100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.Change
Kansas City9-1-0.9001133835662100100000000002.7-0.21Kansas City Chiefs
LA Rams9-1-0.900104291336512220000000002.7-0.12Los Angeles Rams
New Orleans18-1-0.88998272124882104310000000003.2-1.28New Orleans Saints
New England7-3-0.70044186241317197001011100000000005.6+1.30New England Patriots
Pittsburgh16-2-1.7227026112412141461031211000000000005.7-0.38Pittsburgh Steelers
Chicago16-3-0.667941710924169526421111110000000000006.4-0.30Chicago Bears
Houston16-3-0.66732023101012167311245432221100000000008.7+0.53Houston Texans
LA Chargers17-2-0.778542711000064982321000000000008.9-0.77Los Angeles Chargers
Washington16-3-0.66710012891727022323334432211000000010.1-3.07Washington Redskins
Carolina16-3-0.66790112221083010117655321111000000011.6+0.35Carolina Panthers
Tennessee15-4-0.55617000439770010413966543321110000000012.4-4.29Tennessee Titans
Minnesota15-3-1.611170001462221381378755543221100000013.2-0.35Minnesota Vikings
Baltimore14-5-0.44453001021134131213997544321110000000013.9-0.51Baltimore Ravens
Seattle14-5-0.4442700000001145117778765543221110000015.7+1.34Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay14-4-1.50070001211185105887787544321110000015.8-3.16Green Bay Packers
Cincinnati15-4-0.556-53000101111156111010977864332110000016.1+2.60Cincinnati Bengals
Dallas14-5-0.444100000131501133446875676444321100017.0-3.09Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis14-5-0.44421000023400445766897676433211100017.3-0.95Indianapolis Colts
Philadelphia14-5-0.444150000121200024467668876653221000017.5+3.94Philadelphia Eagles
Miami5-5-0.500-57000011300344556997788544321100018.3+2.09Miami Dolphins
Atlanta14-5-0.444-10000000005162357767887665322100019.1+2.72Atlanta Falcons
Denver13-6-0.333-80000013344557888987664321021.7-0.13Denver Broncos
Jacksonville13-6-0.333-390000000001222245667999987531023.4+1.09Jacksonville Jaguars
Detroit13-6-0.333-42000000000111233356678109997542123.5+1.26Detroit Lions
Tampa Bay13-6-0.333-5900000000111222345579991098642123.9+2.17Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cleveland3-6-1.350-45000000000111134346888111198641024.0-2.64Cleveland Browns
Buffalo3-7-0.300-114000000000111223467810121312105126.2-3.01Buffalo Bills
NY Jets3-7-0.300-4600000000000111124457910111312107226.3+3.87New York Jets
San Francisco12-7-0.222-32000000000111223567912141514727.7-0.03San Francisco 49ers
Arizona12-7-0.222-1010000000000001122357101520191329.0+0.43Arizona Cardinals
NY Giants21-7-0.125-5500000000000000111234681115242429.5+0.15New York Giants
Oakland11-8-0.111-12500000000000001123612245131.0+0.45Oakland Raiders

Lottery Big Games

Week of 11/8
Philadelphia 20 Dallas 27
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington-0.3
Dallas-2.8
Indianapolis+0.0
Philadelphia+2.7
Jacksonville+0.1
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Miami-0.1
Buffalo-1.6
NY Jets+2.5
Tennessee 34 New England 10
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City-0.2
New England+1.0
Houston+0.2
Tennessee-2.2
Detroit+0.2
San Francisco+0.0
Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington-0.0
Atlanta+1.9
Jacksonville+0.0
Cleveland-1.4
San Francisco+0.1
Arizona+0.2
Tampa Bay 3 Washington 16
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington-1.9
Cincinnati+0.0
Indianapolis-0.0
Philadelphia+0.3
Tampa Bay+1.6
NY Jets-0.0
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans-0.3
Pittsburgh-1.2
Carolina+0.9
Baltimore+0.2
Cincinnati+0.2
Green Bay 31 Miami 12
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota+0.0
Green Bay-1.3
Miami+1.3
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans-0.7
Pittsburgh-0.1
Cincinnati+1.0
Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston+0.1
Indianapolis-1.1
Jacksonville+1.0
LA Rams 36 Seattle 31
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
LA Rams-0.4
Seattle+1.0
Green Bay-0.1
Miami-0.0
Chicago 34 Detroit 22
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans+0.0
Chicago-0.6
Minnesota+0.1
Detroit+0.7
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City+0.1
LA Chargers-0.4
Indianapolis+0.0
Oakland+0.3
Kansas City 26 Arizona 14
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City-0.2
LA Chargers+0.1
Arizona+0.3
San Francisco vs NY GiantsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Denver21.622.021.7
San Francisco26.727.529.2
NY Giants30.329.228.3
Week of 11/15
Atlanta vs DallasIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Washington9.99.810.4
Dallas18.916.314.8
Philadelphia17.518.017.6
Atlanta17.319.421.1
Indianapolis vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston8.58.39.0
Tennessee13.912.310.3
Indianapolis15.616.519.5
Detroit vs CarolinaHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina13.011.810.6
Minnesota13.112.913.3
Detroit21.623.724.9
Tampa Bay24.2*24.123.8
Seattle vs Green BayHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle14.316.017.9
Green Bay17.215.413.5
Atlanta19.118.619.0
New Orleans vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
LA Rams2.82.42.5
New Orleans2.83.34.2
Washington10.0*9.810.4
Philadelphia18.717.515.0
Jacksonville vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh7.15.95.1
Miami18.317.918.2
Jacksonville21.223.824.4
Washington vs HoustonHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Houston10.07.97.5
Washington8.69.611.5
Tennessee12.012.812.7
Dallas17.3*17.316.7
Philadelphia17.717.817.4
Chicago vs MinnesotaHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago5.57.08.4
Minnesota14.212.310.6
Baltimore vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore13.115.716.5
Cincinnati16.915.713.5
Indianapolis17.316.917.3
LA Chargers vs DenverHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City2.9*2.92.3
LA Chargers8.58.810.0
Denver22.621.619.4
NY Giants vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay25.424.422.2
NY Giants28.829.630.4
LA Rams vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Lottery seed
Kansas City3.32.81.9
LA Rams2.22.53.3
New Orleans3.33.53.1
LA Chargers8.78.69.2
Green Bay15.816.215.8
Arizona vs OaklandHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona28.229.530.2
Oakland31.531.230.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.