Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGWL-OTTGD%Change1234567891011Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Troopers C2212101-0138100.0%7821100001.22.838at RebellionTroopers C2
Maroons C2211102-0131100.02269900001.93.790Maroons C2
Fighting Ice FishTFighting Loons 2-22192-0324100.0+0.083151000001.2+0.161.736Fighting Ice Fish
Norsemen C218183-021499.4+0.0197314310003.14.672at Wolf-Rayets C2Norsemen C2
SharksLMoose C2 3-517184-011798.9-0.8156017521000002.2-0.355.691Sharks
Fighting LoonsTFighting Ice Fish 2-21675-021489.7-0.51164021126310003.6+0.057.655Fighting Loons Lightning
Wolf-Rayets C214264-02381.0+0.00012422613510004.610.540Norsemen C2Wolf-Rayets C2
Hooligans C214165-02169.3+0.000329372083005.16.515Hooligans C2
Mastodons BlackTSpartans C2 4-41675-02-160.8-7.003152121181461005.1-0.219.491Mastodons Black
Moose C2WSharks 5-31565-12-247.7+23.201917202018104105.6+1.168.480Moose C2
Sled Dogs C2at Mastodons Blue13265-10-146.8-0.5031016181916115205.7+0.0513.490Sled Dogs C2
Northern Gators12156-021144.9+0.501816191916116205.8+0.0612.624Northern Gators
Shame on Ice C212156-11-232.3+0.00110203021115106.215.477Shame on Ice C2
Silverbacks10235-04-29.8-0.0002820292315307.218.476RoadrunnersSilverbacks
Lakers C2LChaos C2 6-81367-10-117.3-13.800025101729231317.9-0.9416.380Lakers C2
Minnesota Mild11157-01-157.1-0.0002513243221407.611.337Minnesota Mild
Spartans C2TMastodons Black 4-410147-11-102.0-1.1000014817303099.0-0.0517.390Spartans C2
Mastodons BlueSled Dogs C211146-03-142.0-0.1000013715283879.0-0.0414.351Mastodons Blue
Roadrunners9148-01-71.1+0.000151225421508.519.415at SilverbacksRoadrunners
Rebellion8138-02-270.1+0.0000025167529.720.240Troopers C2Rebellion
Chaos C2WLakers C2 8-68410-00-270.0+0.00000013138310.8+0.1121.274Chaos C2
Fighting Loons31111-01-340.00000029811.022.191Fighting Loons Thunder

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/10
Sharks 3 Moose C2 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Ice Fish+0.1
Sharks-0.7
-0.3
Fighting Loons-1.7
Mastodons Black-3.4
-0.1
Moose C2+16.8
+0.9
Sled Dogs C2-3.6
-0.1
Northern Gators-3.6
-0.1
Lakers C2-2.9
-0.2
Spartans C2-0.6
-0.1
Mastodons Blue-0.3
-0.1
Lakers C2 6 Chaos C2 8
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons+1.0
Mastodons Black+2.4
+0.1
Moose C2+2.0
+0.1
Sled Dogs C2+2.5
+0.1
Northern Gators+2.9
+0.1
Lakers C2-11.5
-0.7
Spartans C2+0.4
+0.0
Mastodons Blue+0.3
+0.1
Chaos C2+0.1
Spartans C2 4 Mastodons Black 4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons+0.5
+0.0
Mastodons Black-4.8
-0.2
Moose C2+1.0
+0.0
Sled Dogs C2+1.4
+0.1
Northern Gators+1.9
+0.1
Lakers C2+0.8
+0.0
Spartans C2-0.8
-0.0
Mastodons Blue+0.1
-0.0
Fighting Ice Fish 2 Fighting Loons 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Ice Fish-0.0
Sharks+0.1
Fighting Loons+0.6
-0.0
Mastodons Black-0.3
-0.0
Moose C2*-0.1
Sled Dogs C2*-0.2
Northern Gators*+0.2
+0.0
Lakers C2-0.2
Spartans C2*-0.1
Mastodons Blue vs Sled Dogs C2If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mastodons Black64.261.862.958.658.6
5.05.05.05.15.1
Moose C251.049.050.045.345.5
5.65.65.65.75.7
Sled Dogs C230.539.339.456.556.8
6.56.06.05.35.2
Northern Gators48.346.446.842.742.7
5.85.85.85.95.9
Mastodons Blue4.84.11.41.10.5
8.48.59.09.19.4
Hooligans C2 vs Maroons C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wolf-Rayets C277.678.080.180.182.2
4.74.74.64.64.5
Hooligans C284.684.773.173.264.1
4.64.65.05.05.3
Shame on Ice C226.125.531.130.934.3
6.36.36.26.26.1
Silverbacks6.96.98.78.710.9
7.37.37.27.27.2
Wolf-Rayets C2 vs Norsemen C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norsemen C298.399.299.499.999.9
3.43.33.12.92.9
Wolf-Rayets C290.990.682.281.974.8
