AHA Hockey C2 Playoff Chances

																100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs																Chance will finish regular season at seed
	Sunday		P	G	W		L	-	OT		T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength	Monday

Troopers C2			21	2	10	1		-	0	1		38	100.0	%		78	21	1	0	0	0	0					1.2		2	.838	at Rebellion	Troopers C2
Maroons C2			21	1	10	2		-	0	1		31	100.0			22	69	9	0	0	0	0					1.9		3	.790		Maroons C2
Fighting Ice Fish	T	Fighting Loons 2-2	21		9	2		-	0	3		24	100.0		+0.0	83	15	1	0	0	0	0	0				1.2	+0.16	1	.736		Fighting Ice Fish
Norsemen C2			18	1	8	3		-	0	2		14	99.4		+0.0	1	9	73	14	3	1	0	0	0			3.1		4	.672	at Wolf-Rayets C2	Norsemen C2
Sharks	L	Moose C2 3-5	17	1	8	4		-	0	1		17	98.9		-0.8	15	60	17	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2.2	-0.35	5	.691		Sharks
Fighting Loons	T	Fighting Ice Fish 2-2	16		7	5		-	0	2		14	89.7		-0.5	1	16	40	21	12	6	3	1	0	0	0	3.6	+0.05	7	.655		Fighting Loons Lightning
Wolf-Rayets C2			14	2	6	4		-	0	2		3	81.0		+0.0	0	0	12	42	26	13	5	1	0	0	0	4.6		10	.540	Norsemen C2	Wolf-Rayets C2
Hooligans C2			14	1	6	5		-	0	2		1	69.3		+0.0	0	0	3	29	37	20	8	3	0	0		5.1		6	.515		Hooligans C2
Mastodons Black	T	Spartans C2 4-4	16		7	5		-	0	2		-1	60.8		-7.0	0	3	15	21	21	18	14	6	1	0	0	5.1	-0.21	9	.491		Mastodons Black
Moose C2	W	Sharks 5-3	15		6	5		-	1	2		-2	47.7		+23.2	0	1	9	17	20	20	18	10	4	1	0	5.6	+1.16	8	.480		Moose C2
Sled Dogs C2		at Mastodons Blue	13	2	6	5		-	1	0		-1	46.8		-0.5	0	3	10	16	18	19	16	11	5	2	0	5.7	+0.05	13	.490		Sled Dogs C2
Northern Gators			12	1	5	6		-	0	2		11	44.9		+0.5	0	1	8	16	19	19	16	11	6	2	0	5.8	+0.06	12	.624		Northern Gators
Shame on Ice C2			12	1	5	6		-	1	1		-2	32.3		+0.0		0	1	10	20	30	21	11	5	1	0	6.2		15	.477		Shame on Ice C2
Silverbacks			10	2	3	5		-	0	4		-2	9.8		-0.0		0	0	2	8	20	29	23	15	3	0	7.2		18	.476	Roadrunners	Silverbacks
Lakers C2	L	Chaos C2 6-8	13		6	7		-	1	0		-11	7.3		-13.8	0	0	0	2	5	10	17	29	23	13	1	7.9	-0.94	16	.380		Lakers C2
Minnesota Mild			11	1	5	7		-	0	1		-15	7.1		-0.0		0	0	2	5	13	24	32	21	4	0	7.6		11	.337		Minnesota Mild
Spartans C2	T	Mastodons Black 4-4	10	1	4	7		-	1	1		-10	2.0		-1.1	0	0	0	0	1	4	8	17	30	30	9	9.0	-0.05	17	.390		Spartans C2
Mastodons Blue		Sled Dogs C2	11	1	4	6		-	0	3		-14	2.0		-0.1	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	15	28	38	7	9.0	-0.04	14	.351		Mastodons Blue
Roadrunners			9	1	4	8		-	0	1		-7	1.1		+0.0			0	0	1	5	12	25	42	15	0	8.5		19	.415	at Silverbacks	Roadrunners
Rebellion			8	1	3	8		-	0	2		-27	0.1		+0.0			0	0	0	0	2	5	16	75	2	9.7		20	.240	Troopers C2	Rebellion
Chaos C2	W	Lakers C2 8-6	8		4	10		-	0	0		-27	0.0		+0.0			0	0	0	0	0	1	3	13	83	10.8	+0.11	21	.274		Chaos C2
Fighting Loons			3	1	1	11		-	0	1		-34	0.0							0	0	0	0	0	2	98	11.0		22	.191		Fighting Loons Thunder

