"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleSerie AChance will finish season at seedSerie C
PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
America-MG7019-5-132075.4%-15.0Yes75251.2-0.14No1.611America Futebol Clube-MG
Internacional6819-7-112624.6+16.5Yes25751.8+0.51No2.595Sport Club Internacional
Ceara6418-9-1013No-1.5Yes+2.075253.3-0.39No3.563Ceara Sporting Club
Parana6318-10-921NoYes+33.125753.7+0.50No6.555Parana Clube
Londrina5917-12-89NoNo-17.04932195.7-0.21No7.523Londrina Esporte Clube
Vila Nova5815-9-139NoNo-0.63923386.0+0.72No4.515Vila Nova Futebol Clube
Oeste5814-7-1612NoNo-17.61145436.3-0.94No5.515Oeste Futebol Clube
Juventude5113-12-120NoNo7316928.4+0.02No8.459Esporte Clube Juventude
Boa Esporte4912-12-13-2NoNo11213036310.0+2.00No-0.110.443Boa Esporte Clube
Brasil de Pelotas4814-17-6-8NoNo83120192210.2-0.64No11.435Gremio Esportivo Brasil
Paysandu4813-15-91NoNo517253123010.5+1.46No-0.29.435Paysandu Sport Club
Criciuma4812-13-12-4NoNo31616133217311.2-0.27No12.435Criciuma Esporte Clube
Figueirense4511-14-12-6NoNo12282924713.9-0.22No-1.414.411Figueirense Futebol Clube
CRB4512-16-9-14NoNo09293424513.9-0.60No-0.417.411Clube de Regatas Brasil
Goias4412-17-8-11NoNo1723362414.7-0.81No-1.115.403Goias Esporte Clube
Guarani4411-15-11-8NoNo812166515.4-0.61No-15.816.403Guarani Futebol Clube
Luverdense419-14-14-5NoNo10017.0-0.37Yes+19.213.378Luverdense Esporte Clube
ABC349-21-7-20NoNo50391118.6+1.02Yes20.322ABC Futebol Clube
Santa Cruz347-17-13-14NoNo33501818.8-0.46Yes18.322Santa Cruz Futebol Clube
Nautico328-21-8-19NoNo17117119.5-0.56Yes19.306Clube Nautico Capibaribe

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/10
America-MG 1 Juventude 0
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG+15.5
+0.2
Internacional-13.6
ParanaNo
Figueirense 1 America-MG 2
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG+14.5
+0.3
Internacional-11.4
LondrinaNo
Vila NovaNo
Oeste 0 Internacional 0
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG+8.4
Internacional-9.2
Yes
Parana+2.3
Oeste-5.1
Internacional 1 Vila Nova 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG+6.2
Internacional-8.6
Vila NovaNo
-2.3
Goias 0 Ceara 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ceara-3.9
-2.0
-0.2
Ceara 2 Paysandu 0
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Ceara+1.8
+8.9
+0.4
Paysandu+0.2
-0.8
Santa Cruz 0 Parana 0
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana-0.6
-6.2
-0.2
Oeste+2.7
Parana 2 Luverdense 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana+15.9
+0.4
Oeste-8.7
Paysandu*No
CriciumaNo
Luverdense+10.2
-0.7
Juventude 0 Oeste 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana+3.1
Oeste-6.0
Juventude-0.2
Londrina 1 Guarani 0
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Londrina+6.0
+0.4
Guarani+6.4
-0.9
Vila Nova 1 Figueirense 1
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense-1.6
-0.2
ABC 3 Criciuma 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CriciumaNo
-0.9
Paysandu 2 Brasil de Pelotas 3
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas-3.4
+1.4
Paysandu*No
+0.1
-1.1
Luverdense 0 Boa Esporte 1
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Boa Esporte-13.7
+1.5
CriciumaNo
CRB-6.3
Luverdense+26.1
-0.9
Guarani 2 CRB 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB+9.6
-1.1
Guarani-19.0
+1.1
ABCYes
CRB 2 Goias 1
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CRB-17.6
+1.3
Goias+2.9
-1.3
Luverdense+6.0
Boa Esporte 4 Santa Cruz 2
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Boa Esporte-15.7
+0.9
Guarani+5.3
ABCYes
Week of 11/17
Goias 0 Internacional 2
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG-6.4
Internacional+7.0
+0.3
Goias+0.7
-0.9
Londrina 0 America-MG 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG-2.5
Internacional+3.9
CearaNo
+1.0
Parana+6.1
Londrina-9.0
-0.2
Vila Nova+0.3
Criciuma 1 Ceara 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
CearaNo
+1.0
CRB 0 Parana 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana+21.3
+0.5
Londrina-9.5
Vila NovaNo
Oeste-10.3
CRB+0.5
-1.0
ABC 2 Oeste 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Parana+10.5
+0.2
Oeste-16.4
-0.7
Nautico 1 Vila Nova 2
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Vila Nova+0.5
+0.3
Guarani 0 Luverdense 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Boa EsporteNo
PaysanduNo
FigueirenseNo
+0.2
CRBNo
+0.2
GoiasNo
+0.2
GuaraniNo
-0.5
LuverdenseYes
-0.4
Juventude 0 Figueirense 0
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Figueirense-0.1
-0.5
Paysandu 4 Santa Cruz 2
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
PaysanduNo
+1.2
Boa Esporte 2 Brasil de Pelotas 1
4:00 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Boa EsporteNo
+1.7
Week of 11/25
America-MG vs CRBIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MGYes46.546.5
1.01.51.5
InternacionalNo53.553.5
2.01.51.5
Internacional vs GuaraniHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
America-MG54.0YesYes
1.51.01.0
Internacional46.0NoNo
1.52.02.0
Brasil de Pelotas vs CriciumaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Serie A100.0*Serie C100.0*Average seed
Brasil de Pelotas9.09.911.6
Criciuma12.611.49.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you edsferr for adding this league.