Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
3/12PGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change123456789Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Warhawks40203-0080InYes1001.010.869PondScumWarhawks
HagenWMeatballs 5-4391192-0150InYes1001.07.757Hagen
StevesPizza331143-0558InYes1001.02.821Steves Pizza
WormtownHockey33155-0343InYes1001.03.758at BlackstoneValleyBravestWormtown Hockey
Hogs32145-0441InYes1001.016.768at JackalsHogs
Chiefs2331154-0349In99.3%+0.09911.05.793NorthernLightsChiefs 2
MiddlesexOffenders331154-0326In95.0+0.09551.01.683at EaglesMiddlesex Offenders
Misfits231010-03-6In87.9+0.088121.133.450MermenMisfits
Shamrocks311134-0518In59.3-0.059411.44.626Shamrocks
BluesBrothers29148-0126In60.8+0.06120191.619.653Blues Brothers
WhiskeyShots301124-0637In40.7+0.041591.614.718ThirstyTurtlesWhiskey Shots
Wolves22910-04-14In12.1-0.012881.931.390Wolves
Rogues29148-012In27.0-0.12747262.035.513Rogues
MorleysDog32145-0449InNo1002.015.806Morleys Dog
2ndShift301135-0441In5.0-0.0589512.08.749MilwaukeeChargers2nd Shift
ProTransmission281148-006InNo9732.028.536Pro Transmission
AngerManagement27117-0514InNo90102.118.593Anger Management
Lux291136-0329In0.7-0.0186132.19.684Lux
JustTheTip27128-0315InNo59412.412.607at LoneWolvesJust The Tip
Phoenix29137-0313In12.2+0.11232552.417.579at RenegadesPhoenix
PurplePandas2311110-012InNo56442.4+0.0730.513Purple Pandas
MeatballsLHagen 4-52211010-026InNo44562.6-0.0720.534Meatballs
LoneWolves27128-039InNo41592.623.562JustTheTipLone Wolves
NorthernLights271127-0315InNo13872.96.592at Chiefs2Northern Lights
BeerCats26129-026InNo10902.938.540MightyGoatsBeer Cats
Mermen20811-040InNo85153.137.500at MisfitsMermen
SilverBullets27128-0322InNo82183.221.656at HellfishSilver Bullets
Nordiques251107-057InNo7025503.441.556Nordiques
GhilaniElectric251118-03-4InNo346513.511.474Ghilani Electric
MapleLeafs241108-0422InNo51493.532.649Maple Leafs
HighGlass271138-0111InNo63941143.613.574at BlazersHigh Glass
GoldenSeals261117-0424InNo4242163.729.674Golden Seals
Firebirds25119-037InNo18823.827.544at WingsFirebirds
Hellfish19913-01-18InNo15853.948.373SilverBulletsHellfish
JunkyardDogs251210-011InNo28492304.025.507ThornyDevilsJunkyard Dogs
NEProgeny22910-04-18InNo1004.055.377BeastmodeNE Progeny
MightyGoats181812-02-20InNo1004.046.353at BeerCatsMighty Goats
BeerThrashers241110-027InNo534254.526.545Beer Thrashers
MilwaukeeChargers261128-020InNo11316704.624.500at 2ndShiftMilwaukee Chargers
ElderSkatesmen24109-046InNo474764.634.540BullsElder Skatesmen
OldSchool2211010-025InNo12347295.022.533BladesofSteelOld School
BladesofSteel202910-02-9InNo1425705.645.431at OldSchoolBlades of Steel
Renegades221011-02-8InNo11895.951.449PhoenixRenegades
ThornyDevils161612-04-1097.5%+0.0No9827.052.430at JunkyardDogsThorny Devils
Mulligans151613-03-1462.0+0.0No623624.458.400Mulligans
YYZ181913-00-2952.7-0.3No53474.540.336YYZ
Blazers151613-03-850.7+0.0No5125246.744.450HighGlassBlazers
DragonSlayers171712-031347.3+0.3No47534.553.582Dragon Slayers
Chiefs1151714-01-3537.9-0.0No385934.661.284Chiefs 1
Eagles151613-03-1129.3-0.0No2949216.960.431MiddlesexOffendersEagles
GVC141614-02-2420.0-0.0No2025557.342.343GVC
Spartans141513-04-282.5-0.0No29718.057.300Spartans
IceDogs131514-03-440.2-0.0No05955.950.251Ice Dogs
Beastmode18712-041OutNo1005.039.506at NEProgenyBeastmode
PondScum16714-02-26OutNo1005.043.329at WarhawksPond Scum
BoondockSaints131615-01-28OutNo1005.047.326Boondock Saints
BlackstoneValleyBravest14615-02-35OutNo80205.249.269WormtownHockeyBlackstone Valley Bravest
ThirstyTurtles131615-01-46OutNo20805.856.233at WhiskeyShotsThirsty Turtles
Winterhawks131615-01-42OutNo1006.054.286Winterhawks
Jackals12415-04-48OutNo1006.063.214HogsJackals
Wolverines91417-01-54OutNo1006.062.190Wolverines
Wings6219-02-94OutNo1006.065.096FirebirdsWings
Brewers16714-02-18OutNo1007.036.383Brewers
Bulls11416-03-28OutNo1008.059.322at ElderSkatesmenBulls
Pirates101416-02-42OutNo1999.064.242Pirates

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/9
Hellfish 3 MorleysDog 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hellfish+47.0
+0.8
PondScum-45.5
-0.5
Wings 4 PondScum 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MermenIn
Hellfish+45.1
+0.5
PondScum-46.2
-0.5
NEProgeny 5 LoneWolves 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NEProgenyIn
+0.2
BeastmodeOut
-0.2
Eagles 2 MilwaukeeChargers 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Blazers+7.7
Eagles-19.4
-0.3
GVC+11.7
+0.2
Blazers 3 2ndShift 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders+25.7
+0.3
2ndShift-25.8
-0.4
Blazers+18.1
+0.4
Eagles-11.6
-0.2
DragonSlayers 9 YYZ 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ-16.4
-0.2
DragonSlayers+15.9
+0.2
Winterhawks+0.4
IceDogs 3 Chiefs1 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs1+14.4
+0.5
IceDogs-12.2
-0.5
Jackals 3 Beastmode 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NEProgeny-11.1
Beastmode+11.1
GVC 1 MiddlesexOffenders 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders+10.3
2ndShift-10.2
HighGlassNo
Eagles+7.6
GVC-8.2
-0.2
BlackstoneValleyBravest 2 MightyGoats 8
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MightyGoats+4.6
BlackstoneValleyBravestOut
-0.2
BladesofSteel 3 ThornyDevils 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThornyDevils-1.3
-0.2
Spartans+1.3
PurplePandas 7 Winterhawks 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WinterhawksOut
Spartans 7 JunkyardDogs 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BladesofSteel-0.2
ThornyDevils-0.7
Spartans+0.9
Phoenix 7 BeerThrashers 8
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers+12.5
+0.2
Rogues+13.4
+0.2
Phoenix-25.9
-0.5
BeerThrashers+0.5
Misfits 1 SilverBullets 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits+33.0
+0.6
Wolves-33.0
-0.3
Mermen 3 Wolves 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits+25.3
+0.3
Wolves-25.3
-0.3
Shamrocks 4 OldSchool 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks+21.7
+0.2
WhiskeyShots-21.7
-0.2
NordiquesNo
OldSchoolNo
-0.3
WhiskeyShots 5 Pirates 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks-5.7
WhiskeyShots+5.7
NordiquesNo
OldSchoolNo
BeerCats 2 AngerManagement 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AngerManagement+0.4
BeerCats-0.4
Week of 3/16
Eagles vs MiddlesexOffendersIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders82.990.2Yes
1.21.11.0
2ndShift17.19.8No
1.92.02.1
Blazers20.252.361.2
7.16.76.6
Eagles71.826.314.8
6.36.97.1
GVC8.021.424.0
7.67.47.2
DragonSlayers vs WinterhawksHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ40.476.285.0
4.64.24.2
DragonSlayers59.623.815.0
4.44.84.8
Hagen vs YYZHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ44.378.286.5
4.64.24.1
DragonSlayers55.721.813.5
4.44.84.9
Blazers vs HighGlassHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
HighGlass4.23.83.3
Blazers75.454.335.0
6.36.77.0
Eagles15.420.739.3
7.27.16.7
GVC9.225.025.7
7.57.37.3
GoldenSeals vs GVCHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Eagles33.421.417.6
6.87.27.3
GVC13.333.938.9
7.57.06.8
Mulligans vs IceDogsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
IceDogsOutOut0.6
6.06.05.8
Chiefs1 vs LuxHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs2YesYes99.0
LuxNoNo1.0
2.42.12.1
IceDogsOut0.00.2
Nordiques vs SpartansHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ThornyDevilsIn95.891.1
7.07.07.1
SpartansOut4.28.9
8.08.07.9
JunkyardDogs vs ThornyDevilsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JunkyardDogs3.54.34.5
ThornyDevils95.698.1In
Spartans4.41.9Out
Chiefs2 vs NorthernLightsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Chiefs2YesYes97.0
LuxNoNo3.0
2.12.12.3
BluesBrothers vs BeerThrashersHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothersYes18.811.2
1.02.12.3
RoguesNo56.761.1
2.31.71.6
PhoenixNo24.527.8
2.72.22.1
BeerThrashers4.84.64.0
MorleysDog vs WolvesHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MisfitsYes50.640.4
1.01.51.6
WolvesNo49.459.6
2.01.51.4
Shamrocks vs PiratesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks72.126.814.5
1.31.71.9
WhiskeyShots27.973.285.5
1.71.31.1
Rogues vs BrewersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers55.059.571.1
1.71.61.3
Rogues45.015.2No
1.52.22.7
PhoenixNo25.328.9
2.72.12.0
WhiskeyShots vs ThirstyTurtlesHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Shamrocks54.168.493.2
1.51.31.1
WhiskeyShots45.931.66.8
1.51.71.9
BlackstoneValleyBravest5.15.25.8
ThirstyTurtles5.95.85.2
Misfits vs MermenHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MisfitsYes*88.078.0
1.0*1.11.2
WolvesNo*12.022.0
2.0*1.91.8
Renegades vs PhoenixHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers71.059.355.1
1.31.61.7
PhoenixNo11.719.4
3.02.32.1
2ndShift vs MilwaukeeChargersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders93.196.5Yes
2ndShift6.93.5No
1.92.12.3
Hellfish vs SilverBulletsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets3.83.03.0
Firebirds3.24.04.0
ThirstyTurtles vs AngerManagementHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AngerManagement2.62.02.0
BeerCats2.43.03.0
BlackstoneValleyBravest5.85.25.1
ThirstyTurtles5.25.85.9
LoneWolves vs JustTheTipHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
JustTheTip3.02.02.0
LoneWolves2.03.03.0
MapleLeafs vs GhilaniElectricHomeTieAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
GhilaniElectric3.83.22.9
MapleLeafs3.23.74.0
PurplePandas vs MeatballsHomeTieAway
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PurplePandas2.12.42.9
Meatballs2.92.62.1
OldSchool vs BladesofSteelHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool4.64.95.8
BladesofSteel6.05.75.1
ElderSkatesmen vs BullsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ElderSkatesmen4.34.45.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.