HommeyerM Playoff Chances LL65 50/50
Lost to AndrewsS 3-8, Beat BreedingT 4-3, Beat BrowneL 6-5, Lost to ColemanK 1-6, Beat ErnstS 7-0, Tied GrecoG 1-1, Beat HartleyK 7-2, Plays at HeffnerE 11:59 PM, Tied BourkeR 3-3, Lost to ConeCW 1-6, Lost to CurtinT 1-4, Lost to EsneaultG 4-8, Beat FreezeB 8-6, Lost to GelfandJ 4-6, Beat HudsonB 2-1, Beat MuttrejaR 2-1, Lost to RizzoA 4-7, Tied SkardonS 0-0, Lost to WatsonKR 2-3, Plays at JeziorskiM 11:59 PM, Lost to LeeD2 4-6, Beat PriceE 3-1, Plays at SamaK 11:59 PM, Beat SharpJ 6-3, Plays at TavelP 11:59 PM, playoff odds down 29 to 6.7%
21 points 9 9-0 3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed |
| ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | -8.4 | *No | +4.7 | -1.1 | ||||
| HommeyerM 4 GelfandJ 6 | -7.8 | -4.2 | +7.5 | -1.5 | ||||
| HommeyerM 2 MuttrejaR 1 | +7.7 | +3.6 | -8.7 | +1.7 | ||||
| HommeyerM 4 RizzoA 7 | -7.7 | -3.7 | +7.5 | -1.5 | ||||
| HommeyerM 1 CurtinT 4 | -7.5 | -2.9 | +8.5 | -1.5 | ||||
| HommeyerM 2 HudsonB 1 | +7.3 | +3.7 | -8.3 | +1.6 | ||||
| HommeyerM 4 EsneaultG 8 | -7.3 | -4.3 | +7.3 | -1.5 | ||||
| PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | +6.8 | +0.1 | -10.3 | +1.4 | ||||
| HommeyerM 1 ConeCW 6 | -6.3 | -1.6 | +9.2 | -1.5 | ||||
| HommeyerM 2 WatsonKR 3 | -6.1 | -1.2 | +9.6 | -1.4 | ||||
| AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | -5.9 | -0.6 | +9.9 | -1.3 | ||||
| LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | -5.6 | -0.2 | +10.3 | -1.3 | ||||
| SharpJ 3 HommeyerM 6 | +5.5 | -11.4 | +1.4 | |||||
| HommeyerM 8 FreezeB 6 | +5.3 | +0.9 | -10.3 | +1.5 | ||||
| HartleyK 2 HommeyerM 7 | +4.8 | +0.5 | -11.0 | +1.4 | ||||
| ErnstS 0 HommeyerM 7 | +4.3 | +0.2 | -12.2 | +1.4 | ||||
| BrowneL 5 HommeyerM 6 | +3.7 | -13.3 | +1.4 | |||||
| BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4 | +3.4 | -7.6 | +1.1 | |||||
| CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +2.2 | +0.5 | ||||||
| GrecoG 1 HommeyerM 1 | -1.6 | -1.6 | +0.0 | |||||
| SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -1.3 | |||||||
| BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -1.2 | -0.7 | ||||||
| RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 | -1.1 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | -1.1 | -0.7 | ||||||
| SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | -1.0 | |||||||
| GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | -1.0 | |||||||
| EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | +0.7 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | -0.7 | -0.9 | ||||||
| SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 | -0.6 | -0.4 | ||||||
| SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +0.6 | |||||||
| GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.6 | -0.5 | ||||||
| MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 | -0.5 | |||||||
| ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +0.5 | +1.4 | ||||||
| BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.4 | -0.7 | ||||||
| RizzoA 1 CurtinT 6 | -0.4 | +0.6 | ||||||
| GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | +0.4 | |||||||
| GrecoG 7 BreedingT 5 | -0.4 | +0.6 | ||||||
| BrowneL 8 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.3 | +0.9 | ||||||
| PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | -0.3 | -0.7 | ||||||
| GelfandJ 8 AndrewsS 6 | -0.3 | +0.6 | ||||||
| SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | -0.2 | -0.7 | ||||||
| EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.6 | |||||||
| GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | -0.4 | |||||||
| ColemanK 9 HeffnerE 1 | -0.7 | |||||||
| HudsonB 2 WatsonKR 5 | -0.4 | |||||||
| GelfandJ 8 RizzoA 0 (ot) | *+0.2 | |||||||
| GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | -0.5 | |||||||
| ErnstS 3 JeziorskiM 4 | -0.4 | |||||||
| HommeyerM 0 SkardonS 0 | *+0.2 | -0.2 | -0.5 | +0.1 | ||||
| RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 | *+0.2 | |||||||
| WatsonKR 7 JeziorskiM 4 | +0.4 | |||||||
| HudsonB 3 LeeD2 1 | +0.7 | |||||||
| HommeyerM 3 BourkeR 3 | *+0.1 | *-0.2 | *-0.5 | *+0.1 | ||||
| HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | -0.9 | |||||||
| SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | *-0.1 | |||||||
| ErnstS 1E-06 TavelP 0 (ot) | +1.0 | |||||||
| HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1 | -0.5 | |||||||
| EsneaultG 6 HartleyK 3 | -0.6 | |||||||
| BrowneL 2 ColemanK 7 | -0.5 | |||||||
| ErnstS 0 SharpJ 6 | *-0.2 | |||||||
| HartleyK 8 JeziorskiM 6 | +0.5 | |||||||
| BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | +0.5 | |||||||
| GrecoD 5 FreezeB 0 | -0.6 | |||||||
| ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | -0.7 | |||||||
| SamaK 1 ColemanK 7 | -0.7 | |||||||
| SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | +0.5 | |||||||
| BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | -1.0 | |||||||
| BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | +1.0 | |||||||
| ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | -1.0 | |||||||
| MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | +0.9 | |||||||
| SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | -0.8 | |||||||
| BreedingT 0 HeffnerE 6 | +0.8 | |||||||
| SamaK 1 RizzoA 3 | -0.8 | |||||||
| RizzoA 3 FreezeB 0 | -0.7 | |||||||
| SamaK 2 BreedingT 1 | +0.7 | |||||||
| BourkeR 3 ErnstS 2 | -0.6 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||||||||
| HeffnerE vs HommeyerM | -5.8-6.5-2.1+5.1+6.5 | +3.5+10.1-1.9-3.8-3.8 | -1.2-2.0+0.0+1.3+1.3 | |||||
| TavelP vs HommeyerM | -5.5-6.4-2.0+4.8+6.2 | +3.4+9.9-1.8-3.6-3.8 | -1.1-1.9+0.0+1.0+1.2 | |||||
| BourkeR vs SharpJ | +1.3+2.2-0.3-1.2-1.3 | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||||||
| GrecoG vs SkardonS | -1.4-1.3*+0.1+2.1+1.3 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | ||||||
| MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | -1.1-1.0-0.2+2.2+1.0 | -0.5-0.6-0.1+0.5+0.5 | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||||
| MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | -1.1-1.1-0.3+2.2+1.0 | -0.0-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||||
| SharpJ vs HudsonB | -1.1-1.0*-0.1+2.0+1.0 | -0.3-0.6*+0.0+0.3+0.3 | +0.1+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| GrecoG vs EsneaultG | -1.0-0.3-0.1+1.7+0.8 | -0.1-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.1 | ||||||
| ConeCW vs HartleyK | -0.7-0.7*+0.1+1.0+0.7 | -0.8-1.3*-0.0+0.5+0.9 | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | |||||
| FreezeB vs WatsonKR | +0.4+0.8-0.2-0.4-0.4 | +0.8+0.8*+0.1-1.2-0.8 | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| CurtinT vs HartleyK | -0.2-0.2*+0.0+0.3+0.2 | -0.6-1.1*+0.1*+0.1+0.8 | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the HommeyerM finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | |||||||
| 29 | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 79.6 | % | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | No | 199,445 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 41.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 173,229 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 11.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 702,552 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 11.3 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 57,253 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 463,559 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 2.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 89,672 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 1.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 8,455 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 936,728 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 101,062 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 59,379 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | Out | No | 1 | 6 | 29 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 0 | No | 458 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 410,384 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 239,258 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 13,062 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 7,398 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 34 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 553,529 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 104,547 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 35 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 44,968 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0.2 | 15,136 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0.8 | 951 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7.8 | 212,297 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 13.6 | 121,907 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 | 11,420 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | 6,706 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 52.4 | 123,170 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 39.9 | 46,562 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 42 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 29.0 | 26,949 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 24 | 43 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 28.2 | 680 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 78.0 | 62,765 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 67.9 | 6,025 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 7 | 31 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 61.5 | 1,121 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 94.3 | 11,915 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 90.9 | 230 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | 1 | 8 | 23 | 41 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 99.3 | 1,111 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | 10 | 28 | 41 | 14 | 7 | Yes | 29 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 6.7 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | % | 4,813,912 | |||||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:09 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
