Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
FC Dallas5215-7-88In58.4%+4.9672391001.5+0.04No3FC Dallas
Toronto FC47113-8-812100.0%11.6-3.36622920001.5+0.02No4Toronto FC
NYCFC4512-9-9-1100.0-0.00.7+0.11331401330002.6+0.05No6New York City FC
Red Bulls4512-9-912100.0+0.00.8-1.01736281450002.5-0.09No7New York Red Bulls
Galaxy4811-15-417100.0+0.18.5-2.3112347163002.8-0.06No2Los Angeles Galaxy
Rapids47212-11-55100.0+0.019.5+1.6224721720002.2+0.05No1Colorado Rapids
Union4111-8-11297.10.0+0.02816382493004.1+0.01No11Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake4412-8-10095.3+0.20.5+0.1151643201141004.3+0.05No5Real Salt Lake
Impact3819-11-9-382.1-0.1No-0.0126213319125105.2+0.010.0%15Montreal Impact
Timbers4111-8-11078.0+0.90.0+0.0014143227155105.5+0.05No12Portland Timbers
Sporting KC4011-7-12065.7-3.0No-0.0021224282012306.0-0.170.08Sporting Kansas City
Revolution369-9-12-1245.8+0.0No001515252717826.70.717New England Revolution
Sounders35210-5-13-335.3+1.00.00015121828211147.0+0.030.3-0.014Seattle Sounders
DC United3417-13-9-132.3+0.0No000392022231857.22.6+0.019DC United
Orlando3417-13-9-531.9+0.0No000491821251847.22.2-0.013Orlando City SC
Earthquakes3427-13-8-319.8+0.5No002611193021107.7+0.011.1+0.09San Jose Earthquakes
Crew2926-11-11-68.0-0.0No00026101830348.725.4+0.018Columbus Crew
Whitecaps349-7-14-95.0+0.1No014102241218.62.210Vancouver Whitecaps
Fire2726-9-13-92.7-0.0No001251125569.344.9-0.020Chicago Fire
Dynamo2926-11-11-41.1+0.0No0013922659.520.7-0.016Houston Dynamo

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/18
Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 2
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+1.5
+0.0
Toronto FC+0.6
Red Bulls+0.1
Galaxy+0.1
-2.9
-0.1
Rapids+0.7
+0.1
Real Salt Lake+0.2
Timbers+0.9
+0.0
Sporting KC-3.0
No
-0.2
Sounders+1.0
+0.0
Earthquakes+0.5
+0.0
Whitecaps+0.2
Toronto FC 3 Red Bulls 3
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+3.2
Toronto FC-3.8
+0.0
NYCFC+0.1
+0.1
Red Bulls-1.1
-0.1
Galaxy+0.7
Rapids+0.8
Union+0.0
Real Salt Lake+0.1
DC United vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Revolution43.650.144.7
6.76.66.7
DC United53.027.615.2
0.32.45.1
6.57.47.9
Orlando15.027.152.5
4.42.00.2
7.97.46.4
Earthquakes vs Sporting KCHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC45.864.486.5
6.66.15.3
Sounders37.138.031.4
7.06.97.0
Earthquakes36.215.76.5
0.10.92.1
7.07.98.3
Dynamo vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers64.476.093.1
NoNo0.0
6.15.74.9
Sporting KC69.166.661.6
5.95.96.1
Sounders39.535.930.5
6.96.97.0
Crew29.324.622.1
Fire50.744.139.8
Dynamo2.60.40.1
8.622.831.2
9.19.69.7
Red Bulls vs ImpactHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red BullsIn100.0100.0
2.00.20.0
2.02.63.0
Impact72.479.793.7
0.00.0No
5.75.44.5
Revolution49.146.442.0
6.66.66.8
Orlando34.232.829.0
7.17.27.3
Whitecaps vs RapidsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas64.461.150.4
1.31.41.6
Rapids9.815.532.2
2.52.31.8
Whitecaps10.62.91.1
0.11.94.4
8.18.89.0
Real Salt Lake vs FC DallasHomeDrawAway
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas43.953.776.5
1.71.51.2
Toronto FC15.513.46.4
Galaxy10.99.85.1
2.82.72.8
Rapids26.121.111.6
2.22.22.3
Union0.0NoNo
Real Salt Lake99.495.491.1
1.40.0No
3.74.44.8
Timbers76.8*78.079.2
0.0NoNo
5.75.55.4
Sounders34.1*35.236.5
0.0NoNo
7.07.06.9
Toronto FC vs UnionHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas52.261.362.5
Toronto FC21.77.54.7
1.21.51.8
Union94.197.599.9
NoNo0.0
4.64.23.5
NYCFC vs FireHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFCIn100.0100.0
1.80.10.0
