SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Let it go

Carolina Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Panthers vs Cowboys+7.5-1.8-9.9
+2.5-0.8-3.2
-1.5*-0.2+2.0
+0.9-0.2-1.2
Eagles vs Falcons+0.7*-0.4-0.9
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.3*-0.2-0.4
+0.1*-0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.3*-0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.2-0.2
Lions vs NY Jets-0.3*+0.1+0.3
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.2*+0.1+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Falcons vs Panthers-9.2+1.6+12.1
-2.7*+0.0+3.5
+1.3-0.4-1.7
-1.0+0.2+1.4
Saints vs Browns-1.0*+0.4+1.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.7*+0.3+0.9
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.3*+0.4+0.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
49ers vs Lions-0.1*+0.1+0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks-0.0*+0.1+0.1
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Panthers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
15.5-16InYes100No438*
1515-1-0In99.8%1000No937*
14.514-1-1InYes100No179
1414-2-0In99.199100No6,945
13-1-2In95.2955No21
13.513-2-1In98.39820No1,327*
1313-3-0In94.294501No33,773
12-2-2In98.4982No127
12.512-3-1In89.690901No6,333*
1212-4-0In75.776201030No112,019
11-3-2In75.4752112No597
11.511-4-1In61.361294060No19,389
10-3-3In48.0484444No25
1111-5-0100.0%37.8383711113100No272,327
10-4-299.940.340371011110No1,504*
10.510-5-199.918.8193720319300No42,289
9-4-3In29.63030141233No71
1010-6-098.16.462326924102000No505,329
9-5-298.16.772524924920No3,015*
9.59-6-192.70.919241523206100No71,773
8-5-396.01.62102319212022No124
99-7-068.90.102121813231993000No728,958
8-6-269.50.10212181324199200No4,530*
8.58-7-137.6No041531526231030000No92,934
7-6-341.9No161631626161141No179
88-8-014.6No0191413222317820000No821,217
7-7-213.7No1814142323178200No5,314*
7.57-8-13.7No03002820282311300No92,808
6-7-33.1No3372323251142No196*
77-9-01.3No010002716242516710No726,516
6-8-21.0No101616262616610No4,565*
6.56-9-10.2No00031125312171No71,556
5-8-30.7No121334301551No143*
66-10-00.1No000131124312260.3%506,452
5-9-20.1No000131123332270.33,002*
5.55-10-10.0No0002102940192.142,636
4-9-3OutNo3123034223.977
55-11-00.0No000417413812.0271,273
4-10-2OutNo0416414012.61,457
4.54-11-1OutNo006326232.719,014
3-10-3OutNo3237451.631
44-12-0OutNo002227653.2111,400
3-11-2OutNo2207856.2550
3.53-12-1OutNo1118976.46,269*
33-13-0OutNo069487.033,234
2-12-2OutNo189286.7120
2.52-13-1OutNo29894.61,401*
22-14-0OutNo019998.17,051
1-13-2OutNo10095.723
0-1.5OutNo10099.61,528*
Total:37.5%6.3%66666666666666663.1%4,632,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Panthers vs Cowboys-1.9+0.3+2.4
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.0-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.0*-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Falcons vs Panthers+2.0-0.4-2.7
Saints vs Browns+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks+0.1*-0.1-0.1
49ers vs Lions+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1-0.0-0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.0-0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-09900
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-0981100
13.513-2-195320
1313-3-08785001
12-2-29172
12.512-3-177139001
1212-4-05322191100300
11-3-2542121012
11.511-4-13229272400600
10-3-3321636844
1111-5-01226279110101211000
10-4-21327289101110110
10.510-5-12172017182301633000
9-4-330131711311573
1010-6-00661717981169912000
9-5-206619168811598120
9.59-6-101099151329151636100
8-5-3210101317251615622
99-7-000221010821111121410510000
8-6-20022101172111113151051000
8.58-7-100451103214111918103100
7-6-31679311610211485
88-8-00011701042611151614116310000
7-7-2011710426111517141163100
7.57-8-100300000251321231893100
6-7-3371218242110311
77-9-00010000012591417171510621000
6-8-210025914191715115210
6.56-9-100000139182423146200
5-8-311392021281251
66-10-000000251017212115720
5-9-2000251115212115720
5.55-10-1000139202924112
4-9-3512222323104
55-11-0000012819302812
4-10-213718312813
4.54-11-1015204133
3-10-310102952
44-12-00002103553
3-11-2193456
3.53-12-1022176
33-13-0011287
2-12-221287
2.52-13-10595
22-14-00298
1.51-14-10100
11-15-0199
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)