Premier Leagee Title Chances 2016-2017

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												UEFA CL			Chance will finish season at seed																						Championship
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Chelsea	55		18	-	1	-	3	32	83.0	%	+9.3	99.7	%	+0.4	83	13	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0										1.2	+0.16	No			2	.764	Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur	46		13	-	7	-	2	29	9.0		-5.6	90.9		-0.1	9	41	26	14	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					2.8	-0.10	No			1	.748	Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal	47		14	-	5	-	3	27	5.4		+0.9	81.6		+10.4	5	26	30	21	12	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						3.3	+0.42	No			5	.701	Arsenal
Liverpool	45		13	-	6	-	3	24	1.9		-4.1	63.3		-13.6	2	13	22	27	21	12	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					4.0	-0.56	No			6	.670	Liverpool

Manchester City	43		13	-	4	-	5	15	0.6		-0.3	38.6		+3.0	1	5	12	21	28	24	8	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				4.8	+0.03	No			4	.618	Manchester City
Manchester United	41		11	-	8	-	3	12	0.2		-0.2	22.3		-2.0	0	2	6	14	24	34	16	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			5.4	-0.16	0.0	%		3	.624	Manchester United

Everton	36		10	-	6	-	6	10	0.0		+0.0	3.4		+1.8	0	0	1	2	7	19	51	15	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8	+0.23	0.0		-0.0	7	.599	Everton
West Brom	32		9	-	5	-	8	2	0.0		-0.0	0.1		+0.1	0	0	0	0	1	3	14	43	19	10	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.6	+0.38	0.0		-0.0	8	.511	West Bromwich Albion
West Ham	28		8	-	4	-	10	-7	0.0			0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	18	18	16	13	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	11.0	+0.97	0.3		-1.3	10	.423	West Ham United
Stoke City	28		7	-	7	-	8	-6	0.0		-0.0	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	17	17	16	13	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	11.0	-0.11	0.4		-0.2	9	.430	Stoke City
Southampton	27		7	-	6	-	9	-4	0.0			0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	16	17	16	14	11	8	5	2	1	0	0	0	11.2	+1.34	0.5		-2.4	11	.438	Southampton
Bournemouth	26		7	-	5	-	10	-7	0.0			0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	11	14	15	15	14	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	11.9	-0.29	1.1		-0.2	13	.429	AFC Bournemouth
Burnley	26		8	-	2	-	12	-9	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	10	13	15	15	14	11	8	5	2	1	0	0	12.0	-0.52	1.3		+0.2	12	.393	Burnley
Watford	24		6	-	6	-	10	-13	0.0			0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	8	11	14	17	16	12	8	4	2	0	13.9	+0.01	6.5		-1.4	14	.365	Watford
Leicester City	21		5	-	6	-	11	-13	No			0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	10	13	17	17	13	9	5	2	15.1	-1.01	15.7		+6.4	16	.361	Leicester City
Middlesbrough	20		4	-	8	-	10	-7	No			0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	12	16	18	15	11	6	3	15.4	-0.96	19.3		+7.4	19	.390	Middlesbrough
Crystal Palace	16		4	-	4	-	14	-11	No			0.0		-0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	10	14	19	19	15	10	17.0	-0.38	44.7		+6.5	20	.395	Crystal Palace

Swansea City	18		5	-	3	-	14	-25	No			0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	12	18	21	18	13	17.3	+1.14	52.1		-25.1	15	.301	Swansea City
Hull City	16		4	-	4	-	14	-27	No			0.0		-0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	10	17	27	36	18.6	-0.21	78.8		+3.3	17	.263	Hull City
Sunderland	15		4	-	3	-	15	-22	No			No		-0.0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	10	16	26	37	18.6	-0.39	79.2		+6.8	18	.286	Sunderland

Week of 1/31
Chelsea vs ArsenalIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	90.382.273.8		99.999.899.4				1.11.21.4
Tottenham Hotspur	6.210.111.7		91.3*90.990.2				2.72.72.8
Arsenal	1.84.710.9		76.481.489.0				3.63.32.9
Liverpool	1.32.22.5		64.6*63.461.4				4.04.04.1
Manchester City	0.40.60.7		40.2*38.636.3				4.84.84.9
Manchester United			23.6*22.320.5

Liverpool vs ChelseaHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	74.981.489.1		99.499.799.9				1.41.21.1
Tottenham Hotspur	12.210.16.2		89.690.991.6
Arsenal	7.36.03.7		79.5*81.682.9				3.43.33.3
Liverpool	4.51.60.5		74.763.156.3				3.64.14.3
Manchester City	0.80.60.4		34.4*38.741.2				4.94.84.8
Manchester United			19.4*22.324.1				5.55.45.4

Tottenham Hotspur vs MiddlesbroughHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	81.185.286.7
Tottenham Hotspur	11.36.34.4		93.788.284.2				2.62.93.2
Manchester City			37.839.440.5				4.84.84.7
Middlesbrough			NoNo0.0		22.617.29.3		15.715.314.4
Crystal Palace					44.045.346.8		16.917.017.1
Swansea City					51.452.654.4		17.317.317.4

Sunderland vs Tottenham HotspurHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	86.785.481.4						1.21.21.3
Tottenham Hotspur	4.36.111.0		83.587.793.3				3.23.02.6
Manchester City			40.839.537.9				4.74.84.8
Middlesbrough					21.719.718.8		15.515.515.4
Crystal Palace					48.045.244.1		17.117.016.9
Swansea City					55.352.651.5		17.417.317.3
Sunderland					64.777.082.2		17.918.518.7

