Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGWL-OTTGD%Change1234567891011Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Maroons C2WWolf-Rayets C2 5-3940-011291.5%+5.64124161062100002.3+0.321.652Maroons C2
Fighting Loons841-001490.1-0.0392715953110002.310.653Fighting Loons Lightning
Sharks8140-00788.9-0.1382716953210002.42.602Sharks
Norsemen C2TSilverbacks 2-2830-021080.6+0.120232117115210003.1-0.113.623Norsemen C2
Troopers C2WMinnesota Mild 10-36131-001478.3+18.220212017126210003.2+0.939.632Troopers C2
SilverbacksTNorsemen C2 2-25121-01966.6+2.611161920179421003.8+0.1013.619Silverbacks
Sled Dogs C27130-10364.9+0.012172016139642103.912.547Sled Dogs C2
Shame on Ice C24221-00455.6-0.571216191912742104.3+0.024.563at RebellionShame on Ice C2
Fighting Ice Fish522-01341.6-0.138141616141185315.26.549Fighting Ice Fish
Moose C25121-10139.0+0.048121515141296315.411.520Moose C2
Lakers C2632-00-230.4+0.1251013151514118525.87.477Lakers C2
Mastodons Black522-01023.6+0.0147111315151410636.314.507Mastodons Black
Northern Gators3112-01-213.7+0.012479121516151277.319.480Northern Gators
Hooligans C2Fighting Loons3112-01-310.9-0.501361219181512857.0+0.235.461Hooligans C2
Minnesota MildLTroopers C2 3-10522-01-86.9-21.901249161918151157.4-1.648.404Minnesota Mild
Roadrunners3112-01-54.9-0.800136121719171497.9+0.1318.429Roadrunners
Chaos C2214-00-34.3-0.000134711152021178.521.470Chaos C2
Rebellion2113-00-112.8-0.1001241014171919148.4+0.2815.400Shame on Ice C2Rebellion
Mastodons Blue313-01-102.5+0.00012358131926259.120.396Mastodons Blue
Wolf-Rayets C2LMaroons C2 3-51103-01-81.6-2.400013711151923228.9-0.4017.402Wolf-Rayets C2
Spartans C20104-00-111.1+0.0000113581423459.816.398Spartans C2
Fighting Loonsat Hooligans C20104-00-140.4-0.1000013591423439.8+0.1422.383Fighting Loons Thunder

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/24
Sharks 2 Mastodons Black 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons+0.3
Sharks+6.4
+0.4
Sled Dogs C2+0.4
Fighting Ice Fish+0.4
Moose C2+0.4
Lakers C2+0.3
Mastodons Black-8.7
-0.6
Northern Gators+0.2
Chaos C2+0.2
Minnesota Mild 3 Troopers C2 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norsemen C2*-0.1
Troopers C2+8.5
+0.4
Silverbacks-0.1
Shame on Ice C2-0.2
Minnesota Mild-7.8
-0.5
Lakers C2 4 Sled Dogs C2 3 (ot)
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons-0.8
Sharks-0.6
Sled Dogs C2-3.2
-0.2
Shame on Ice C2-0.8
Fighting Ice Fish*-0.3
Moose C2-1.2
Lakers C2+8.1
+0.7
Mastodons Black*-0.6
Northern Gators-0.5
Chaos C2-0.6
-0.1
Spartans C2-0.2
Fighting Ice Fish 6 Chaos C2 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons-0.3
Sharks-0.3
Sled Dogs C2-0.5
Fighting Ice Fish+7.9
+0.6
Moose C2-0.7
Lakers C2-0.4
Mastodons Black-0.5
Northern Gators-0.2
Chaos C2-4.8
-0.6
Spartans C2 3 Fighting Loons 6
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons+4.2
+0.3
Sharks-0.3
-0.0
Sled Dogs C2-0.3
Fighting Ice Fish-0.4
Moose C2-0.5
Lakers C2-0.4
Mastodons Black-0.5
Northern Gators-0.3
Chaos C2-0.2
Mastodons Blue+0.0
Spartans C2-1.3
-0.3
Wolf-Rayets C2 3 Maroons C2 5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maroons C2+3.7
+0.2
Norsemen C2-0.2
-0.0
Troopers C2-0.4
Silverbacks-0.3
Shame on Ice C2-0.4
Hooligans C2-0.2
+0.0
Minnesota Mild-0.4
Roadrunners+0.0
Rebellion+0.0
Wolf-Rayets C2-1.5
-0.3
Mastodons Blue 4 Northern Gators 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons+0.3
Sharks+0.2
Sled Dogs C2+0.4
Fighting Ice Fish+0.5
Moose C2+0.4
Lakers C2+0.4
Mastodons Black+0.4
Northern Gators-2.4
-0.2
Chaos C2+0.2
Mastodons Blue-0.5
-0.0
Silverbacks 2 Norsemen C2 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Maroons C2*+0.2
Norsemen C2-0.4
-0.0
Troopers C2+0.5
Silverbacks-1.2
-0.1
Shame on Ice C2*+0.1
Hooligans C2+0.2
Minnesota Mild+0.4
Rebellion vs Shame on Ice C2If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Norsemen C282.281.081.379.379.7
3.03.03.03.13.1
Troopers C280.079.079.277.377.3
3.13.13.13.23.2
Silverbacks68.9*67.167.765.165.3
3.73.83.73.83.8
Shame on Ice C243.950.651.561.862.1
4.94.54.54.04.0
Hooligans C211.911.311.410.210.3
7.07.17.07.07.0
Rebellion5.44.82.62.31.4
7.87.98.48.48.7
Hooligans C2 vs Fighting LoonsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Silverbacks66.065.867.0*66.667.5
Shame on Ice C254.854.956.0*55.956.5
Hooligans C214.414.49.09.26.4
6.66.67.17.27.6
Fighting Loons0.20.30.30.70.8
10.19.89.89.49.3
Week of 12/2
Sled Dogs C2 vs Fighting Ice FishIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sled Dogs C275.174.064.262.154.6
3.43.44.04.14.5
Fighting Ice Fish30.537.439.751.152.7
5.85.45.34.74.6
Moose C239.237.939.737.438.8
5.45.45.35.45.4
Lakers C2*30.529.430.929.0*30.3
5.85.95.85.95.8
Mastodons Black23.722.824.122.623.4
6.36.36.36.46.3
Mastodons Black vs Moose C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sled Dogs C265.163.865.763.864.6
Fighting Ice Fish41.940.742.440.641.2
5.25.35.25.25.2
Moose C228.635.337.147.748.9
6.05.55.54.84.8
Lakers C230.829.831.129.030.0
5.85.95.85.95.8
Mastodons Black32.531.221.820.315.2
5.75.86.46.56.9
Northern Gators vs Lakers C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sled Dogs C265.5*64.565.563.764.2
Fighting Ice Fish42.3*41.242.440.340.8
5.25.25.25.35.2
Moose C239.5*38.739.837.938.3
5.45.45.35.45.4
Lakers C221.527.228.438.839.6
6.46.05.95.35.2
Northern Gators19.518.712.211.18.0
6.76.87.47.47.9
Fighting Loons vs SharksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fighting Loons94.193.889.589.285.2
2.02.02.42.52.8
Sharks84.8*88.889.193.493.7
2.82.52.42.02.0
Chaos C2 vs Spartans C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chaos C26.26.13.33.42.1
8.18.18.78.89.1
Spartans C20.50.80.91.81.9
10.19.99.89.49.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Brandon Hofer for adding this league.