Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
MorleysDog1892-0033100.0%54.7%+0.1553771000001.511.781Morleys Dog
Warhawks1892-0031100.040.9-0.04144122000001.818.735Warhawks
WhiskeyShots16171-0232100.062.1-0.0623071000001.51.737Whiskey Shots
Shamrocks1771-0313100.035.2+0.03551122000001.84.635Shamrocks
Firebirds1683-0015100.03.9-0.041557203100003.117.629Firebirds
Chiefs21991-0134100.085.9-0.0861400001.15.764Chiefs 2
StevesPizza18180-0239100.099.2+0.099100001.03.760Steves Pizza
Hogs1881-0237100.099.3+0.099100001.06.779at NEProgenyHogs
MiddlesexOffenders18191-0020100.077.0-0.077146200001.32.660Middlesex Offenders
Lux1672-0219100.014.0+0.0148330001.97.676Lux
HagenWDragonSlayers 6-316182-0022100.0+0.192.8+9.093610001.1+0.1325.673Hagen
SilverBullets1364-018100.0-0.00.503205515520004.015.593Silver Bullets
Rogues1892-005100.057.9-0.0582111631001.823.553Rogues
BeerCats1573-01899.9-0.058.3+0.05828121001.636.583Beer Cats
JunkyardDogs1364-01599.92.3-0.02134827720003.39.553Junkyard Dogs
GoldenSeals14173-001499.8+0.06.6-0.07252526143003.226.651GVCGolden Seals
2ndShift12164-002599.8+0.010.4+0.010322620102002.928.6892nd Shift
MilwaukeeChargers16182-001099.8-0.05.4-0.05233027132003.38.622Milwaukee Chargers
WormtownHockey1364-01599.7+0.025.5+0.02639305002.221.554Wormtown Hockey
OldSchool1155-01599.7-0.00.4-0.00628451551003.932.549Old School
Phoenix1463-02799.6-0.018.1-0.018282116116002.912.569Phoenix
Misfits1155-01199.2-0.00.0+0.0002103528186105.740.512Misfits
BeerThrashers1364-01699.1+0.011.0+0.0112023201510103.416.559Beer Thrashers
AngerManagement1254-02599.1-0.015.6-0.016304311102.531.550Anger Management
ProTransmission12164-00198.6-0.00.4-0.0056357102.534.508Pro Transmission
Wolves1265-00-698.1+0.00.000182730239206.029.430Wolves
Renegades1265-00497.7+0.06.2+0.061318212119204.030.541Renegades
NorthernLights1155-01197.20.0+0.0025639303.414.509Northern Lights
MapleLeafs10144-02597.0-0.00.3-0.00384513302.833.553Maple Leafs
BluesBrothers1155-01696.9-0.04.4+0.041116202323304.337.557Blues Brothers
Mermen836-02196.4+0.00.0000418263316406.538.510Mermen
JustTheTip1144-03596.3+0.00.4-0.00423617312.820.556at JackalsJust The Tip
HighGlass12164-00395.9-0.00.6+0.01511203921414.710.529High Glass
LoneWolves12153-02-595.0+0.00.2+0.00423220412.913.448BeastmodeLone Wolves
ElderSkatesmen1144-03194.62.4+0.02712172432504.743.512Elder Skatesmen
YYZ12164-00-193.8+0.62.9-1.93363322512.9+0.0924.491YYZ
PurplePandas12164-00-193.4+0.62.9-1.93363222612.9+0.0819.490Purple Pandas
Mulligans946-01-293.2-0.00.0014052613.751.478Mulligans
Pirates9145-01-990.9+0.00.0+0.000312342714725.735.402Pirates
Nordiques935-03-889.8+0.00.0+0.000210273020825.957.407Nordiques
DragonSlayersLHagen 3-68135-02788.2-5.01.4-5.112129371023.4-0.3644.565Dragon Slayers
Beastmode836-02284.4-0.00.0-0.001327441243.739.520at LoneWolvesBeastmode
MightyGoats8146-00-1080.9+0.00.6-0.01313641544.049.394Mighty Goats
Hellfish847-00-1580.2-0.10.000003920481917.747.349Hellfish
GVC8146-00077.6+0.00.0+0.0001521501755.922.500at GoldenSealsGVC
GhilaniElectric9145-01-1268.9+0.10.0-0.00415502474.227.396Ghilani Electric
Spartans847-00-1966.8+0.10.0-0.0000211223122116.942.312Spartans
BladesofSteel4117-02-2327.9-0.00.00001381629438.065.298Blades of Steel
BoondockSaints6137-00-1527.0-0.10.0+0.00142244295.041.372Boondock Saints
PondScum528-01-1825.6+0.1No000015196968.760.333Pond Scum
ThornyDevils418-02-1724.9-0.1No-0.0000271634418.056.341Thorny Devils
Eagles6137-00-919.2-0.00.0000031648337.154.413Eagles
Winterhawks7136-01-1317.3+2.50.0-0.00141252305.1+0.0450.395Winterhawks
NEProgeny836-02-1814.5-0.00.00131148375.259.333HogsNE Progeny
BlackstoneValleyBravest627-02-1811.9-0.00.00011147415.361.314Blackstone Valley Bravest
Brewers528-01-611.3+0.00.0-0.000012875147.048.437Brewers
Jackals7125-03-219.7-0.00.0002832585.558.308JustTheTipJackals
ThirstyTurtles5127-01-288.5+0.00.0001837545.555.297Thirsty Turtles
Wolverines5127-01-188.5+0.00.0001728645.553.328Wolverines
Blazers4128-00-47.9+0.00.000001731627.552.459Blazers
Meatballs5127-01-147.2+1.20.0-0.0001527655.6+0.0246.392Meatballs
IceDogs627-02-256.2-0.00.0001654405.345.298Ice Dogs
Chiefs1528-01-273.4+0.00.0000338595.563.286Chiefs 1
Bulls418-02-230.7+0.00.0-0.000000113867.962.286Bulls
Wings1010-01-500.6-0.0No0000016949.964.200Wings

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/9
Hagen 6 DragonSlayers 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen+6.3
+0.1
YYZ+0.3
-1.2
+0.0
PurplePandas+0.3
-1.2
+0.0
DragonSlayers-2.2
-4.0
-0.2
Winterhawks+1.0
Meatballs+0.5
Jackals vs LoneWolvesIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves90.8*95.097.4
3.12.92.7
Beastmode82.684.285.5
Jackals15.910.06.3
5.35.45.6
Week of 12/15
Nordiques vs SpartansIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques94.889.682.3
5.65.96.3
Spartans58.269.079.3
7.26.96.5
BladesofSteel29.227.026.2
ThornyDevils26.624.022.7
Pirates vs BladesofSteelHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pirates95.4*90.983.9
5.45.76.1
Spartans68.666.064.3
BladesofSteel20.529.239.3
8.28.07.6
ThirstyTurtles vs MightyGoatsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MightyGoats70.280.387.9
0.20.40.8
4.34.03.9
BlackstoneValleyBravest14.712.49.9
ThirstyTurtles16.5*8.63.4
5.35.45.6
Firebirds vs PondScumHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
FirebirdsIn*In100.0
4.82.81.6
3.03.13.3
Hellfish83.077.871.8
7.77.87.8
PondScum21.528.937.8
8.88.78.5
ThornyDevils vs JunkyardDogsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JunkyardDogs0.81.63.0
3.63.43.2
Nordiques87.889.490.7
Spartans62.365.968.9
7.06.96.9
BladesofSteel25.327.429.1
8.18.07.9
ThornyDevils36.127.319.9
7.78.08.2
ProTransmission vs BoondockSaintsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission99.598.797.0
0.60.30.2
2.42.52.7
GhilaniElectric72.368.063.2
BoondockSaints21.728.035.8
No*0.00.0
5.14.94.8
ElderSkatesmen vs BrewersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ElderSkatesmen98.595.489.2
3.42.01.1
4.44.85.1
Brewers5.910.718.9
7.17.06.8
Hellfish vs MermenHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen92.996.298.3
6.96.66.3
Hellfish88.682.575.4
7.37.77.9
PondScum21.323.728.1
StevesPizza vs GhilaniElectricHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizzaInIn100.0
99.599.198.3
GhilaniElectric66.272.979.3
4.24.13.9
BoondockSaints28.724.520.2
4.95.05.1
Wolverines9.27.45.8
5.55.65.6
Eagles vs BlazersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC75.678.079.1
Eagles25.819.413.6
0.0*NoNo
6.97.17.3
Blazers3.76.911.5
No*No0.0
7.77.67.3
Hagen vs WinterhawksHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen94.491.788.3
DragonSlayers89.487.384.9
1.01.62.3
Winterhawks14.419.525.5
5.25.04.8
NEProgeny vs HogsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs100.0InIn
98.399.099.5
Beastmode79.982.785.3
3.73.73.6
NEProgeny23.817.812.7
