How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday, 6/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
MuttrejaR 9 HartleyK 1 +13.0
+1.2
+1.0
MuttrejaR 2 FreezeB 1 +11.7
+4.4
-0.7
+1.1
GelfandJ 1 MuttrejaR 6 +10.9
+6.0
-3.5
+1.4
BourkeR 1 MuttrejaR 5 +10.7
+5.0
-5.2
+1.5
MuttrejaR 2 WatsonKR 3 -10.3
-3.9
-1.0
HudsonB 4 MuttrejaR 7 +10.2
+4.4
-7.1
+1.6
SamaK 5 MuttrejaR 9 +9.9
+7.0
-1.9
+1.2
MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9 -9.9
-2.9
-0.9
SkardonS 1 MuttrejaR 4 +9.2
+3.7
-8.4
+1.6
MuttrejaR 1 ConeCW 2 -9.0
-6.1
+0.3
-1.0
GrecoD 5 MuttrejaR 4 -8.8
-5.2
+6.4
-1.5
JeziorskiM 5 MuttrejaR 7 +8.7
+5.7
-7.0
+1.6
HommeyerM 2 MuttrejaR 1 -8.5
-6.2
+5.7
-1.5
TavelP 4 MuttrejaR 6 +8.1
+4.6
-8.0
+1.6
MuttrejaR 6 RizzoA 1 +8.0
+8.4
-0.8
+1.1
HeffnerE 2 MuttrejaR 3 +7.4
+3.8
-8.3
+1.6
ColemanK 9 MuttrejaR 6 -7.1
-4.3
+7.0
-1.5
MuttrejaR 0 CurtinT 5 -6.0
-8.6
-0.9
CurtinT 0 FreezeB 1E-05 (ot)+3.0
+0.2
GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4 -1.8
+0.3
SharpJ 3 SkardonS 1 -1.7
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7 +1.7
RizzoA 0 WatsonKR 4 -1.5
GrecoG 7 BowmanD 4 -1.5
SamaK 1 ConeCW 4 -1.5
BrowneL 4 EsneaultG 6 -1.4
HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9 +1.1
-0.6
SamaK 0 CurtinT 1 -1.1
GelfandJ 2 WatsonKR 5 -1.1
SharpJ 7 BowmanD 8 +1.0
-0.6
ColemanK 6 HommeyerM 1 +1.0
GrecoG 1 JeziorskiM 5 +1.0
-0.7
BourkeR 1 WatsonKR 3 -1.0
HeffnerE 3 TavelP 0 (ot)-1.0
GrecoG 5 TavelP 0 (ot)-0.9
EsneaultG 2 LeeD2 4 +0.8
-0.7
GrecoG 3 ColemanK 9 +0.7
-0.4
PriceE 1 HommeyerM 3 -0.6
PriceE 5 HeffnerE 1 +0.6
LeeD2 5 TavelP 0 (ot)*-0.5
-1.0
EsneaultG 8 FreezeB 4 -0.5
-0.4
SharpJ 2 BreedingT 0 -0.5
-0.6
BowmanD 2 HartleyK 4 +0.6
SharpJ 3 TavelP 0 (ot)*-0.4
*-0.3
HudsonB 7 ConeCW 5 +0.4
GrecoD 9 HartleyK 2 -0.8
LeeD2 6 HommeyerM 4 -1.0
PriceE 1 JeziorskiM 7 -0.7
SharpJ 6 HeffnerE 7 +0.7
BrowneL 3 JeziorskiM 7 -0.8
EsneaultG 3 AndrewsS 6 -0.5
GrecoD 6 WatsonKR 3 +0.3
-0.6
SharpJ 5 GrecoD 5 *-0.3
CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9 -0.2
EsneaultG 5 ErnstS 5 *-0.1
EsneaultG 3 MuttrejaR 3 *-0.1
-0.7
-1.0
+0.0
RizzoA 1 ConeCW 1 *+0.1
BowmanD 4 MuttrejaR 4 *-0.1
-0.6
-0.7
+0.0
SkardonS 0 AndrewsS 7 -1.5
BreedingT 3 MuttrejaR 3 *-0.3
-0.6
*+0.1
ErnstS 4 GrecoD 7 -1.6
ErnstS 4 BowmanD 5 -1.3
BrowneL 4 BowmanD 2 +0.9
BourkeR 3 AndrewsS 6 -0.8
PriceE 0 BowmanD 3 (ot)-0.8
LeeD2 6 SkardonS 0 -0.7
HudsonB 0 AndrewsS 6 -0.7
BrowneL 1 GrecoD 7 -0.7
AndrewsS 8 HommeyerM 3 -0.7
-0.2
ColemanK 5 JeziorskiM 6 -0.7
BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6 -0.7
ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4 +0.5
LeeD2 4 BowmanD 7 -0.5
PriceE 1 ColemanK 3 -0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
