Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
YYZ10150-0015100.0%52.5%+0.25325137200001.86.662at LumberhacksYYZ
BeardedClamsWThermonuclearZebras 5-11260-0016100.0+0.092.0+15.4927100001.1+0.237.707Bearded Clams
WildTurkeys8141-008100.0+0.015.6+0.21623262111300003.0-0.0117.615RoyalsWild Turkeys
PlanB1051-0018100.0-0.042.6-0.0433015841000002.14.710Plan B
BoondockSaints842-008100.0+0.06.8+0.1716242918410003.5-0.0233.605WolverinesBoondock Saints
Lumberhacks6231-009100.0+0.023.2-0.7232821158310002.7-0.0516.602YYZLumberhacks
Hogs941-0114100.0+0.046.3-0.046271374210002.010.689Hogs
FraminghamJets1040-0213100.0-0.032.5+0.03227181263100002.51.678Framingham Jets
RenegadesWRogues 3-21051-0013100.0+0.247.9+8.8483318101.7+0.188.678Renegades
JunkyardDogs831-0215100.0+0.033.6+0.0343017106310002.429.704Junkyard Dogs
Bulls1040-021099.9+0.137.0-5.7373526201.9-0.0911.640Bulls
Mermen732-01199.9-0.078.8-1.579164101.3-0.0322.516Mermen
Hagen941-01899.9-0.013.3+0.013192319148310003.518.632Hagen
Wolverines6132-00199.8+0.01.8+0.0261221341771004.6-0.0532.514at BoondockSaintsWolverines
DirtyMikeandtheBoys842-001099.7+0.07.7-0.081421231710521003.953.643DragonSlayersDirty Mike and the Boys
BluesBrothers831-02999.6+0.214.9-3.1153149502.5-0.0614.622Blues Brothers
2ndShift941-01999.5-0.052.1-3.052241373001.9-0.0919.6352nd Shift
Blazers6132-00399.4+0.048.5-0.04936113101.736.550Blazers
ScreaminSeagulls633-00699.4+0.043.6-0.04440123101.820.592Screamin Seagulls
PapaGenos842-00599.1+0.16.1-4.365125124102.6+0.1239.587Papa Genos
WhiskeyShots6132-00599.1-0.08.6-0.09162219151172103.924.579Whiskey Shots
DragonSlayers842-00399.0+0.02.3+0.026121722201163105.15.546at DirtyMikeandtheBoysDragon Slayers
LoneWolves633-00598.3+0.02.9-0.03814181918145104.926.578Lone Wolves
NordiquesShamrocks5122-01598.0+0.04.6+0.051015181817125204.740.576Nordiques
Spartans842-00-398.0+0.02.8+0.03712161919166205.0+0.0128.447Spartans
PondScum424-00-297.8-0.514.9-0.01550231022.3-0.0757.464Pond Scum
PurplePandas732-01497.7-0.01.5+0.01491420221584205.658.557Purple Pandas
AngryHammers842-00696.7-0.423.6-1.22425211610302.7-0.1112.585Angry Hammers
ProTransmissionWNorthernLights 6-14123-00-496.7+10.50.1+0.100251436309316.3+0.7837.447Pro Transmission
ThermonuclearZebrasLBeardedClams 1-5842-00-296.5-2.51.2-10.1121332715303.4-0.6438.461Thermonuclear Zebras
SilverBullets1040-021495.8+0.747.9+7.6482415942.0+0.172.689Silver Bullets
Eagles8130-021195.8+0.051.7-0.05224137311.99.650Eagles
WheelTeam6424-00-495.5+0.90.0001311313713416.6-0.0447.444Wheel Team 6
BeerCats831-02395.2+0.210.9-0.51122242316403.3-0.1015.554Beer Cats
ThornyDevils622-02-194.9+0.01.1+0.01371116212511415.925.485Thorny Devils
LuxTMulligans 2-2 (ot)523-01392.3+1.30.6-0.8115263021713.8+0.1448.545Lux
PiratesWOldSchool 7-3622-02690.6+12.39.3+5.1917222319913.5+0.6945.588Pirates
MilwaukeeChargers831-02889.9-0.025.1-0.025292214732.621.620Milwaukee Chargers
Firebirds732-011389.2+1.523.3+4.023272217112.7+0.1723.653Firebirds
BoozeBrothers424-00-987.5-2.03.2-0.13173334133.4-0.1334.326Booze Brothers
GoldenSealsat ShutYourFiveHole3113-01-385.8+0.14.8+0.051339291233.469.442Golden Seals
MisfitsWWolves 3-1314-01-1285.1+10.82.9+1.63143335153.4+0.3566.331Misfits
WolvesLMisfits 1-3941-01684.7-8.714.2-15.214222622153.0-0.6313.624Wolves
StevesPizza523-01-382.8+0.00.1-0.000137132121171357.756.453WinterhawksSteves Pizza
ThirstyTurtles4123-00-980.7-0.02.9+0.03930401633.765.387Thirsty Turtles
Warhawks842-001180.5+2.011.2+2.811192427203.2+0.1630.652Warhawks
MulligansTLux 2-2 (ot)523-01-380.5+3.30.1-0.2051324381724.6+0.1752.447Mulligans
Winterhawks523-01-678.0-0.10.1+0.000125111920191578.050.424at StevesPizzaWinterhawks
StevenSeagals5122-01-473.5-1.03.5-0.3391420282344.4-0.1031.424Steven Seagals
Brewers413-02-272.9+6.50.2-0.101765274.2+0.0654.464Brewers
ElderSkatesmen6132-00371.9+0.19.5+0.0918222217113.53.555Elder Skatesmen
TeamBacon413-02-369.0-0.00.0+0.000014713202321108.541.455MooseKnucklesTeam Bacon
BeerThrashers4222-00263.0+0.08.1-0.0815192120173.842.529Beer Thrashers
NorthernLightsLProTransmission 1-6215-00-1659.9-18.50.0-0.0000014144126148.3-0.7368.314Northern Lights
IceDogs424-00-852.4+0.10.0+0.00000149162128209.159.397Ice Dogs
Jackals424-00-1151.6+0.10.0-0.0000124113330188.463.326Jackals
Hellfish732-01349.8+4.53.5+0.8381424504.1+0.1327.550Hellfish
GVC4112-02147.8-0.04.149152024284.335.517GVC
RCExpress2114-00-341.5-4.30.7-0.1136112145135.4-0.0661.457RC Express
Shamrocksat Nordiques2114-00-838.7-0.10.000012492332298.649.371Shamrocks
MiddlesexOffenders6132-00-631.7-0.01.6+0.02591628414.943.417Middlesex Offenders
Wings105-01-2529.7-8.40.2-0.002720704.6-0.1271.254Wings
Stiffsat AlbinoRhinos2114-00-627.7-1.70.0-0.001271852205.844.388Stiffs
RoguesLRenegades 2-3424-00-1227.6-6.90.0-0.000126724.7-0.0946.320Rogues
ShutYourFiveHoleGoldenSeals1104-01-1627.5-0.10.2+0.00171947264.964.330Shut Your Five Hole
Royals006-00-1727.3+3.7No0000261936379.0+0.0570.305at WildTurkeysRoyals
NEProgeny2114-00-2121.4-0.00.0-0.000001241528519.262.303NE Progeny
Meatballs215-00-1521.4-0.00.00000013611225710.255.321Meatballs
MooseKnuckles006-00-2120.9+3.3No0000141631489.2+0.0572.270at TeamBaconMoose Knuckles
Brewskis006-00-187.3-0.10.0+0.0001624685.660.284Brewskis
AlbinoRhinosStiffs0105-00-134.0-0.50.00001320766.7-0.0167.319Albino Rhinos
OldSchoolLPirates 3-7215-00-173.0-6.80.0-0.00001216816.8-0.2351.299Old School

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/13
ScreaminSeagulls 2 ElderSkatesmen 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Blazers+1.6
+1.0
ScreaminSeagulls-7.7
-5.0
-0.3
Eagles-1.6
-0.8
MilwaukeeChargers-1.6
-0.8
GoldenSeals+1.5
+1.0
ThirstyTurtles+1.5
+1.0
ElderSkatesmen+7.7
+4.6
+0.3
BeerThrashers-1.4
-1.1
GVC-1.4
-1.0
MiddlesexOffenders-1.7
-0.9
ShutYourFiveHole+1.6
+1.0
Brewskis+1.6
+0.9
Brewskis 3 Bulls 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Renegades-1.3
-1.3
Bulls+5.3
+5.4
+0.3
BluesBrothers-1.4
-1.3
Blazers+1.6
+1.0
ScreaminSeagulls+1.6
+1.0
GoldenSeals+1.6
+0.9
ThirstyTurtles+1.6
+1.1
Brewers-1.3
-1.4
Rogues-1.3
-1.4
ShutYourFiveHole+1.6
+1.0
Brewskis-7.9
-5.0
-0.3
Wolves 1 BoozeBrothers 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen+1.4
+1.1
PondScum+1.5
+1.2
SilverBullets-1.5
-1.1
Firebirds-1.3
-1.5
BoozeBrothers-5.8
-5.2
-0.3
Misfits+1.6
+1.3
+0.1
Wolves+6.4
+4.6
+0.3
Warhawks-2.0
-0.9
-0.1
Hellfish-1.6
-1.2
-0.1
Wings+1.3
+1.6
+0.1
BeerCats 7 AngryHammers 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
2ndShift-0.3
AngryHammers-9.3
-4.9
-0.5
BeerCats+10.2
+3.9
+0.5
Pirates-0.2
+0.2
StevenSeagals+0.3
RCExpress-0.2
+0.2
OldSchool+0.2
Blazers 7 ThirstyTurtles 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Blazers+9.4
+6.4
+0.4
ThirstyTurtles-9.4
-6.3
-0.4
Hellfish 6 Warhawks 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
SilverBullets+0.6
-0.3
Firebirds+0.3
-0.6
Wolves+0.5
-0.4
Warhawks-8.8
-6.2
-0.4
Hellfish+7.5
+7.4
+0.4
PondScum 3 Misfits 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen-0.2
PondScum+7.8
+7.1
+0.4
BoozeBrothers+0.2
Misfits-7.9
-7.0
-0.4
WhiskeyShots 7 ThornyDevils 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WhiskeyShots+7.2
+4.4
+0.7
ThornyDevils-7.3
-4.3
-0.7
Jackals 6 NEProgeny 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Jackals+7.2
+4.4
+0.7
NEProgeny-7.3
-4.3
-0.7
Spartans 1 Hogs 6
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Hogs+7.2
+4.4
+0.7
Spartans-7.3
-4.3
-0.7
Shamrocks 2 LoneWolves 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
LoneWolves+7.2
+4.4
+0.7
Shamrocks-7.3
-4.3
-0.7
Brewers 2 BluesBrothers 7
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BluesBrothers+7.0
+7.2
+0.3
Brewers-7.1
-7.0
-0.3
Mermen 5 SilverBullets 5 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Mermen+0.4
-0.5
-0.0
PondScum+0.2
+0.0
SilverBullets+0.4
-0.4
Firebirds+0.2
Wolves-0.2
Warhawks*-0.1
Wings*+0.1
ShutYourFiveHole 6 MilwaukeeChargers 6 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Eagles*-0.1
MilwaukeeChargers+0.3
-0.5
-0.0
GoldenSeals*-0.1
ElderSkatesmen*-0.1
GVC+0.2
ShutYourFiveHole+0.3
-0.5
StevenSeagals vs RCExpressIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
2ndShift99.6*99.599.5
51.4*52.252.6
AngryHammers97.1*96.696.4
23.0*23.724.1
BeerCats95.9*95.294.6
10.6*11.011.1
Pirates91.3*90.590.0
StevenSeagals86.375.262.0
5.63.21.7
4.04.44.8
RCExpress26.940.054.5
0.20.51.1
5.85.45.1
OldSchool2.9*3.13.1
GVC vs BeerThrashersHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Eagles52.452.351.0
MilwaukeeChargers89.6*89.990.1
25.4*25.424.7
ElderSkatesmen71.5*71.572.3
9.6*9.49.3
BeerThrashers50.7*63.274.6
4.57.611.5
4.23.83.4
GVC60.8*47.835.2
6.33.72.0
3.94.44.7
MiddlesexOffenders1.6*1.61.5
Week of 5/21
ProTransmission vs LumberhacksIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
YYZ57.854.149.4
1.71.81.9
WildTurkeys17.916.314.3
2.93.03.0
BoondockSaints7.77.16.2
3.53.53.6
Lumberhacks14.220.528.5
3.22.82.4
Wolverines2.11.91.6
ProTransmission98.997.695.3
0.2*0.10.0
5.86.26.5
WheelTeam66.76.66.5
NorthernLights59.3*59.660.2
Royals26.4*27.127.7
MooseKnuckles20.220.521.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.