MuttrejaR Playoff Chances LL65 50/50Beat BourkeR 5-1, Tied BowmanD 4-4, Tied BreedingT 3-3, Lost to ColemanK 6-9, Tied EsneaultG 3-3, Beat GelfandJ 6-1, Lost to GrecoD 4-5, Beat HeffnerE 3-2, Lost to HommeyerM 1-2, Beat HudsonB 7-4, Beat JeziorskiM 7-5, Lost to AndrewsS 2-9, Plays BrowneL 11:59 PM, Lost to ConeCW 1-2, Lost to CurtinT 0-5, Plays ErnstS 11:59 PM, Beat FreezeB 2-1, Beat HartleyK 9-1, Plays LeeD2 11:59 PM, Beat RizzoA 6-1, Plays SharpJ 11:59 PM, Lost to WatsonKR 2-3, Beat SamaK 9-5, Beat SkardonS 4-1, Beat TavelP 6-4, playoff odds up 36.6 to 72.4% 25 points 11 7-0 3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Monday, 6/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Rundle B | 100.0* | Rundle E | 100.0* | Average seed | MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 | +13.0 | | +1.2 | | | | +1.0 | | MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 | +11.7 | | +4.4 | | -0.7 | | +1.1 | | GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 | +10.9 | | +6.0 | | -3.5 | | +1.4 | | BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 | +10.7 | | +5.0 | | -5.2 | | +1.5 | | MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 | -10.3 | | -3.9 | | | | -1.0 | | HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 | +10.2 | | +4.4 | | -7.1 | | +1.6 | | SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 | +9.9 | | +7.0 | | -1.9 | | +1.2 | | MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 | -9.9 | | -2.9 | | | | -0.9 | | SkardonS 1 MuttrejaR 4 | +9.2 | | +3.7 | | -8.4 | | +1.6 | | MuttrejaR 1 ConeCW 2 | -9.0 | | -6.1 | | +0.3 | | -1.0 | | GrecoD 5 MuttrejaR 4 | -8.8 | | -5.2 | | +6.4 | | -1.5 | | JeziorskiM 5 MuttrejaR 7 | +8.7 | | +5.7 | | -7.0 | | +1.6 | | HommeyerM 2 MuttrejaR 1 | -8.5 | | -6.2 | | +5.7 | | -1.5 | | TavelP 4 MuttrejaR 6 | +8.1 | | +4.6 | | -8.0 | | +1.6 | | MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 | +8.0 | | +8.4 | | -0.8 | | +1.1 | | HeffnerE 2 MuttrejaR 3 | +7.4 | | +3.8 | | -8.3 | | +1.6 | | ColemanK 9 MuttrejaR 6 | -7.1 | | -4.3 | | +7.0 | | -1.5 | | MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 | -6.0 | | -8.6 | | | | -0.9 | | CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot) | +3.0 | | | | | | +0.2 | | GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 | -1.8 | | +0.3 | | | | | | SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 | -1.7 | | | | | | | | ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 | +1.7 | | | | | | | | RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 | -1.5 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 | -1.5 | | | | | | | | SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 | -1.5 | | | | | | | | BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 | -1.4 | | | | | | | | HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 | +1.1 | | -0.6 | | | | | | SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 | -1.1 | | | | | | | | GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 | -1.1 | | | | | | | | SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 | +1.0 | | -0.6 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 | +1.0 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 | +1.0 | | -0.7 | | | | | | BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 | -1.0 | | | | | | | | HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | -1.0 | | | | | | | | GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | -0.9 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 | +0.8 | | -0.7 | | | | | | GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 | +0.7 | | -0.4 | | | | | | PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 | -0.6 | | | | | | | | PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 | +0.6 | | | | | | | | LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot) | *-0.5 | | -1.0 | | | | | | EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 | -0.5 | | -0.4 | | | | | | SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 | -0.5 | | -0.6 | | | | | | BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 | | | +0.6 | | | | | | SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot) | *-0.4 | | *-0.3 | | | | | | HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 | +0.4 | | | | | | | | GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 | | | -1.0 | | | | | | PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 | | | +0.7 | | | | | | BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 | +0.3 | | -0.6 | | | | | | SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 | *-0.3 | | | | | | | | CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 | -0.2 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 | *-0.1 | | | | | | | | EsneaultG 3 MuttrejaR 3 | *-0.1 | | -0.7 | | -1.0 | | +0.0 | | RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 | *+0.1 | | | | | | | | BowmanD 4 MuttrejaR 4 | *-0.1 | | -0.6 | | -0.7 | | +0.0 | | SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 | | | -1.5 | | | | | | BreedingT 3 MuttrejaR 3 | | | *-0.3 | | -0.6 | | *+0.1 | | ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 | | | -1.6 | | | | | | ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 | | | -1.3 | | | | | | BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 | | | +0.9 | | | | | | BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.8 | | | | | | PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot) | | | -0.8 | | | | | | LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 | | | -0.7 | | -0.2 | | | | ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 | | | -0.7 | | | | | | ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 | | | +0.5 | | | | | | LeeD2 4 BowmanD 7 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | PriceE 1 ColemanK 3 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | MuttrejaR vs ErnstS | +15.0+13.9+2.6-27.2-13.9 | | +0.2+0.1-0.1No-0.2 | | No*No*No+0.0*-0.0 | | +0.9+0.8+0.1-1.6-0.8 | | MuttrejaR vs LeeD2 | +15.0+13.9+2.7-27.1-13.9 | | +0.2+0.4-0.2No-0.2 | | No*No*No+0.0*-0.0 | | +0.9+0.8+0.1-1.6-0.8 | | GrecoG vs