Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength2/1
FlamengoWAthletico-PR 1-06921-6-516Yes+0.0Yes1001.0No2.669at Sport RecifeClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-MGTVasco da Gama 0-04912-13-711No-0.097.3%+0.7423014842100003.1+0.09No3.495FortalezaClube Atletico Mineiro
Sao PauloTCoritiba 0-05010-20-212No-0.097.0+0.240291585210003.2No1.504at Atletico-GOSao Paulo Futebol Clube
InternacionalTGremio 0-04610-16-611No78.1+2.9614222016126210000005.1+0.13No-0.04.469BragantinoSport Club Internacional
PalmeirasTCeara 0-04319-16-66No62.7+0.659141718161252110000005.8+0.070.0%-0.05.454BotafogoSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
FluminenseTBotafogo 0-04410-14-85No60.3-1.33814171817136210000006.0-0.040.08.451GoiasFluminense Football Club
GremioTInternacional 0-0448-20-46No52.7+3.426111518191673110000006.3+0.210.0-0.06.451at CoritibaGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
SantosTGoias 0-0439-16-74No43.5-3.21491316181995211000006.8-0.110.0-0.07.443CorinthiansSantos Futebol Clube
Athletico-PRLFlamengo 0-1378-13-11-3No2.2-1.300011371414131110876410011.6-0.365.5+1.512.390at CearaClube Athletico Paranaense
BahiaTSport Recife 0-0378-13-11-7No2.2-0.400011371314131210975310011.6+0.094.9-0.814.390at Vasco da GamaEsporte Clube Bahia
FortalezaTAtletico-GO 0-0377-16-91No1.8-0.400001361113131211986420011.9+0.066.3-0.913.390at Atletico-MGFortaleza Esporte Clube
Sport RecifeTBahia 0-0367-15-10-9No0.5-0.2000001269101112121111952013.3-0.0714.9+0.217.382FlamengoSport Club do Recife
BragantinoTCorinthians 0-0366-18-81No0.5-0.2000001268101112121111951013.4-0.0115.4-0.516.382at InternacionalClube Atletico Bragantino
CorinthiansTBragantino 0-0366-18-8-5No0.4-0.2000001268910111212121151013.5-0.0817.2+0.310.382at SantosSport Club Corinthians Paulista
CearaTPalmeiras 0-0356-17-9-6No0.3-0.2000001257910111112121073013.8+0.0720.5-0.715.373Athletico-PRCeara Sporting Club
Vasco da GamaTAtletico-MG 0-03416-16-9-4No0.5-0.100000125789101112121273013.9+0.1122.3-1.111.374BahiaClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Atletico-GOTFortaleza 0-0355-20-7-8No0.2-0.10000014679101112131494014.3-0.0926.4+0.99.373Sao PauloAtletico Clube Goianiense
CoritibaTSao Paulo 0-0305-15-12-11No0.0-0.00000001123471226331017.8+0.0381.6-0.218.329GremioCoritiba Football Club
BotafogoTFluminense 0-0303-21-8-7No0.0-0.0000000112361025341718.1-0.0586.3+1.019.329at PalmeirasBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
GoiasTSantos 0-0263-17-12-13NoNo0000000127187119.5-0.0598.5+0.420.295at FluminenseGoias Esporte Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 1/25
Athletico-PR 0 Flamengo 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MGNo
Internacional+0.3
*No
Palmeiras+0.3
Fluminense+0.3
Gremio+0.3
Santos+0.3
Athletico-PR-1.9
+1.7
-0.6
Sao Paulo 0 Coritiba 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-1.0
-0.2
Gremio+0.3
Corinthians-0.1
Ceara-0.1
Vasco da Gama-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.1
Coritiba+1.2
-0.1
Vasco da Gama 0 Atletico-MG 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-0.6
-0.2
Bragantino-0.1
Ceara-0.1
Vasco da Gama-0.3
+0.6
-0.2
Santos 0 Goias 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+0.4
Sao Paulo+0.3
Internacional+1.5
Palmeiras+1.8
Fluminense+1.9
Gremio+1.6
Santos-8.5
-0.4
Goias+0.6
-0.0
Fluminense 0 Botafogo 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.3
Internacional+1.3
Palmeiras+1.5
Fluminense-7.4
-0.4
Gremio+1.4
Santos+1.6
Athletico-PR+0.2
Sport Recife-0.2
Bragantino-0.2
Corinthians-0.2
Ceara-0.2
Vasco da Gama-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.4
Coritiba-0.2
Botafogo+1.9
-0.1
Ceara 0 Palmeiras 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+1.0
Palmeiras-5.1
-0.3
Fluminense+1.2
Gremio+1.0
Santos+1.3
Bragantino-0.2
Ceara-0.3
+1.1
-0.3
Vasco da Gama-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.1
Coritiba-0.1
Internacional 0 Gremio 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional-2.2
-0.2
Palmeiras+1.1
Fluminense+1.1
Gremio-2.5
-0.1
Santos+1.3
Sport Recife 0 Bahia 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia-1.1
-0.3
-0.2
Sport Recife-0.4
+1.6
-0.4
Ceara-0.2
Vasco da Gama-0.2
Coritiba-0.2
Atletico-GO 0 Fortaleza 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-1.0
-0.1
-0.3
Sport Recife-0.3
Bragantino-0.3
Corinthians-0.4
Ceara-0.3
Vasco da Gama-0.3
Atletico-GO+2.4
-0.3
Coritiba-0.3
Botafogo-0.3
Corinthians 0 Bragantino 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino-0.4
+0.6
-0.3
Corinthians-0.4
+1.6
-0.4
Week of 2/1
Coritiba vs GremioIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional81.079.375.5
5.05.05.2
Palmeiras66.564.359.5
5.75.85.9
Fluminense64.061.657.1
5.85.96.1
Gremio35.445.967.3
0.00.0No
7.26.75.6
Santos47.245.040.3
6.76.86.9
Coritiba0.0NoNo
66.584.489.9
16.917.918.3
Fluminense vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional76.079.681.1
5.25.04.9
Palmeiras60.064.666.6
5.95.75.7
Fluminense73.151.241.9
5.36.46.9
Gremio49.854.556.9
6.46.36.2
Santos40.645.547.4
6.96.86.7
Santos vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras59.764.365.8
5.95.85.7
Fluminense57.061.963.5
6.15.95.9
Gremio49.454.156.2
6.46.36.2
Santos58.436.727.9
No0.00.0
6.07.17.7
Corinthians0.00.11.1
25.617.65.3
14.513.812.1
Palmeiras vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras75.755.445.7
No0.00.0
5.16.26.7
Fluminense57.461.964.0
6.15.95.8
Gremio49.754.256.6
6.46.36.2
Santos40.745.247.0
6.96.86.7
Botafogo92.988.372.6
18.618.217.2
Internacional vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional89.673.664.0
4.45.45.9
Fluminense57.961.363.0
6.15.95.9
Gremio50.453.655.5
6.46.36.2
Santos41.144.646.2
6.96.86.8
Bragantino0.00.21.4
22.715.24.2
14.213.511.8
Atletico-MG vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG99.496.894.2
2.73.33.6
Fortaleza0.51.14.7
9.85.71.0
12.712.010.4
Atletico-GO vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo93.596.699.3
3.73.32.8
Atletico-GO0.60.10.0
10.426.636.4
12.814.515.2
Vasco da Gama vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.51.14.6
9.64.40.5
12.811.810.2
Vasco da Gama1.10.20.1
9.124.934.2
12.514.215.0
Ceara vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR0.51.24.7
10.55.20.8
12.711.810.2
Ceara0.70.10.0
7.722.732.1
12.414.215.0
Sport Recife vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife1.70.30.1
3.312.919.6
11.513.213.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.