 48 | | Yes | 282 | | 9 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 21 | 78 | | Yes | 1,036 | | 8 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 83 | | Yes | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | | 99.7 | % | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |