HSC AA 2017 Title Chances 2017Summer

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title											Div 1			Chance will finish season at seed													Div 3
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

HSC	43		13	-	4	-	3	18	Yes		Yes			100											1.0		No			1	.692	HSC
NDMC	36		11	-	3	-	6	14	No		Yes		+71.0		100										2.0	+0.97	No			2	.587	NDMC

CS TroisRivieres	35		11	-	2	-	7	10	No		No		-64.6			100									3.0	-0.57	No			3	.572	CS TroisRivieres
CHOuest DFCB	32		9	-	5	-	6	25	No		No		-6.3				100								4.0	-0.39	No			4	.527	CHOuest DFCB
Kodiak	32		10	-	2	-	8	4	No		No							100							5.0	+0.78	No			6	.527	Kodiak
CRSA MBB	31		9	-	4	-	7	13	No		No								100						6.0	+0.14	No			5	.512	CRSA MBB
Phenix	31		9	-	4	-	7	4	No		No									100					7.0	-0.92	No			7	.512	Phenix
LacBeauport	25		7	-	4	-	9	-3	No		No										100				8.0		No			8	.422	LacBeauport
LevisEst JFD	20		5	-	5	-	10	-6	No		No											100			9.0	+0.23	No		-22.5	10	.347	LevisEst JFD

ChOuest M97	19		5	-	4	-	11	-16	No		No												100		10.0	-0.23	Yes		+22.5	9	.332	ChOuest M97
LevisEst TG	6		1	-	3	-	16	-63	No		No													100	11.0		Yes			11	.137	LevisEst TG

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 8/6
NDMC 2 Phenix 3
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
HSC	+15.6		+2.9				+0.2
NDMC	-20.1		-22.9				-0.6
CS TroisRivieres	+1.7		+8.4
CHOuest DFCB			+1.1
Kodiak	+1.2		+6.4
CRSA MBB	+1.5		+4.2
Phenix					-2.0		+0.4
LacBeauport							-0.2
LevisEst JFD					+1.0
ChOuest M97					+1.0

CRSA MBB 0 HSC 3
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
HSC	+15.8		+11.8				+0.3
NDMC	-12.0		+1.3
CS TroisRivieres	-1.2		-2.8
CHOuest DFCB	No		-0.2
Kodiak	-0.9		-2.1
CRSA MBB	No		-8.0				-0.5

CHOuest DFCB 2 NDMC 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
HSC	+6.8		+0.8
NDMC	-7.2		-1.5
CS TroisRivieres	+0.2		+1.4
CHOuest DFCB	-0.3		-2.6				-0.1
Kodiak	+0.2		+1.1
CRSA MBB	+0.2		+0.8
LacBeauport			*No

ChOuest M97 2 Kodiak 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
HSC	+0.5		+0.6
NDMC			+8.9				+0.2
CS TroisRivieres			+1.9				+0.2
CHOuest DFCB			+1.3				+0.3
Kodiak	No		-13.6				-0.9
CRSA MBB			+1.0				+0.2
Phenix					+0.3
LacBeauport					+0.1
LevisEst JFD					+27.3		-0.3
ChOuest M97					-27.6		+0.3

LevisEst TG 3 CS TroisRivieres 4
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
HSC	-0.4		-0.4
NDMC			-5.1
CS TroisRivieres	+0.4		+7.5				+0.3
CHOuest DFCB			-0.5
Kodiak			-0.8
CRSA MBB			-0.6

LacBeauport 0 LevisEst JFD 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
LacBeauport					No		-0.2
ChOuest M97					+0.1

Week of 8/13
HSC 3 NDMC 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
HSC	Yes		Yes
NDMC	No		-18.4				-0.3
CS TroisRivieres	No		+12.6
CHOuest DFCB			+1.7
CRSA MBB			+2.8

CS TroisRivieres 3 ChOuest M97 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
HSC	-0.9		-1.1
NDMC			-13.9				-0.2
CS TroisRivieres	+1.0		+18.0				+0.4
CHOuest DFCB			-1.3
CRSA MBB			-1.7
LevisEst JFD					-8.4
ChOuest M97					+8.4

Phenix 7 LevisEst TG 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
Phenix							+0.3

LevisEst JFD 2 CRSA MBB 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
NDMC			+2.3
CS TroisRivieres			+1.4
CHOuest DFCB							+0.2
Kodiak							+0.2
CRSA MBB			-3.8				-0.9
Phenix							+0.2
LevisEst JFD					-34.5		+0.3
ChOuest M97					+34.5		-0.3

CHOuest DFCB 2 LacBeauport 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
NDMC			-1.7
CS TroisRivieres			-1.7
CHOuest DFCB			+3.4				+0.6
LacBeauport							-0.3

Phenix 4 Kodiak 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
NDMC			+1.1
CS TroisRivieres			+0.9
CHOuest DFCB							+0.2
Kodiak			No				-0.8
CRSA MBB			+0.2
Phenix					No		+0.6
LacBeauport							-0.2

Week of 8/20
Kodiak 4 CS TroisRivieres 2
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
NDMC			+24.4				+0.2
CS TroisRivieres			-38.2				-0.5
CHOuest DFCB			+13.8				+0.3
Kodiak							+0.8
CRSA MBB							-0.3
Phenix							-0.4

NDMC 1 LevisEst JFD 0
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
NDMC			+25.3				+0.5
CS TroisRivieres			-19.0				-0.3
CHOuest DFCB			No				-0.3
LevisEst JFD					+7.7
ChOuest M97					-7.7

CRSA MBB 6 CHOuest DFCB 1
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
NDMC							+0.3
CS TroisRivieres			+6.3
CHOuest DFCB			No				-0.4
Kodiak							-0.3
CRSA MBB							+0.7
Phenix							-0.4

ChOuest M97 3 Phenix 4
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
Kodiak							-0.2
CRSA MBB							-0.2
Phenix							+0.5
LevisEst JFD					No		+0.2
ChOuest M97					Yes		-0.2

CRSA MBB 1 LacBeauport 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Div 1	100.0*	Div 3	100.0*	Average seed
CHOuest DFCB							+0.2
Kodiak							+0.2
CRSA MBB							-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Alex Soulard for adding this league.