Scottish Premiership Playoff Chances 2021-2022

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed														Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Aberdeen	6		2	-	0	-	0	3	76.5	%	+11.6	20	16	13	11	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	4.3	+0.96	2.6	%	-3.4	1	.495	Aberdeen Football Club
Hibernian	6		2	-	0	-	0	4	75.4		+16.1	19	15	13	11	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	4.4	+1.33	2.8		-4.9	5	.490	Hibernian Football Club
Hearts	6		2	-	0	-	0	2	73.1		+0.8	17	15	13	11	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	4.6	+0.02	3.3		-0.5	3	.482	Heart of Midlothian Football Club
Celtic	3		1	-	0	-	1	5	62.2		+25.3	11	11	11	10	10	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	5.5	+2.04	6.0		-13.0	4	.493	Celtic Football Club
Rangers	3		1	-	0	-	1	2	61.8		-0.2	10	11	11	10	10	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	5.6	-0.04	6.1		-0.6	6	.490	The Rangers Football Club
St Johnstone	2		0	-	2	-	0	0	45.2		-10.5	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	10	10	9	9	8	6.9	-0.84	12.3		+3.1	11	.462	St Johnstone Football Club

Dundee Utd	3		1	-	0	-	1	-1	42.5		+0.4	4	6	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	10	10	9	7.1	+0.05	13.6		-1.5	1	.442	Dundee United Football Club
Ross County	1		0	-	1	-	1	-3	39.8		-15.0	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	10	10	10	10	10	7.3	-1.20	15.2		+5.8	9	.462	Ross County Football Club
Motherwell	1		0	-	1	-	1	-1	36.7		-1.8	3	5	6	7	8	8	9	10	10	11	11	11	7.6	-0.12	17.1		-0.7	9	.453	Motherwell Football Club
St Mirren	1		0	-	1	-	1	-1	36.3		+0.4	3	5	6	7	8	8	9	10	10	11	12	12	7.6	+0.06	17.4		-1.7	6	.453	Saint Mirren Football Club

Dundee	1		0	-	1	-	1	-6	27.8		-17.8	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	11	12	14	17	8.3	-1.46	24.0		+10.4	11	.429	Dundee Football Club

Livingston	0		0	-	0	-	2	-4	22.7		-9.3	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	9	11	13	16	22	8.8	-0.79	29.5		+6.9	6	.427	Livingston Football Club

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 8/21
St Johnstone vs Dundee UtdIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aberdeen	76.476.876.4
Hibernian	75.375.775.3
Hearts	73.073.573.1
Celtic	62.162.662.1
Rangers	61.662.261.6		*6.16.06.1
St Johnstone	53.543.137.1		8.313.016.4		6.27.07.5
Dundee Utd	35.341.251.7		17.413.99.0		7.77.26.4
Ross County	39.740.239.7		*15.215.115.3
Motherwell	36.637.136.6		*17.117.017.2
St Mirren	36.136.636.2		*17.517.317.5
Dundee	27.828.127.7		*24.023.924.1
Livingston	22.622.922.6		*29.529.329.6

Ross County vs RangersHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aberdeen	76.476.876.4		2.7*2.62.6
Hibernian	75.375.775.3		2.9*2.82.8
Hearts	73.073.473.1		3.43.33.3
Celtic	62.162.662.1		6.15.95.9
Rangers	54.260.369.9		8.46.33.7		6.25.74.9
St Johnstone	45.145.645.1		12.612.212.1
Dundee Utd	42.442.842.4		13.813.513.4
Ross County	48.638.332.6		10.615.819.3		6.67.47.9
Motherwell	36.637.036.7		17.417.116.9
St Mirren	36.136.636.1		17.717.317.2
Dundee	27.828.127.7		24.423.823.7
Livingston	22.622.922.6		29.929.429.2

Celtic vs St MirrenHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aberdeen	76.476.876.4		2.62.62.7
Hibernian	75.375.775.3		2.8*2.82.9
Hearts	73.073.473.0		3.23.33.4
Celtic	69.960.254.2		3.76.38.5		4.95.76.2
Rangers	61.662.161.7		6.06.06.2
St Johnstone	45.145.545.1		12.1*12.212.6
Dundee Utd	42.342.842.4		13.413.513.9
Ross County	39.740.239.8		15.015.215.5
Motherwell	36.637.136.6		16.917.017.5
St Mirren	29.735.245.3		21.517.712.1		8.17.76.9
Dundee	27.728.127.7		23.723.924.5
Livingston	22.522.9*22.6		29.229.330.0

Livingston vs MotherwellHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aberdeen	*76.576.876.3		2.72.62.6
Hibernian	*75.475.775.2		2.92.82.8
Hearts	*73.273.472.9		3.43.23.3
Celtic	*62.262.661.9		6.15.95.9
Rangers	*61.862.161.5		6.26.06.0
St Johnstone	*45.245.645.0		12.512.112.2
Dundee Utd	*42.542.942.2		13.913.413.4
Ross County	*39.940.239.6		15.515.015.1
Motherwell	29.634.844.8		22.317.711.7		8.27.76.9
St Mirren	*36.336.636.0		17.817.117.3
Dundee	*27.928.127.6		24.523.723.8
Livingston	29.521.217.1		22.130.435.9		8.28.99.3

Dundee vs HibernianHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aberdeen	76.476.7*76.5		2.8*2.62.5
Hibernian	68.874.081.7		4.32.91.6		5.04.63.9
Hearts	73.073.4*73.1		3.53.33.2
Celtic	62.062.5*62.2		6.35.95.8
Rangers	61.662.0*61.7		6.46.05.9
St Johnstone	45.045.5*45.2		12.812.211.9
Dundee Utd	42.342.842.4		14.213.513.2
Ross County	39.740.139.8		15.815.114.8
Motherwell	36.637.036.7		17.817.016.6
St Mirren	36.136.536.2		18.117.316.9
Dundee	35.826.622.0		17.724.728.9		7.68.48.8
Livingston	22.622.922.6		30.529.428.8

Hearts vs AberdeenHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Aberdeen	70.775.583.1		3.72.71.5		4.94.43.7
Hibernian	75.375.5*75.3
Hearts	80.172.066.8		1.93.44.6		4.04.75.2
Celtic	62.062.4*62.2
Rangers	61.662.0*61.7
St Johnstone	45.145.4*45.2
Dundee Utd	42.442.7*42.4
Ross County	39.740.1*39.8
Motherwell	36.637.0*36.7
St Mirren	36.136.5*36.2
Dundee	27.728.0*27.8
Livingston	22.622.8*22.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.