Arsenal vs WatfordHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Chelsea	81.884.385.1
Arsenal	6.93.72.5		86.177.471.8				3.13.53.7
Liverpool	1.82.02.1		62.164.465.8				4.14.03.9
Manchester City			37.239.941.8				4.94.84.7
Manchester United			21.223.424.8				5.55.45.4
Watford			NoNo0.1		8.15.52.3		14.313.812.9

Hull City vs LiverpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal	5.55.55.3		84.182.980.6				3.23.23.3
Liverpool	0.71.12.5		49.656.569.0				4.54.33.8
Manchester City			43.841.136.5				4.74.84.9
Manchester United			25.924.020.8				5.35.45.5
Middlesbrough					21.519.618.8		15.515.515.4
Crystal Palace					48.045.144.0		17.117.016.9
Swansea City					55.352.551.4		17.417.317.3
Hull City			0.0*NoNo		64.577.082.2		17.918.518.7

Manchester City vs Swansea CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal			80.283.084.3				3.33.23.2
Liverpool			60.965.667.8				4.14.03.9
Manchester City	0.80.30.2		45.032.426.5				4.65.05.2
Manchester United			20.923.624.8				5.55.45.3
Leicester City					14.916.018.1		15.115.115.2
Middlesbrough					18.519.622.0		15.415.515.6
Crystal Palace					43.345.349.0		16.917.017.1
Swansea City			NoNo0.0		57.650.135.6		17.617.216.5
Hull City					77.979.181.4		18.518.618.7
Sunderland					78.479.681.8		18.618.618.7

West Ham vs Manchester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal			84.082.779.8				3.23.33.3
Liverpool			67.365.160.4				3.94.04.1
Manchester City	0.20.30.9		27.733.746.4				5.25.04.5
Manchester United			24.623.320.6				5.35.45.5
West Ham	0.0*NoNo				0.10.20.5		10.211.011.4

Manchester United vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal			80.682.883.7				3.33.33.2
Liverpool			61.865.066.4				4.14.04.0
Manchester City			37.440.041.1				4.94.84.7
Manchester United	0.30.10.0		26.917.112.9				5.25.65.8
Middlesbrough					18.819.621.5		15.415.515.5
Crystal Palace					43.945.147.9		16.917.017.1
Swansea City					51.352.455.2		17.317.317.4
Hull City			No*No0.0		82.577.365.0		18.718.517.9

Leicester City vs Manchester UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Arsenal			83.582.680.4				3.23.33.3
Liverpool			66.164.861.5				4.04.04.1
Manchester City			41.039.837.1				4.74.84.9
Manchester United	0.00.10.3		13.517.727.8				5.85.65.2
Leicester City			0.0NoNo		7.514.419.3		14.215.015.5
Swansea City					53.952.451.3		17.417.317.3

Stoke City vs EvertonHomeDrawAway
Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Everton			1.52.35.0		0.0NoNo		7.16.96.6
Stoke City	0.0*NoNo				0.10.30.6		10.311.011.4

Everton vs BournemouthHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Everton			5.02.31.5		NoNo0.0		6.66.97.1
Bournemouth					1.50.90.3		12.311.911.0

West Brom vs Stoke CityHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Brom	0.0NoNo						8.28.79.0
Stoke City	No*No0.0				0.60.30.1		11.511.110.3

Middlesbrough vs West BromHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Brom	NoNo0.0						9.08.78.3
Middlesbrough			0.0NoNo		10.519.224.8		14.615.515.9
Crystal Palace					46.6*44.843.5		17.017.016.9
Swansea City					54.1*52.250.9		17.417.317.2

Southampton vs West HamHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
West Ham	No*No0.0				0.60.30.1		11.611.110.3
Southampton					0.10.50.9		10.511.311.9

Watford vs BurnleyHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Burnley			0.0No0.0		2.3*1.30.4		12.712.211.3
Watford			0.0NoNo		2.86.69.8		13.114.114.6

Burnley vs Leicester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Burnley			0.00.0No		0.41.32.4		11.312.212.7
Leicester City			NoNo0.0		21.616.28.5		15.715.214.3

Bournemouth vs Crystal PalaceHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Bournemouth					0.31.02.1		11.212.012.5
Leicester City					14.615.517.2
Middlesbrough					18.019.121.1
Crystal Palace					54.146.532.4		17.517.116.3
Swansea City					49.851.655.2		17.217.317.4
Hull City					77.378.580.7		18.518.618.6
Sunderland					77.879.081.1		18.518.618.7

Swansea City vs SouthamptonHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Southampton					1.2*0.50.1		11.911.510.7
Leicester City					17.6*15.714.7
Middlesbrough					21.6*19.318.1		15.515.415.4
Crystal Palace					48.444.642.8		17.116.916.9
Swansea City			0.0NoNo		37.652.459.9		16.617.317.7
Hull City					81.0*78.777.6		18.718.618.5
Sunderland					81.4*79.278.1		18.718.618.5

Crystal Palace vs SunderlandHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Championship	100.0*	Average seed
Crystal Palace					33.448.758.9		16.417.217.6
Swansea City					53.550.751.5
Sunderland					86.779.966.5		18.918.618.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Premier Leagee Title Chances 2016-2017

Big Games