Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
Nordiques630-0015100.0%78.9%+0.0791352100001.311.800FireballsNordiques
Warhawks630-005100.058.0-0.0582611310001.76.732Warhawks
OldSchool630-006100.081.0+0.0811441001.34.756Old School
Chiefs2520-01799.860.4+0.06026941001.62.733Chiefs 2
Hagen520-011099.8+0.165.3-1.9652492001.5-0.0320.710Hagen
Wolves421-00599.7+0.031.2+0.031232611521002.528.699Wolves
SilverBullets421-00799.7+0.07.2+0.07363114741003.016.763at MorleysDogSilver Bullets
ProTransmission421-00799.3-0.017.2+0.017383293102.510.725Pro Transmission
ThornyDevils421-00499.2+0.05.8+0.0625242011742103.634.619Thorny Devils
ElderSkatesmen421-00498.9+0.032.4-0.03233171042102.318.689Elder Skatesmen
MapleLeafsGhilaniElectric4120-00698.9-0.053.5+0.15331114101.73.671Maple Leafs
BluesBrothers520-01298.7-0.040.1+0.1402420852102.26.572Blues Brothers
Shamrocks421-00498.7+0.09.3-0.1921222211742103.621.624Shamrocks
Chiefs13110-01498.5+0.018.1-0.0182832174102.78.637Chiefs 1
LoneWolves421-00198.5+0.04.1+0.0430241510753103.65.536Lone Wolves
GVC421-00598.3+0.035.6-0.03626191053102.49.654GVC
Rogues421-00398.1-0.021.6-0.12226281373112.819.621Rogues
BeerCats311-01497.8+0.02.0+0.024428186202.914.702Beer Cats
GhilaniElectricat MapleLeafs4120-00497.6-0.036.2-0.13637177202.025.607Ghilani Electric
Pirates410-02297.0-0.015.2-0.0152234188302.922.600Pirates
Meatballs421-00596.8+1.918.3-1.318262725302.7-0.0941.634Meatballs
MilwaukeeChargers4120-00296.1-0.030.9+0.03123171286312.81.564at BlazersMilwaukee Chargers
BeerThrashers421-00296.0+0.021.2-0.02122241595313.013.565Beer Thrashers
YYZ421-00094.7+2.27.9-0.38283227502.9-0.0412.501YYZ
StevesPizzaWWinterhawks 2-1421-00-194.0+20.38.3+4.58223034513.1+0.6124.465Steves Pizza
Hellfish2111-00091.9-0.12.5261324201510624.852.502Hellfish
MorleysDog311-01-190.2+0.00.2+0.003514232815725.633.444SilverBulletsMorleys Dog
Jackals311-01-189.9+0.00.9-0.01481219181612735.840.465Jackals
StevenSeagals311-01089.5-0.00.5+0.0114213222923.925.501Steven Seagals
Mulligans2111-00088.3-0.03.847204315844.030.502Mulligans
Mermen2111-00087.7-0.10.5-0.01410212116151115.338.502Mermen
GoldenSeals311-10086.4-0.05.6-0.061316211813954.335.501Golden Seals
Wolverines311-01286.2-0.06.2+0.061835271213.330.576Wolverines
Fireballs212-00-182.9-0.00.3+0.002510171917131166.423.471at NordiquesFireballs
Beastmode311-01-281.3-0.00.5+0.01258131519201546.646.422Beastmode
Renegades212-00178.7-0.11.3-0.016112521161295.017.534Renegades
MightyGoats311-01-277.3-0.02.4-0.026101822181495.137.409Mighty Goats
WildTurkeys311-01075.7+0.03.8+0.041226341953.745.501Wild Turkeys
ThirstyTurtles311-01-274.3+0.13.9+0.04791418221795.248.440Thirsty Turtles
2ndShift2111-00-371.7-0.01.3-0.0141022342184.844.3842nd Shift
Blazers212-00-171.0-0.01.4+0.0161016201815145.325.470MilwaukeeChargersBlazers
JustTheTip212-00-367.7+0.00.2-0.00257914151618147.142.381Just The Tip
Misfits1101-01-166.3+0.00.2-0.0012612182722126.761.460Misfits
Lux212-00-464.7-0.00.2+0.001414462695.255.380Lux
Phoenix311-01-564.6-0.00.9+0.012613182423125.747.326Phoenix
PondScum201-02-751.0+0.10.100258132237127.151.302Pond Scum
Brewers201-02-150.8+0.11.2+0.01258142026236.157.460Brewers
NEProgeny212-00-1150.2-0.10.0001369121923268.129.241NE Progeny
Eagles212-00-444.4-0.11.0+0.01246131831256.359.387Eagles
ShootinBlanks212-00-1136.3+0.10.0+0.0002102545195.732.204Shootin Blanks
UnionTavern1101-01-233.6+0.00.4-0.0013691521456.856.416Union Tavern
Bulls102-01-233.0+0.00.2+0.0012691522456.854.400Bulls
NorthernLights212-00-632.7-0.00.3+0.00292140274.815.344Northern Lights
Spartans003-00-631.6+0.0No0013581423458.849.304Spartans
Hogs0102-00-522.1+0.00.0+0.000141732466.258.328Hogs
OrangeCrush0102-00-421.9+0.00.0+0.001351334446.149.348Orange Crush
LordStanleysCup003-00-813.4+0.0No0014817708.543.223Lord Stanleys Cup
AlbinoRhinos0102-00-313.1-0.10.1-0.00024720676.460.409Albino Rhinos
WinterhawksLStevesPizza 1-2102-01-413.0-24.10.2-1.00131067205.0-0.5039.387Winterhawks
IceDogs003-00-68.9+0.00.0+0.0001726655.553.344Ice Dogs
DragonSlayers003-00-101.7-0.30.0000120785.8+0.0536.242Dragon Slayers

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/14
Eagles 4 UnionTavern 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Eagles+23.9
+0.7
UnionTavern-23.9
-2.5
-1.0
IceDogs 2 Wolverines 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolverines+21.7
+1.1
+0.5
IceDogs-21.2
-0.4
MorleysDog 1 Hellfish 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish-8.1
-9.1
-1.1
MorleysDog+22.0
+0.8
+1.1
Lux 5 Mulligans 7
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mulligans+20.9
+1.8
+0.8
Lux-18.5
-2.6
-0.7
JustTheTip 3 Shamrocks 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques+8.3
Shamrocks-1.0
-16.4
-0.9
JustTheTip+21.3
+1.0
Winterhawks 1 StevesPizza 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza+18.1
+2.9
+0.5
Winterhawks-20.6
-0.9
-0.4
Blazers 5 ThirstyTurtles 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThirstyTurtles-10.3
-9.0
-0.9
Blazers+19.9
+0.7
Renegades 5 MightyGoats 2
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Renegades+19.2
+0.7
MightyGoats-6.1
-9.2
-0.8
BeerCats 6 2ndShift 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerCats+18.0
+2.8
+0.8
2ndShift-9.3
-11.1
-0.8
Rogues 6 Phoenix 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Rogues+16.1
+2.1
+1.0
Phoenix-8.9
-7.6
-1.0
NorthernLights 8 WildTurkeys 7
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WildTurkeys-11.8
-7.6
-0.6
NorthernLights+16.0
+0.4
NEProgeny 2 LoneWolves 8
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves+14.3
+0.8
+1.1
NEProgeny-15.5
-1.1
Pirates 5 Hogs 3
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pirates+12.1
+4.0
+0.6
Hogs-14.5
-1.0
-0.5
PondScum 1 SilverBullets 8
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets+12.5
+3.4
+1.1
PondScum-12.7
-5.2
-1.1
ProTransmission 8 ShootinBlanks 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission+9.7
+2.4
+0.6
ShootinBlanks-12.2
-1.1
-0.6
BeerThrashers 5 MilwaukeeChargers 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MilwaukeeChargers+7.8
+11.4
+0.9
BeerThrashers-1.8
-20.4
-0.8
GoldenSeals+6.0
GoldenSeals 0 GVC 3
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC+7.3
+8.9
+0.9
GoldenSeals-3.3
-13.0
-0.8
DragonSlayers 2 Meatballs 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Meatballs+7.0
+3.0
+0.3
DragonSlayers-6.4
-0.2
Nordiques 3 Spartans 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques+5.8
+0.2
Shamrocks-3.3
Spartans-6.7
-0.3
Warhawks 3 LordStanleysCup 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks+0.8
+6.8
+0.3
Mermen-2.2
LordStanleysCup-5.7
No
-0.2
ThornyDevils 7 Fireballs 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThornyDevils+4.8
+3.9
+1.1
Fireballs-4.6
-3.7
-1.1
Jackals 2 Beastmode 2 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Jackals+1.4
-0.8
Beastmode+2.9
ElderSkatesmen 2 BluesBrothers 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ElderSkatesmen-0.7
-27.9
-0.7
BluesBrothers+4.1
+21.4
+1.0
Wolves 2 Mermen 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Wolves+2.3
+8.4
+0.8
Mermen-3.3
-5.6
-0.8
OldSchool 3 StevenSeagals 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool+1.3
+26.2
+0.6
BeerCats-6.3
StevenSeagals-3.1
-20.6
-0.7
Hagen 9 YYZ 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen+2.8
+29.8
+0.6
YYZ-1.1
-31.2
-0.5
Bulls 3 Brewers 3 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Brewers-1.1
Bulls-0.5
Chiefs1 3 Chiefs2 3 (ot)
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs2*+0.2
Chiefs1+1.6
-1.5
MapleLeafs vs GhilaniElectricIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs99.899.197.6
80.852.217.4
1.31.72.3
GhilaniElectric96.198.399.5
9.934.771.5
2.52.01.4
Week of 10/21
Renegades vs BrewersIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Renegades93.379.958.9
2.40.40.0
4.25.06.0
Brewers29.1*50.979.9
0.10.82.7
6.96.25.0
Misfits vs LordStanleysCupHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits79.259.631.2
0.30.1No
6.27.07.9
LordStanleysCup3.916.540.3
8.88.47.6
Spartans vs NEProgenyHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NEProgeny29.053.478.5
No*0.00.0
8.98.07.0
Spartans48.724.89.8
8.29.19.6
OrangeCrush vs HogsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs6.720.839.2
No0.00.1
6.76.25.6
OrangeCrush37.220.35.4
0.00.0No
5.56.16.7
ThirstyTurtles vs GoldenSealsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GoldenSeals73.088.696.4
0.53.49.9
5.44.33.5
ThirstyTurtles93.879.158.0
7.8*3.80.8
4.05.16.0
IceDogs vs NorthernLightsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WildTurkeys81.176.670.1
3.63.73.8
NorthernLights14.334.450.7
5.44.74.3
IceDogs17.65.40.9
0.0NoNo
5.15.75.9
Eagles vs GVCHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC93.8*98.399.9
14.629.843.5
3.42.52.0
MilwaukeeChargers95.495.896.3
39.033.427.9
2.62.72.8
ThirstyTurtles66.873.976.8
5.14.53.4
5.35.15.1
Eagles70.650.034.8
4.10.60.0
5.26.16.7
Wolves vs PondScumHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warhawks55.263.969.0
1.71.61.5
Wolves100.099.898.3
35.424.513.2
2.32.83.5
Misfits69.262.353.6
6.66.86.9
PondScum44.360.879.4
0.00.11.0
7.36.75.9
UnionTavern vs BeerThrashersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerThrashers89.796.699.4
8.718.128.5
3.93.12.5
ThirstyTurtles68.6*74.277.4
4.54.23.5
5.25.15.1
UnionTavern55.335.521.3
1.40.1No
5.96.77.2
Rogues vs BullsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers37.241.446.9
2.32.22.1
Rogues99.898.493.7
28.117.86.9
2.42.93.6
Bulls23.038.155.8
No0.00.7
7.26.75.9
LoneWolves vs JustTheTipHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves100.099.095.6
6.42.20.4
3.03.74.7
JustTheTip56.774.386.3
7.97.05.8
NEProgeny54.246.843.6
8.08.28.3
BluesBrothers vs PhoenixHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ElderSkatesmen27.035.546.3
2.42.32.1
BluesBrothers100.099.295.0
49.134.317.8
1.92.43.2
Phoenix56.370.585.0
0.00.63.3
6.15.64.7
Brewers53.648.443.9
6.16.16.3
Blazers vs MilwaukeeChargersHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GVC97.998.298.6
45.039.728.5
2.32.32.5
MilwaukeeChargers90.896.699.6
12.324.444.9
3.82.92.1
BeerThrashers95.295.996.6
27.323.716.5
2.93.03.1
Blazers87.174.159.3
3.70.70.0
4.35.36.0
ProTransmission vs AlbinoRhinosHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs257.168.968.5
1.61.51.5
ProTransmission100.099.796.2
22.57.72.2
2.22.63.2
Lux66.862.357.9
5.25.35.3
AlbinoRhinos7.217.733.2
No0.10.8
6.76.35.7
2ndShift vs PiratesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool90.088.576.0
1.21.21.3
Pirates89.398.5100.0
1.57.022.2
4.13.12.4
2ndShift88.776.663.9
4.40.80.1
3.84.75.2
Hogs15.619.025.3
6.36.26.1
MapleLeafs vs WildTurkeysHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs99.999.296.7
63.250.734.6
1.41.72.2
GhilaniElectric31.738.844.4
WildTurkeys67.479.791.2
0.23.011.5
4.03.63.0
NorthernLights36.930.724.7
4.74.84.9
Winterhawks vs StevesPizzaHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
StevesPizza85.597.599.5
2.56.013.0
3.53.12.8
Winterhawks26.011.04.0
0.40.0No
4.75.05.3
Shamrocks vs BeastmodeHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks100.099.295.7
12.75.82.7
3.03.84.9
Beastmode73.686.796.8
0.0*0.51.7
7.36.45.2
Chiefs1 vs ShootinBlanksHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs258.066.871.2
1.61.51.4
Chiefs199.797.591.3
21.010.65.0
2.52.93.6
Lux66.559.756.1
5.25.35.3
ShootinBlanks32.743.355.4
No0.00.1
5.85.55.0
ElderSkatesmen vs MightyGoatsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ElderSkatesmen99.898.796.1
41.520.78.8
1.92.63.4
BluesBrothers37.346.246.4
2.32.12.1
Rogues17.727.131.4
2.82.72.7
MightyGoats71.784.591.9
0.2*2.39.5
5.54.83.8
Mermen vs HellfishHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish84.894.498.4
0.10.95.2
5.84.83.8
Mermen95.188.280.2
1.10.20.0
4.45.46.2
Nordiques vs FireballsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NordiquesIn*In100.0
84.872.456.1
1.21.41.9
ThornyDevils3.78.013.8
Fireballs79.190.595.4
No0.01.9
6.85.95.0
Wolverines vs GhilaniElectricHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MapleLeafs59.455.547.8
GhilaniElectric95.198.499.7
22.1*36.148.6
2.52.01.6
Wolverines93.887.579.3
13.43.80.3
2.73.33.7
BeerCats vs StevenSeagalsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BeerCats99.897.793.0
3.10.30.0
2.43.04.0
StevenSeagals85.391.598.7
0.00.21.9
4.53.82.8
Jackals vs ThornyDevilsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThornyDevils97.799.4100.0
0.93.68.8
4.63.73.0
Jackals98.392.985.0
2.80.70.0
4.55.66.6
MorleysDog vs SilverBulletsHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets98.6*99.7100.0
0.11.89.7
4.23.32.6
MorleysDog99.895.287.2
1.30.1No
4.05.16.0
Mulligans vs Chiefs2HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs299.399.9In
19.355.776.2
2.51.61.3
ProTransmission36.117.610.2
2.32.52.5
Chiefs129.622.613.3
2.62.62.7
Mulligans96.893.184.4
14.43.30.1
3.13.84.3
YYZ vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Meatballs92.6*96.999.2
3.317.727.2
3.52.82.2
YYZ99.396.091.8
20.36.20.9
2.22.83.4
Hagen vs DragonSlayersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hagen99.999.798.5
70.254.238.8
1.41.72.0
Meatballs16.823.026.1
2.72.62.5
YYZ94.994.593.4
6.210.718.1
3.02.92.8
StevesPizza94.493.691.4
6.712.016.6
3.13.02.9
DragonSlayers0.92.57.4
No*No0.0
5.85.75.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.