Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsPromotedChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Switzerland124-00-012100.0%+0.6100.0%+0.6593461001.5+0.206.801SUI
Finland103-00-1899.9+0.299.9+0.22866500001.8-0.211.797FIN
Sweden113-10-01199.9+0.299.9+0.27125400001.3+0.283.788SWE
Canada913-00-01199.7+0.099.7+0.038451420001.8-0.122.767CAN
Germany612-01-0091.3+4.091.3+4.017364762103.6+0.034.500GER
Dennmark612-01-0386.2+2.586.2+2.52134130104003.5+0.0210.606DEN
United States511-11-0179.6+0.379.6+0.3154530116213.8-0.065.542USA
Czech Republic411-01-1166.2+3.566.2+3.50432301611614.2+0.0114.579CZE
Latvia311-02-0-325.1+3.325.1+3.300718282016115.5+0.028.371LAT
Norway51-12-0-319.6+13.819.6+13.80061321322435.6+1.0812.367NOR
Slovakia31-03-0-510.6-7.310.6-7.301941251685.7-0.317.334SLK
France51-12-0-19.9+0.89.9+0.8002831461215.6+0.2515.459FRA
Austria30-12-1-47.2-21.47.2-21.40016172131246.5-1.089.318AUT
United Kingdom110-02-1-112.4+0.22.4+0.2000261021617.3-0.0416.233UK
Kazachstan010-03-0-101.3+0.31.3+0.300161235457.2+0.1213.233KAZ
Italy10-03-1-101.1-1.01.1-1.00161136467.2-0.1911.202ITA

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday, 5/18
Norway 5 Austria 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Finland+0.1
+0.1
United States+3.3
+3.3
+0.0
Czech Republic+6.1
+6.1
+0.1
Latvia+1.8
+1.8
Norway+8.3
+8.3
+0.8
Austria-19.6
-19.6
-0.9
United Kingdom-0.1
Switzerland 5 Slovakia 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Switzerland+0.6
+0.6
+0.1
Canada-0.1
Germany+2.4
+2.4
Dennmark+1.7
+1.7
Slovakia-5.8
-5.8
-0.2
France+0.8
+0.8
+0.1
Kazachstan+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Italy+0.2
+0.2
+0.0
France 2 Italy 1 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Germany+1.0
+1.0
Dennmark+0.5
+0.5
+0.0
Slovakia+0.4
+0.4
+0.0
France-1.3
-1.3
+0.1
Italy-0.7
-0.7
-0.1
Finland 2 Sweden 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Finland-0.3
Sweden+0.2
+0.2
+0.3
Latvia-0.1
-0.1
Austria*-0.1
*-0.1
Thursday, 5/19
Czech Republic vs LatviaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
United States81.080.080.078.278.176.7
81.080.080.078.278.176.7
Czech Republic83.970.270.246.947.029.0
83.970.270.246.947.029.0
3.74.14.14.74.75.3
Latvia7.119.719.743.943.964.5
7.119.719.743.943.964.5
6.15.65.64.94.94.4
Norway20.620.320.318.818.916.8
20.620.320.318.818.916.8
5.65.65.65.75.75.7
Austria5.37.67.69.69.610.2
5.37.67.69.69.610.2
United Kingdom2.1*2.32.32.72.72.8
2.1*2.32.32.72.72.8
7.37.37.37.47.47.4
United Kingdom vs United StatesHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
United States51.868.568.380.580.587.7
51.868.568.380.580.587.7
4.74.14.13.83.83.5
Czech Republic69.868.568.466.666.664.8
69.868.568.466.666.664.8
4.14.14.14.24.24.2
Latvia31.828.028.2*25.1*25.123.1
31.828.028.2*25.1*25.123.1
Norway23.422.122.220.120.118.2
23.422.122.220.120.118.2
5.75.65.65.65.65.6
Austria10.98.48.47.07.06.2
10.98.48.47.07.06.2
6.56.56.56.56.56.4
United Kingdom12.34.64.60.80.80.2
12.34.64.60.80.80.2
6.57.07.07.37.37.5
Germany vs DennmarkHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Canada99.699.699.699.699.699.7
99.699.699.699.699.699.7
Germany99.297.297.292.192.184.1
99.297.297.292.192.184.1
2.93.23.23.73.74.1
Dennmark72.281.281.289.389.395.4
72.281.281.289.389.395.4
4.23.93.93.33.32.9
Slovakia14.110.710.78.68.69.1
14.110.710.78.68.69.1
France13.9*10.010.08.18.18.1
13.9*10.010.08.18.18.1
5.55.65.65.65.65.6
Kazachstan0.60.70.71.21.21.9
0.60.70.71.21.21.9
Italy0.50.60.6*1.1*1.11.7
0.50.60.6*1.1*1.11.7
Canada vs KazachstanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Switzerland1.51.41.41.41.41.3
Canada99.999.699.699.099.097.5
99.999.699.699.099.097.5
1.71.91.92.12.12.4
Germany91.791.191.090.089.988.1
91.791.191.090.089.988.1
3.63.63.63.53.53.5
Dennmark3.53.43.43.43.43.3
Slovakia10.6*10.5*10.510.410.310.3
10.6*10.5*10.510.410.310.3
5.75.75.75.85.85.9
France9.8*10.010.010.210.210.6
9.8*10.010.010.210.210.6
5.65.65.65.75.75.8
Kazachstan0.71.51.53.13.16.2
0.71.51.53.13.16.2
7.37.17.16.86.86.5
Italy7.27.27.27.37.37.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Zbyna-CK for adding this league.