2.12.73.0
Crew21.124.130.7
8.68.68.8
Fire0.61.45.8
57.949.128.8
9.59.48.9
Dynamo15.819.226.8
Week of 9/25
Revolution vs Sporting KCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact77.983.485.4
5.35.25.1
Timbers81.578.973.7
5.45.55.7
Sporting KC50.562.882.9
6.56.15.3
Revolution66.640.129.3
0.00.51.5
6.06.87.2
Sounders40.136.429.6
6.86.97.1
DC United25.833.837.7
7.47.27.1
Orlando26.233.236.7
7.47.27.1
Earthquakes23.620.315.5
7.67.77.8
Impact vs EarthquakesHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact93.779.672.4
No0.00.0
4.55.45.7
Timbers80.279.075.0
5.55.55.6
Sporting KC69.066.661.6
5.96.06.1
Revolution42.046.449.1
6.86.66.6
Sounders37.636.132.3
6.96.97.1
Orlando29.032.834.2
7.37.27.1
Earthquakes10.416.431.7
2.10.90.1
8.27.87.1
Crew vs RevolutionHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact84.283.878.7
5.15.15.3
Revolution27.141.168.0
1.70.20.0
7.36.85.9
DC United36.134.926.6
3.22.52.1
7.27.27.3
Orlando34.934.327.1
2.92.01.6
7.27.17.3
Crew16.75.11.6
12.828.135.9
8.18.99.1
Fire3.23.02.1
49.944.140.6
9.39.29.2
Dynamo24.719.817.4
Sounders vs FireHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers72.479.582.4
5.75.55.4
Sporting KC59.567.570.4
6.15.95.9
Sounders52.930.121.5
0.0NoNo
0.00.10.7
6.37.17.5
Crew21.224.130.6
8.68.68.8
Fire0.71.45.8
57.949.328.7
9.59.48.9
Dynamo15.819.226.7
9.59.59.4
DC United vs CrewHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Revolution40.348.749.1
6.86.66.6
DC United50.927.717.2
0.11.85.7
6.57.47.9
Crew1.95.116.4
36.528.112.2
9.28.98.1
Fire2.03.03.3
41.044.349.3
9.29.29.3
Dynamo17.819.924.2
Galaxy vs SoundersHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas54.760.360.8
1.61.41.4
GalaxyIn100.099.9
16.25.43.2
2.42.93.1
UnionNo*0.00.0
Timbers82.479.572.4
No*0.00.0
5.55.55.6
Sporting KC70.567.459.5
5.95.96.1
Sounders21.530.252.9
NoNo0.0
0.60.20.0
7.57.16.3
Toronto FC vs DC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas52.261.262.5
Toronto FC21.67.64.7
1.21.51.7
Impact84.583.478.7
5.15.25.3
Revolution51.047.539.3
6.56.66.8
DC United19.127.149.4
5.02.40.3
7.87.46.6
Orlando35.033.028.0
7.17.27.3
Toronto FC vs OrlandoHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas52.261.262.5
Toronto FC21.77.54.7
1.21.51.7
Impact84.683.478.6
5.15.25.3
Revolution50.547.439.9
6.56.66.8
DC United35.333.428.6
7.17.27.4
Orlando19.027.048.7
4.42.00.2
7.77.46.5
Rapids vs TimbersHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas50.461.164.4
1.61.41.3
Rapids32.215.59.8
1.82.32.6
Timbers64.775.793.0
NoNo0.0
6.15.74.9
Sporting KC69.466.561.3
5.85.96.1
Sounders39.735.830.4
6.96.97.1
Earthquakes vs Real Salt LakeHomeDrawAway
10:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake90.396.299.5
0.00.11.3
4.84.43.7
Sporting KC62.566.568.2
Earthquakes32.216.210.1
0.10.92.2
7.17.98.2
Crew vs FireHomeDrawAway
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew15.25.33.0
8.8*25.342.1
8.18.89.2
Fire0.61.45.9
64.147.523.8
9.79.48.8
Red Bulls vs UnionHomeDrawAway
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls2.00.20.0
2.02.63.1
Union94.197.599.9
NoNo0.0
4.74.23.4
Dynamo vs NYCFCHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC100.0100.0In
0.00.11.8
3.02.72.1
Crew29.324.622.1
Fire50.644.239.8
Dynamo2.50.50.2
8.722.731.2
9.19.69.7
FC Dallas vs GalaxyHomeDrawAway
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas79.255.440.0
1.21.41.8
Toronto FC6.914.414.1
Galaxy100.0100.0In
0.85.118.7
3.22.92.3
Rapids12.222.224.7
2.22.22.3
UnionNo0.0*0.0
TimbersNo0.0*0.0
SoundersNo0.0*0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you bgix for adding this league.