Week of 2/10
Sharks 3 Moose C2 5
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Ice Fish			+0.1
Sharks	-0.7		-0.3
Fighting Loons	-1.7
Mastodons Black	-3.4		-0.1
Moose C2	+16.8		+0.9
Sled Dogs C2	-3.6		-0.1
Northern Gators	-3.6		-0.1
Lakers C2	-2.9		-0.2
Spartans C2	-0.6		-0.1
Mastodons Blue	-0.3		-0.1

Lakers C2 6 Chaos C2 8
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Loons	+1.0
Mastodons Black	+2.4		+0.1
Moose C2	+2.0		+0.1
Sled Dogs C2	+2.5		+0.1
Northern Gators	+2.9		+0.1
Lakers C2	-11.5		-0.7
Spartans C2	+0.4		+0.0
Mastodons Blue	+0.3		+0.1
Chaos C2			+0.1

Spartans C2 4 Mastodons Black 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Loons	+0.5		+0.0
Mastodons Black	-4.8		-0.2
Moose C2	+1.0		+0.0
Sled Dogs C2	+1.4		+0.1
Northern Gators	+1.9		+0.1
Lakers C2	+0.8		+0.0
Spartans C2	-0.8		-0.0
Mastodons Blue	+0.1		-0.0

Fighting Ice Fish 2 Fighting Loons 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Ice Fish			-0.0
Sharks			+0.1
Fighting Loons	+0.6		-0.0
Mastodons Black	-0.3		-0.0
Moose C2	*-0.1
Sled Dogs C2	*-0.2
Northern Gators	*+0.2		+0.0
Lakers C2	-0.2
Spartans C2	*-0.1

Mastodons Blue vs Sled Dogs C2If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mastodons Black	64.261.862.958.658.6		5.05.05.05.15.1
Moose C2	51.049.050.045.345.5		5.65.65.65.75.7
Sled Dogs C2	30.539.339.456.556.8		6.56.06.05.35.2
Northern Gators	48.346.446.842.742.7		5.85.85.85.95.9
Mastodons Blue	4.84.11.41.10.5		8.48.59.09.19.4

Hooligans C2 vs Maroons C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wolf-Rayets C2	77.678.080.180.182.2		4.74.74.64.64.5
Hooligans C2	84.684.773.173.264.1		4.64.65.05.05.3
Shame on Ice C2	26.125.531.130.934.3		6.36.36.26.26.1
Silverbacks	6.96.98.78.710.9		7.37.37.27.27.2

Wolf-Rayets C2 vs Norsemen C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Norsemen C2	98.399.299.499.999.9		3.43.33.12.92.9
Wolf-Rayets C2	90.990.682.281.974.8		4.14.24.64.74.9
Hooligans C2	67.066.869.168.970.8		5.25.25.15.15.0
Shame on Ice C2	28.828.531.831.834.5		6.26.26.26.26.1
Silverbacks	8.28.09.69.510.9

Silverbacks vs RoadrunnersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hooligans C2	67.767.570.269.971.4
Silverbacks	14.914.77.77.53.6		6.86.87.37.47.8
Roadrunners	0.20.40.52.12.3		8.98.78.68.18.0

Minnesota Mild vs Fighting LoonsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hooligans C2	68.468.370.470.571.1		5.15.15.15.15.0
Minnesota Mild	9.69.74.24.32.4		7.37.37.87.88.1

Rebellion vs Troopers C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Troopers C2	99.9InInIn100.0		1.41.41.41.21.2
Rebellion	0.60.40.10.10.0		9.39.39.69.69.7

