Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
8/12PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Corinthians47114-0-52395.3%+3.9100.0%+0.095400000000000000001.1+0.040.0%1.714VitoriaSport Club Corinthians Paulista
GremioLBotafogo 0-13912-5-3163.7-3.595.1-2.046122831100000000000002.5-0.180.02.594Atletico-PRGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
SantosTFluminense 0-03610-4-690.7-0.378.8-1.1122371995321100000000003.7-0.020.0+0.03.559at CoritibaSantos Futebol Clube
PalmeirasTVasco da Gama 1-13310-7-380.1-0.053.7-1.30820251610753211100000005.0-0.090.1+0.04.523ChapecoenseSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-PRWBahia 4-1298-7-520.0+0.014.0+8.00149121211109765432211008.2+1.551.9-2.510.476at GremioClube Atletico Paranaense
Sport RecifeTPonte Preta 0-0298-7-540.0-0.013.7-0.80149121211109865432211008.2-0.331.9+0.68.476at CruzeiroSport Club do Recife
FlamengoLAtletico-MG 0-2297-5-860.0-0.013.3-6.30148111211109865433211008.3-1.042.0+1.25.476Atletico-GOClube de Regatas do Flamengo
BotafogoWGremio 1-0287-6-720.0+0.09.6+6.2003691010109876544321009.1+1.853.3-4.69.464at Ponte PretaBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
CruzeiroLSao Paulo 2-3277-7-640.0-0.05.7-3.60024689999887654321010.1-1.275.9+3.37.452Sport RecifeCruzeiro Esporte Clube
FluminenseTSantos 0-0276-5-920.0-0.05.5+0.20014689999887654321010.2-0.166.0+1.06.452Atletico-MGFluminense Football Club
Atletico-MGWFlamengo 2-0267-8-5-20.03.5+2.40012467889998876432011.1+1.699.5-8.711.440at FluminenseClube Atletico Mineiro
Vasco da GamaTPalmeiras 1-1257-9-4-90.0-0.02.1-0.10002345678899987643112.0-0.3213.8+2.715.428at BahiaClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
CoritibaLAtletico-GO 0-1257-9-4-50.0-0.01.9-1.70001345678899998753112.2-1.4915.4+8.112.428SantosCoritiba Football Club
Ponte PretaTSport Recife 0-0246-8-6-40.0-0.01.1-0.000012345667899109975113.1-0.3721.7+3.814.417BotafogoAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Chapecoense2216-9-4-90.00.8+0.20001123455678910101097213.8-0.1028.1+2.617.407at PalmeirasAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
BahiaLAtletico-PR 1-4236-9-5-30.0-0.00.6-0.500001233456789101111107214.0-1.2729.2+11.716.405Vasco da GamaEsporte Clube Bahia
Sao PauloWCruzeiro 3-2226-10-4-30.00.3+0.2000011223456791011131310414.9+1.2939.5-17.118.393at AvaiSao Paulo Futebol Clube
AvaiWVitoria 1-0215-9-6-140.00.1+0.100000111223457911141716716.0+1.0553.7-15.313.381Sao PauloAvai Futebol Clube
VitoriaLAvai 0-1195-11-4-100.0-0.00.0-0.000000000111234681218271617.4-1.1473.0+16.019.357at CorinthiansEsporte Clube Vitoria
Atletico-GOWCoritiba 1-0154-13-3-170.00.0000000000000011248186519.3+0.3295.0-3.020.310at FlamengoAtletico Clube Goianiense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/12
Botafogo 1 Gremio 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+2.6
Gremio-2.8
-2.0
-0.2
Botafogo+2.6
-4.1
+1.2
Sao Paulo+0.5
Avai+0.5
Vitoria+0.6
Santos 0 Fluminense 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-0.3
-2.6
-0.1
Palmeiras+0.7
Sport Recife+0.5
Flamengo+0.6
Cruzeiro+0.4
Fluminense-0.5
-0.1
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 1 Palmeiras 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos+0.6
Palmeiras-3.5
-0.2
Atletico-PR+0.3
Sport Recife+0.7
Flamengo+0.8
Cruzeiro+0.5
Fluminense+0.3
Vasco da Gama-0.4
+0.4
