HeffnerE Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Lost to AndrewsS 2-9, Beat BreedingT 6-0, Lost to BrowneL 2-6, Lost to ColemanK 1-9, Beat ConeCW 1-0, Beat ErnstS 7-1, Tied FreezeB 5-5, Lost to GrecoG 3-5, Tied HartleyK 4-4, Beat BourkeR 5-1, Plays BowmanD 11:59 PM, Lost to CurtinT 3-5, Beat GelfandJ 5-3, Plays GrecoD 11:59 PM, Plays HommeyerM 11:59 PM, Lost to JeziorskiM 5-9, Lost to MuttrejaR 2-3, Tied RizzoA 1-1, Plays SkardonS 11:59 PM, Beat TavelP 3-0 (ot), Lost to LeeD2 3-6, Lost to PriceE 1-5, Beat SamaK 1-0, Beat SharpJ 7-6, Beat WatsonKR 5-4, playoff odds down 29.5 to 6.2% 21 points 9 9-0 3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | ErnstS 1 HeffnerE 7 | +10.3 | | +4.3 | | -7.2 | | +1.6 | | PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 | -10.2 | | -1.6 | | +5.6 | | -1.3 | | LeeD2 6 HeffnerE 3 | -10.0 | | -5.1 | | +4.5 | | -1.4 | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | +10.0 | | +1.5 | | -8.0 | | +1.5 | | BrowneL 6 HeffnerE 2 | -9.7 | | -2.8 | | +6.2 | | -1.4 | | GrecoG 5 HeffnerE 3 | -9.7 | | -0.5 | | +7.2 | | -1.3 | | AndrewsS 9 HeffnerE 2 | -9.6 | | -5.6 | | +5.0 | | -1.4 | | WatsonKR 4 HeffnerE 5 | +9.5 | | +5.5 | | -7.2 | | +1.6 | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | -9.4 | | No | | +1.7 | | -1.0 | | ConeCW 0 HeffnerE 1 | +8.7 | | +4.7 | | -8.2 | | +1.7 | | HeffnerE 5 GelfandJ 3 | +8.2 | | +5.7 | | -7.0 | | +1.6 | | HeffnerE 3 CurtinT 5 | -8.1 | | -5.3 | | +6.6 | | -1.5 | | HeffnerE 2 MuttrejaR 3 | -7.9 | | -6.1 | | +5.6 | | -1.4 | | HeffnerE 5 BourkeR 1 | +7.7 | | +4.6 | | -7.6 | | +1.6 | | HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | +7.6 | | | | -5.2 | | +1.1 | | ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | -6.5 | | | | +8.7 | | -1.2 | | SamaK 0 HeffnerE 1 | +5.7 | | | | -9.8 | | +1.3 | | BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 | +3.9 | | | | -12.5 | | +1.3 | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +2.1 | | | | +0.6 | | | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | -1.4 | | | | | | | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +1.4 | | | | +0.4 | | | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | +1.1 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -1.1 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 | -1.1 | | | | | | | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -1.0 | | | | -0.8 | | | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | -1.0 | | | | | | | | SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -1.0 | | | | -0.7 | | | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | -0.9 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -0.8 | | | | | | | | AndrewsS 9 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.7 | | -0.4 | | | | | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | -0.7 | | -0.2 | | | | | | BourkeR 7 CurtinT 3 | +0.7 | | | | | | | | BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 | -0.7 | | -0.3 | | | | | | CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 | -0.7 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.6 | | | | | | | | HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 7 RizzoA 1 | -0.6 | | -0.2 | | | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.5 | | | | -0.5 | | | | RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | -0.5 | | | | +0.6 | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | LeeD2 7 JeziorskiM 3 | +0.5 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.5 | | | | -0.4 | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.5 | | | | -0.6 | | | | SkardonS 0 WatsonKR 4 | -0.4 | | | | | | | | HartleyK 4 HeffnerE 4 | *+0.4 | | -0.6 | | -1.0 | | +0.1 | | SharpJ 5 PriceE 3 | -0.4 | | -0.5 | | | | | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.3 | | | | -0.8 | | | | SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 | -0.3 | | | | -0.4 | | | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -0.3 | | | | -1.2 | | | | SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7 | +0.3 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.4 | | | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | SharpJ 3 JeziorskiM 4 | -0.3 | | | | | | | | WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | | | +0.4 | | | | | | BourkeR 3 HartleyK 3 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | | | | | *+0.4 | | | | GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | HeffnerE 1 RizzoA 1 | *+0.1 | | *-0.1 | | -1.1 | | +0.1 | | HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | | | | | +0.8 | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | FreezeB 5 HeffnerE 5 | | | *-0.3 | | -0.9 | | +0.1 | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | | | | | *+0.2 | | | | ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | | | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | | | +0.8 | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | | | -1.2 | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | | | -1.1 | | | | RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | | | | | -1.1 | | | | SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | BrowneL 6 SkardonS 3 | | | | | +0.7 | | | | SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | HeffnerE vs HommeyerM | +6.1+5.0-2.1-6.1-5.4 | | | | -3.9-3.9-1.9+10.5+3.5 | | +1.3+1.3+0.0-2.0-1.2 | | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | +5.8+4.7-1.9-6.0-5.2 | | | | -3.8-3.7-1.8+10.4+3.4 | | +1.2+1.0+0.0-1.9-1.1 | | BourkeR vs SharpJ | +1.2+2.2-0.2-1.1-1.2 | | | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -1.3-1.2*+0.1+2.0+1.2 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -1.0-1.0-0.3+2.2+1.0 | | | | -0.5-0.7-0.2+0.5+0.6 | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | -1.0-1.0-0.2+2.1+0.9 | | | | | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | | SharpJ vs HudsonB | -1.1-0.9-0.1+1.9+1.0 | | | | -0.3-0.6*+0.1+0.3+0.3 | | +0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1 | | GrecoG vs EsneaultG | -0.9-0.3-0.2+1.6+0.8 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | -0.7-0.6*+0.0+0.8+0.7 | | | | -0.9-1.3*-0.0+0.6+0.9 | | -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | +0.4+0.8-0.2-0.4-0.4 | | | | +0.9+0.8*+0.1-1.3-0.8 | | -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1 | | CurtinT vs HartleyK | -0.2*-0.1*+0.0+0.3+0.2 | | | | -0.7-1.2*+0.1*+0.0+0.8 | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | SamaK vs FreezeB | | | | | -0.5-1.2*-0.1+0.5+0.6 | | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the HeffnerE finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 77.6 | % | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,448 | | 28 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 37.4 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 173,997 | | 27 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 9.7 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 704,186 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 9.5 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 57,271 | | 26 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0.7 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 463,088 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,358 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0.8 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,410 | | 25 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 938,066 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,070 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,633 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 26 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 490 | | 24 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 409,994 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 238,522 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 12,982 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | | 7,412 | | 23 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1.7 | | 553,705 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.9 | | 104,873 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 36 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1.7 | | 45,270 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.3 | | 15,346 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 18 | 36 | 31 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 0.7 | | 994 | | 22 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 8.9 | | 211,953 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 14.3 | | 121,237 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 8.2 | | 11,388 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 4.7 | | 6,729 | | 21 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 51.4 | | 123,120 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 42.5 | | 46,533 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 43 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 30.2 | | 27,049 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | 30.6 | | 706 | | 20 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 78.8 | | 62,732 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 26 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 68.3 | | 5,849 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 29 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 63.8 | | 1,160 | | 19 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | 94.1 | | 12,034 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | 91.9 | | 273 | | 18 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 0 | | | | | 99.4 | | 1,000 | | 17 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | 21 | 38 | 15 | 6 | | | | | Yes | 34 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 6.2 | % | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 4.3 | % | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |