Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
MondayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change123456789Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
ProTransmission10142-0215In47.6%+0.448361521.7+0.0311.640Pro Transmission
Wolfpack10241-028In39.3+0.239372131.9+0.022.588Chiefs1Wolfpack
Mulligans8232-024In12.6+0.1132551122.6+0.0617.547RenegadesMulligans
AlbinoRhinosLIceHogs 2-46135-00-5In0.5-0.71313843.8-0.1137.447Albino Rhinos
Hogsat NEProgeny12261-0019100.0%78.9-0.079210001.27.668Hogs
Bullsat Phoenix15170-0115100.072.5-0.172186210001.48.640Bulls
2ndShiftat BeerCats11251-015100.0+0.021.0+0.021772001.820.5552nd Shift
StevesPizza13260-0121100.0-0.075.9-0.17619410001.31.659Steves Pizza
PuckBuddies12250-0217100.059.1+0.05922115210001.73.642Puck Buddies
Nordiques1571-011199.9+0.068.0-7.9682830001.4-0.0815.621Nordiques
BluesBrothers12162-00999.9-0.014.2+0.01436241682002.718.587at RoguesBlues Brothers
Hagen10252-00999.8+0.016.1-0.1162723171161003.021.584Hagen
Blizzard9242-011399.8+0.013.4+0.0132424181262003.213.603Blizzard
Wolverines10351-00899.7+0.019.4+0.119522071002.26.577Wolverines
OldSchoolWGVC 3-21252-02099.7+0.352.5+7.5523311301.7+0.1623.500Old School
PhoenixBulls10153-001099.7+0.07.1+0.17232824134003.319.581Phoenix
IceDogsWDiveBarDown 5-11461-022299.6+1.536.3+8.936342072002.1+0.3812.691Ice Dogs
UnionTavernWEagles 6-31351-032499.6+1.344.6+11.045301672001.9+0.3816.688Union Tavern
IceHogsWAlbinoRhinos 4-211141-03999.5+0.867.0+10.0672472001.5+0.1942.578Ice Hogs
PeterNorthstars10252-00299.4+0.07.1+0.0715202319124003.824.520Peter Northstars
OrangeCrushat ThornyDevils8243-00499.4+0.039.6-5.4404214411.8-0.0625.539Orange Crush
ShamrocksWSilverBullets 4-21362-01899.4+1.729.9+9.03055123101.9+0.289.586Shamrocks
PondScum5213-03099.3+0.372.2+5.572187311.4+0.1056.500at AllAccessIceBreakersPond Scum
ElderSkatesmen10153-00499.24.8+0.05162527197103.729.540GoldenSealsElder Skatesmen
AllAccessIceBreakers13260-012398.4-0.144.1-8.54432175101.9-0.165.675PondScumAll Access Ice Breakers
BeastmodeWWolves 6-41571-011798.1+1.237.0+3.63734226202.0+0.104.648Beastmode
Winterhawks7222-03698.0-0.13.0+0.038131924239204.744.552Winterhawks
MightyGoatsBrewers8144-00297.2-0.01.3+0.01614233617304.531.521Mighty Goats
EaglesLUnionTavern 3-611152-011697.1-0.814.2-17.4142332217212.9-0.5433.624Eagles
DragonSlayers8144-00-296.7-0.01.3-0.014915243013305.232.479Dragon Slayers
Renegades9242-01296.7-0.125.6-7.12645188312.2-0.1039.521at MulligansRenegades
SwissTrillium8232-02396.5+0.12.7-0.0314343510313.545.533Swiss Trillium
GhilaniElectric7233-01496.3-0.01.9-0.0214363510313.526.539Ghilani Electric
BeerCats2ndShift4126-00-1094.0+1.80.0+0.002741863.3+0.0541.383Beer Cats
WarhawksWHellfish 3-01362-011693.8+7.817.5+6.617283613512.6+0.4436.644Warhawks
WolvesLBeastmode 4-6735-01-1292.5-0.714.5-4.71434271782.7-0.1353.360Wolves
ThirstyTurtles1142-031090.4+2.34.4-2.0411223518723.8-0.0210.578Thirsty Turtles
SpartansTDinosaurs 3-3 (ot)7123-03-790.2+0.94.4-1.34133736103.3-0.0454.421Spartans
ThornyDevilsOrangeCrush4225-00-387.9+0.23.5-0.83113439123.5-0.0257.472Thorny Devils
GoldenSeals6135-00-484.2-0.00.1+0.0013720531425.749.457at ElderSkatesmenGolden Seals
Misfits3215-01-1381.7+4.56.8+0.77232725183.3+0.1647.375CapitalsMisfits
MiddlesexOffendersat Blazers5213-03080.3+0.14.7-1.751735231373.4-0.0446.500Middlesex Offenders
