Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
9/19PGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change1234567Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
NESHLHINGHAM0100-000YesNo1001.03.500NESHL HINGHAM
Cazeault0100-000In39.1%+0.03932291.93.500Cazeault
BudStars60s0100-000In30.4-0.03134362.03.500BudStars 60s
HinghamHawks0100-000In30.4+0.03134362.13.500Hingham Hawks
ChieftainsWNorthstars 6-2210-00498.6%+8.2No4130168312.1+1.081.589at CougarsChieftains
XMenWWarriors 3-1210-00298.6+7.9No4031168312.1+1.061.578GIANTSX-Men
Cougars0100-00088.5+1.8No9152324171113.63.500ChieftainsCougars
NorthstarsLChieftains 2-6001-00-483.7-10.2No7132124191513.9-1.153.422at WarriorsNorthstars
WarriorsLXMen 1-3001-00-280.4-11.4No4101924241824.2-1.033.422NorthstarsWarriors
GIANTS0100-00049.9+3.6No04133240105.4+0.013.500at XMenGIANTS
HINGHAM0100-0000.3+0.2No014866.9+0.033.500HINGHAM

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/19
Warriors 1 XMen 3
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
XMen+5.2
+0.6
Cougars-0.1
Warriors-5.6
-0.6
GIANTS+0.5
Northstars 2 Chieftains 6
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chieftains+5.2
+0.6
XMen-0.2
Cougars-0.1
Northstars-3.9
-0.5
Warriors-0.2
GIANTS-0.8
Week of 9/26
XMen vs GIANTSIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chieftains99.1*98.698.0
2.12.02.0
XMen100.099.296.5
1.82.12.5
Cougars92.188.483.5
Northstars87.483.478.8
Warriors86.179.972.7
4.14.14.2
GIANTS34.750.470.4
5.85.34.8
HINGHAM0.6OutOut
6.87.07.0
Warriors vs NorthstarsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chieftains98.798.598.6
XMen98.598.598.7
Cougars88.587.988.6
Northstars74.285.992.7
4.43.83.3
Warriors92.182.568.2
3.64.14.7
GIANTS47.946.752.6
HINGHAM0.10.10.5
Cougars vs ChieftainsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chieftains97.199.099.6
2.62.11.7
XMen98.598.598.7
Cougars95.591.183.1
3.03.54.1
Northstars82.883.384.5
Warriors79.679.881.0
GIANTS46.448.052.7
5.45.45.3
HINGHAM0.20.20.4
BudStars60s vs CazeaultHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Cazeault30.0*39.148.3
2.11.91.7
BudStars60s39.330.121.7
1.92.12.2
HinghamHawks30.830.930.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.