"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleNPL Champions LeagueChance will finish season at seedNPL 2
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength11/4
MVLA 04G Barcel933-0-0378.0%+3.098.4%+0.2781352100001.4+0.060.0%-0.01.613Palo Alto SC 04MVLA 04G Barcelona White
San Jose EarthqWSanta Clara Spo 5-1622-0-244.8+3.871.4+39.652622181396103.6+1.951.2-20.24.645San Jose Earthquakes Pre-DA 05G
Santa Rosa Unit531-2-0110.3+0.767.7+1.11022201513107303.7+0.093.0-1.02.537at California ThorSanta Rosa United 04G ECNL
Pleasanton RAGETPalo Alto SC 04 0-0812-2-113.1-4.270.0-6.4322232215104103.7-0.380.6-0.73.544at Force North 04GPleasanton RAGE 04 ECNL
Palo Alto SC 04TPleasanton RAGE 0-092-3-101.7-2.241.2-10.526141926258004.7-0.310.4-1.56.489at MVLA 04G BarcelPalo Alto SC 04G Blue
California Thor521-2-111.8-0.428.4-7.526912162026915.5-0.2410.0-3.07.529Santa Rosa UnitCalifornia Thorns U14 Academy 2
Barcelona Bay A421-1-200.3-0.120.7-3.1046101319291626.0-0.0618.2-5.85.483Santa Clara SpoBarcelona Bay Area 04G NPL
Santa Clara SpoLSan Jose Earthq 1-5220-2-2-50.0-0.61.8-13.40001361746267.8-1.2172.0+32.08.317at Barcelona Bay ASanta Clara Sporting 04G Green
Force North 04G030-0-3-50.00.3-0.1000001424718.6+0.1094.6+0.29.211Pleasanton RAGEForce North 04G NPL

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/7
Santa Clara Spo 3 California Thor 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel+1.6
+0.1
San Jose Earthq+0.1
+1.3
+0.1
Santa Rosa Unit+0.1
+1.2
-0.1
Pleasanton RAGE+0.2
+1.5
-0.1
+0.1
Palo Alto SC 04+0.2
+1.7
-0.1
+0.1
California Thor-1.9
-4.5
-0.4
-0.2
Barcelona Bay A+1.1
-0.2
Santa Clara Spo-0.4
-2.6
+1.0
-0.1
Force North 04G-0.2
Week of 10/14
MVLA 04G Barcel vs Santa Rosa UnitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel94.277.053.1
99.998.695.6
No0.00.0
1.11.41.8
San Jose Earthq2.16.36.9
73.171.368.9
1.21.21.3
3.63.63.8
Santa Rosa Unit0.77.729.6
55.368.187.0
5.22.40.3
4.43.72.6
Pleasanton RAGE1.24.04.9
72.569.966.3
0.50.60.7
3.63.73.9
Palo Alto SC 040.72.32.5
44.241.036.6
4.64.74.8
California Thor0.92.32.5
30.328.425.5
9.710.010.3
5.45.55.6
Barcelona Bay A0.10.40.5
22.220.618.4
17.718.318.8
5.96.06.1
Santa Clara Spo2.1*1.81.4
71.172.373.1
Force North 04G0.3*0.30.2
94.294.795.0
Force North 04G vs Santa Clara SpoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel98.498.498.3
San Jose Earthq*71.471.671.3
1.40.81.5
Santa Rosa Unit67.968.067.2
2.62.33.9
Pleasanton RAGE70.070.269.9
0.90.40.6
Palo Alto SC 0441.641.540.6
0.20.20.8
California Thor28.728.628.1
6.96.814.8
5.45.45.6
Barcelona Bay A20.820.820.5
13.814.724.3
5.95.96.1
Santa Clara Spo0.20.64.0
89.378.454.8
8.57.97.2
Force North 04G1.00.10.0
84.996.799.2
8.08.79.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Geoff Stahl for adding this league.