Jackalsat DudleyAvalanche8144-00-277.8+3.31.5-0.321038281843.6+0.0330.478Jackals
Lumberhacks5224-01-975.9-0.00.1+0.00013717471866.843.420Lumberhacks
Capitals0504-00-1771.3+6.64.1+0.54162328293.6+0.1768.381at MisfitsCapitals
Chiefs25125-01-363.5-0.22.0-0.929213122144.0-0.0362.469Chiefs 2
NEProgenyHogs3116-01-2562.1+7.30.0-0.0001547384.2+0.0864.299N.E.Progeny
DudleyAvalancheJackals6135-00-260.6+5.00.4-0.10425313094.1+0.0651.474Dudley-Avalanche
MilwaukeeChargers1043-02-557.9+5.40.3-0.2015173426165.2+0.0922.457Milwaukee Chargers
SilverBulletsLShamrocks 2-4636-00-155.8-11.10.2-0.703213234104.3-0.3434.490Silver Bullets
MermenLFireBalls 3-7207-02-2355.2-10.72.3-2.1291727454.0-0.2959.308Mermen
MapleLeafs4225-00-853.0+0.00.0-0.0014123729185.463.425Maple Leafs
GVCLOldSchool 2-3207-02-2743.9-9.10.0-0.000836564.5-0.1465.299GVC
LordStanleysCup10142-02342.7-1.10.6-0.313103032254.7-0.1238.543Lord Stanleys Cup
HellfishLWarhawks 0-3944-01535.6-23.10.4-1.60282531334.8-0.6840.556Hellfish
Grizzlies8133-02-635.2+3.00.1-0.101392336295.8+0.1035.449Grizzlies
BlazersMiddlesexOffenders4214-02-1032.0-0.60.4-0.202101931374.9-0.0250.411Blazers
FireBallsWMermen 7-39143-01131.5+15.40.4+0.20272229395.0+0.4314.511Fire Balls
Lux3215-01-1430.1-0.10.0+0.000162333376.048.376Lux
Chiefs16234-00-2028.0+0.10.3-0.20381730425.028.336at WolfpackChiefs 1
WildTurkeys3215-01-1424.3-0.00.0-0.000141932436.158.382Wild Turkeys
DinosaursTSpartans 3-3 (ot)2106-02-1222.8-1.40.1-0.101517774.7-0.0366.387Dinosaurs
DiveBarDownLIceDogs 1-56124-02-520.2-12.60.0-0.300151428526.2-0.3927.455Dive Bar Down
Meatballs2216-00-1917.3+0.00.00000131442408.261.356Meatballs
Brewersat MightyGoats3116-01-1517.3+0.10.0000131463207.052.369Brewers
YYZ1206-01-1713.0+0.10.00000021034538.467.366YYZ
MorleysDog427-00-146.5+1.10.0-0.0001516775.7+0.0455.353Morleys Dog
Rogues0108-00-212.5-0.00.000000220787.860.336BluesBrothersRogues

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/19
Warhawks 3 Hellfish 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AllAccessIceBreakers-1.2
Beastmode-0.9
Warhawks+5.5
+3.2
+0.3
LordStanleysCup+2.3
Hellfish-8.7
-1.0
-0.3
FireBalls+0.7
FireBalls 7 Mermen 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PondScum+0.7
Warhawks-0.7
Wolves+0.7
+0.4
Misfits+1.7
Capitals+2.2
Mermen-4.8
-1.3
-0.1
LordStanleysCup-1.2
Hellfish-1.3
FireBalls+3.5
+0.1
Shamrocks 4 SilverBullets 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques-4.0
Shamrocks+1.3
+4.8
+0.2
Jackals+1.6
DudleyAvalanche+2.8
SilverBullets-6.4
-0.6
-0.2
MorleysDog+0.6
IceDogs 5 DiveBarDown 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
IceDogs+1.0
+4.5
+0.2
UnionTavern-1.9
Eagles-1.8
ThirstyTurtles+0.9
-0.6
MilwaukeeChargers+2.0
Grizzlies+1.2
DiveBarDown-5.3
-0.2
GVC 2 OldSchool 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool+0.2
+4.8
+0.1
OrangeCrush-3.7
BeerCats+0.9
Spartans-0.6
ThornyDevils-0.5
NEProgeny+4.2
+0.0
GVC-5.1
No
-0.1
ProTransmission 1 Chiefs2 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission+5.0
+0.1
Wolfpack-3.3
-0.0
Mulligans-1.5
-0.0
IceHogs+0.8
MiddlesexOffenders+1.1
Chiefs2-4.7
-1.4
-0.2
Blazers+1.7
Chiefs1+1.5
Beastmode 6 Wolves 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PondScum+2.1
AllAccessIceBreakers-2.6
Beastmode+0.9
+3.5
+0.1
Warhawks-0.6
