How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
WatsonKR 3 BrowneL 1 -7.8
-5.3
+6.5
-1.5
FreezeB 2 BrowneL 3 +7.7
+4.7
-7.6
+1.6
HartleyK 3 BrowneL 2 -7.4
-4.3
+7.2
-1.5
AndrewsS 6 BrowneL 0 -7.0
-3.5
+7.7
-1.5
ErnstS 6 BrowneL 3 -6.1
-2.4
+8.3
-1.5
LeeD2 2 BrowneL 1 -5.1
-1.7
+8.2
-1.4
BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 -4.4
+10.8
-1.3
SamaK 4 BrowneL 3 -3.9
-0.9
+8.2
-1.4
BrowneL 1 SharpJ 2 -3.0
-0.6
+7.4
-1.2
BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot)+2.6
-10.2
+1.2
BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 -2.4
-0.2
+8.1
-1.1
BrowneL 5 HommeyerM 6 -2.1
+12.3
-1.3
BrowneL 6 HeffnerE 2 +2.1
-9.9
+1.2
BrowneL 3 PriceE 0 +2.0
+0.2
-7.5
+1.2
BrowneL 3 BreedingT 0 (ot)+1.3
-7.8
+1.2
BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 -1.3
*No
+12.3
-1.1
BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 +0.9
-12.1
+1.2
BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 -0.6
+14.0
-1.0
BrowneL 5 GrecoG 5 -0.3
BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 +0.3
-14.1
+1.2
GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 -0.3
+0.7
CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot)+1.3
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 -0.6
SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 -0.7
MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 -1.1
GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 *No
GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 *No
-0.8
HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 -0.3
SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 +0.5
GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 -0.5
SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 -0.4
EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 -0.6
MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 -2.1
PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 +0.4
SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 -0.9
RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 +0.6
GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 +0.4
ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 -0.6
LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 -0.8
ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 -0.8
PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 -0.8
SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 -0.9
HudsonB 2 HartleyK 1 +0.5
BourkeR 2 FreezeB 2 *-0.2
SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 +1.1
BourkeR 3 HartleyK 3 *+0.1
HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.6
GelfandJ 5 HartleyK 3 +0.4
EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 -0.6
HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1 Out
+16.8
-1.0
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 +2.9
LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 -0.7
CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 -0.4
ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 -0.8
SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 *No
+0.6
SkardonS 2 ErnstS 3 *No
HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 +2.4
GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 +1.7
BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 -1.5
RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 -1.5
BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 +1.3
BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 +1.3
HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 -1.3
ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 -0.8
MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 +0.8
SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 -0.8
PriceE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.6
BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 +0.6
ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot)+0.6
GrecoG 1 HommeyerM 1 +0.5
AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 -0.5
HudsonB 3 RizzoA 1 +0.5
GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot)*+0.4
BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 -0.4
EsneaultG 7 WatsonKR 4 -0.4
RizzoA 3 HartleyK 3 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
GelfandJ vs BrowneL+11.6+14.9+3.2-14.7-12.4
-0.9-1.5-0.0+1.0+0.9
BourkeR vs BrowneL+10.5+14.4+2.0-10.6-11.5
-0.9-1.6+0.1+0.9+1.0
FreezeB vs WatsonKR+2.5+2.5+0.2-5.3-2.2
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1
SamaK vs FreezeB-1.8-4.8-0.2+2.2+2.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0
ConeCW vs HartleyK-2.0-3.5+0.4+1.5+2.2
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
GelfandJ vs LeeD2+1.5+1.4+0.4-3.9-1.3
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
SharpJ vs HudsonB-1.0-3.5+0.5+1.1+1.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
CurtinT vs HartleyK-1.4-2.9+0.6+0.4+1.5
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
PriceE vs HudsonB-1.0-3.2+0.4+1.1+1.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
CurtinT vs AndrewsS+0.8+0.7+0.3-1.8-0.7
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
HeffnerE vs BowmanD+0.6+0.6+0.3-1.7-0.5
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
TavelP vs HommeyerM-0.5-1.7+0.4+0.5+0.5
+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
RizzoA vs ErnstS-0.8-1.2*-0.1+0.8+0.9
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
MuttrejaR vs ErnstS-0.9-1.0*-0.0+0.9+0.9
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
HeffnerE vs HommeyerM+0.1-1.2+0.6-1.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the BrowneL finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
2340-00OutNo01620322812201.9%199,217
2230-01OutNo003153233141015.5173,857
2131-00OutNo002113241131055.1705,234
20-02OutNo002113341131054.757,262
2021-01OutNo0011139381110088.1463,603
30-10OutNo00212413691086.089,915
10-03OutNo01113839101088.28,131
1922-00OutNo00117433181098.8937,762
11-02OutNo0117443071098.8101,349
20-11OutNo0219452860098.459,138
00-04OutNo11844307099.3456
1812-01OutNo0323422660100.0410,706
21-10OutNo042643224099.9238,487
10-12OutNo0426442340100.012,965
01-03OutNo0322432651100.07,330
1713-00OutNo0625392550Yes553,647
11-11OutNo0830392030Yes104,194
02-02OutNo0626392350Yes44,616
20-20OutNo093140182Yes15,200
00-13OutNo083037222Yes890
1612-10OutNo0111343815100Yes211,210
03-01OutNo01727402320Yes120,776
01-12OutNo01113339151Yes11,511
10-21OutNo01143836110Yes6,776
1504-00OutNo01628461720Yes122,914
02-11OutNo011135421010Yes46,091
11-20OutNo02153937600Yes26,972
00-22OutNo0318403450Yes724
1403-10OutNo0214453181Yes62,490
01-21OutNo0322502230Yes5,992
10-30OutNo0525511720Yes1,146
1302-20OutNo032943213Yes11,951
00-31OutNo063938133Yes289
1201-30OutNo115393511Yes1,081
1100-40OutNo7174037Yes30
Total:OutNo0001248162119149510084.1%4,813,912
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs