Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromoted to Division IIAChance will finish season at seedRelegated to Division III
TuesdayPGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change123456Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
AustraliaWIsrael 11-382-10-02373.0%+13.873.0%+13.873241201.3+0.43No-0.11.863at DPR KoreaAustralia
MexicoWBulgaria 10-172-00-1920.0+6.720.0+6.7206810202.0+0.89No-2.23.789IsraelMexico
DPR KoreaWNew Zealand 7-462-01-057.0+0.17.0+0.1775520123.2+0.61No-2.66.654AustraliaDPR Korea
New ZealandLDPR Korea 4-731-02-0-10.0-11.20.0-11.20018522094.2-0.889.0%+4.54.459at BulgariaNew Zealand
IsraelLAustralia 3-1131-02-0-70.0-9.40.0-9.402162042214.6-1.1620.5+14.52.295at MexicoIsrael
BulgariaLMexico 1-1000-03-0-29No-0.0No-0.00426705.7+0.1270.4-14.15.131New ZealandBulgaria

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 4/12
Australia 11 Israel 3
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Australia+13.1
+13.1
No
+0.3
Mexico-3.7
-3.7
-0.0
DPR Korea+0.3
+0.3
+0.0
New Zealand-0.3
-0.3
-0.3
+0.1
Israel-9.4
-9.4
+2.1
-0.4
Bulgaria-1.7
+0.0
New Zealand 4 DPR Korea 7
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Australia+1.7
+1.7
Mexico+0.4
+0.4
-0.4
+0.0
DPR Korea+7.6
+7.6
-2.6
+0.9
New Zealand-11.0
-11.0
+5.4
-1.0
Israel+1.2
+1.2
+0.8
Bulgaria-3.2
Mexico 10 Bulgaria 1
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Australia-1.9
-1.9
-0.1
-0.0
Mexico+3.1
+3.1
No
+0.3
DPR Korea-0.2
-0.2
-1.6
-0.0
New Zealand-0.9
-0.9
-0.5
-0.1
Israel-0.2
-0.2
-0.5
-0.0
BulgariaNo
No
+4.8
-0.1
Thursday, 4/14
DPR Korea vs AustraliaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Australia5.939.739.887.987.992.8
5.939.739.887.987.992.8
2.21.71.71.11.11.1
Mexico61.954.654.511.511.57.2
61.954.654.511.511.57.2
1.71.81.82.22.22.0
DPR Korea32.25.75.70.60.7No
32.25.75.70.60.7No
2.32.72.72.82.83.5
New ZealandNo0.00.0*No*NoNo
No0.00.0*No*NoNo
4.34.24.24.34.34.2
IsraelNo0.00.0*No*NoNo
No0.00.0*No*NoNo
4.94.94.94.94.94.5
Mexico vs IsraelHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
Australia70.974.074.089.689.691.0
70.974.074.089.689.691.0
1.31.31.31.11.11.1
Mexico22.219.019.03.33.31.7
22.219.019.03.33.31.7
1.92.12.12.52.52.6
DPR Korea7.07.0*7.0*7.1*7.17.2
7.07.0*7.0*7.1*7.17.2
3.23.13.13.13.13.4
New ZealandNo*No*No*No*No0.0
No*No*No*No*No0.0
8.511.311.412.011.811.9
4.14.64.64.74.74.7
IsraelNo*No*No*No*No0.0
No*No*No*No*No0.0
24.42.72.70.50.50.3
4.84.14.13.73.73.3
Bulgaria67.186.085.987.687.787.8
5.65.85.85.85.85.8
Bulgaria vs New ZealandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted to Division IIA100.0*Relegated to Division III100.0*Average seed
DPR Korea3.13.23.23.23.23.2
New ZealandNo*No*No*No*No*0.0
No*No*No*No*No*0.0
65.02.32.3NoNoNo
5.64.84.84.54.53.9
Israel21.323.923.922.022.020.2
4.24.24.24.34.34.8
Bulgaria13.773.873.878.078.079.8
4.95.55.55.85.85.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.