Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
VegasFightingIrishWSurgeMetro 4-26131-005In+0.10.0%1001.0+1.654.673Vegas Fighting Irish
Hogbuffs8140-0019In92.0+4.49351100001.1+0.066.833at DucksHogbuffs
Rippers6131-0010In2.5+1.27225211.3-0.1020.745Rippers
HaulersWBaghdadBandits 6-56230-007In0.8+0.626511662.0+0.731.700Haulers
WoodfordLawBoxers5121-013InNo01971102.9-0.1018.574Woodford Law Boxers
RocklandLiquorsWChiefs 6-56131-005In3.4+2.4652141195211000003.0+1.967.651Rockland Liquors
TupsNaturalIceLFightingSquirrels 3-75121-010InNo2053273.1-0.9631.500Tups Natural Ice
ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy7130-0116In0.1+0.001947236211003.3+0.208.854Three Fat Guys & One Skinny Guy
GLF632-005In1.0+0.5111111021221044420005.3+0.1221.619GLF
Triceratopshelf6230-0017In0.0006283015745310005.4-0.0113.882Triceratopshelf
TicklefightWIceFortune 6-35121-010In+0.00.0+0.004913910191964431006.6+1.6816.500Ticklefight
Magoos4221-009InNo0001514231996895100010.5-0.339.774Magoos
IceAgeLCyclones 3-74122-00-1100.0%0.2-8.80911812181277741001100006.4-3.0019.470at GLPIce Age
SurgeMetroLVegasFightingIrish 2-44221-0011100.0+0.0No-0.06415174002.6-0.8710.839Surge Metro
FightingSquirrelsWTupsNaturalIce 7-33211-012100.0+9.80.0+0.0001351013669131153563100010.1+3.8515.569Fighting Squirrels
ColtonsCrusaders3211-01-1100.0-0.0No001410131213171242443100010.5-0.3029.463at SurgeSouthColtons Crusaders
Mohawks423-002100.0+0.1No15263818203.7+0.4622.546Mohawks
SurgeSouth3211-01-1100.0-0.0No000410131213171142354100010.6-0.2526.463ColtonsCrusadersSurge South
ChiefsLRocklandLiquors 5-62311-00199.5-0.4No00141425231356730014.2-2.883.560Chiefs
FightingSiouxLRoyalDangleBerries 2-32212-00098.7-1.2No-0.300146681314111095432121010.6-2.9123.500SullivansFighting Sioux
CyclonesWIceAge 7-32311-00198.3+35.9No000311212213551272014.8+3.0829.560Cyclones
HumongousMelonheads3112-01-898.2+2.3No15125525205.0+0.2332.294Humongous Melonheads
BaghdadBanditsLHaulers 5-64111-02097.6-0.6No32452124.9-0.685.500Baghdad Bandits
GLP2212-00-596.0-2.4No00011135671216201593015.9-0.4434.354IceAgeGLP
RoyalDangleBerriesWFightingSioux 3-22311-00-395.9+10.10.00002334810987691173243112.1+2.8217.359at BaldEaglesRoyal Dangle Berries
WeathervaneRangers3211-01295.6+0.1No151036222144.5+0.0833.573Weathervane Rangers
Rangers2113-00-1292.6-5.1No0012468111825197117.1-0.9136.248Rangers
MooseKnuckles2212-00-1491.9-5.5No000001134610191815157116.7-0.9312.183Moose Knuckles
Brewskis2311-00258.7+0.4No122621415.9+0.0414.621Brewskis
Sullivans0203-00-653.6-12.6No0000111224679813172918.3-0.7435.304at FightingSiouxSullivans
LuckyDawgs2212-00-548.1+0.1No4737526.4+0.022.311Lucky Dawgs
IceFortuneLTicklefight 3-61202-01-1246.3-19.2No13133031236.6-0.7628.190Ice Fortune
BaldEagles0302-00-1438.4-8.3No000001222455611194219.1-0.4325.224RoyalDangleBerriesBald Eagles
HighWide1202-01-835.1-20.1No00255518402519.5-0.6311.238High & Wide
DraughtKings0203-00-1133.8+11.0No0262623437.0+0.1624.186Draught Kings
Ducks104-01-1121.7+5.7No0141744347.1+0.0937.287HogbuffsDucks
Bevman0401-00-5OutNo1008.027.050Bevman

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/22
HumongousMelonheads 5 Mohawks 3
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
VegasFightingIrish+0.3
TupsNaturalIce+0.3
Mohawks-0.2
-1.2
HumongousMelonheads+43.9
+1.1
IceFortune-11.3
-0.2
DraughtKings-15.6
-0.2
Ducks-16.8
-0.3
Brewskis 3 LuckyDawgs 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rippers-0.7
BaghdadBandits-0.7
+0.3
WeathervaneRangers-2.9
+0.3
Brewskis-34.2
-1.5
LuckyDawgs+38.5
+1.1
Bevman-0.6
Cyclones 7 IceAge 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogbuffs+5.8
IceAge-8.6
-1.8
FightingSquirrels-2.8
-0.2
Cyclones+34.6
+2.4
RoyalDangleBerries-3.3
-0.2
Rangers-2.7
-0.3
MooseKnuckles-2.8
-0.4
BaldEagles-5.1
-0.3
HighWide-14.7
-0.3
Ticklefight 6 IceFortune 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
TicklefightIn
+1.3
HumongousMelonheads+2.1
+0.2
IceFortune-12.2
-0.6
DraughtKings+5.3
Ducks+4.7
FightingSioux 2 RoyalDangleBerries 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