SkardonS | -3.6-3.1*+0.1+5.2+3.3 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1 | | BourkeR vs SharpJ | +2.8+4.5-0.4-2.6-2.9 | | | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | GrecoG vs EsneaultG | -2.8-1.0-0.4+4.6+2.4 | | | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | SharpJ vs HudsonB | -2.5-2.4-0.2+4.3+2.3 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1 | | ConeCW vs HartleyK | -2.0-1.7+0.4+2.2+1.8 | | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1 | | PriceE vs EsneaultG | +1.0+2.1-0.3-1.1-1.1 | | | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | ConeCW vs WatsonKR | -1.4+0.3*+0.0+1.5+1.1 | | | | | | +0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0 | | FreezeB vs WatsonKR | +0.8+1.9-0.4-0.7-0.9 | | | | | | +0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1 | | TavelP vs HommeyerM | +0.9+1.0+0.3-0.7-1.0 | | | | | | +0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | | HeffnerE vs BowmanD | -1.0-0.6+0.3+1.1+0.8 | | +0.1+0.2*+0.0-0.1-0.1 | | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0 | | CurtinT vs HartleyK | -0.7-0.8+0.3+0.8+0.6 | | | | | | -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the MuttrejaR finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Rundle | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Rundle | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | | T | playoffs | B | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | E | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | | 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 3.8 | % | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 31 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,629 | | 32 | | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 45 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 173,759 | | 31 | | 3 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 41 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 704,577 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 100.0 | | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,867 | | 30 | | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 99.5 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 463,343 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 99.9 | | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 35 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,341 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 99.6 | | No | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 40 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,361 | | 29 | | 2 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 94.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 936,637 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 94.5 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 100,578 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 97.1 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 25 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,053 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 95.5 | | No | | | | | | | 2 | 20 | 46 | 27 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 489 | | 28 | | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 69.8 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 410,634 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 80.7 | | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,912 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | 2 | 81.8 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 35 | 40 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,852 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 72.6 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,404 | | 27 | | 1 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 29.8 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 552,993 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 41.3 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,709 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 30.0 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 44,686 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 47.5 | | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,134 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | 3 | 44.6 | | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 34 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 945 | | 26 | | 1 | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 10.3 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 212,290 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 5.2 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 121,248 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 9.5 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,323 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 2 | 1 | 14.1 | | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,776 | | 25 | | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 123,439 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,564 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 1.1 | | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,325 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 0.7 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 687 | | 24 | | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 62,647 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,015 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,160 | | 23 | | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.2 | | 12,217 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 29 | 12 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 252 | | 22 | | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 12 | 30 | 37 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2.2 | | 1,034 | | 21 | | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 16 | 34 | 25 | 9 | | | | | | | | | 34.4 | | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 72.4 | % | 0.2 | % | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0.0 | % | 4,813,912 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs |