Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
PGW-L-TGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
O'Neills219-0-352100.0%+0.1100.0%+0.133251812831000000002.5+0.40No-0.02.733O'Neills
Young Guns219-0-359100.0+0.0100.0+0.033251812741000000002.5+0.22No1.733Young Guns
Erie County Fusion209-1-27299.9+0.299.9+0.21317191917113100000003.6+0.11No-0.03.707Erie County Fusion
Nordiques2010-2-03599.9+0.399.9+0.312161919181231000000003.7+0.22No7.707Nordiques
Hooligans199-2-13599.7+0.699.7+0.66121620221751000000004.2+0.27No-0.04.681Hooligans
Hardy188-2-22798.8-0.798.8-0.7259142131124100000005.1-1.21No-0.06.656Hardy
Shots on You156-3-32378.7+11.478.7+11.400124123723126310000007.5+0.450.0%-0.05.578Shots On You
High Sticks147-5-0364.9+16.764.9+16.700012723321810520000008.1+0.590.0-0.08.552High Sticks
Blue Light Special126-6-0-626.0-22.726.0-22.700000181623221594100009.6-0.880.0-0.011.500Blue Light Special
Misfits115-6-1-917.8+8.517.8+8.50000015122123181152100010.1+1.070.0-0.19.474Misfits
Grey Hawks104-6-2-710.2-8.710.2-8.7000000371520231794200010.7-0.490.0-0.013.448Grey Hawks
Whalers94-7-1-183.4-4.13.4-4.10000001371218241811610011.8-0.430.1-0.016.422Whalers
Blues72-7-3-190.3-0.60.3-0.600000001361322252361013.6-0.381.610.370Blues
Damaged Goods73-8-1-160.3-0.90.3-0.900000001371322252161013.5-0.451.4+0.112.370Damaged Goods
The Brothers73-8-1-290.2+0.10.2+0.100000001251018242982013.8+0.832.1-6.814.370The Brothers
Purple Cobras31-10-1-410.0-0.00.0-0.00000000013114530916.3-0.1539.1+1.915.267Purple Cobras
Surge21-11-0-1020.0-0.00.0-0.000000000012727451716.6-0.0662.6+1.817.241Surge
Lucas00-12-0-590.0-0.00.0-0.000000000016207317.7-0.1093.0+3.118.189Lucas

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/27
Misfits 6 Blue Light Special 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills*No
Shots on You+1.3
+1.3
High Sticks+2.4
+2.4
Blue Light Special-12.1
-12.1
-0.6
Misfits+6.3
+6.3
+0.6
Grey Hawks+1.2
+1.2
Whalers+0.5
+0.5
Damaged Goods 0 High Sticks 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You-1.5
-1.5
High Sticks+7.1
+7.1
+0.3
Blue Light Special-2.0
-2.0
Misfits-0.7
-0.7
Grey Hawks-1.2
-1.2
Whalers-0.6
-0.6
Damaged Goods-0.7
-0.7
+0.5
-0.3
Surge-0.2
Shots on You 4 Purple Cobras 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You+4.6
+4.6
No
+0.2
High Sticks-1.3
-1.3
Blue Light Special-1.2
-1.2
Misfits-0.5
-0.5
Grey Hawks-0.9
-0.9
Whalers-0.4
-0.4
Blues-0.2
Damaged Goods-0.2
The Brothers-0.7
Purple Cobras+4.6
-0.1
Surge-2.6
Lucas-0.9
Grey Hawks 1 Young Guns 9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns+0.2
Shots on You+1.0
+1.0
High Sticks+1.0
+1.0
Blue Light Special+1.0
+1.0
Misfits+0.3
+0.3
Grey Hawks-3.8
-3.8
-0.3
Whalers+0.3
+0.3
Nordiques 6 Whalers 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nordiques+0.2
+0.2
+0.2
Shots on You+0.5
+0.5
High Sticks+0.4
+0.4
Blue Light Special+0.6
+0.6
Grey Hawks+0.2
+0.2
Whalers-2.2
-2.2
-0.3
Hooligans 7 Blues 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hooligans+0.4
+0.4
*No
+0.2
Blues-0.4
-0.4
+0.4
-0.2
Surge-0.2
O'Neills 9 Hardy 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills+0.5
Hardy-0.3
-0.3
-0.5
