Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength2/18
FlamengoWBragantino 1-07623-7-520Yes+0.2Yes1001.0No2.685CorinthiansClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Sao PauloTCeara 0-06416-16-325No-0.2Yes98202.0+0.02No1.586at GremioSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Atletico-MGTFluminense 0-05715-12-812NoYes+0.127715513.3+0.11No3.528BahiaClube Atletico Mineiro
InternacionalTSport Recife 0-05513-16-615No98.7%+1.2014512410104.3+0.01No4.511at Vasco da GamaSport Club Internacional
GremioTBotafogo 0-05311-20-412No91.3+2.141937317105.2+0.01No5.495Sao PauloGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
PalmeirasTCoritiba 0-05212-16-711No85.9+1.33143038112005.5-0.04No6.486FortalezaSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
SantosTAtletico-GO 0-04710-17-83No10.6-1.6028302820820007.9+0.05No7.445CoritibaSantos Futebol Clube
FluminenseTAtletico-MG 0-04711-14-105No9.8-0.502833261993007.9+0.14No9.445at CearaFluminense Football Club
CorinthiansTAthletico-PR 0-04710-17-80No3.7-2.20131329321561008.6-0.07No8.445at FlamengoSport Club Corinthians Paulista
CearaTSao Paulo 0-0439-16-100No0.1-0.2039173025114100010.2+0.240.0%-0.010.412FluminenseCeara Sporting Club
Atletico-GOTSantos 0-0428-18-9-7NoNo-0.102718282314620011.4+0.010.0-0.111.404at Athletico-PRAtletico Clube Goianiense
Athletico-PRTCorinthians 0-04110-11-14-5NoNo-0.002515232716831011.7+0.070.0-0.212.395Atletico-GOClube Athletico Paranaense
FortalezaTVasco da Gama 0-0397-18-10-1NoNo012616232215105013.7-0.095.4-1.613.379at PalmeirasFortaleza Esporte Clube
BragantinoLFlamengo 0-1387-17-11-1NoNo0014121923181391014.1-0.309.7+2.015.371at Sport RecifeClube Atletico Bragantino
Sport RecifeTInternacional 0-0368-12-15-14NoNo01591421232340015.3+0.2227.1-5.816.354BragantinoSport Club do Recife
BahiaTGoias 0-0368-12-15-15NoNo01381320242640015.5-0.1430.8+3.017.354at Atletico-MGEsporte Clube Bahia
Vasco da GamaTFortaleza 0-0367-15-13-14NoNo01371221242481015.6-0.0833.1-0.814.354InternacionalClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
GoiasTBahia 0-0305-15-15-16NoNo012633322518.7-0.1296.6+2.218.304BotafogoGoias Esporte Clube
BotafogoTGremio 0-0314-19-12-14NoNo0012536332318.797.8+1.019.313at GoiasBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
CoritibaTPalmeiras 0-0295-14-16-16NoNo00113335219.3-0.0599.5+0.420.296at SantosCoritiba Football Club

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/14
Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYes
Sao PauloNo
Bragantino+3.5
-0.5
Sport Recife-0.7
Bahia-0.8
Vasco da Gama-1.0
Sao Paulo 0 Ceara 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYes
Sao PauloNo
Ceara-0.0
Coritiba 0 Palmeiras 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.5
Palmeiras-5.0
-0.3
Santos+1.7
Fluminense+1.6
Corinthians+0.8
Coritiba+0.5
Atletico-GO 0 Santos 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+0.5
Gremio+1.5
Palmeiras+2.2
Santos-4.7
Atletico-GONo
-0.2
Fluminense 0 Atletico-MG 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+0.1
Gremio+0.9
Palmeiras+1.5
Santos+0.4
Fluminense-3.4
Corinthians 0 Athletico-PR 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.9
Palmeiras+1.2
Corinthians-3.3
-0.2
Athletico-PRNo
-0.1
Botafogo 0 Gremio 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio-2.4
-0.2
Palmeiras+0.6
Santos+0.8
Fluminense+0.5
Corinthians+0.4
Sport Recife-0.3
Bahia-0.3
Vasco da Gama-0.3
Botafogo+1.3
Internacional 0 Sport Recife 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional-0.5
-0.2
Bragantino+0.2
Sport Recife-1.1
-0.0
Bahia+0.3
Vasco da Gama+0.5
Botafogo+0.2
Bahia 0 Goias 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-0.5
Bragantino-1.1
Sport Recife-2.5
Bahia+4.6
-0.3
Vasco da Gama-2.4
Goias+2.5
Botafogo-0.2
Fortaleza 0 Vasco da Gama 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-1.4
-0.2
Bragantino-0.2
Sport Recife+0.3
Vasco da Gama+1.3
-0.2
Palmeiras vs FortalezaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras96.982.370.5
5.05.76.1
Santos6.711.915.8
8.07.97.8
Fluminense5.611.515.3
8.07.97.9
CearaNoNo0.3
10.210.210.3
Fortaleza9.82.80.1
14.413.712.5
Ceara vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio93.692.688.2
Palmeiras89.488.580.8
5.45.45.6
Fluminense2.24.720.2
8.68.07.2
Ceara0.2NoNo
9.310.510.9
Santos vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio88.793.494.5
Palmeiras82.389.190.0
5.55.45.4
Santos18.04.21.5
7.48.28.7
CoritibaYesYes98.2
19.619.418.8
Gremio vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio99.093.784.1
4.65.35.7
Santos7.89.613.1
Flamengo vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians0.62.414.2
9.08.57.6
Vasco da Gama vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional96.498.8Yes
4.94.54.0
Sport Recife34.828.122.2
15.515.315.2
Bahia39.332.025.4
15.715.515.3
Vasco da Gama8.431.447.9
14.515.716.3
Sport Recife vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino20.96.80.1
15.214.313.0
Sport Recife4.930.747.3
14.215.616.2
Bahia35.231.026.2
15.615.415.5
Vasco da Gama37.132.629.4
15.715.515.6
Atletico-MG vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino7.69.614.2
14.014.114.4
Sport Recife23.027.935.2
15.215.315.6
Bahia42.828.86.4
16.015.514.3
Vasco da Gama29.033.841.4
15.515.615.9
Goias vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias91.899.2Yes
18.018.819.4
Botafogo99.999.394.5
19.318.818.0
Athletico-PR vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO0.00.0No
12.311.510.3
Athletico-PRNo0.00.1
10.711.912.6
Week of 2/22
Santos vs FluminenseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras84.091.784.0
5.55.45.5
Santos23.14.60.8
7.18.18.8
Fluminense1.35.022.2
8.78.07.0
Palmeiras vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras97.083.071.3
5.05.76.1
Santos6.711.615.5
Fluminense5.611.215.0
CearaNoNo0.3
10.110.110.4
Atletico-GO0.00.0No
12.011.510.4
Atletico-MG vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras76.386.697.7
6.05.64.8
Santos13.910.46.4
7.97.98.0
Fluminense13.3*9.85.3
7.97.98.0
Ceara0.2NoNo
Gremio vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio98.691.579.3
4.85.45.8
Santos8.010.414.9
Fluminense7.79.513.4
Athletico-PR0.10.0No
12.311.710.7
Bragantino vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio79.591.798.6
5.85.44.8
Santos14.710.38.0
7.97.98.0
Fluminense13.39.47.7
7.97.98.0
Bragantino0.49.116.0
13.014.314.8
Bahia vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio94.593.187.9
5.25.25.3
Palmeiras89.988.881.2
5.45.45.6
Santos1.84.920.2
8.68.17.3
Bragantino14.08.96.9
14.314.114.0
Sport Recife34.826.721.5
15.515.315.2
Bahia7.532.347.2
14.515.716.1
Vasco da Gama41.032.627.6
15.915.615.5
Fluminense vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras81.688.689.7
5.55.45.4
Fluminense18.44.11.9
7.38.28.6
Fortaleza10.33.00.1
14.413.812.5
Internacional vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
InternacionalYes99.396.5
3.94.44.8
Corinthians0.41.510.1
9.28.77.8
Corinthians vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians7.31.00.3
8.08.99.4
Bragantino7.98.813.2
14.014.114.4
Sport Recife21.827.834.7
15.215.315.5
Bahia25.031.739.2
15.315.515.7
Vasco da Gama49.032.38.7
16.315.714.5
Flamengo vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional97.999.4Yes
4.64.33.8
Ceara vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara0.2NoNo
9.510.611.0
Botafogo99.999.193.1
19.018.818.1
Coritiba vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CearaNoNo0.2
11.010.69.5
Coritiba98.5YesYes
18.819.419.6
Vasco da Gama vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino12.46.78.2
14.314.014.0
Sport Recife33.424.920.1
15.515.215.1
Bahia37.928.523.0
15.615.415.3
Vasco da Gama10.539.159.2
14.815.916.6
GoiasYes99.489.9
19.118.818.1
Fortaleza vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza0.02.413.9
12.613.914.8
Bragantino7.39.212.9
14.214.014.1
Sport Recife21.927.333.2
15.315.315.4
Bahia49.733.55.9
16.315.714.3
Vasco da Gama28.633.538.4
15.615.615.7
Athletico-PR vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PRNo0.00.1
10.911.812.6
Sport Recife42.228.36.5
16.015.514.2
Bahia25.330.837.9
15.415.515.7
Vasco da Gama28.032.740.1
15.515.615.8
Sport Recife vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife5.725.739.0
14.215.415.9
Bahia38.131.726.5
15.715.515.4
Vasco da Gama40.333.629.1
15.915.615.5
Goias vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino20.410.70.5
15.014.513.2
Goias90.799.0Yes
18.118.819.1
Botafogo vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo90.798.799.8
18.018.718.9
Atletico-GO vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GONo0.00.1
10.711.712.2
CoritibaYesYes98.4
19.619.418.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.