Week of 2/17
Sled Dogs C2 vs Lakers C2If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Mastodons Black	59.158.462.9*61.263.0		5.15.15.05.15.0
Moose C2	45.845.450.2*48.150.1		5.75.75.65.75.6
Sled Dogs C2	58.557.840.138.629.7		5.15.26.06.16.6
Northern Gators	43.342.846.8*45.147.1		5.95.95.85.95.8
Lakers C2	2.04.76.014.316.0		8.48.07.97.27.1

Northern Gators vs Mastodons BlueHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Loons	88.988.791.090.991.6		3.73.73.63.63.5
Mastodons Black	59.059.063.763.065.1		5.15.15.05.05.0
Moose C2	46.145.850.149.451.7		5.75.75.65.65.6
Sled Dogs C2	45.245.349.349.050.8		5.75.85.65.75.6
Northern Gators	52.752.334.833.324.6		5.55.56.36.46.9
Mastodons Blue	0.61.4*1.95.76.1		9.39.08.98.48.3

Mastodons Black vs SharksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks	96.898.598.899.799.8		2.72.42.42.02.0
Mastodons Black	78.378.063.263.052.3		4.34.45.05.05.4
Moose C2	43.743.446.946.949.6		5.75.85.65.75.6
Sled Dogs C2	43.142.746.746.548.5		5.85.85.75.75.7
Northern Gators	40.740.344.043.447.0		6.06.05.95.95.8

Fighting Loons vs Hooligans C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wolf-Rayets C2	84.983.182.880.080.0		4.44.54.54.64.6
Hooligans C2	49.959.759.874.574.7		5.75.45.44.94.9
Shame on Ice C2	39.936.436.530.330.1		6.06.16.16.26.2
Silverbacks	14.111.111.38.78.7		7.17.27.27.27.2
Minnesota Mild	9.78.68.56.36.4		7.57.57.57.67.6

Shame on Ice C2 vs RebellionHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wolf-Rayets C2	79.479.683.283.185.0		4.64.64.54.54.5
Hooligans C2	66.867.072.672.875.5		5.15.15.05.05.0
Shame on Ice C2	38.137.824.724.617.9		5.95.96.46.56.8
Silverbacks	9.08.910.810.611.8		7.37.37.27.27.1
Rebellion			9.89.79.79.49.4

Fighting Loons vs Spartans C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fighting Loons	93.893.786.285.878.4		3.43.43.93.94.3
Northern Gators	44.243.845.7*45.046.9		5.95.95.85.95.8
Spartans C2	0.81.61.85.25.7		9.28.98.98.38.3

Maroons C2 vs Wolf-Rayets C2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wolf-Rayets C2	77.083.683.791.591.6		4.84.54.54.24.1
Hooligans C2	70.368.868.766.866.6		5.05.15.15.25.2
Shame on Ice C2	33.831.031.328.228.1		6.16.26.26.36.3
Silverbacks	10.69.49.37.77.9		7.27.27.27.37.3

Norsemen C2 vs SilverbacksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Norsemen C2	99.999.8*99.399.198.1		3.03.03.23.23.3
Wolf-Rayets C2	82.1*80.980.878.578.8
Hooligans C2	71.0*69.069.065.865.8		5.15.15.15.25.1
Shame on Ice C2	33.131.7*32.230.130.5		6.16.26.26.36.3
Silverbacks	5.210.510.419.019.4		7.57.17.16.76.6

Troopers C2 vs Minnesota MildHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Troopers C2	InInInIn99.9		1.21.21.31.41.4
Wolf-Rayets C2	81.480.680.578.678.1		4.64.64.64.74.7
Hooligans C2	69.868.768.965.665.2		5.15.15.15.25.2
Shame on Ice C2	32.631.932.029.629.8		6.16.26.26.36.3
Minnesota Mild	5.78.88.817.418.0		7.77.37.36.86.8

Chaos C2 vs Fighting Ice FishHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chaos C2			10.510.510.710.710.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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