Erie County Fusion 16 Surge 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Erie County Fusion*No
+0.1
Hardy*No
The Brothers-0.6
Purple Cobras-1.9
Surge+3.2
-0.1
Lucas-0.5
The Brothers 7 Lucas 4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
The Brothers-3.6
+0.3
Purple Cobras-0.7
Surge+0.5
LucasOut
No
+3.8
-0.1
Week of 12/4
Blue Light Special vs Shots on YouIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You67.279.587.0
67.279.587.0
8.07.57.2
High Sticks63.264.466.3
63.264.466.3
Blue Light Special38.625.416.9
38.625.416.9
9.19.610.0
Hooligans vs High SticksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hooligans99.999.899.3
99.999.899.3
3.94.34.7
Shots on You80.078.276.6
80.078.276.6
7.57.57.6
High Sticks58.567.375.4
58.567.375.4
0.0*NoNo
8.48.17.7
Blue Light Special27.925.222.9
27.925.222.9
9.69.79.7
Misfits19.317.315.4
19.317.315.4
10.010.110.1
Grey Hawks11.19.88.7
11.19.88.7
Whalers3.73.22.8
3.73.22.8
Purple Cobras vs MisfitsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Shots on You80.579.377.9
80.579.377.9
High Sticks67.365.963.8
67.365.963.8
8.18.18.2
Blue Light Special28.026.625.1
28.026.625.1
9.59.69.7
Misfits10.215.121.3
10.215.121.3
10.610.29.8
Grey Hawks10.910.59.8
10.910.59.8
10.610.710.8
Blues2.21.81.4
The Brothers2.82.31.8
Purple Cobras27.135.344.5
15.916.216.4
Surge70.665.259.0
16.716.716.6
Lucas95.193.892.1
17.717.717.6
Hardy vs Grey HawksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hardy99.4*98.897.3
99.4*98.897.3
4.95.35.7
Shots on You79.378.577.4
79.378.577.4
High Sticks65.764.563.3
65.764.563.3
Blue Light Special26.4*25.825.0
26.4*25.825.0
9.69.79.7
Misfits18.2*17.717.0
18.2*17.717.0
10.010.110.2
Grey Hawks7.311.116.6
7.311.116.6
11.010.610.2
O'Neills vs WhalersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
O'Neills2.32.73.0
Shots on You79.078.577.8
79.078.577.8
High Sticks65.2*64.864.1
65.2*64.864.1
Blue Light Special26.225.725.2
26.225.725.2
9.69.79.7
Whalers2.44.06.8
2.44.06.8
12.011.611.2
Nordiques vs Damaged GoodsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nordiques99.9*99.999.6
99.9*99.999.6
3.53.94.3
Damaged Goods0.10.30.7
0.10.30.7
1.70.90.4
13.713.312.9
Erie County Fusion vs The BrothersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Erie County Fusion99.9*99.999.7
99.9*99.999.7
3.43.84.2
Blues13.513.613.7
The Brothers0.10.30.7
0.10.30.7
2.51.40.7
14.013.613.2
Surge62.463.063.4
Young Guns vs LucasHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Young Guns2.42.83.1
Purple Cobras38.640.543.2
16.216.316.4
Surge62.363.464.9
16.616.716.8
LucasOutOut0.2
NoNo0.2
93.990.585.8
17.717.617.4
Surge vs BluesHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blues0.10.20.4
0.10.20.4
4.01.20.4
14.113.713.3
The Brothers2.82.21.7
13.813.813.9
Purple Cobras46.840.734.7
16.316.316.2
Surge0.0OutOut
0.0NoNo
50.060.869.7
16.316.616.8
Lucas94.493.492.2
17.717.717.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Michael J Murphy Playoffs: There are two playoff pools; Pool A is the top 8 teams regardless of division and Pool B is teams 9-16 regardless of division. Games 17 and 18 miss the playoffs for adding this league.