Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-LPCTGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
swe10-1.90945In1001.0+0.112.703swe
sco10-1.90936In+15.61002.0+0.131.663sco
can8-3.72716Out-4.11003.0+0.633.582can
rus16-4.6004Out-9.54741124.7-0.524.519rus
usa15-5.50012Out-2.04813141965.2+0.166.557usa
sui15-5.500-9Out533342096.0-0.595.456sui
den14-6.4000Out13261225247.2+1.319.500den
jpn14-6.400-14Out43037297.9-0.347.429jpn
chn14-6.400-7Out111923468.0-0.488.465chn
ger13-7.300-15Out574310.4-0.3110.425ger
ita12-8.200-30Out435710.6-0.1011.361ita
lat1-10.091-38Out10012.012.328lat

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 3/19
swe 8 can 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
swe+14.5
+0.5
can-13.0
-0.7
sco 11 sui 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sco+13.5
+0.6
sui-6.5
-0.7
swe 4 chn 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
swe-11.4
-0.4
chn+0.4
usa 6 sui 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
usa-9.5
-1.0
sui+7.1
+1.1
usa 10 jpn 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
usa+4.8
+1.0
jpn-7.8
-0.9
sco 9 lat 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
swe-2.0
sco+6.8
+0.2
can-1.2
rus-1.2
den 4 rus 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
rus+5.0
+0.7
den-0.5
chn 7 ger 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
chn+0.3
ger-4.5
-0.9
can 7 ita 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
can+3.8
+0.6
ita-0.4
rus 9 lat 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
rus+3.3
+0.5
latOut
-0.2
jpn 6 ita 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
jpn+3.3
+0.6
ita-0.4
den 6 ger 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
den+0.6
ger-1.7
-0.9
Wednesday, 3/20
rus 3 swe 10
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
swe+10.7
+0.4
sco+3.2
rus-12.3
-0.6
rus 10 jpn 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sco-4.6
rus+10.3
+0.8
jpn-3.5
-0.8
den 6 sco 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
swe-1.9
sco+8.4
+0.2
rus-2.2
usa-2.7
den-0.4
swe 9 jpn 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
swe+7.8
+0.3
rus-1.6
jpn-3.5
-0.5
chn 9 usa 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sco+4.8
usa-7.5
-1.1
chn+1.0
usa 9 lat 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sco-2.0
usa+3.1
+0.4
den*Out
sui 4 can 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
can+1.8
+0.8
sui-1.1
-0.9
ger 5 can 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
can+1.8
+0.7
ger-0.5
-0.9
ger 3 sui 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sui+1.1
+0.9
ger-0.5
-1.1
lat 3 chn 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
chn+0.6
ita 7 den 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
den+0.7
ita-0.5
Thursday, 3/21
sco 9 rus 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
scoIn
+0.3
canOut
rusOut
-0.5
usaOut
usa 4 sco 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sco+9.8
+0.2
can-2.9
rus-4.9
usaOut
-0.7
ita 4 sco 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sco+6.3
+0.2
can-2.2
rus-2.2
usaOut
can 7 chn 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
can+3.1
+0.5
rus-2.7
chn-0.6
jpn 4 can 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
can+2.7
+0.5
rus-2.3
jpn-0.2
lat 8 sui 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sui-0.7
lat 5 den 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
den+0.4
swe 8 ger 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ger-0.3
sui vs denIf winner is:HomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
sui5.26.6
den8.56.1
jpn7.58.2
chn7.78.4
rus vs usaHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
rus4.05.2
usa6.54.1
sui5.56.4
chn vs jpnHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
usa5.64.8
jpn8.57.2
chn7.29.0
ger vs itaHomeAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ger10.011.0
ita11.010.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Tom Hoffman for adding this league.