FightingSioux-0.2
No
-2.4
RoyalDangleBerries+11.3
+2.6
HighWide-4.5
TupsNaturalIce 3 FightingSquirrels 7
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
VegasFightingIrish+0.5
TupsNaturalIce-1.1
SurgeMetro+0.3
FightingSquirrels+9.8
+2.8
Mohawks+0.3
HighWide-4.3
ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy 4 DraughtKings 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy+0.3
HumongousMelonheads+1.8
RoyalDangleBerries*No
IceFortune+0.5
DraughtKings-3.7
Ducks+1.3
BaghdadBandits 5 Haulers 6
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Haulers+0.1
+0.7
BaghdadBandits-1.3
-0.8
WoodfordLawBoxers 5 Rippers 9
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
RippersIn
+0.7
+0.8
WoodfordLawBoxersNo
-0.8
Mohawks*No
RoyalDangleBerries*No
SurgeMetro 2 VegasFightingIrish 4
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
VegasFightingIrishIn
+1.4
SurgeMetro-1.5
Chiefs 5 RocklandLiquors 6
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
RocklandLiquors+1.2
+1.6
Chiefs-0.1
-1.7
Week of 5/28
IceFortune vs DraughtKingsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SurgeMetro100.0In100.0
IceFortune83.059.75.8
5.76.47.4
DraughtKingsOut16.372.2
7.87.26.1
Ducks18.926.123.5
6.97.27.2
Ducks vs HogbuffsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogbuffs47.187.196.2
1.91.21.0
Rippers16.33.81.2
RocklandLiquors22.55.21.7
2.63.03.0
ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy0.80.3No
3.23.33.3
GLF6.31.50.5
5.25.35.3
Ticklefight0.40.1No
IceAge1.70.8No
SurgeMetro100.0100.0In
2.72.62.6
FightingSquirrels0.00.0No
Mohawks99.7InIn
3.73.63.7
HumongousMelonheads90.994.399.3
5.25.25.0
IceFortune18.844.448.8
7.16.76.5
DraughtKings9.130.736.2
7.47.16.9
Ducks81.630.615.8
5.76.77.2
BaldEagles vs RoyalDangleBerriesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
RoyalDangleBerries86.5100.0In
15.112.510.5
Rangers88.191.895.1
17.217.117.0
MooseKnuckles86.9*91.894.5
16.716.716.6
Sullivans48.0*53.656.5
18.418.318.2
BaldEagles82.235.116.5
16.819.120.3
HighWide20.636.542.3
19.919.519.3
Rippers vs LuckyDawgsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rippers3.20.1No
1.21.51.9
Haulers2.11.91.7
BaghdadBanditsInIn80.3
4.94.95.5
WeathervaneRangersIn81.778.5
4.54.74.8
Brewskis61.955.241.2
5.85.96.5
LuckyDawgs38.163.1In
6.66.24.9
ColtonsCrusaders vs BaldEaglesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ColtonsCrusadersInIn99.9
9.411.513.3
Rangers94.791.787.0
17.017.217.3
MooseKnuckles93.991.486.3
16.616.716.8
Sullivans55.853.247.4
18.218.318.5
BaldEagles25.042.276.9
19.918.916.7
HighWide40.134.820.3
19.419.519.9
FightingSioux vs SullivansHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
FightingSiouxIn100.095.2
9.311.113.2
Rangers95.688.387.3
17.017.417.2
Sullivans38.954.986.8
19.318.015.9
BaldEagles40.438.733.8
19.019.219.3
HighWide41.135.721.0
19.419.519.8
GLP vs IceAgeHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
IceAgeNo0.00.3
8.66.55.1
GLPIn99.892.9
13.615.817.4
MooseKnuckles85.385.397.2
17.317.216.2
MooseKnuckles vs RocklandLiquorsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
RocklandLiquors0.00.14.3
5.64.12.5
MooseKnuckles100.099.790.0
13.915.717.1
Haulers vs WeathervaneRangersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Haulers1.30.0No
1.62.22.7
BaghdadBandits98.798.395.5
4.74.65.5
WeathervaneRangers92.3InIn
5.24.53.3
Brewskis59.855.057.9
5.86.36.1
SurgeSouth vs ColtonsCrusadersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ColtonsCrusaders99.9InIn
12.610.58.3
SurgeSouthInIn99.9
8.310.612.8
FightingSquirrels vs TicklefightHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
TicklefightNo0.00.1
8.36.14.4
FightingSquirrelsIn100.099.9
0.0NoNo
8.110.612.6
Triceratopshelf vs FightingSquirrelsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Triceratopshelf4.76.59.0
FightingSquirrels100.0100.0In
NoNo0.0
10.99.06.6
Magoos vs GLFHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GLF0.00.03.4
6.54.73.1
Magoos9.010.813.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.