CurtinT Playoff Chances LL65Lost to BourkeR 3-7, Lost to BowmanD 3-5, Plays AndrewsS 11:59 PM, Beat BreedingT 4-0, Lost to ColemanK 1-3, Beat ConeCW 6-1, Plays ErnstS 11:59 PM, Lost to FreezeB 0-1E-05 (ot), Beat GrecoG 8-5, Plays HartleyK 11:59 PM, Plays LeeD2 11:59 PM, Lost to PriceE 2-3, Lost to WatsonKR 5-9, Lost to EsneaultG 4-6, Lost to GelfandJ 4-5, Beat GrecoD 9-6, Beat HeffnerE 5-3, Beat HommeyerM 4-1, Beat HudsonB 3-1, Lost to JeziorskiM 8-9, Beat MuttrejaR 5-0, Beat RizzoA 6-1, Beat SamaK 1-0, Lost to SkardonS 0-6 (ot), Beat TavelP 2-0 (ot), playoff odds down 33.8 to 1.9% 20 points 11 8-2 0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | -28.9 | | | | +1.5 | | -2.0 | | SkardonS 6 CurtinT 0 (ot) | -18.0 | | -7.0 | | +3.5 | | -1.9 | | CurtinT 6 ConeCW 1 | +13.0 | | | | -1.2 | | +1.0 | | BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 | -12.8 | | -0.3 | | +5.0 | | -1.3 | | GrecoD 6 CurtinT 9 | +10.7 | | +3.9 | | -2.4 | | +1.1 | | EsneaultG 6 CurtinT 4 | -9.9 | | -0.8 | | +3.2 | | -1.0 | | HeffnerE 3 CurtinT 5 | +9.2 | | +4.9 | | -6.1 | | +1.5 | | HommeyerM 1 CurtinT 4 | +7.9 | | +3.9 | | -3.1 | | +1.0 | | BowmanD 5 CurtinT 3 | -7.9 | | -6.1 | | +1.3 | | -1.0 | | HudsonB 1 CurtinT 3 | +7.7 | | | | -5.6 | | +1.0 | | CurtinT 4 BreedingT 0 | +7.6 | | +3.1 | | -8.1 | | +1.5 | | CurtinT 1 ColemanK 3 | -7.6 | | -4.5 | | +6.4 | | -1.4 | | CurtinT 8 GrecoG 5 | +7.4 | | +3.5 | | -8.7 | | +1.7 | | GelfandJ 5 CurtinT 4 | -7.2 | | | | +6.8 | | -1.1 | | TavelP 0 CurtinT 2 (ot) | +7.1 | | +4.6 | | -3.7 | | +1.1 | | CurtinT 2 PriceE 3 | -7.0 | | -4.2 | | +6.9 | | -1.5 | | CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 | -6.7 | | | | +1.0 | | -0.9 | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | +6.7 | | | | -9.4 | | +1.3 | | JeziorskiM 9 CurtinT 8 | -6.4 | | -6.4 | | +1.5 | | -0.9 | | SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 | +5.0 | | | | -1.9 | | +0.5 | | RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | +3.5 | | | | -2.4 | | +0.5 | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | -2.2 | | | | | | | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -2.1 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -1.9 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -1.8 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | -1.5 | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -1.3 | | | | | | | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +1.2 | | | | +0.4 | | | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | +1.2 | | | | +0.3 | | | | PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 | +1.1 | | | | | | | | WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | -1.1 | | +0.3 | | | | | | SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | -1.1 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +1.1 | | | | | | | | BrowneL 6 HeffnerE 2 | +1.0 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | +1.0 | | | | | | | | SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | +0.9 | | | | | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | +0.9 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 | +0.8 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 1 ConeCW 2 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.7 | | | | -0.6 | | | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +0.7 | | | | | | | | BowmanD 3 WatsonKR 1 | +0.7 | | | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | +0.6 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | -0.6 | | | | -0.4 | | | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 7 RizzoA 1 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | +0.5 | | | | +0.4 | | | | AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2 | +0.4 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7 | +0.4 | | | | | | | | HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | | | +0.8 | | | | | | GrecoD 3 RizzoA 0 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | SamaK 3 SharpJ 2 | | | +1.1 | | | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | +0.2 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.2 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.2 | | | | | | | | LeeD2 2 GrecoG 1 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | ErnstS 1 ColemanK 8 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | -0.2 | | | | | | AndrewsS 4 GrecoG 6 | | | +0.9 | | | | | | HartleyK 2 ColemanK 8 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | BowmanD 8 FreezeB 4 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | BourkeR 2 FreezeB 2 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | CurtinT vs AndrewsS | +4.6+4.3-0.5-1.9-1.8 | | | | -3.4-3.4-2.1+6.8+1.1 | | +1.4+1.4+0.4-1.5-0.5 | | CurtinT vs HartleyK | +1.2+1.1-1.3-1.9-1.9 | | | | -3.3-3.4-1.2+15.7+5.8 | | +0.8+0.8-0.2-2.2-1.3 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -0.5-0.5-0.0+1.4+0.8 | | | | | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | BourkeR vs SharpJ | +0.9+1.4+0.1-0.4-0.4 | | | | | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -0.4-0.3+0.2+1.5+0.7 | | | | -0.4-0.5+0.1+0.9+0.9 | | -0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | | | | | -0.6-1.2+0.2+0.8+1.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | | | | | +1.2+1.1+0.3-1.1-0.5 | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0 | | SamaK vs FreezeB | | | | | -0.9-1.3-0.3+0.6+0.6 | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the CurtinT finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 37.2 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 559,591 | | 27 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 9.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 531,459 | | 26 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,331,447 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 1.2 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 181,509 | | 25 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,528,235 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 297,279 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,362 | | 24 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 3,096,209 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 322,000 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 194,699 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,396 | | 23 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 1,250,496 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 789,175 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 41,022 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 21,800 | | 22 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1.6 | | 1,537,859 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.9 | | 318,969 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.2 | | 123,354 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.7 | | 50,292 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 37 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 1.0 | | 2,811 | | 21 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 11.0 | | 589,540 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 15.7 | | 293,753 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 12.2 | | 31,448 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 8.8 | | 20,434 | | 20 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 60.4 | | 255,758 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 51.2 | | 113,213 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 45.9 | | 75,071 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 34 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | 45.4 | | 2,007 | | 19 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 87.2 | | 130,644 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | 83.3 | | 14,243 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 20 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | 77.9 | | 3,256 | | 18 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 98.9 | | 25,195 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 18 | 43 | 33 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 97.2 | | 651 | | 17 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 100.0 | | 2,119 | | 16 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 53 | 36 | 5 | 3 | | | | | Yes | 64 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.9 | % | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 3.7 | % | 14,763,360 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |