"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsRundle BChance will finish regular season at seedRundle E
TuesdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
ColemanKWBowmanD 6-437182-0181In99.9%+0.59541000001.1+0.15No1.757GrecoDColemanK
AndrewsSWMuttrejaR 9-232165-0083100.0%+0.088.8+11.6451211383000002.8+0.63No6.748at RizzoAAndrewsS
GrecoDLGrecoG 4-632154-0243100.072.4-16.61192825188100003.7-0.92No5.641at ColemanKGrecoD
JeziorskiMWHeffnerE 9-531155-0143100.0+0.058.3+12.7011222522163100004.2+0.44No2.640at TavelPJeziorskiM
LeeD2WBourkeR 6-232165-0030100.0+0.054.4+10.8013192225154100004.3+0.43No4.620at GelfandJLeeD2
BowmanDLColemanK 4-630145-0229100.0+0.025.8-18.5029152337113100005.3-0.65No3.608at BreedingTBowmanD
WatsonKRWCurtinT 9-527137-012298.1+7.30.3-0.0000314422411410000007.4+0.74No-0.08.600at ConeCWWatsonKR
EsneaultGWSharpJ 7-427126-031894.3+13.30.1-0.000016253420941000008.2+0.83No-0.07.562at PriceEEsneaultG
MuttrejaRLAndrewsS 2-925117-031976.8-8.80.0-0.40001818282114621000009.5-0.800.0%10.579ErnstSMuttrejaR
SharpJLEsneaultG 4-724118-021662.1-12.9No-0.00031122251995311000010.2-0.810.011.561HudsonBSharpJ
GrecoGWGrecoD 6-424118-02249.4+25.5No-0.00028142524137421000010.7+1.420.0-0.29.505SkardonSGrecoG
ConeCWLFreezeB 4-722109-0217.9-16.6No-0.00002612201915118421000013.2-1.220.6+0.413.501WatsonKRConeCW
HommeyerMWBreedingT 4-32199-03-75.5+2.4No001511201916129520000013.4+0.900.6-1.615.463at HeffnerEHommeyerM
CurtinTLWatsonKR 5-920118-20121.9-6.8No00025101517171411621000014.6-1.103.7+2.212.551HartleyKCurtinT
HeffnerELJeziorskiM 5-92199-03-101.7-3.3No00014101215161614731000014.9-0.683.3+1.514.450HommeyerMHeffnerE
GelfandJTErnstS 2-220910-02-41.4-0.8No0001371115171714841000015.2-0.075.6-0.516.478LeeD2GelfandJ
HudsonBWBrowneL 4-120109-11-70.9+0.6No0001248111519201352000015.8+1.177.5-14.918.460at SharpJHudsonB
FreezeBWConeCW 7-418710-04-200.0+0.0No00012481527201362000018.2+1.0341.9-23.717.398at SamaKFreezeB
HartleyKTRizzoA 3-317711-03-260.0-0.0No00001247162324166200019.2-0.3569.7+10.220.387at CurtinTHartleyK
BrowneLLHudsonB 1-415713-01-12Out-0.0No0001361425241573100019.5-1.0575.7+24.519.436at BourkeRBrowneL
ErnstSTGelfandJ 2-215612-03-27OutNo0000125122130178300020.7+0.1692.5+1.222.353at MuttrejaRErnstS
SamaKWTavelP 2-0 (ot)14710-22-37OutNo000001251326272050022.5+0.3399.2-0.027.271FreezeBSamaK
SkardonSWPriceE 4-212514-02-20OutNo0000141122272582022.9+0.7499.8-0.124.374at GrecoGSkardonS
BourkeRLLeeD2 2-612411-15-37OutNo0000137172428154123.3-0.5299.8+1.025.322BrowneLBourkeR
PriceELSkardonS 2-49515-10-32OutNo000137164222925.0-0.63100.0+0.123.322EsneaultGPriceE
BreedingTLHommeyerM 3-48312-24-42OutNo00001417383926.1-0.33Yes+0.026.306BowmanDBreedingT
RizzoATHartleyK 3-38411-33-42OutNo00001213345026.3+0.16Yes+0.021.240AndrewsSRizzoA
TavelPLSamaK 0-2 (ot)-1511-181-76OutNo10028.0Yes28.115JeziorskiMTavelP

Playoffs = promoted to B & C, promoted = promoted to B, relegated = rundle e

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
GrecoG 6 GrecoD 4
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS+1.9
+0.2
GrecoD-10.8
-0.6
JeziorskiM+3.0
LeeD2+3.0
BowmanD+2.6
EsneaultG-3.6
MuttrejaR-2.7
SharpJ-3.7
GrecoG+18.4
+1.2
ConeCW-3.0
-0.2
ConeCW 4 FreezeB 7
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
EsneaultG+2.4
MuttrejaR+2.1
SharpJ+3.0
GrecoG+2.4
ConeCW-14.9
-1.1
HudsonB+3.8
FreezeB-20.1
+1.0
HartleyK+5.1
BrowneL+5.2
-0.2
SharpJ 4 EsneaultG 7
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
EsneaultG+12.6
No
+0.9
SharpJ-14.2
-0.9
ConeCW+0.6
CurtinT 5 WatsonKR 9
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
WatsonKR+6.5
No
+0.7
GrecoG*No
CurtinT-6.7
+1.0
-0.9
MuttrejaR 2 AndrewsS 9
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS+10.7
+0.5
GrecoD-1.0
JeziorskiM-2.7
LeeD2-3.5
BowmanD-2.8
MuttrejaR-5.1
-0.5
GrecoG+1.1
ConeCW+1.1
HeffnerE 5 JeziorskiM 9
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS-2.5
GrecoD-1.5
JeziorskiM+11.6
+0.4
LeeD2-3.6
BowmanD-3.6
ConeCW*No
HeffnerE-3.3
+0.7
-0.6
BreedingT 3 HommeyerM 4
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
GrecoG*No
HommeyerM+1.8
-1.7
+0.7
BreedingTYes
-0.3
GelfandJ 2 ErnstS 2
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
GelfandJ-1.1
-1.0
-0.2
ErnstS+0.5
+0.2
HudsonB 4 BrowneL 1
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
HudsonB-15.6
+1.0
FreezeB-1.3
HartleyK-1.4
BrowneLOut
+19.3
-0.9
BourkeR 2 LeeD2 6
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS-2.1
GrecoD-1.3
JeziorskiM-2.8
LeeD2+9.1
+0.3
BowmanD-2.6
ConeCW*No
BourkeR+0.8
-0.3
ColemanK 6 BowmanD 4
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS+2.3
GrecoD+1.5
JeziorskiM+3.3
LeeD2+3.0
BowmanD-10.8
-0.4
RizzoA 3 HartleyK 3
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
HudsonB-1.1
FreezeB-1.2
HartleyKOut
+5.3
-0.2
BrowneL-1.5
RizzoA*Yes
SamaK 2 TavelP 0 (ot)
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
SamaK+0.4
PriceE 2 SkardonS 4
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
SkardonS+0.7
PriceE-0.6
Wednesday
SharpJ vs HudsonBIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
MuttrejaR74.274.577.082.780.3
9.69.59.49.39.3
SharpJ76.475.661.027.942.7
NoNo0.00.00.0
9.69.610.211.811.0
GrecoG44.344.450.561.656.0
10.810.810.710.410.6
ConeCW6.46.58.112.110.0
13.213.113.213.113.3
HudsonB0.00.00.32.82.3
11.221.64.11.11.0
16.517.215.614.614.6
BrowneL74.771.676.677.577.5
19.519.419.519.619.6
GrecoG vs SkardonSHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
MuttrejaR73.373.578.285.082.1
9.69.69.49.29.3
SharpJ57.457.663.273.069.3
10.310.310.29.910.0
GrecoG63.662.645.716.127.7
0.0No0.00.10.0
10.110.110.812.311.6
ConeCW6.46.68.211.610.3
13.313.313.213.013.1
SkardonS100.0100.099.999.499.3
23.323.922.722.122.1
MuttrejaR vs ErnstSHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
MuttrejaR85.785.173.643.057.4
0.0*0.0No*NoNo
No*No*No0.0*0.0
9.09.19.711.010.4
SharpJ60.060.162.969.666.5
10.310.310.19.910.0
GrecoG46.446.650.460.456.1
10.810.810.710.410.5
ConeCW6.97.08.212.010.2
13.213.213.213.013.1
FreezeB40.640.142.344.845.2
18.118.118.218.318.3
ErnstS97.099.191.382.080.7
21.121.720.419.819.7
PriceE vs EsneaultGHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
EsneaultG85.875.793.997.797.9
0.0No0.00.10.2
9.09.58.47.97.8
SharpJ64.466.862.361.161.0
10.09.910.210.310.3
GrecoG51.353.7*49.548.648.5
10.610.510.710.710.7
ConeCW vs WatsonKRHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
WatsonKR95.991.398.999.799.8
8.08.57.57.07.0
ConeCW17.317.16.80.62.0
0.00.00.13.10.9
12.112.112.914.713.9
HeffnerE vs HommeyerMHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
HommeyerM0.50.13.110.010.8
1.02.80.20.00.0
14.515.313.412.412.3
HeffnerE3.73.50.80.00.1
0.20.21.512.85.9
13.713.614.916.615.9
GelfandJ vs LeeD2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS91.793.789.186.986.9
2.72.62.82.92.9
GrecoD79.683.673.468.167.8
3.53.43.73.83.8
JeziorskiM65.770.560.353.753.5
4.03.94.14.34.3
LeeD2100.0100.0InInIn
31.016.950.368.569.3
5.15.64.43.83.8
BowmanD31.334.226.522.822.4
5.15.05.35.45.4
GelfandJ4.13.70.90.00.1
0.70.83.015.57.9
13.914.014.816.615.8
CurtinT vs HartleyKHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
CurtinT3.13.00.60.00.1
0.40.32.519.49.5
13.913.914.916.915.9
FreezeB38.935.943.645.348.2
18.118.118.218.118.2
HartleyK80.788.966.146.548.1
19.820.319.018.118.2
BrowneL74.071.877.177.779.3
19.419.319.619.619.7
BreedingT vs BowmanDHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
GrecoD76.877.974.471.170.7
3.63.53.63.73.7
JeziorskiM64.466.061.356.256.1
4.04.04.14.34.3
LeeD259.861.457.052.852.5
4.14.04.24.34.3
BowmanD7.22.217.031.732.6
6.26.65.65.05.0
TavelP vs JeziorskiMHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS92.593.990.688.388.3
2.72.62.72.82.8
GrecoD80.783.575.871.771.3
3.43.43.63.73.7
JeziorskiM27.617.146.161.562.2
5.35.74.64.14.1
LeeD264.668.758.353.353.2
4.03.94.24.34.3
BowmanD33.535.328.625.024.9
5.15.05.25.35.3
SamaK vs FreezeBHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
FreezeBOutOutOut*0.00.0
63.376.545.629.228.3
19.119.718.317.617.5
HartleyK63.660.368.773.373.6
19.219.119.219.319.3
BrowneL70.165.374.479.379.4
19.419.319.519.519.6
ErnstS90.188.392.193.994.0
20.820.620.720.720.7
SamaK97.797.399.6100.0100.0
21.621.622.323.523.0
ColemanK vs GrecoDHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS90.192.587.786.486.3
2.72.62.92.93.0
GrecoD62.643.679.590.791.1
4.14.73.52.92.9
JeziorskiM61.566.256.452.652.3
4.14.04.34.44.4
LeeD257.464.452.148.848.5
4.24.04.34.44.5
BowmanD27.832.424.022.221.9
5.35.15.45.45.4
RizzoA vs AndrewsSHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
AndrewsS67.447.282.492.192.1
3.84.63.22.62.6
GrecoD76.680.773.771.871.7
3.43.23.63.73.7
JeziorskiM63.767.959.657.557.5
3.93.84.14.24.2
LeeD261.167.456.753.353.4
4.03.84.24.34.3
BowmanD30.535.727.325.125.0
5.15.05.35.35.3
BourkeR vs BrowneLHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
11:59 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Rundle B100.0*Rundle E100.0*Average seed
FreezeB37.035.340.545.145.3
18.018.018.118.218.2
HartleyK66.465.068.472.172.1
19.119.019.219.319.3
BrowneL91.697.080.565.464.7
20.421.119.618.918.9
BourkeR99.599.5100.0Yes100.0
22.422.423.224.223.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you hartleyk for adding this league.