Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Libertadores			Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	Sunday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Flamengo	T	Santos 0-0	96		30	-	6	-	2	31	99.9	%	-0.0	Yes			100	0																			1.0		No			2	.805	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Palmeiras		at Cruzeiro	26	27	8	-	2	-	1	15	0.0		+0.0	98.7	%	-0.0	0	71	18	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.5	+0.01	0.0	%		1	.597	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Santos	T	Flamengo 0-0	21	27	6	-	3	-	2	4	0.0			85.1		-0.2	0	15	32	19	12	8	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.4	-0.03	0.1		-0.0	3	.536	Santos Futebol Clube
Atletico-MG		at Internacional	16	28	5	-	1	-	4	2	0.0			56.4		-0.1	0	4	12	15	14	12	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	6.7		0.9		-0.0	5	.492	Clube Atletico Mineiro

Internacional		Atletico-MG	16	28	5	-	1	-	4	4	0.0			55.7		+0.0	0	4	12	15	14	12	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	6.7		1.0		+0.0	6	.492	Sport Club Internacional
Goias		Gremio	15	28	5	-	0	-	5	1	0.0			43.5		+0.1	0	2	7	11	12	11	11	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	7.7	+0.01	1.9		-0.0	11	.479	Goias Esporte Clube

Botafogo		Ceara	16	27	5	-	1	-	5	-1	0.0		+0.0	41.8		+0.1	0	2	7	10	11	11	11	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	7.9	+0.01	2.0		-0.0	7	.475	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Sao Paulo		at CSA	14	28	3	-	5	-	2	2	0.0			33.9		+0.1	0	1	5	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	8.6	+0.01	3.5		-0.0	4	.467	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Bahia		at Fortaleza	14	27	4	-	2	-	5	-2	No		-0.0	21.9		+0.0		1	3	5	6	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	10.0		6.5		-0.0	12	.450	Esporte Clube Bahia
Corinthians		Fluminense	12	28	3	-	3	-	4	0	0.0		+0.0	18.3		-0.0	0	0	2	4	5	7	8	8	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	10.5		8.8		+0.0	8	.443	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Gremio		at Goias	12	27	3	-	3	-	5	-2	No			10.3		-0.0		0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	3	1	11.9		15.3		+0.0	10	.425	Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Athletico-PR		at Avai	10	28	3	-	1	-	6	0	No			8.8		+0.0		0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	4	2	12.4		18.7			15	.418	Clube Athletico Paranaense
Fortaleza		Bahia	10	28	3	-	1	-	6	-6	No			8.7		+0.0		0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	4	2	12.4		18.8		-0.0	9	.418	Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Ceara		at Botafogo	10	27	3	-	1	-	7	-1	No			4.0		+0.0		0	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	10	10	9	8	4	14.0	-0.01	30.8		+0.1	18	.401	Ceara Sporting Club
Fluminense		at Corinthians	8	28	2	-	2	-	6	-4	No			3.3		+0.0		0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	8	9	10	10	10	9	6	14.4		35.8		+0.0	14	.394	Fluminense Football Club
Chapecoense		at Vasco da Gama	8	28	2	-	2	-	6	-5	No			3.2		+0.0		0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	6	14.5		36.2		+0.0	13	.394	Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol

Cruzeiro		Palmeiras	8	28	2	-	2	-	6	-8	No			3.0		+0.0		0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	11	10	6	14.6		37.4		-0.0	19	.394	Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Vasco da Gama		Chapecoense	9	27	2	-	3	-	6	-8	No			2.3		-0.0		0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	11	7	14.9		40.5		-0.1	17	.389	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
CSA		Sao Paulo	6	28	1	-	3	-	6	-13	No			1.1		-0.0		0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	9	11	14	17	14	16.1		55.6		+0.0	16	.369	Centro Sportivo Alagoano
Avai		Athletico-PR	4	27	0	-	4	-	7	-9	No			0.1				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	5	7	11	19	49	18.6		86.3		-0.0	20	.327	Avai Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 6/1
Flamengo 2 Fortaleza 0
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	+1.6		+7.5		-2.5		+0.9
Fortaleza	-0.3		-3.9		+4.7		-0.8

