OWVAA Sector 1 Playoffs Playoff Chances 2019

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs										Bye			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

No Potential		4	-	1	.800	14	In		+37.7	Yes		+91.5	100																1.0	+2.99	6	.869	No Potential
Astral		4	-	1	.800	12	In		+74.2	Yes		+96.2		100															2.0	+3.35	1	.828	Astral

Golden Boys		4	-	1	.800	11	In		+0.5	No		-93.9			53	47													3.5	-2.09	5	.816	The Golden Boys
Frantic LavaCats		4	-	1	.800	11	In		+2.3	No		-87.6			47	53													3.5	-1.60	4	.795	Frantic LavaCats

Ascendancy		4	-	1	.800	10	Out		-57.8	No		-1.2					100												5.0	-0.26	2	.781	Ascendancy
Nano Me! Academy		4	-	1	.800	8	Out		-11.4	No		-2.6						100											6.0	+0.21	3	.730	Nano Me! Academy
Team Rage		3	-	2	.600	4	Out		-45.2	No		-2.4							100										7.0	-2.27	8	.619	Team Rage
Cosmic		3	-	2	.600	4	Out		-0.2	No										100									8.0	-0.16	13	.619	Cosmic
RGT		2	-	3	.400	-4	Out			No											100								9.0	+3.04	10	.381	RGT
Lijiang Legion		2	-	3	.400	-5	Out			No												100							10.0	+2.99	11	.358	Lijiang Legion
Alexyoshis		2	-	3	.400	-6	Out		-0.0	No													100						11.0	-1.33	7	.324	The Alexyoshis
One Last Ride		1	-	4	.200	-7	Out			No														100					12.0	-1.65	9	.288	One Last Ride
ExPandable Bamb		1	-	4	.200	-9	Out			No															100				13.0	+1.89	12	.253	ExPandable Bamboozler
Storm eSports		1	-	4	.200	-12	Out			No																50	50		14.5	-2.58	16	.172	Storm eSports
Chivalrous		1	-	4	.200	-12	Out			No																50	50		14.5	-2.34	14	.172	Chivalrous
Safe Haven		0	-	5	.000	-19	Out			No																		100	16.0	-0.19	15	.050	Safe Haven

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 7/28
Astral 4 Ascendancy 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Astral	+23.4		+12.6		+1.5
Golden Boys	-1.1		+4.1
Frantic LavaCats			+3.4
Ascendancy	-24.2		-24.7		-1.3
Cosmic			+4.4

Cosmic 0 No Potential 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential	+21.4		+4.8		+1.9
Golden Boys			+10.6		+0.2
Frantic LavaCats			+9.1		+0.2
Ascendancy			+8.6
Nano Me! Academy			+3.5
Cosmic	-22.8		-39.3		-1.5

Nano Me! Academy 4 Lijiang Legion 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Astral	-1.1
Frantic LavaCats	-1.1
Ascendancy	-1.1
Nano Me! Academy	+7.3		+3.0		+0.6
Lijiang Legion	-1.4		No		-0.7
ExPandable Bamb			*No

Team Rage 4 Storm eSports 0
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential	-2.6
Astral	-1.2
Team Rage	+5.9		+0.6		+0.6
Storm eSports	Out				-0.6

Alexyoshis 0 One Last Ride 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Alexyoshis	-4.6				-1.8
One Last Ride	+0.1				+1.9

ExPandable Bamb 0 Frantic LavaCats 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Astral	-0.9
Golden Boys	-0.6		-1.3
Frantic LavaCats	+4.6		+4.4		+0.3
Ascendancy	-0.6		-1.1
Nano Me! Academy	-1.2
Cosmic			-1.3
ExPandable Bamb	Out		*No		-0.3

Golden Boys 4 RGT 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Astral	-0.8
Golden Boys	+3.3		+4.1		+0.2
Frantic LavaCats	-0.4		-1.1
Ascendancy	-0.4		-1.0
Nano Me! Academy	-0.7
Cosmic			-1.2
RGT	Out				-0.2

Chivalrous 0 Team Rage 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Team Rage	+1.3				+0.7
Chivalrous	Out				-0.6

Storm eSports 4 Safe Haven 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Storm eSports					+1.4
Safe Haven	Out				-1.3

Week of 8/10
Ascendancy 3 Nano Me! Academy 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Astral	+1.3		+2.8
Golden Boys			+4.4
Frantic LavaCats			+6.4
Ascendancy	+35.9		+5.3		+2.1
Nano Me! Academy	-38.3		-22.9		-1.9

Cosmic 0 Team Rage 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential	+2.9
Astral	+2.0
Nano Me! Academy	+2.5
Team Rage	+17.1		+1.5		+1.5
Cosmic	-27.7		No		-1.5

Frantic LavaCats 3 Astral 2
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential	+1.4		-3.7
Astral	-24.3		-20.2		-1.2
Golden Boys			+3.2
Frantic LavaCats	+12.0		+21.7		+0.9
Ascendancy	+8.4
Nano Me! Academy	-1.3

No Potential 4 One Last Ride 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential	+14.9		+3.2		+0.9
Astral	-2.8
Ascendancy	-1.9
Nano Me! Academy	-3.4
Cosmic	-3.7
One Last Ride	Out				-0.8

Safe Haven 0 Chivalrous 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Chivalrous					+1.1
Safe Haven					-1.1

Week of 8/13
Team Rage 0 No Potential 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential	+37.6		+8.6		+1.1
Astral	+1.9
Frantic LavaCats			-3.4
Team Rage	-39.4		No		-1.2

Astral 4 Golden Boys 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Astral	+35.6		+19.1		+1.8
Golden Boys	-9.1		-19.1		-1.0
Ascendancy	-26.5				-0.3
Nano Me! Academy					-0.7

Nano Me! Academy 3 Frantic LavaCats 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential	-4.7		+18.1
Astral	-5.7				-0.4
Frantic LavaCats	-8.0		-37.7		-0.9
Ascendancy	-12.3		+3.0		-0.2
Nano Me! Academy	+35.5		+9.1		+1.9
Team Rage	-4.3		+5.1		-0.3
Cosmic	Out
Alexyoshis	Out

Ascendancy 4 Alexyoshis 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential			-0.2
Frantic LavaCats	-0.1
Ascendancy	+15.3		+0.3		+0.6
Nano Me! Academy	-13.4				-0.2
Alexyoshis					-0.4

RGT 4 Storm eSports 0
7:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
RGT					+1.7
Storm eSports	-10.7		No		-2.1

ExPandable Bamb 0 Golden Boys 4
7:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
No Potential			-1.4
Golden Boys	+1.2		+2.6
Ascendancy	-0.7
Team Rage			-0.5

Lijiang Legion 1 Alexyoshis 3
9:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Lijiang Legion	Out				-0.9
Alexyoshis					+0.9

One Last Ride 0 Lijiang Legion 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Lijiang Legion					+1.9
Alexyoshis					+0.4
One Last Ride					-2.4

Storm eSports 0 ExPandable Bamb 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
ExPandable Bamb					+0.8
Storm eSports					-1.6

Chivalrous 0 RGT 4
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Bye	100.0*	Average seed
RGT					+1.3
Chivalrous					-1.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Alexyoshi for adding this league.