MYSA 2004 Girls C1 Title Chances 2017

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												State			Chance will finish season at seed																															Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Tonka	3		1	-	0	-	0	25	12.3	%	+9.0	48.9	%	+27.6	12	9	8	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0		8.6	+5.91	3.4	%	-14.1	1	.570	Tonka
SCV	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	4.3		-0.3	21.4		-0.3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	5	5	4	3	2	3	4	5	5	4	3	2	3	3	4	3	3	3	4	4	0	14.2		17.2		-0.4	2	.500	SCV
Gitchi Gummi	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	4.3		-0.3	21.4		-0.3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	5	5	4	3	2	3	4	5	5	4	3	2	3	3	4	3	3	3	4	4	0	14.2		17.2		-0.4	2	.500	Gitchi Gummi
MU	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.9		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	+0.01	17.0		-0.4	2	.500	MU
Keliix	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.9		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.4	2	.500	Keliix
Eagan	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.5	2	.500	Eagan

Blaine	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.4	2	.500	Blaine
Eclipse	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.5	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.5	2	.500	Eclipse
Shakopee	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.5	2	.500	Shakopee
RYSA	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.4	2	.500	RYSA
Rev Academy 13	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.5	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.4	2	.500	Rev Academy 13 Black
Maplebrook	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.4	2	.500	Maplebrook
Fusion 1	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.4	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5		17.0		-0.4	2	.500	Fusion 1
Prior Lake	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	17.0		-0.5	2	.500	Prior Lake
Lakeville	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.5	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	17.0		-0.4	2	.500	Lakeville
STMA	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.5	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	17.1		-0.4	2	.500	STMA
Edina	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.1		-0.1	20.8		-0.5	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	17.0		-0.5	2	.500	Edina
Rev Academy 13	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.7		-0.6	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	16.9		-0.5	2	.500	Rev Academy 13 Green
Three Rivers	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.0		-0.2	20.8		-0.5	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	17.1		-0.4	2	.500	Three Rivers
CC United	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.1		-0.1	20.9		-0.4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	17.1		-0.4	2	.500	CC United
Orono	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.1		-0.1	20.7		-0.5	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	17.0		-0.5	2	.500	Orono
EPSC	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.1		-0.1	20.7		-0.5	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	14.5	-0.01	17.0		-0.5	2	.500	EPSC
MTA	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	4.7		-0.3	23.2		-0.5	5	4	3	3	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	4	5	0	14.5		19.1		-0.3	2	.500	MTA

Rev Academy 12	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	4.8		-0.3	23.2		-0.5	5	4	3	3	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	4	5	0	14.5		19.2		-0.3	2	.500	Rev Academy 12 Black
Blackhawks	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	4.7		-0.3	23.2		-0.5	5	4	3	3	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	4	5	0	14.5	-0.01	19.2		-0.3	2	.500	Blackhawks
North Metro	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.7		-0.3	19.2		-0.3	4	4	3	3	3	2	3	4	5	5	4	2	2	3	4	5	5	4	3	2	3	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	0	14.8		19.2		-0.5	2	.500	North Metro
North Oaks	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	3.7		-0.3	19.2		-0.3	4	4	3	3	3	2	3	4	5	5	4	2	2	3	4	5	5	4	3	2	3	4	4	4	3	4	4	4	0	14.8	-0.01	19.2		-0.5	2	.500	North Oaks
Fusion 2	0		0	-	0	-	1	-25	0.3		-2.9	4.9		-16.4	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	7	8	9	12	0	20.3	-5.82	42.6		+25.2	2	.430	Fusion 2
Woodbury Kind:	0	1	0	-	0	-	0	0	No			No																												0	0	2	98	29.0		Yes			2	.500	Woodbury Kind: High School

Week of 5/2
Edina vs TonkaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tonka	5.69.118.9		34.845.262.5		5.93.61.1		10.89.16.4
SCV	4.54.64.0		21.521.721.2		17.4*17.317.1
Blaine	3.23.22.8		20.921.320.7		17.316.816.9		14.514.414.5
Eclipse	3.13.12.8		20.921.220.6		17.2*16.916.8		14.514.414.5
RYSA	3.13.22.8		20.921.320.6		17.3*16.916.9		14.514.414.5
Fusion 1	3.23.22.8		20.921.220.6		17.2*17.216.9
Lakeville	3.23.12.8		21.021.120.6		17.3*17.016.9
STMA	3.23.12.8		21.021.220.6		17.3*17.016.8		14.514.414.5
Edina	5.52.11.0		31.217.811.7		8.818.224.4		11.815.116.9
Rev Academy 13	3.13.22.9		20.921.020.5		17.1*16.916.8
MTA	4.95.14.5		23.423.523.0		19.3*19.019.0		14.514.414.5
North Metro	3.93.93.5		*19.319.419.1		19.5*19.118.9		14.814.714.8
Fusion 2					43.0*42.642.3

North Metro vs Gitchi GummiHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tonka	12.312.512.1		*48.949.548.7				8.68.58.6
Gitchi Gummi	1.73.47.8		12.517.833.4		24.617.57.9		16.514.811.1
Blaine	*3.03.13.0		*20.921.320.7		17.116.8*17.0		*14.514.414.5
Shakopee			*20.921.220.7
CC United			*20.921.420.8				14.514.414.5
EPSC			*20.821.220.6				*14.514.414.5
North Metro	5.92.51.1		27.713.99.4		10.522.029.7		12.316.017.7

Keliix vs Three RiversHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Keliix	4.81.81.0		29.216.611.1		9.419.326.3		12.215.517.2
Three Rivers	1.12.15.5		12.618.631.7		24.017.48.2		16.714.911.7

Rev Academy 13 vs CC UnitedHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev Academy 13	4.81.81.0		29.016.411.0		9.319.326.2		12.215.517.3
CC United	1.22.25.7		12.718.631.8		24.117.48.2		16.714.911.6

Prior Lake vs ShakopeeHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Shakopee	1.22.15.5		12.618.531.7		23.917.38.2		16.714.911.6
Prior Lake	4.81.81.0		29.116.611.1		9.419.426.3		12.215.517.2

Lakeville vs EaganHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Eagan	1.22.15.5		12.618.631.8		23.9*17.28.2		16.714.911.6
Lakeville	4.81.81.0		29.116.511.1		9.419.526.3		12.215.517.2

Keliix vs MUHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MU	1.22.15.5		12.618.631.8		23.917.38.2		16.714.911.6
Keliix	4.81.81.0		29.216.611.1		9.419.426.3		12.215.517.2
Lakeville			*20.821.220.7

Lakeville vs RYSAHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
RYSA	1.22.15.5		12.718.631.7		24.017.38.2		16.714.911.6
Lakeville	4.81.80.9		29.116.611.0		9.419.326.3		12.215.517.2

Blaine vs MaplebrookHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Blaine	4.81.81.0		29.116.711.1		9.419.526.3		12.215.517.2
Maplebrook	1.22.15.5		12.618.631.7		23.9*17.28.2		16.714.911.7

STMA vs MUHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MU	1.22.15.5		12.718.631.8		23.917.48.2		16.714.911.6
STMA	4.71.81.0		29.116.611.1		9.519.326.3		12.215.517.2

Fusion 1 vs STMAHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Fusion 1	4.81.81.0		29.116.611.1		9.419.326.3		12.215.517.2
STMA	1.22.15.5		12.618.431.7		24.017.48.2		16.714.911.7

Fusion 2 vs OronoHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tonka	12.4*12.312.2		49.2*48.848.6
Keliix	3.1*3.03.0		21.1*21.120.6		17.216.816.9		14.514.414.5
Shakopee			21.121.120.6		17.2*16.916.8		14.514.414.5
RYSA	3.1*3.02.9		21.121.120.6		17.3*16.916.9		14.514.414.5
Rev Academy 13	3.0*3.02.9		21.021.120.6		17.3*16.916.8
Maplebrook			21.021.120.6		17.316.816.8		14.514.414.5
Fusion 1			21.0*21.020.6		17.3*16.916.8		14.514.414.5
Prior Lake			21.121.120.6		17.316.816.9		14.514.414.5
STMA			21.021.220.6		17.3*16.916.9		14.514.414.5
Three Rivers	3.1*3.02.9		21.1*21.020.5		17.3*16.916.9
Orono	1.12.05.1		11.817.129.6		25.718.48.7		17.015.312.0
North Oaks	3.7*3.83.6		19.319.419.0		19.518.919.0		14.814.714.8
Fusion 2	0.60.20.1		8.53.41.9		28.145.855.5		17.921.022.4

