Norcal Girls U14 NPL 1 West Title Chances 2017Fall

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												NPL Champions League			Chance will finish season at seed											NPL 2
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

MVLA 04G Barcel	9	3	3	-	0	-	0	3	78.0	%	+3.0	98.4	%	+0.2	78	13	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	1.4	+0.06	0.0	%	-0.0	1	.613	MVLA 04G Barcelona White
San Jose Earthq	6	2	2	-	0	-	2	4	4.8		+3.8	71.4		+39.6	5	26	22	18	13	9	6	1	0	3.6	+1.95	1.2		-20.2	4	.645	San Jose Earthquakes Pre-DA 05G
Santa Rosa Unit	5	3	1	-	2	-	0	1	10.3		+0.7	67.7		+1.1	10	22	20	15	13	10	7	3	0	3.7	+0.09	3.0		-1.0	2	.537	Santa Rosa United 04G ECNL
Pleasanton RAGE	8	1	2	-	2	-	1	1	3.1		-4.2	70.0		-6.4	3	22	23	22	15	10	4	1	0	3.7	-0.38	0.6		-0.7	3	.544	Pleasanton RAGE 04 ECNL

Palo Alto SC 04	9		2	-	3	-	1	0	1.7		-2.2	41.2		-10.5	2	6	14	19	26	25	8	0	0	4.7	-0.31	0.4		-1.5	6	.489	Palo Alto SC 04G Blue
California Thor	5	2	1	-	2	-	1	1	1.8		-0.4	28.4		-7.5	2	6	9	12	16	20	26	9	1	5.5	-0.24	10.0		-3.0	7	.529	California Thorns U14 Academy 2
Barcelona Bay A	4	2	1	-	1	-	2	0	0.3		-0.1	20.7		-3.1	0	4	6	10	13	19	29	16	2	6.0	-0.06	18.2		-5.8	5	.483	Barcelona Bay Area 04G NPL

Santa Clara Spo	2	2	0	-	2	-	2	-5	0.0		-0.6	1.8		-13.4	0	0	0	1	3	6	17	46	26	7.8	-1.21	72.0		+32.0	8	.317	Santa Clara Sporting 04G Green
Force North 04G	0	3	0	-	0	-	3	-5	0.0			0.3		-0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	24	71	8.6	+0.10	94.6		+0.2	9	.211	Force North 04G NPL

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/7
Santa Clara Spo 3 California Thor 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	NPL Champions League	100.0*	NPL 2	100.0*	Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel	+1.6		+0.1
San Jose Earthq	+0.1		+1.3				+0.1
Santa Rosa Unit	+0.1		+1.2		-0.1
Pleasanton RAGE	+0.2		+1.5		-0.1		+0.1
Palo Alto SC 04	+0.2		+1.7		-0.1		+0.1
California Thor	-1.9		-4.5		-0.4		-0.2
Barcelona Bay A			+1.1		-0.2
Santa Clara Spo	-0.4		-2.6		+1.0		-0.1
Force North 04G					-0.2

Week of 10/14
MVLA 04G Barcel vs Santa Rosa UnitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	NPL Champions League	100.0*	NPL 2	100.0*	Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel	94.277.053.1		99.998.695.6		No0.00.0		1.11.41.8
San Jose Earthq	2.16.36.9		73.171.368.9		1.21.21.3		3.63.63.8
Santa Rosa Unit	0.77.729.6		55.368.187.0		5.22.40.3		4.43.72.6
Pleasanton RAGE	1.24.04.9		72.569.966.3		0.50.60.7		3.63.73.9
Palo Alto SC 04	0.72.32.5		44.241.036.6				4.64.74.8
California Thor	0.92.32.5		30.328.425.5		9.710.010.3		5.45.55.6
Barcelona Bay A	0.10.40.5		22.220.618.4		17.718.318.8		5.96.06.1
Santa Clara Spo			2.1*1.81.4		71.172.373.1
Force North 04G			0.3*0.30.2		94.294.795.0

Force North 04G vs Santa Clara SpoHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	NPL Champions League	100.0*	NPL 2	100.0*	Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel			98.498.498.3
San Jose Earthq			*71.471.671.3		1.40.81.5
Santa Rosa Unit			67.968.067.2		2.62.33.9
Pleasanton RAGE			70.070.269.9		0.90.40.6
Palo Alto SC 04			41.641.540.6		0.20.20.8
California Thor			28.728.628.1		6.96.814.8		5.45.45.6
Barcelona Bay A			20.820.820.5		13.814.724.3		5.95.96.1
Santa Clara Spo			0.20.64.0		89.378.454.8		8.57.97.2
Force North 04G			1.00.10.0		84.996.799.2		8.08.79.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Geoff Stahl for adding this league.