-0.2
Coritiba+0.2
Atletico-MG 2 Flamengo 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos+1.0
Palmeiras+1.6
Sport Recife+0.6
Flamengo-6.1
+0.6
-0.8
Cruzeiro+0.4
Atletico-MG+1.0
-7.2
+1.1
Ponte Preta+0.6
Chapecoense+0.7
Bahia+0.6
Sao Paulo+1.0
Avai+0.9
Vitoria+1.0
Sport Recife 0 Ponte Preta 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos+0.5
Palmeiras+0.8
Sport Recife-2.5
+0.1
-0.3
Flamengo+0.4
Ponte Preta-0.2
+0.7
-0.2
Sao Paulo-0.2
Vitoria*-0.1
Atletico-PR 4 Bahia 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.5
Atletico-PR+2.8
-2.3
+0.9
Chapecoense-0.3
BahiaNo
-0.6
+5.2
-0.8
Sao Paulo-0.4
Avai-0.4
Vitoria-0.5
Sao Paulo 3 Cruzeiro 2
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos+0.6
Palmeiras+0.9
Sport Recife+0.4
Flamengo+0.5
Botafogo+0.6
Cruzeiro-3.6
+1.9
-0.9
Atletico-MG+1.1
Vasco da Gama+0.7
Coritiba+0.5
Ponte Preta+1.0
Chapecoense+1.3
Bahia+1.0
Sao Paulo-11.9
+0.9
Avai+1.2
Vitoria+1.5
Atletico-GO 1 Coritiba 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba-1.8
+4.2
-1.0
Atletico-GO-1.9
+0.2
Vitoria 0 Avai 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Avai-11.2
+0.7
VitoriaNo
+10.4
-0.7
Corinthians vs VitoriaIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians96.593.992.1
NoNo0.0
Gremio2.84.86.2
Bahia28.829.430.9
13.914.014.1
Sao Paulo39.039.641.2
14.914.915.0
Avai53.253.955.4
16.016.016.1
VitoriaNoNo0.0
76.571.758.8
17.617.316.4
Gremio vs Atletico-PRHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians94.196.296.8
Gremio5.12.92.1
97.494.391.7
No0.00.0
2.42.62.8
Atletico-PR10.113.121.7
2.61.80.7
8.88.37.1
Coritiba vs SantosHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.30.51.1
71.076.185.2
4.13.83.3
Palmeiras54.854.252.6
Coritiba3.71.61.0
8.515.719.6
11.012.412.9
Palmeiras vs ChapecoenseHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos77.779.580.1
3.73.63.6
Palmeiras0.20.10.1
62.149.143.3
4.55.25.6
Atletico-PR12.914.715.4
Sport Recife12.614.415.1
Flamengo12.214.014.6
Chapecoense0.0No0.0
0.40.71.8
33.728.718.1
14.413.912.6
Avai52.9*53.655.1
15.916.016.1
Cruzeiro vs Sport RecifeHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife8.911.819.8
3.12.00.8
9.18.57.3
Cruzeiro9.14.63.1
2.96.48.6
9.110.411.1
Fluminense vs Atletico-MGHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense8.44.33.0
3.06.49.1
9.110.411.1
Atletico-MG1.92.85.8
13.210.04.9
12.011.39.9
Ponte Preta vs BotafogoHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo5.97.913.9
5.33.51.4
10.09.38.1
Ponte Preta0.0No0.0
2.00.80.5
13.623.128.1
12.013.414.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-GOHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras52.754.455.0
5.05.04.9
Flamengo17.310.27.9
1.02.53.8
7.68.89.3
Atletico-GO96.795.490.9
19.419.318.9
Bahia vs Vasco da GamaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da GamaNo0.00.0
1.11.63.5
19.614.77.6
12.912.210.9
Bahia1.10.40.3
19.531.337.5
12.914.214.8
Avai vs Sao PauloHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao PauloNoNo0.0
0.10.20.6
49.541.527.7
15.715.113.9
Avai0.0NoNo
0.30.10.0
41.656.764.2
15.116.216.7
Week of 8/23
Chapecoense vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians92.494.196.7
0.0NoNo
Gremio6.04.62.7
Chapecoense0.0NoNo
1.90.80.5
16.927.031.9
12.413.714.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you edsferr for adding this league.