Los Angeles Chargers Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Oakland 20-6, playoff odds up 7.9 to 93.5%
7-2-0 .778
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 | +3.7 | +0.2 | ||
| Green Bay 31 Miami 12 | +1.0 | +0.0 | ||
| Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 | +0.8 | |||
| Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 | -0.6 | |||
| Tennessee 34 New England 10 | -0.6 | |||
| Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26 | -0.2 | |||
| Kansas City 26 Arizona 14 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers vs Denver | +3.2*+0.3-7.5 | +0.2+0.1-0.5 | ||
| Indianapolis vs Tennessee | +0.3*-0.6-0.4 | |||
| Baltimore vs Cincinnati | -0.1*+1.8+0.4 | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh | +0.3*+1.3-0.1 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Washington vs Houston | +0.1*+0.7-0.1 | |||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the LA Chargers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 14 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 12 | 58,785 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 80 | 20 | 333 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 39 | 4 | 0 | 57 | 328,595 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 30 | 6 | 0 | 63 | 1,333 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 729,979 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 0 | 2,541 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 94 | 4 | 0 | 824,764 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 9 | 0 | 2,178 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 92.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 509,914 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 81.0 | 37 | 44 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 986 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 38.9 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 171,845 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 16.9 | 1 | 15 | 34 | 31 | 16 | 2 | 213 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29,525 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 24 | 67 | 10 | 21 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 1 | 7 | 27 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 2,166 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 93.5 | % | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,663,184 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 | -0.4 | |
| Kansas City 26 Arizona 14 | +0.1 | |
| Green Bay 31 Miami 12 | -0.0 | |
| Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 | -0.0 | |
| Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| San Francisco vs NY Giants | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers vs Denver | -0.5-0.1+1.0 | |
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.2-0.3+0.3 | |
| Arizona vs Oakland | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Indianapolis vs Tennessee | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | |
| Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Baltimore vs Cincinnati | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 14 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 42 | 45 | 12 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 38 | 42 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 63 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 25 | 31 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 30 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 19 | 14 | 29 | 38 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