Week of 5/9
Orono vs TonkaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tonka	5.69.118.9		34.845.362.4		5.93.61.1		10.89.16.4
Gitchi Gummi	4.54.54.0		21.521.621.2		17.5*17.117.1		14.214.114.2
Blaine	3.23.22.8		21.021.220.7		17.3*17.016.8		14.514.414.5
Eclipse	3.13.22.8		20.921.220.6		17.2*16.916.8		14.514.414.5
Shakopee	3.23.22.8		21.021.220.6		17.2*17.016.8
RYSA	3.23.12.8		21.021.220.6		17.3*17.016.8
Maplebrook	3.13.22.8		21.021.220.6		17.2*17.016.9
Fusion 1	3.23.12.8		21.021.120.6		17.3*17.016.8
Lakeville	3.13.12.8		*20.921.220.6		17.3*17.116.8
Edina			20.9*20.820.6		17.3*17.016.7
Rev Academy 13	3.13.12.9		21.021.020.4		17.1*16.916.8
Three Rivers	3.23.12.8		20.921.220.6		17.3*16.916.9		14.514.414.5
Orono	5.52.11.0		31.117.811.7		8.718.024.4		11.815.116.9
MTA	5.04.94.5		23.4*23.423.0
Rev Academy 12	5.05.04.5		23.4*23.423.0		19.4*19.019.0
North Oaks	3.93.93.5				19.5*19.219.0
Fusion 2					43.0*42.642.3

Blackhawks vs MTAHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tonka	*12.312.912.1		*48.949.648.8				*8.68.58.6
MU			*20.921.320.7
Rev Academy 13			*20.821.320.7
MTA	1.83.18.8		13.519.036.5		27.520.78.3		17.115.011.1
Blackhawks	7.72.61.4		33.316.811.7		9.723.430.5		11.815.717.8

SCV vs North MetroHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
SCV	6.82.91.4		30.515.911.0		9.119.527.1		11.715.417.1
North Metro	1.43.06.8		10.915.830.4		27.119.69.1		17.115.411.7

Three Rivers vs MaplebrookHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Maplebrook	1.12.25.5		12.618.631.7		24.017.38.1		16.714.911.6
Three Rivers	4.81.81.0		29.116.611.1		9.419.426.4		12.215.517.2

Keliix vs STMAHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tonka	*12.312.612.2		*48.949.548.7				*8.68.58.6
Keliix	4.81.81.0		29.216.611.1		9.419.426.3		12.215.517.2
STMA	1.12.15.5		12.618.631.7		24.017.48.2		16.714.911.7

Maplebrook vs Fusion 1HomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Maplebrook	4.81.81.0		29.116.711.1		9.519.326.3		12.215.517.2
Fusion 1	1.22.15.5		12.618.631.7		24.017.48.2		16.714.911.7

Eclipse vs ShakopeeHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Eclipse	4.81.81.0		29.116.711.1		9.419.326.3		12.215.517.2
Shakopee	1.12.25.5		12.618.631.7		23.917.38.2		16.714.911.7

Three Rivers vs BlaineHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Blaine	1.22.15.5		12.618.531.8		24.017.38.2		16.714.911.6
Three Rivers	4.81.81.0		29.116.611.1		9.419.426.4		12.215.517.2

CC United vs EdinaHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Edina	1.22.25.7		12.618.531.7		23.917.38.2		16.714.911.6
CC United	5.01.91.0		29.216.611.1		9.519.426.4		12.215.517.3

Eclipse vs LakevilleHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Eclipse	4.81.81.0		29.116.611.1		9.419.326.2		12.215.517.2
Lakeville	1.22.15.5		12.618.631.7		24.017.38.2		16.714.911.7

EPSC vs Rev Academy 13HomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Eclipse			*20.821.220.7
Rev Academy 13	1.22.25.6		12.518.531.6		23.817.38.1		16.714.911.6
EPSC	4.91.91.0		29.016.511.0		9.419.426.3		12.215.517.3

MU vs STMAHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
MU	4.81.80.9		29.216.811.1		9.419.226.3		12.215.417.2
STMA	1.12.15.5		12.618.531.7		23.917.58.2		16.714.911.7

Rev Academy 13 vs RYSAHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
RYSA	1.22.15.5		12.618.531.7		24.0*17.28.2		16.714.911.6
Rev Academy 13	4.81.80.9		29.116.511.1		9.419.426.3		12.215.517.2

Eagan vs Prior LakeHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tonka			*48.949.348.7
Eagan	4.81.81.0		29.216.611.1		9.419.226.3		12.215.417.2
Prior Lake	1.22.15.5		12.718.531.7		23.917.48.2		16.714.911.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MYSA 2004 Girls C1 Title Chances 2017

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