New York Jets Playoff Chances 2018
Lost to Buffalo 10-41, playoff odds down 1.8 to 0.3%
3-7-0 .300
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 | -1.7 | -1.2 | ||
| Green Bay 31 Miami 12 | +0.3 | +0.0 | ||
| Tennessee 34 New England 10 | +0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 | -0.1 | |||
| Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 | -0.1 | |||
| Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||
| Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers vs Denver | +0.1*-0.2-0.1 | |||
| Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Washington vs Houston | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |||
| Indianapolis vs Tennessee | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Baltimore vs Cincinnati | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 9 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 53.1 | % | 0 | 9 | 25 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 7,650 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 12.2 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 49 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 3.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 79,528 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 454 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 335,820 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 31 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 1,456 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 35 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 735,316 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 13 | 39 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 2,224 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 44 | 27 | 1 | 863,608 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 37 | 54 | 3 | 1,755 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 73 | 9 | 515,338 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 79 | 18 | 530 | ||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 68 | 32 | 119,447 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 21 | 26 | 3 | 2,663,184 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 | +2.5 | |
| Tennessee 34 New England 10 | +0.1 | |
| Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 | -0.1 | |
| Philadelphia 20 Dallas 27 | +0.1 | |
| Green Bay 31 Miami 12 | +0.1 | |
| Tampa Bay 3 Washington 16 | -0.0 | |
| Chicago 34 Detroit 22 | -0.0 | |
| Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 | -0.0 | |
| LA Rams 36 Seattle 31 | -0.0 | |
| Kansas City 26 Arizona 14 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| San Francisco vs NY Giants | +0.0-0.2-0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Washington vs Houston | +0.1+0.2-0.0 | |
| LA Chargers vs Denver | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| New Orleans vs Philadelphia | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Arizona vs Oakland | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| NY Giants vs Tampa Bay | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Detroit vs Carolina | +0.1*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Tennessee | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | |
| Seattle vs Green Bay | +0.0*+0.3-0.0 | |
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Cincinnati | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 9 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 24 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 50 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 39 | 22 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 30 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 49 | 29 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 2 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
