Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIStrength5/29
PapaGenos630-009In97.2%+0.09721001.01.819Papa Genos
Eagles630-0011In96.7-0.09721001.12.846Eagles
Shamrocks520-0111In45.3-0.145302501.810.837Shamrocks
Meatballs630-0010In54.2+0.154201582001.841.795Meatballs
Nordiques630-009In29.8-0.03040302.033.773Nordiques
Spartans520-017In24.9+0.125303962.318.737Spartans
Hellfish520-015In31.8+0.1322321127512.617.763Hellfish
Spitfires520-015In32.3-0.0322025115612.68.729Spitfires
SilverBullets520-013In24.8-0.02518281565302.810.639Silver Bullets
Wolverines4120-006100.0%+0.016.5-0.1162216271161003.213.707Wolverines
TeamBacon630-006100.0+0.078.7+5.479136201.3+0.015.730Team Bacon
IceDogs421-001399.9-0.06.67213428631003.223.814Ice Dogs
Warhawks421-00299.9+0.05.0-0.05169331885504.120.579Warhawks
ProTransmission4120-00699.8+0.077.1-0.07714621001.412.751MiddlesexOffendersPro Transmission
BeerCats421-00399.7-0.019.8-0.0201819191110303.345.659Beer Cats
PeterNorthstars520-01499.7-0.030.3-1.73025181753002.5-0.1215.657Peter Northstars
WildTurkeys4120-00399.7-0.022.5-0.02335259521002.513.599Wild Turkeys
Mermen421-00399.5-0.04.9+0.051491533146414.528.619Mermen
CarpetAngels421-00599.5+0.632.2-3.03225241242002.4-0.0437.665Carpet Angels
PlanB421-00999.1+0.120.0-6.92022242084102.9-0.3646.740Plan B
MilwaukeeChargers421-00499.1-0.02.2+0.027514422102.44.712Milwaukee Chargers
YogurtSlingers421-00298.7+0.034.5+0.13416211542712.87.614Yogurt Slingers
Brewers520-01598.3-0.063.6-0.264229421.66.688Brewers
HagenWSlapShot 7-2421-00598.2+14.57.5+4.67442918202.6+0.6735.686Hagen
FraminghamJetsWPuckBuddies 4-2421-00298.2+17.611.5+8.411314115202.6+0.9130.592Framingham Jets
ScreaminSeagulls410-02397.7-0.028.6+0.22945204202.18.631Screamin Seagulls
Wolves311-01097.3+0.01.2-0.0196619341310305.525.500Wolves
GVC421-00-197.3+0.018.7-0.119162014813733.638.445GVC
WinterhawksWMooseKnuckles 6-0421-00597.2+18.916.5+12.417222217146303.2+1.5926.660Winterhawks
2ndShift3110-01297.0-0.014.3+0.014221518175533.539.6102nd Shift
Dinosours311-01495.5+0.010.4+0.010171220238644.068.659Dinosours
AlbinoRhinos311-01294.7-0.00.6-0.0143211766413.343.605Albino Rhinos
MiddlesexOffenders3110-01193.9-0.012.7+0.11326232111603.119.547at ProTransmissionMiddlesex Offenders
EClinicalWorks311-01293.5+0.02.6-0.0328232515613.432.592at MulligansEClinicalWorks
PuckBuddiesLFraminghamJets 2-4212-00792.7-4.02.3-18.32122256713.6-1.1263.741Puck Buddies
Mulligans2111-00192.0+0.05.2-0.0526292011443.365.550EClinicalWorksMulligans
Rogues311-01191.6+0.02.1-0.0216332867713.767.551Rogues
Hogs311-01-190.8-0.10.2-0.001130241510814.127.457Hogs
ElderSkatesmen212-00288.8-0.00.0+0.001525141520844.449.583Elder Skatesmen
UnionTavern212-00187.1-0.00.00230162415854.651.543Union Tavern
Misfits212-00-485.1+0.10.0001461433261417.159.315Misfits
OrangeCrush212-00182.71.0-0.01555152725175.963.539Orange Crush
Jackals212-00-580.8+0.0No06751364.229.331Jackals
DiveBarDown311-01080.0+0.00.5+0.01451222361915.455.500Dive Bar Down
ThirstyTurtles311-01-279.7+0.00.4+0.00315342161194.831.424Thirsty Turtles
OldSchool201-02-275.8+0.11.1+0.01446162024246.150.395Old School
BeardedClams212-00-975.5+0.10.1-0.001391923209156.347.241Bearded Clams
PipeHitters212-00-474.1-0.12.4+0.0251421331884.675.362CochituateRunnersPipe Hitters
NorthernLights212-00-673.1-0.00.0+0.001271824212166.424.322Northern Lights
Renegades311-01073.1-0.12.0+0.021830232523.653.500Renegades
Bamboozalers2111-00072.7No13817181615125.115.500Bamboozalers
IceHogs311-01072.2+0.15.4+0.051030272713.672.500Ice Hogs
SwissTrillium1101-01-269.5+0.00.0-0.0013718212118126.576.425Swiss Trillium
Bulls212-00-469.4+0.00.0+0.00968281811195.558.354Bulls
DirtyMikeandtheBoys201-02-268.2-0.40.4-0.102512242522105.7-0.1573.425Dirty Mike and the Boys
LordStanleysCup212-00-567.8-0.1No0036928222757.622.237Lord Stanleys Cup
Lumberhacks201-02-162.9+2.60.5-0.213413182524135.8-0.0669.465Lumberhacks
StevesPizza102-01-559.8-0.0No0418132527136.952.331Steves Pizza
YYZ212-00-955.3+10.50.1-0.00127192622226.2+0.2544.260YYZ
AngryHammers212-00-353.2-0.10.2-0.0013471523476.942.375Angry Hammers
GoldenSeals201-02-251.4+0.00.3+0.005113628214.561.417Golden Seals
Stiffs212-00-742.9+0.00.0-0.00126151919386.656.245Stiffs
Blazers212-00-641.0+0.0No225141738216.460.293Blazers
BluesBrothers2111-00-339.9-0.00.00249101535256.43.226Blues Brothers
CochituateRunners1101-01-430.2+0.00.000471931385.939.270at PipeHittersCochituate Runners
PondScum003-00-327.2-0.1No1351834399.054.352Pond Scum
BoozeBrothers003-00-623.2+0.0No0351521559.233.268Booze Brothers
WheelTeam6003-00-1022.6-0.1No001381024548.157.228Wheel Team 6
Grizzlies102-01-722.3+0.0No02331416627.273.255Grizzlies
MooseKnucklesLWinterhawks 0-6102-01-1118.1-32.40.0-0.5000171027557.3-1.1169.203Moose Knuckles
Lux1101-01-216.3-0.00.000241035496.265.402Lux
ThornyDevils003-00-1413.8-0.0No1431555.421.147Thorny Devils
DragonSlayers0102-00-48.2-2.4No01753395.3+0.1636.301Dragon Slayers
Brewskis102-01-67.4+0.0No01617765.761.213Brewskis
NEProgeny003-00-85.4+0.0No556395.348.258NE Progeny
SlapShotLHagen 2-70102-00-162.8-25.6No-0.200237605.6-0.6371.221Slap Shot
LoneWolves0201-00-6OutNo1009.077.078Lone Wolves

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/20
PipeHitters 7 Lux 5
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PipeHitters+34.8
+1.0
Lux-41.2
-1.6
-1.3
BluesBrothers 1 AlbinoRhinos 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AlbinoRhinos-2.1
-9.3
-1.0
BluesBrothers+36.2
+1.0
OrangeCrush 7 AngryHammers 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OrangeCrush+32.7
+0.5
+1.3
SwissTrillium 4 BeardedClams 6
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeardedClams+28.7
+0.2
+1.1
SwissTrillium-24.2
-4.7
-1.5
Blazers 4 Grizzlies 0
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Blazers+21.3
+0.8
Grizzlies-22.2
No
-1.0
Hogs 4 DiveBarDown 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs+27.2
+0.3
+1.4
DiveBarDown-9.4
-9.2
-1.5
Blazers-4.0
*No
UnionTavern 3 ThirstyTurtles 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThirstyTurtles+24.8
+0.2
+1.1
Blazers-5.7
*No
-0.2
BluesBrothers*No
ElderSkatesmen 4 Bulls 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ElderSkatesmen-6.2
No
-1.1
Bulls+22.5
+1.0
Dinosours 9 LoneWolves 3
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Dinosours+20.6
+2.0
+1.2
LoneWolvesOut
-0.7
Rogues 1 Stiffs 3
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rogues-4.9
-18.3
-1.2
BluesBrothers-4.9
*No
-0.2
CochituateRunners*No
Winterhawks 6 MooseKnuckles 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Winterhawks+12.2
+2.5
+0.7
MooseKnuckles-17.1
-0.6
PondScum 1 Warhawks 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PondScum-15.9
No
-0.7
Mermen 5 BoozeBrothers 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen+9.4
+2.9
+1.0
BoozeBrothers-15.3
No
-0.6
Hagen 7 SlapShot 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen+11.6
+1.4
+0.4
SlapShot-13.5
No
-0.3
Mulligans 3 MiddlesexOffenders 4
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
UnionTavern*No
CochituateRunners-3.1
*No
PlanB 12 YYZ 4
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PlanB+11.9
+6.2
+0.9
YYZ-12.9
-4.3
-0.9
CarpetAngels 3 DirtyMikeandtheBoys 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
CarpetAngels+9.5
+9.2
+0.9
DirtyMikeandtheBoys-13.0
-6.1
-0.9
StevesPizza 5 WildTurkeys 7
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza-12.6
No
-0.7
IceHogs 5 GoldenSeals 5 (ot)
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
IceHogs-1.6
GoldenSeals+9.8
-1.8
GVC 1 YogurtSlingers 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YogurtSlingers-0.2
-31.8
-0.9
LordStanleysCup 1 Spitfires 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SpitfiresIn
+7.3
+0.7
LordStanleysCup-9.5
-1.4
-0.7
TeamBacon 4 DragonSlayers 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
TeamBacon+1.9
+9.4
+0.2
IceDogs 8 WheelTeam6 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WheelTeam6-8.4
No
-0.4
BeerCats 3 OldSchool 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerCats+3.8
+5.3
+1.0
OldSchool-6.5
-7.7
-1.1
CochituateRunners 3 EClinicalWorks 3 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
CochituateRunners+5.6
No
SilverBullets 1 Wolves 1 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets+0.3
-5.3
Wolves+4.5
-1.7
+0.3
Lumberhacks 3 PeterNorthstars 3 (ot)
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PeterNorthstars-2.3
Lumberhacks+4.1
-1.4
NEProgeny 4 Spartans 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Bulls*No
NEProgeny-4.3
No
Meatballs 9 NorthernLights 4
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MeatballsIn
+9.2
+0.5
Nordiques 8 Jackals 3
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NordiquesIn
+4.5
+0.4
Jackals-3.7
No
-0.4
NEProgeny+1.2
ThornyDevils 0 Shamrocks 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks+1.0
+5.0
ThornyDevils-2.3
No
Renegades 1 Brewskis 1 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Renegades-1.2
Brewskis+1.6
No
PapaGenos 5 Bamboozalers 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PapaGenosIn
+13.0
+0.3
Bamboozalers-2.2
No
-0.4
ScreaminSeagulls 4 Brewers 4 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewers+0.2
+4.5
ScreaminSeagulls+1.0
-5.5
Eagles 1 MilwaukeeChargers 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
EaglesIn
+40.2
+0.6
MilwaukeeChargers-0.6
-40.1
-0.6
BlazersNo
Week of 5/29
PipeHitters vs CochituateRunnersIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PipeHitters98.082.435.4
4.11.10.2
4.04.65.6
CochituateRunners5.423.670.1
6.56.04.9
StevesPizza vs BeardedClamsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeardedClams43.976.696.5
No0.00.3
7.56.35.4
StevesPizza78.550.723.4
6.27.38.2
SwissTrillium vs NorthernLightsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NorthernLights56.274.698.6
No0.00.1
7.16.15.1
SwissTrillium78.657.329.7
0.10.0No
5.97.18.0
Winterhawks vs LumberhacksHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Winterhawks93.179.760.5
11.54.11.4
3.54.65.6
Lumberhacks41.667.385.0
No0.13.0
6.55.64.4
CarpetAngels vs MooseKnucklesHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
CarpetAngels94.886.066.8
20.412.64.4
3.24.15.2
MooseKnuckles28.943.968.4
0.00.52.5
7.06.35.3
YYZ vs DirtyMikeandtheBoysHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DirtyMikeandtheBoys54.576.491.7
1.96.712.6
5.94.83.7
YYZ93.079.761.3
10.33.40.9
3.64.75.7
WildTurkeys vs WheelTeam6HomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WildTurkeysIn100.097.7
24.814.68.4
2.22.73.6
WheelTeam638.253.275.5
No0.00.2
7.67.06.0
Hagen vs FraminghamJetsHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen92.079.559.8
11.94.81.6
2.73.44.2
FraminghamJets64.180.993.5
2.26.112.2
4.23.52.8
PuckBuddies vs DragonSlayersHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DragonSlayers19.233.254.1
0.00.54.6
5.24.84.1
Mulligans vs EClinicalWorksHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mulligans99.392.485.9
12.12.00.0
2.43.34.2
PeterNorthstars vs PlanBHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PeterNorthstarsIn99.997.7
71.552.125.5
1.41.92.8
ProTransmission vs MiddlesexOffendersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmissionIn100.099.3
93.278.736.1
1.11.32.0
MiddlesexOffenders90.898.499.8
0.511.343.9
3.52.82.1
Wolverines vs IceDogsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WolverinesIn100.099.8
25.822.212.9
2.02.93.7
IceDogs94.997.899.5
No0.08.1
4.94.03.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.