Chapecoense 1 Palmeiras 2
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras			+4.2				+0.4
Chapecoense	No		-4.3		+2.9		-0.7

Sao Paulo 1 Cruzeiro 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos			+0.5
Sao Paulo			-3.0		+0.3		-0.3
Cruzeiro	No		-1.0		+0.6		-0.2

Atletico-MG 4 CSA 0
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos			-0.5
Atletico-MG			+7.0		-0.7		+0.7
Internacional			-0.5
Botafogo			-0.6
Sao Paulo			-0.5
Bahia			-0.5
Corinthians			-0.5
Gremio					-0.7
Athletico-PR			-0.5
Fortaleza			-0.2		-0.4
Ceara			-0.2		-0.4
Fluminense					-0.6
Cruzeiro			-0.3		-0.4
Vasco da Gama					-0.4
CSA	No		-1.5		+5.3		-0.6
Avai					-0.5

Ceara 0 Santos 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos			+8.3		-1.7		+0.9
Ceara	No		-4.7		+4.0		-0.8

Internacional 2 Avai 0
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos			-0.6
Atletico-MG			-0.6
Internacional			+6.5		-1.7		+0.7
Goias			-0.4
Botafogo			-0.6
Sao Paulo			-0.6
Bahia			-0.6
Corinthians			-0.5
Gremio					-0.3
Athletico-PR			-0.5
Ceara			-0.3		-0.3
Fluminense					-0.4
Cruzeiro			-0.3		-0.3
CSA					-0.4
Avai	No		-0.3		+4.9		-0.4

Athletico-PR 3 Fluminense 0
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR			+5.3		-4.4		+0.9
Fluminense	No		-1.7		+6.3		-0.7

Week of 6/8
CSA 0 Flamengo 2
9:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	+1.1		+7.4		-1.1		+0.8
Palmeiras	-0.5
Santos	-0.2		-0.5
Atletico-MG			-0.7
Internacional			-0.6
Goias			-0.6
Botafogo			-0.6
Sao Paulo			-0.6
Bahia			-0.7
Corinthians			-0.6
Gremio					-0.5
Fortaleza					-0.6
Fluminense					-0.6
Chapecoense					-0.6
Cruzeiro					-0.5
Vasco da Gama					-0.5
CSA			-0.9		+6.0		-0.6
Avai					-0.4

Fluminense 0 Flamengo 0
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	-0.8		-3.0		+0.2		-0.3
Palmeiras	+0.4
Santos			+0.3
Internacional			+0.4
Botafogo			+0.3
Sao Paulo			+0.4
Bahia			+0.4
Corinthians			+0.4
Gremio					-0.2
Fluminense			-0.6		+1.3		-0.2
Chapecoense					-0.2
Vasco da Gama					*-0.1
CSA					-0.2

Cruzeiro 0 Corinthians 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo			+0.4
Corinthians	No		-2.5		+0.4		-0.2
Gremio					-0.2
Fluminense					-0.3
Cruzeiro	No		-0.9		+1.3		-0.2
Vasco da Gama					-0.2
CSA					-0.2

Atletico-MG 1 Sao Paulo 1
8:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	No		-2.4				-0.2
Sao Paulo	No		-1.5		+0.1		-0.1

Goias 2 Athletico-PR 1
8:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Internacional			-0.4
Goias			+7.1		-2.1		+0.8
Athletico-PR	No		-4.1		+3.4		-0.7

Gremio 1 Fortaleza 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			+1.2		-9.3		+0.8
Fortaleza	No		-3.5		+5.3		-0.8
Fluminense					+0.5
CSA					+0.5

Palmeiras 2 Avai 0
8:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras			+1.0				+0.2
Ceara					-0.3
Fluminense					-0.3
Chapecoense					-0.3
Cruzeiro					-0.4
Vasco da Gama					-0.3
CSA					-0.3
Avai					+3.2		-0.2

Vasco da Gama 1 Ceara 0
7:15 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Ceara			-2.7		+6.3		-0.8
Vasco da Gama			+0.6		-9.5		+0.8

Chapecoense 1 Fluminense 1
8:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense			-0.7		+1.4		-0.2
Chapecoense			-0.8		+2.0		-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.