Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
2/14PGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change123456789Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
HagenTMeatballs 3-3 (ot)30142-0251In100.0%-0.010001.07.765Hagen
ProTransmission302151-0065In99.0-0.099101.04.839Pro Transmission
Nordiques262122-0236In97.9+0.0982001.010.783Nordiques
BeerThrashers252123-0127In67.8-0.068320001.32.697Beer Thrashers
Hellfish232114-0124In50.1-0.05033124001.76.718Hellfish
SilverBullets222104-0228In38.9+0.039361771001.916.747at MorleysDogSilver Bullets
Chiefs2223103-0229In1.0+0.01954002.03.729Chiefs 2
Shamrocks231104-0321In1.8-0.02801442.25.659Shamrocks
Jackals21195-037In0.2-0.00958333.2-0.0114.558Jackals
ThornyDevils20196-022In0.1+0.00829633.5+0.0127.516Thorny Devils
Warhawks21294-0311100.0%6.0-0.0615333961003.324.602Warhawks
Wolves20295-0216100.04.9-0.0515353582003.321.653Wolves
Chiefs118385-0211100.00.0+0.004924003.028.598Chiefs 1
MilwaukeeChargers233113-0123100.032.1+0.0326430001.71.679Milwaukee Chargers
JustTheTip18176-049100.054.3+0.05425147001.713.577Just The Tip
BluesBrothers231115-0119100.071.3-0.07118830001.420.649Blues Brothers
MapleLeafsLGhilaniElectric 2-626102-0620100.098.2-0.09820001.011.654Maple Leafs
DragonSlayers21107-0133100.00.0+0.0010000002.017.698Dragon Slayers
Beastmode17177-03-2100.0+0.021.5+0.3222729221002.5+0.0123.484Beastmode
Spartans17177-03-3100.0+0.014.1-0.1143029261002.7-0.0146.474Spartans
Brewers2295-048100.0-0.012.0+0.0123033205102.89.566Brewers
MorleysDog16255-06499.9-0.00.0+0.0002945422005.349.540SilverBulletsMorleys Dog
Fireballs15179-01199.9-0.010.0-0.2101928413003.1-0.0333.508Fireballs
Renegades201107-001499.8+0.011.6-0.0123729174102.736.615Renegades
Mermen16266-04-199.8+0.00.0001639512005.522.491Mermen
Phoenix21107-01199.8-0.04.9+0.0514264310203.512.508Phoenix
OldSchool18495-001099.5-0.058.6+0.059211163001.726.597Old School
Mulligans12468-00-798.6-0.0No04878104.140.429Mulligans
GoldenSeals17276-12698.4-0.00.1+0.00344447203.630.553Golden Seals
GVC18176-04298.3+0.00.0+0.00149417203.618.517GVC
StevenSeagals18286-02698.3-0.017.0-0.1173025187202.719.554Steven Seagals
Pirates18275-04398.1+0.012.7+0.01322272512203.135.526Pirates
BeerCats17287-011098.0+0.010.1+0.01022262713203.243.595Beer Cats
Rogues1789-01-190.9+0.00.0-0.0014135023905.252.492Rogues
Wolverines1987-03487.7-0.10.7-0.013728221203.129.532Wolverines
GhilaniElectricWMapleLeafs 6-21987-03-185.2+0.10.712631281503.38.493Ghilani Electric
NorthernLights1987-03284.4+0.10.3+0.003128251603.315.514Northern Lights
StevesPizza1679-02-2279.1-0.6No051281743.7-0.0231.339Steves Pizza
Hogs102410-02-2377.9+25.60.0+0.00014731665.2+0.4148.308Hogs
UnionTavern14367-02-276.1-0.11.5-0.024918442314.725.482Union Tavern
Misfits10239-04-1565.4-0.1No0003623147.347.366Misfits
YYZ15710-01-1763.9-1.3No026372794.2-0.0432.390YYZ
Bulls1569-03-362.5-0.00.0000319413706.144.476Bulls
Eagles13269-01-961.9+0.00.00018532995.445.433Eagles
Lux93410-01-2351.1+0.1No005474635.560.336Lux
ShootinBlanks102410-02-3049.4-0.1No05444745.534.264Shootin Blanks
ElderSkatesmen1569-03-1146.8+0.00.0000212325226.451.407Elder Skatesmen
Winterhawks14610-02-2546.6-1.3No0202734194.5-0.0656.344Winterhawks
IceDogs1679-02542.6-0.00.0+0.00513245704.337.536Ice Dogs
ThirstyTurtles12358-02-1435.1+0.00.000272648175.742.391Thirsty Turtles
PondScum102410-02-2633.4+0.1No001326157.753.282Pond Scum
2ndShift13368-01-1129.6+0.00.10126216645.638.3962nd Shift
NEProgeny8414-00-3212.2-23.5No-0.00001248406.3-0.3954.287NE Progeny
MeatballsTHagen 3-3 (ot)12511-02-2010.4+3.2No02822675.5+0.1241.367Meatballs
LoneWolves72312-01-2810.0-2.10.000001036546.4+0.0155.271Lone Wolves
Blazers101512-00-216.3-0.0No00620746.739.341Blazers
LordStanleysCup62313-00-411.4+0.0No0018918.958.218Lord Stanleys Cup
AlbinoRhinos53212-01-450.9+0.0No0016936.959.214Albino Rhinos
OrangeCrush73311-01-180.3-0.00.0000005956.961.342Orange Crush
MightyGoats9312-03-270.2-0.0No0002988.050.273Mighty Goats
WildTurkeys9312-03-300.0-0.0No0001006.057.312Wild Turkeys

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/10
Hogs 3 NEProgeny 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs+20.8
+0.3
NEProgeny-20.4
-0.3
Winterhawks 1 YYZ 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ-16.8
-0.3
Winterhawks+16.9
+0.4
Rogues 5 ElderSkatesmen 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rogues+14.6
+0.4
ElderSkatesmen-16.5
-0.4
Eagles 7 BeerThrashers 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers-11.1
MilwaukeeChargers+11.1
Eagles+15.8
+0.3
ThirstyTurtles-11.3
Wolverines 6 IceDogs 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolverines+11.3
+0.4
IceDogs-14.5
-0.4
MapleLeafs 2 GhilaniElectric 6
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GhilaniElectric+13.1
+0.4
NorthernLights-2.9
IceDogs-7.7
Bulls 5 Phoenix 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers+4.6
Phoenix-0.1
-6.4
-0.4
Rogues-6.6
Bulls+12.9
+0.2
ElderSkatesmen-6.0
Eagles 5 GVC 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC+3.8
+0.3
Eagles-8.8
-0.3
ThirstyTurtles+3.0
PondScum 7 LordStanleysCup 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits-3.1
PondScum+8.0
+0.3
LordStanleysCup-4.9
-0.3
OrangeCrush 2 UnionTavern 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
UnionTavern+7.8
+0.2
2ndShift-4.9
OrangeCrush-1.9
NEProgeny 2 JustTheTip 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JustTheTip+6.3
Beastmode-1.8
Spartans-1.6
Fireballs-2.9
Hogs+3.9
NEProgeny-5.6
LoneWolves+1.5
WildTurkeys 5 NorthernLights 6
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GhilaniElectric-1.9
NorthernLights+5.3
+0.2
IceDogs-2.1
Chiefs1 4 ShootinBlanks 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks*In
Lux+3.9
ShootinBlanks-4.4
MorleysDog 3 Misfits 3 (ot)
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits+3.5
PondScum-3.3
Hagen 3 Meatballs 3 (ot)
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ-1.0
Winterhawks-1.1
Meatballs+2.8
DragonSlayers 7 StevesPizza 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza-2.6
Winterhawks+1.5
Blazers 2 MilwaukeeChargers 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers-3.7
MilwaukeeChargersIn
+3.8
Eagles+1.2
Blazers-2.2
BeerCats 2 StevenSeagals 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool+4.1
StevenSeagals-9.5
-0.4
BeerCats+2.1
+3.4
+0.4
Pirates 3 2ndShift 3 (ot)
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool+1.0
Pirates+0.4
-2.0
-0.1
UnionTavern-1.3
2ndShift+1.1
Spartans 6 ThornyDevils 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThornyDevils-0.2
Warhawks*In
Spartans+5.7
+0.3
Beastmode 4 Fireballs 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Beastmode+11.3
+0.5
Fireballs-12.9
-0.5
Brewers 1 MightyGoats 1 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers+2.4
Brewers-3.9
-0.2
SilverBullets 1 Hellfish 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish+20.5
+0.4
SilverBullets-21.6
-0.3
Warhawks 6 Mermen 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+1.5
+0.3
Mermen-0.3
Shamrocks 4 Jackals 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks+0.7
+0.3
Jackals-0.7
-0.3
Week of 2/17
Lux vs ShootinBlanksIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Lux70.749.124.3
5.25.55.8
ShootinBlanks30.051.576.1
5.75.55.2
Winterhawks vs StevesPizzaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza64.380.993.8
4.13.73.4
YYZ61.062.467.3
Winterhawks64.646.228.3
4.14.55.0
IceDogs vs NorthernLightsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GhilaniElectric82.184.588.9
NorthernLights72.587.596.7
0.10.20.7
3.63.22.9
IceDogs60.140.923.9
4.04.44.7
ElderSkatesmen vs PhoenixHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Phoenix99.599.9100.0
1.73.47.3
3.93.53.2
Rogues87.190.693.5
Bulls52.761.069.3
6.26.16.1
ElderSkatesmen61.048.537.1
6.16.46.6
Misfits vs LordStanleysCupHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits73.362.850.2
7.27.47.6
PondScum27.036.445.6
7.77.77.6
ThirstyTurtles vs GVCHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC95.998.799.7
3.93.63.4
Eagles52.960.767.7
5.45.45.3
ThirstyTurtles48.736.526.5
5.45.75.9
Hagen vs YYZHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza80.477.273.8
3.73.83.9
YYZ59.670.981.3
4.34.03.8
Winterhawks48.643.538.4
4.54.64.7
Wolves vs PondScumHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolves6.03.01.4
3.23.53.8
Misfits69.360.150.4
7.37.47.5
PondScum29.239.149.5
7.87.67.5
Renegades vs BullsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers69.073.075.2
1.51.41.4
Renegades15.69.25.2
2.42.73.1
Bulls54.865.675.0
No*No0.0
6.36.15.8
ElderSkatesmen52.344.638.0
6.36.46.5
ThornyDevils vs NEProgenyHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Jackals3.33.23.1
ThornyDevils3.53.63.8
Hogs56.549.842.8
5.65.75.8
NEProgeny29.639.349.5
6.05.85.6
LoneWolves14.011.07.9
6.46.56.6
Hogs vs FireballsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Fireballs3.97.713.0
3.53.22.9
Hogs65.756.146.5
5.45.65.7
NEProgeny26.733.239.6
6.05.95.8
LoneWolves8.010.713.9
6.56.56.4
StevenSeagals vs 2ndShiftHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool56.260.262.8
1.81.71.7
StevenSeagals99.698.595.7
21.814.49.0
2.52.83.2
UnionTavern80.274.868.9
1.31.61.9
2ndShift22.831.041.8
5.85.65.4
Eagles vs BeerThrashersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers53.764.173.0
1.51.41.3
MilwaukeeChargers46.135.827.0
1.61.71.8
Eagles75.766.656.8
5.15.35.5
ThirstyTurtles25.531.638.7
5.85.85.7
Wolverines vs GhilaniElectricHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolverines95.288.278.9
1.20.50.1
2.73.13.6
GhilaniElectric77.086.594.5
0.10.61.4
3.73.32.8
DragonSlayers vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DragonSlayersIn*In100.0
YYZ65.263.259.1
4.24.24.3
Meatballs6.913.322.7
5.75.45.2
Beastmode vs LoneWolvesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JustTheTip51.156.461.3
1.81.71.6
Beastmode26.217.510.4
2.42.73.0
Hogs54.451.647.3
5.65.75.7
NEProgeny37.834.930.9
5.85.96.0
LoneWolves7.913.622.0
6.66.46.2
OldSchool vs UnionTavernHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool99.999.698.9
66.956.845.9
1.51.82.1
StevenSeagals98.6*98.297.8
13.917.821.9
UnionTavern70.578.384.5
0.41.33.3
5.04.74.3
2ndShift33.927.623.2
5.65.65.7
Rogues vs MightyGoatsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rogues94.889.281.6
5.05.35.6
ElderSkatesmen44.347.853.0
6.46.36.3
OrangeCrush vs BeerCatsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerCats95.697.799.0
4.07.512.5
3.73.33.0
GoldenSeals vs MilwaukeeChargersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers78.870.860.8
1.21.31.4
MilwaukeeChargers21.029.139.2
1.91.71.6
GoldenSeals99.598.997.7
3.43.63.8
Mermen vs HellfishHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish34.845.556.6
2.01.81.6
SilverBullets49.142.334.6
1.81.92.0
MorleysDog vs SilverBulletsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish61.053.445.3
1.61.71.8
SilverBullets24.634.645.3
2.32.01.8
BluesBrothers vs BrewersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers85.972.850.6
1.21.41.8
Brewers2.010.326.7
3.12.72.3
Renegades8.1*11.716.5
Shamrocks vs SpartansHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks2.51.10.4
2.12.22.4
JustTheTip57.053.748.5
1.71.81.9
Spartans9.215.524.7
2.92.62.3
ProTransmission vs Chiefs1HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs1No*No0.0
3.03.02.9
Nordiques vs JustTheTipHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JustTheTip47.059.371.4
1.91.61.4
Beastmode24.219.714.3
2.52.62.7
Spartans17.111.87.9
2.62.72.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.