Points
Chance Will Be Promoted

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seed
5/5PGW-OTL-OTDGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
CANWRUS 6-1134-00-0115NoYes1001.0+0.951.829CAN
FINWUSA 3-2124-01-006NoYes1002.0+0.782.769FIN
SWEWDEN 5-2113-11-0010NoYes+24.51003.0+2.744.709SWE
RUSLCAN 1-693-02-005NoYes+1.61004.0-0.513.589RUS
CZEWSVK 3-2 (ot)92-11-103NoYes+24.11005.0+1.816.589CZE
NORWKOR 11-193-02-0014NoYes+42.41006.0+3.287.589NOR
USALFIN 2-382-01-111No50.0%-30.61007.0-1.739.529USA
DENLSWE 2-582-12-000No50.0-29.31008.0-2.638.529DEN
SVKLCZE 2-3 (ot)71-11-11-4No50.0-15.31009.0-0.255.469SVK
SUIWBLR 3-072-02-100No50.0+35.310010.0+3.2110.469SUI
FRAWKAZ 6-371-22-00-1No50.0+29.410011.0+2.3612.469FRA
KORLNOR 1-1161-01-03-7No50.0-12.210012.0-3.1211.409KOR
BLRLSUI 0-362-03-00-3NoNo-44.410013.0-3.6413.409BLR
GERWLAT 2-161-12-10-8NoNo-0.610014.0+1.5115.409GER
SLOWAUT 2-162-03-00-6NoNo-4.710015.0-0.4914.409SLO
KAZLFRA 3-641-03-10-8NoNo-19.710016.0-2.4117.289KAZ
LATLGER 1-230-13-10-6NoNo-0.510017.0-1.3416.229LAT
AUTLSLO 1-210-04-10-11NoNo10018.0-0.5218.109AUT

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday, 5/3
SVK 0 CAN 5
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
CAN+26.8
+3.3
SVK-16.1
-2.3
SUI-2.0
-0.2
BLR 5 SLO 2
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
BLR+25.0
+2.8
SLO-22.3
-2.6
DEN 3 NOR 0
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
NOR-21.7
-2.6
DEN+22.6
+2.7
CZE 5 FRA 1
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
CZE+20.2
+2.3
FRA-18.9
-2.3
USA 0 KOR 0
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
USA-5.2
-0.7
KOR-6.9
-0.7
SWE 3 SUI 2 (so)
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SWE+5.8
+1.0
SUI-7.9
-0.9
RUS 1 FIN 3
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
FIN+4.5
+1.4
RUS-4.5
-1.4
GER 2 KAZ 1 (so)
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
CZE*+0.2
GER-1.5
+0.2
KAZ-2.5
-0.4
LAT 2 AUT 1 (ot)
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
LAT+0.4
AUT-3.4
-0.7
Thursday, 5/4
NOR 12 GER 4
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
NOR+24.6
+2.8
GER-21.0
-2.6
USA 3 SUI 1
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
NOR+0.6
USA+22.3
+2.7
SUI-20.5
-2.4
BLR-1.9
-0.2
SLO+0.6
RUS 7 BLR 0
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
RUS+19.4
+2.6
BLR-16.1
-2.4
SWE 5 SLO 0
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SWE+16.6
+2.1
BLR-1.3
-0.2
SLO-16.5
-2.0
FIN 0 CAN 2
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
CANYes
+2.4
FIN-0.1
-0.9
USA-3.0
-0.2
DEN-2.3
-0.3
BLR-2.6
-0.4
KAZ 3 AUT 2
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SLO-2.5
-0.2
KAZ+8.7
+1.8
AUTNo
-1.5
FRA 3 LAT 2 (so)
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
NOR-0.6
FRA+8.7
+0.8
SLO-0.7
LAT-6.7
-1.0
SVK 0 KOR 0
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
CZE+0.8
NOR-0.3
SVK+3.0
-0.6
KOR-3.6
-0.8
DEN 2 CZE 1 (so)
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
CZE-3.7
-0.7
DEN+4.8
+1.1
Friday, 5/5
BLR 0 SUI 3
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
USA+3.5
+0.3
SUI+35.3
+3.5
FRA-1.6
BLR-31.1
-3.4
GERNo
-0.2
SLO-4.5
-0.5
LATNo
-0.3
FRA 6 KAZ 3
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SUI-0.8
FRA+29.4
+2.6
KOR-2.9
-0.3
BLR-3.0
GERNo
SLO-4.0
KAZNo
-2.2
LATNo
DEN 2 SWE 5
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SWEYes
+2.8
NOR-0.6
USA+2.2
+0.2
DEN-27.5
-2.7
BLR+0.6
FIN 3 USA 2
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
FIN+1.3
RUS+1.6
NOR+7.2
+0.2
USA-24.1
-2.3
DEN+3.3
+0.2
KOR+4.0
BLR+5.0
+0.3
CZE 3 SVK 2 (ot)
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SWE-0.6
CZE+17.5
+1.2
NOR-1.5
USA-1.0
DEN+0.2
SVK-15.3
-0.8
KOR+1.8
BLR-1.3
KOR 1 NOR 11
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
RUS+1.6
NOR+16.0
+2.7
USA-2.9
-0.3
DEN+1.2
KOR-12.8
-2.7
BLR-2.3
SLO 2 AUT 1
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
SUI-0.3
SLO+4.6
+1.4
KAZ-1.5
-0.2
LATNo
AUT-0.5
CAN 6 RUS 1
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
CAN+0.9
RUS-2.2
-1.5
KOR+2.5
GER 2 LAT 1
100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER+1.0
+1.8
LATNo
-1.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Alexandre « Krach » Bourcier for adding this league.