Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
GER93-00-01197.0%+3.897.0%+3.860211053001.7+0.313.760Germany
LAT72-00-1482.3+22.482.3+22.418272116126003.0+0.974.688Latvia
KAZ410-20-0269.3-1.269.3-1.291822201711203.6-0.101.550Kazachstan
FIN411-00-1068.4-4.268.4-4.281720231811203.7-0.272.560Finland
USA311-01-0351.2-10.551.2-10.551116202520304.2-0.366.620United States
NOR311-01-0-130.8-5.130.8-5.11610152238815.0-0.085.461Norway
CAN00-03-0-80.5-2.20.5-2.200002842487.3-0.178.227Canada
ITA00-03-0-110.4-3.20.4-3.200001643507.4-0.307.233Italy

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Monday, 5/24
LAT 3 ITA 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER-0.7
-0.7
-0.1
LAT+10.7
+10.7
+0.5
KAZ-1.9
-1.9
-0.1
FIN-1.4
-1.4
-0.1
USA-1.9
-1.9
-0.0
NOR-1.8
-1.8
CAN-0.3
-0.3
+0.1
ITA-2.7
-2.7
-0.3
GER 3 CAN 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER+3.0
+3.0
+0.2
LAT-0.5
-0.5
-0.0
KAZ-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
FIN-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
USA-0.5
-0.5
-0.0
NOR-0.2
-0.2
CAN-1.6
-1.6
-0.2
ITA+0.1
Tuesday, 5/25
FIN vs NORIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER96.997.097.097.197.197.1
96.997.097.097.197.197.1
1.81.71.71.71.71.7
LAT82.1*82.3*82.282.482.482.4
82.1*82.3*82.282.482.482.4
KAZ68.168.968.970.270.271.1
68.168.968.970.270.271.1
3.73.63.63.63.63.6
FIN87.576.776.757.657.639.4
87.576.776.757.657.639.4
3.03.53.54.14.14.7
USA49.950.650.651.951.953.3
49.950.650.651.951.953.3
NOR14.623.623.639.839.855.8
14.623.623.639.839.855.8
5.65.25.24.74.74.2
CAN0.4*0.50.50.60.60.6
0.4*0.50.50.60.60.6
USA vs KAZHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
GER96.996.896.897.096.997.3
96.996.896.897.096.997.3
LAT82.281.681.581.881.882.9
82.281.681.581.881.882.9
2.92.92.93.03.03.0
KAZ49.466.366.382.982.991.7
49.466.366.382.982.991.7
4.43.83.83.13.12.7
FIN67.067.467.468.768.770.9
67.067.467.468.768.770.9
USA72.856.356.337.938.025.3
72.856.356.337.938.025.3
3.54.14.14.74.75.1
NOR*30.830.730.730.8*30.830.9
*30.830.730.730.8*30.830.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Zbyna-CK for adding this league.