Wolves-1.3
-2.9
-0.1
Misfits+0.4
+0.3
Capitals+0.4
Mermen+0.5
+0.3
Nordiques 2 MorleysDog 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Nordiques+3.8
+0.1
Shamrocks-3.0
Jackals+0.6
-0.5
DudleyAvalanche+0.6
SilverBullets+0.6
-0.2
MorleysDog-2.0
-0.1
ThirstyTurtles 6 MilwaukeeChargers 6 (ot)
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
UnionTavern*+0.2
Eagles*+0.4
ThirstyTurtles-0.5
-0.9
-0.1
MilwaukeeChargers+1.5
+0.0
Grizzlies-0.6
DiveBarDown*-0.3
Eagles 3 UnionTavern 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
UnionTavern+0.8
+10.7
+0.3
Eagles-0.9
-10.1
-0.3
Spartans 3 Dinosaurs 3 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool*+0.3
Spartans+0.7
-0.4
-0.0
ThornyDevils*-0.3
Dinosaurs*-0.3
-0.0
AlbinoRhinos 2 IceHogs 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
AlbinoRhinos-0.5
-0.1
IceHogs+0.6
+5.8
+0.1
Renegades-4.0
MiddlesexOffenders-1.1
DudleyAvalanche vs JackalsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Jackals65.1*74.983.6
1.0*1.72.7
4.03.73.4
DudleyAvalanche66.4*55.544.9
0.8*0.50.2
3.94.24.5
Misfits vs CapitalsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Misfits85.977.868.7
8.75.93.7
3.13.43.7
Capitals55.0*64.974.3
2.03.35.2
4.13.83.5
Blazers vs MiddlesexOffendersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MiddlesexOffenders71.1*80.186.7
3.85.98.4
3.73.43.1
Blazers43.433.424.8
0.9*0.50.3
4.64.85.1
NEProgeny vs HogsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs70.876.481.0
1.31.21.2
2ndShift29.123.518.9
1.71.81.8
NEProgeny66.558.951.7
0.0*0.0No
4.14.24.4
GVC43.349.555.5
4.54.44.3
Wolfpack vs Chiefs1HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ProTransmission44.449.454.2
1.81.71.6
Wolfpack42.836.029.7
1.82.02.1
Chiefs265.362.660.2
4.04.04.1
Chiefs124.230.837.6
0.30.61.0
5.14.94.7
MightyGoats vs BrewersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MightyGoats98.8*97.394.2
1.71.00.6
4.34.64.8
GoldenSeals86.583.480.3
Brewers13.118.024.7
No*0.00.0
7.17.06.8
ElderSkatesmen vs GoldenSealsHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ElderSkatesmen99.799.398.5
6.44.22.7
3.43.74.0
GoldenSeals80.585.389.3
5.95.75.4
Brewers19.816.314.0
ThornyDevils vs OrangeCrushHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
OldSchool49.845.741.0
OrangeCrush98.9*99.499.7
36.144.452.0
2.01.81.6
ThornyDevils91.688.684.6
7.24.02.0
3.23.43.6
BeerCats vs 2ndShiftHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs84.880.875.7
2ndShift15.119.124.2
1.91.81.8
Mulligans vs RenegadesHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mulligans16.012.08.8
2.52.72.8
IceHogs61.4*57.051.9
1.6*1.61.7
Renegades95.597.098.2
26.8*32.839.3
2.32.11.9
Rogues vs BluesBrothersHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Bulls76.774.170.9
1.31.41.4
BluesBrothers8.712.216.4
3.12.82.6
Rogues4.42.81.8
0.0*NoNo
7.67.77.8
AllAccessIceBreakers vs PondScumHomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PondScum98.699.299.5
62.369.175.2
1.61.51.4
AllAccessIceBreakers99.098.497.4
57.650.643.2
1.61.81.9
Beastmode30.234.739.4
2.22.12.0
Wolves21.518.014.8
2.52.62.6
Phoenix vs BullsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Bulls62.4*73.180.5
1.6*1.41.3
BluesBrothers17.3*14.411.6
Phoenix99.999.899.5
12.96.22.6
2.93.33.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.