Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength5/4
Fortaleza00-0-005.0%30.0%5555555555555555555510.520.0%1.500Athletico-PRFortaleza Esporte Clube
Palmeiras00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500Vasco da GamaSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-GO00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at CorinthiansAtletico Clube Goianiense
Santos00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500BragantinoSantos Futebol Clube
Gremio00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500FluminenseGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Internacional00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at CoritibaSport Club Internacional
Ceara00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at Sport RecifeCeara Sporting Club
Vasco da Gama00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at PalmeirasClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fluminense00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at GremioFluminense Football Club
Corinthians00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500Atletico-GOSport Club Corinthians Paulista
Bahia00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at BotafogoEsporte Clube Bahia
Bragantino00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at SantosClube Atletico Bragantino
Athletico-PR00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at FortalezaClube Athletico Paranaense
Botafogo00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500BahiaBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Flamengo00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500Atletico-MGClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Goias00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500Sao PauloGoias Esporte Clube
Coritiba00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500InternacionalCoritiba Football Club
Atletico-MG00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at FlamengoClube Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500at GoiasSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Sport Recife00-0-005.030.05555555555555555555510.520.01.500CearaSport Club do Recife

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 5/4
Palmeiras vs Vasco da GamaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza*5.05.15.0
*30.030.229.9
20.019.920.0
Palmeiras6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Atletico-GO5.05.1*5.0
30.030.229.9
20.019.9*20.0
Vasco da Gama3.54.47.0
24.528.337.1
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4
Botafogo29.930.229.9
Flamengo*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.019.920.1
Coritiba*5.05.15.0
29.930.2*29.9
20.119.9*20.0
Coritiba vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO5.05.1*5.0
29.930.2*30.0
20.119.9*20.0
Internacional3.54.47.1
24.528.337.2
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Athletico-PR5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.820.1
Botafogo*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
Coritiba6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.821.324.9
9.410.811.5
Atletico-MG29.930.329.9
20.119.9*20.0
Sport Recife5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Flamengo vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional29.930.229.9
20.119.8*20.0
Botafogo*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.8*20.0
Flamengo6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.821.324.9
9.410.811.5
Atletico-MG3.54.47.0
24.528.337.1
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4
Sport Recife5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
Fortaleza vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza6.94.33.4
36.727.924.2
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Palmeiras5.05.1*5.0
29.930.329.9
*20.019.920.1
Athletico-PR3.54.47.0
24.528.337.1
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Atletico-MG*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.920.1
Goias vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Sao Paulo3.54.47.0
24.528.337.1
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Santos vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos6.94.33.4
36.627.924.1
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Fluminense*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.8*20.0
Bragantino3.54.47.0
24.528.337.1
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Flamengo*5.05.15.0
30.030.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Atletico-MG5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Gremio vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.821.324.9
9.410.811.5
Ceara*5.05.15.0
29.930.329.9
20.119.8*20.0
Vasco da Gama5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.019.9*20.0
Fluminense3.54.47.1
24.528.337.1
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Corinthians5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
Bragantino*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
Athletico-PR*5.05.15.0
29.930.329.9
*20.019.920.1
Corinthians vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO3.54.47.1
24.528.337.1
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4
Gremio5.05.1*5.0
29.930.329.9
20.119.9*20.1
Corinthians6.94.33.4
36.627.924.1
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Botafogo vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras*5.05.15.0
29.930.329.9
Bahia3.54.47.1
24.528.337.2
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Bragantino5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Botafogo6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Sport Recife vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
Internacional*5.05.15.0
*30.030.229.9
Ceara3.54.47.1
24.528.337.1
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Vasco da Gama5.05.1*5.0
29.930.2*30.0
20.019.9*20.0
Sport Recife6.94.33.4
36.627.924.1
14.821.324.9
9.410.811.5
Week of 5/11
Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza5.05.1*5.0
29.930.329.9
20.019.9*20.0
Palmeiras*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
*20.019.920.0
Corinthians3.54.47.1
24.528.337.1
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4
Atletico-MG6.94.33.4
36.727.824.1
14.821.324.9
9.410.811.5
Bahia vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras*5.05.15.0
29.930.329.9
*20.019.920.1
Ceara5.05.1*5.0
29.930.329.9
20.119.9*20.0
Bahia6.94.33.4
36.727.924.2
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Coritiba3.54.47.0
24.528.337.2
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4
Sao Paulo5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Sao Paulo vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza3.54.47.0
24.528.337.2
24.421.014.5
11.410.79.4
Internacional5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Botafogo*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
*20.019.920.0
Atletico-MG*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
*20.019.920.1
Sao Paulo6.94.33.4
36.727.824.1
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Fluminense vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras3.54.47.1
24.528.337.1
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Internacional5.05.15.0
29.930.329.9
20.119.820.0
Fluminense6.94.33.4
36.727.824.1
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Athletico-PR29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Flamengo*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
Goias5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
Athletico-PR vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
*20.019.820.0
Bahia5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Athletico-PR6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.721.324.9
9.410.811.5
Botafogo5.05.15.0
29.930.329.9
20.019.820.1
Goias3.54.47.1
24.528.337.2
24.520.914.5
11.410.79.4
Coritiba*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
Atletico-GO vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.8*20.0
Atletico-GO6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.821.324.9
9.410.811.5
Gremio5.05.1*5.0
29.930.329.9
20.119.9*20.0
Fluminense29.930.229.9
20.019.820.0
Corinthians*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Flamengo3.54.47.1
24.528.337.1
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4
Coritiba*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
Internacional vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos3.54.47.0
24.528.337.1
24.420.914.5
11.410.79.4
Internacional6.94.33.4
36.627.924.1
14.821.324.9
9.410.811.5
Ceara29.930.329.9
Bragantino vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.019.9*20.0
Bragantino6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.821.324.9
9.410.811.5
Botafogo3.54.47.0
24.528.337.1
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4
Goias*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.820.1
Ceara vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO29.930.329.9
20.119.8*20.0
Gremio3.54.47.1
24.528.337.1
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4
Ceara6.94.33.4
36.727.924.1
14.721.324.9
9.410.811.5
Bahia5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
*20.019.920.1
Athletico-PR*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Vasco da Gama vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO29.930.229.9
20.119.9*20.0
Internacional*5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
20.019.920.0
Vasco da Gama6.94.33.4
36.727.824.1
14.821.324.8
9.410.811.5
Fluminense29.930.229.9
Corinthians5.05.15.0
29.930.229.9
*20.019.920.1
Bragantino5.05.1*5.0
29.930.229.9
20.019.9*20.0
Sport Recife3.54.47.1
24.528.337.1
24.521.014.5
11.410.79.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.