MuttrejaR vs ErnstS+15.0+13.9+2.6-27.2-13.9
+0.2+0.1-0.1No-0.2
No*No*No+0.0*-0.0
+0.9+0.8+0.1-1.6-0.8
MuttrejaR vs LeeD2+15.0+13.9+2.7-27.1-13.9
+0.2+0.4-0.2No-0.2
No*No*No+0.0*-0.0
+0.9+0.8+0.1-1.6-0.8
GrecoG vs SkardonS-3.6-3.1*+0.1+5.2+3.3
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.1
BourkeR vs SharpJ+2.8+4.5-0.4-2.6-2.9
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
GrecoG vs EsneaultG-2.8-1.0-0.4+4.6+2.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.1-0.0
SharpJ vs HudsonB-2.5-2.4-0.2+4.3+2.3
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.1
ConeCW vs HartleyK-2.0-1.7+0.4+2.2+1.8
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
PriceE vs EsneaultG+1.0+2.1-0.3-1.1-1.1
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
ConeCW vs WatsonKR-1.4+0.3*+0.0+1.5+1.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0
FreezeB vs WatsonKR+0.8+1.9-0.4-0.7-0.9
+0.1+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.1
TavelP vs HommeyerM+0.9+1.0+0.3-0.7-1.0
+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
HeffnerE vs BowmanD-1.0-0.6+0.3+1.1+0.8
+0.1+0.2*+0.0-0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0
CurtinT vs HartleyK-0.7-0.8+0.3+0.8+0.6
-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MuttrejaR finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRundleChance will finish regular season at seedRundle
TPWL-OTTplayoffsB12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728ECount
3340-00In3.8%00319413160No198,629
3230-01In0.200424452440No173,759
3131-00100.0%0.000736411510No704,577
20-02100.00.000737411410No56,867
3021-0199.5No01133939800No463,343
30-1099.9No0116443540No89,341
10-0399.6No1144038700No8,361
2922-0094.1No03194527600No936,637
11-0294.5No03204527500No100,578
20-1197.1No0425472030No59,053
00-0495.5No220462740No489
2812-0169.8No0042541246100No410,634
21-1080.7No006344017300No239,912
10-1281.8No0635401630No12,852
01-0372.6No0425432251No7,404
2713-0029.8No0052540246100No552,993
11-1141.3No0093238173000No104,709
02-0230.0No052540236100No44,686
20-2047.5No011235361420No15,134
00-1344.6No11034361631No945
2612-1010.3No0192934206100No212,290
03-015.2No00522342611200No121,248
01-129.5No019293520610No11,323
10-2114.1No0113333415300No6,776
2504-000.3No00418312814410No123,439
02-110.7No0172334249200No46,564
11-201.1No019263421710No27,325
00-220.7No11027332171No687
2403-100.0No015183129143000.0%62,647
01-210.0No0182234241010No6,015
10-300.1No018243223910No1,160
2302-20OutNo004143032173000.212,217
00-31OutNo004163729122No252
2201-30OutNo312303716202.21,034
2100-40OutNo16163425934.432
Total:72.4%0.2%0001411182217127421000000.0%4,813,912
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs