Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
MondayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength12/3
FlamengoWCorinthians 1-010836-0-036100.0%+0.0Yes10001.0No1.939InternacionalClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Sao Pauloat Gremio0350-0-1-10.033.7%+0.5087766665555555444439.9+0.0615.5%-0.21.482at BotafogoSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Internacionalat Vasco da Gama0350-0-1-10.033.6+0.4087766665555555444439.9+0.0615.5-0.21.482at FlamengoSport Club Internacional
Bragantinoat Sport Recife0340-0-2-20.025.5+0.50555555555555555555511.1+0.0821.6-0.41.463at GoiasClube Atletico Bragantino
Vasco da GamaInternacional0340-0-2-20.025.5+0.40555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.41.463at CorinthiansClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
SantosCoritiba0340-0-2-2No-0.025.5+0.5555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.31.463FluminenseSantos Futebol Clube
GoiasBotafogo0340-0-2-20.025.5+0.50555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.41.463BragantinoGoias Esporte Clube
CearaFluminense0340-0-2-2No-0.025.4+0.4555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.41.463at CoritibaCeara Sporting Club
Fortalezaat Palmeiras0340-0-2-20.025.5+0.50555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.41.463BahiaFortaleza Esporte Clube
Fluminenseat Ceara0340-0-2-2No-0.025.4+0.4555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.41.463at SantosFluminense Football Club
Bahiaat Atletico-MG0340-0-2-20.025.5+0.40555555555555555555611.1+0.0621.7-0.31.463at FortalezaEsporte Clube Bahia
PalmeirasFortaleza0340-0-2-2No-0.025.4+0.4555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.41.463Atletico-GOSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-MGBahia0340-0-2-20.025.5+0.40555555555555555555511.1+0.0621.7-0.31.463at Sport RecifeClube Atletico Mineiro
Botafogoat Goias0340-0-2-20.025.4+0.50555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.41.463Sao PauloBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Atletico-GOat Athletico-PR0340-0-2-20.025.4+0.40555555555555555555511.1+0.0721.7-0.31.463at PalmeirasAtletico Clube Goianiense
CorinthiansLFlamengo 0-10340-0-2-20.0-0.025.4-7.80555555555555555555511.1-1.1921.7+5.91.463Vasco da GamaSport Club Corinthians Paulista
GremioSao Paulo0340-0-2-20.025.4+0.40555555555555555555511.1+0.0621.7-0.31.463Athletico-PRGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Athletico-PRAtletico-GO0340-0-2-2No-0.025.4+0.4555555555555555555511.1+0.0621.7-0.31.463at GremioClube Athletico Paranaense
Coritibaat Santos0340-0-2-20.025.4+0.40555555555555555555511.1+0.0621.7-0.31.463CearaCoritiba Football Club
Sport RecifeBragantino0340-0-2-2No-0.025.4+0.4555555555555555555511.1+0.0621.8-0.31.463Atletico-MGSport Club do Recife

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/4
Flamengo 1 Atletico-MG 0
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+1.9
+6.7
-5.2
+1.1
Sao Paulo-0.1
+0.1
Internacional-0.1
Bragantino-0.1
Vasco da Gama-0.1
Santos-0.1
+0.1
Goias-0.1
Ceara-0.1
+0.1
Fortaleza-0.1
Fluminense-0.1
Bahia-0.1
Palmeiras-0.1
Atletico-MG-1.5
-5.5
+4.5
-0.9
Botafogo-0.1
Atletico-GO-0.1
Corinthians-0.1
Gremio-0.1
+0.1
Athletico-PR-0.1
Coritiba-0.1
Sport Recife-0.1
Coritiba vs InternacionalIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo*33.734.033.6
InternacionalNoNo0.0
27.631.741.0
19.616.410.8
10.810.18.8
Fluminense*25.425.725.2
21.821.5*21.7
Corinthians*25.425.725.3
Gremio*25.525.725.3
Coritiba31.923.520.0
16.023.126.7
10.111.412.0
Goias vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao PauloNoNo0.0
27.731.741.1
19.516.410.9
10.710.18.8
Bragantino*25.425.825.4
Vasco da Gama*25.425.725.3
21.821.5*21.7
Goias32.123.520.0
15.923.026.7
10.111.412.0
Athletico-PR*25.325.725.3
21.921.6*21.7
Sport Recife vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara20.323.832.2
26.522.715.7
12.011.410.0
Bahia25.325.7*25.4
Sport Recife31.723.419.9
16.123.127.0
10.111.412.1
Botafogo vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino*25.425.825.3
Fortaleza25.425.8*25.4
Bahia20.323.832.2
26.522.715.8
12.011.410.0
Botafogo31.723.419.9
16.023.127.0
10.111.412.1
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza31.823.420.0
16.023.227.0
10.111.412.1
Athletico-PR20.223.732.2
26.622.815.8
12.011.410.0
Corinthians vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO20.323.832.1
26.522.815.7
12.011.410.0
Corinthians31.823.419.9
16.123.126.9
10.111.412.1
Gremio vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense20.323.732.2
26.422.715.8
12.011.410.0
Palmeiras25.325.7*25.4
Gremio31.823.419.9
16.123.127.0
10.111.412.1
Santos vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino20.323.832.2
26.522.615.7
12.011.410.0
Santos31.923.420.0
16.123.126.9
10.111.412.1
Bahia*25.425.725.3
Palmeiras vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama20.323.832.2
26.522.815.7
12.011.410.0
Palmeiras31.723.419.9
16.023.126.9
10.111.412.1
Week of 5/11
Atletico-GO 0 Flamengo 1
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+2.1
+7.1
-5.5
+1.1
Sao Paulo+0.1
Internacional-0.1
Bragantino-0.1
Vasco da Gama-0.1
Santos-0.1
Goias-0.1
Ceara-0.1
Fortaleza-0.1
Fluminense-0.1
Bahia-0.1
Atletico-MG-0.1
Botafogo-0.1
Atletico-GO-1.6
-5.9
+4.9
-1.0
Gremio-0.1
Athletico-PR-0.1
Coritiba-0.1
Sport Recife-0.1
Internacional vs SantosIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo33.634.0*33.7
Internacional0.0NoNo
40.631.227.2
11.116.720.0
8.910.210.8
Santos20.424.032.5
26.322.615.6
12.011.310.0
Bahia25.325.7*25.5
Botafogo25.325.8*25.4
*21.721.521.8
Sao Paulo vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo0.0NoNo
40.731.227.2
11.016.719.9
8.910.210.8
Internacional*33.534.033.5
*15.515.415.7
Goias25.325.8*25.5
Fortaleza20.524.032.5
26.322.615.7
12.011.310.0
Fluminense25.325.7*25.4
Atletico-GO25.325.7*25.4
Corinthians25.325.7*25.4
Gremio25.325.8*25.3
*21.721.621.8
Sport Recife25.325.7*25.3
Athletico-PR vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias20.323.932.2
26.522.715.8
12.011.410.0
Ceara25.325.7*25.4
Athletico-PR31.723.419.8
16.123.227.0
10.111.412.1
Vasco da Gama vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama31.723.420.0
16.023.126.9
10.111.412.1
Goias*25.425.825.4
Sport Recife20.223.732.2
26.622.815.8
12.011.410.0
Ceara vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara31.723.419.9
15.923.126.9
10.111.412.1
Fluminense25.325.7*25.4
Gremio20.323.732.2
26.622.715.8
12.011.410.0
Athletico-PR*25.425.725.2
Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG31.723.419.9
16.123.227.0
10.111.412.1
Corinthians20.323.832.2
26.522.715.7
12.011.410.0
Bragantino vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino31.823.420.0
16.023.026.9
10.111.412.1
Santos25.425.8*25.5
Botafogo20.323.832.2
26.522.715.8
12.011.410.0
Bahia vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia31.723.420.0
16.123.227.0
10.111.412.1
Coritiba20.223.732.2
26.622.815.7
12.011.410.0
Fluminense vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense31.823.320.0
16.023.126.9
10.111.412.1
Palmeiras20.323.832.1
26.522.815.7
12.011.410.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.