4.14.24.64.74.9
Hooligans C267.066.869.168.970.8
5.25.25.15.15.0
Shame on Ice C228.828.531.831.834.5
6.26.26.26.26.1
Silverbacks8.28.09.69.510.9
Silverbacks vs RoadrunnersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hooligans C267.767.570.269.971.4
Silverbacks14.914.77.77.53.6
6.86.87.37.47.8
Roadrunners0.20.40.52.12.3
8.98.78.68.18.0
Minnesota Mild vs Fighting LoonsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hooligans C268.468.370.470.571.1
5.15.15.15.15.0
Minnesota Mild9.69.74.24.32.4
7.37.37.87.88.1
Rebellion vs Troopers C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Troopers C299.9*InIn*In100.0
1.41.41.41.21.2
Rebellion0.60.40.10.10.0
9.39.39.69.69.7
Week of 2/17
Sled Dogs C2 vs Lakers C2If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mastodons Black59.158.462.9*61.263.0
5.15.15.05.15.0
Moose C245.845.450.2*48.150.1
5.75.75.65.75.6
Sled Dogs C258.557.840.138.629.7
5.15.26.06.16.6
Northern Gators43.342.846.8*45.147.1
5.95.95.85.95.8
Lakers C22.04.76.014.316.0
8.48.07.97.27.1
Northern Gators vs Mastodons BlueHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons88.988.791.090.991.6
3.73.73.63.63.5
Mastodons Black59.059.063.763.065.1
5.15.15.05.05.0
Moose C246.145.850.149.451.7
5.75.75.65.65.6
Sled Dogs C245.245.349.349.050.8
5.75.85.65.75.6
Northern Gators52.752.334.833.324.6
5.55.56.36.46.9
Mastodons Blue0.61.4*1.95.76.1
9.39.08.98.48.3
Mastodons Black vs SharksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sharks96.898.598.899.799.8
2.72.42.42.02.0
Mastodons Black78.378.063.263.052.3
4.34.45.05.05.4
Moose C243.743.446.946.949.6
5.75.85.65.75.6
Sled Dogs C243.142.7*46.7*46.548.5
5.85.85.75.75.7
Northern Gators40.740.344.043.447.0
6.06.05.95.95.8
Fighting Loons vs Hooligans C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wolf-Rayets C284.983.182.880.080.0
4.44.54.54.64.6
Hooligans C249.959.759.874.574.7
5.75.45.44.94.9
Shame on Ice C239.936.436.530.330.1
6.06.16.16.26.2
Silverbacks14.111.111.38.78.7
7.17.27.27.27.2
Minnesota Mild9.78.68.56.36.4
7.57.57.57.67.6
Shame on Ice C2 vs RebellionHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wolf-Rayets C279.479.683.283.185.0
4.64.64.54.54.5
Hooligans C266.867.072.672.875.5
5.15.15.05.05.0
Shame on Ice C238.137.824.724.617.9
5.95.96.46.56.8
Silverbacks9.08.910.810.611.8
7.37.37.27.27.1
Rebellion9.89.79.79.49.4
Fighting Loons vs Spartans C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons93.893.786.285.878.4
3.43.43.93.94.3
Northern Gators44.243.845.7*45.046.9
5.95.95.85.95.8
Spartans C20.81.61.85.25.7
9.28.98.98.38.3
Maroons C2 vs Wolf-Rayets C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wolf-Rayets C277.083.683.791.591.6
4.84.54.54.24.1
Hooligans C270.368.868.766.866.6
5.05.15.15.25.2
Shame on Ice C233.831.031.328.228.1
6.16.26.26.36.3
Silverbacks10.69.49.37.77.9
7.27.27.27.37.3
Norsemen C2 vs SilverbacksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norsemen C299.999.8*99.399.198.1
3.03.03.23.23.3
Wolf-Rayets C282.1*80.980.878.578.8
Hooligans C271.0*69.069.065.865.8
5.15.15.15.25.1
Shame on Ice C233.131.7*32.230.130.5
6.16.26.26.36.3
Silverbacks5.210.510.419.019.4
7.57.17.16.76.6
Troopers C2 vs Minnesota MildHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Troopers C2In*InIn*In99.9
1.21.21.31.41.4
Wolf-Rayets C281.480.680.578.678.1
4.64.64.64.74.7
Hooligans C269.868.768.965.665.2
5.15.15.15.25.2
Shame on Ice C232.631.932.029.629.8
6.16.26.26.36.3
Minnesota Mild5.78.88.817.418.0
7.77.37.36.86.8
Chaos C2 vs Fighting Ice FishHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chaos C210.510.510.710.710.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Brandon Hofer for adding this league.