4.95.15.2
LoneWolves vs BeastmodeHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves97.895.892.9
2.62.83.1
Beastmode78.284.289.2
4.03.73.4
NEProgeny16.514.113.1
GoldenSeals vs GVCHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders75.977.778.8
GoldenSeals100.0*99.999.6
8.35.63.7
3.03.33.6
GVC73.679.484.3
6.15.95.6
Eagles21.518.015.2
Blazers9.07.35.9
Jackals vs JustTheTipHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JustTheTip92.095.897.9
0.20.30.6
3.12.92.7
Beastmode82.083.885.4
Jackals16.811.07.0
5.25.45.5
YYZ vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ96.694.089.7
3.92.61.6
2.83.03.2
Meatballs4.27.011.8
5.75.65.4
DragonSlayers vs PurplePandasHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PurplePandas90.894.296.8
1.8*2.84.4
3.22.92.6
DragonSlayers92.0*88.183.2
2.01.10.5
3.23.43.7
BeerCats vs BlackstoneValleyBravestHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerCats62.954.446.2
1.51.61.8
WormtownHockey22.827.932.6
2.22.12.1
AngerManagement99.2*99.198.7
13.817.020.3
2.52.52.4
MightyGoats82.580.076.2
BlackstoneValleyBravest9.613.218.1
5.45.25.1
MapleLeafs vs WolverinesHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs98.396.694.1
2.72.93.0
GhilaniElectric69.868.666.9
Wolverines6.19.414.3
5.65.55.4
Mulligans vs NorthernLightsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NorthernLights95.597.598.7
3.63.43.2
Mulligans96.193.890.5
3.43.63.9
IceDogs vs Chiefs1HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
IceDogs8.95.73.4
0.0*NoNo
5.15.35.6
Chiefs11.73.15.3
5.75.65.3
MilwaukeeChargers vs HighGlassHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MilwaukeeChargers99.999.999.6
7.24.82.9
3.03.33.6
HighGlass94.596.497.8
0.3*0.61.1
5.04.74.3
Renegades vs BluesBrothersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Renegades98.998.096.6
9.45.93.3
3.64.04.5
BluesBrothers95.297.098.4
2.13.96.7
4.74.33.9
Wolves vs SilverBulletsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets0.10.30.7
4.44.13.8
Wolves99.398.697.4
5.66.06.3
Phoenix vs BullsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rogues56.559.562.0
1.81.81.7
Phoenix99.899.599.1
20.715.310.7
2.83.13.4
Bulls0.50.91.6
No*No0.0
7.97.87.8
AngerManagement vs WormtownHockeyHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerCats60.259.656.2
WormtownHockey99.5*99.799.9
16.524.834.6
2.42.21.9
AngerManagement99.699.298.6
22.715.08.7
2.22.52.8
Rogues vs BeerThrashersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rogues69.459.146.4
1.51.72.1
Phoenix15.5*18.220.6
BeerThrashers98.699.299.6
4.19.518.1
3.83.43.0
Wings vs WarhawksHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MorleysDog68.060.852.8
1.41.51.6
Warhawks100.0*InIn
26.034.143.0
2.11.91.7
Misfits vs MorleysDogHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MorleysDog100.0*InIn
40.650.059.6
1.81.61.5
Warhawks52.745.036.8
1.61.71.8
Misfits99.899.599.0
5.35.65.8
2ndShift vs MiddlesexOffendersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders69.078.585.9
1.51.31.2
2ndShift16.38.94.0
2.73.03.2
Chiefs2 vs LuxHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs2In*In100.0
94.386.372.8
1.11.11.3
Lux5.713.627.1
2.01.91.7
WhiskeyShots vs ShamrocksHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WhiskeyShotsIn*In100.0
74.859.542.5
1.31.51.7
Shamrocks100.0*100.0In
22.637.654.8
2.01.81.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.