Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength1/4
Sao Paulo5616-8-32574.9%-1.399.2%-0.475176210000001.4-0.04No1.640at BragantinoSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Flamengo49114-7-51112.5-0.783.4-5.01331241595210000003.0-0.21No4.588FluminenseClube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-MG4915-4-8127.6-0.180.4-5.282827181162100000003.3-0.18No3.572SantosClube Atletico Mineiro
InternacionalWBahia 2-14713-8-6152.3+0.952.3+5.42101723211573100000004.5+0.34No-0.05.552at CearaSport Club Internacional
GremioWAtletico-GO 2-145111-12-3131.5+0.741.1+5.718131921191152100000004.9+0.430.0%-0.02.549BahiaGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
PalmeirasWBragantino 1-044112-8-6121.2+0.535.0+5.116111722211263100000005.2+0.430.0-0.06.539CorinthiansSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Fluminense4011-7-960.0-0.04.6-2.3001371424201484210000007.7-0.180.0-0.07.485at FlamengoFluminense Football Club
SantosTCeara 1-13910-9-830.0-0.01.9-2.80001481621191384210000008.5-0.440.0-0.08.475at Atletico-MGSantos Futebol Clube
CorinthiansWBotafogo 2-03910-9-800.0+0.01.8+0.3000138152019149531100008.7+0.810.1-0.49.475at PalmeirasSport Club Corinthians Paulista
CearaTSantos 1-1369-9-910.0-0.00.2-0.5000012510151817138531000010.5-0.250.5-0.311.446InternacionalCeara Sporting Club
Athletico-PRWVasco da Gama 3-03410-4-13-40.00.1+0.0000001251014171713963200011.6+1.222.0-6.212.427at BotafogoClube Athletico Paranaense
Atletico-GOLGremio 1-2348-10-9-70.0-0.00.1-0.3000001251014171613964200011.6-0.652.3+0.510.427Vasco da GamaAtletico Clube Goianiense
Fortaleza317-10-10-1No0.0-0.000000012581215161513941013.9+0.2114.3-3.414.398at Sport RecifeFortaleza Esporte Clube
BragantinoLPalmeiras 0-1317-10-100No-0.00.0-0.0000000124710131616141151014.2-0.5517.2+3.417.398Sao PauloClube Atletico Bragantino
Vasco da GamaLAthletico-PR 0-32817-7-12-13No-0.00.0-0.000000011358121415161373114.7-0.6524.4+5.313.380at Atletico-GOClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sport Recife298-5-14-13No0.0-0.000000001247101316171683115.0+0.2228.6-5.116.378FortalezaSport Club do Recife
BahiaLInternacional 1-2288-4-15-15No0.0-0.00000001236912151819114115.4-0.4835.7+5.915.369at GremioEsporte Clube Bahia
Goias235-8-14-15NoNo0000000012361226272318.3+0.2087.8-2.818.320at CoritibaGoias Esporte Clube
BotafogoLCorinthians 0-2234-11-12-14No0.000000000011251023322718.5-0.3391.0+4.119.320Athletico-PRBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Coritiba215-6-16-16NoNo00000000012515284819.1+0.1196.0-0.920.301GoiasCoritiba Football Club

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/26
Fluminense 1 Sao Paulo 2
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+8.7
+1.0
+0.2
Flamengo-5.2
+0.3
Atletico-MG-2.0
+0.7
Internacional-0.6
+0.9
Gremio-0.4
+0.7
Palmeiras-0.3
+0.6
Fluminense-4.6
-0.5
Fortaleza 0 Flamengo 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+3.5
Flamengo-4.6
-2.0
-0.2
Atletico-MG+0.6
+0.3
Internacional+0.2
+0.5
Gremio+0.3
Palmeiras+0.5
Fortaleza*No
-0.5
-0.0
Sport Recife+0.1
Bahia+0.2
Atletico-MG 2 Coritiba 0
5:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-1.4
Flamengo-0.7
-0.5
Atletico-MG+2.4
+6.3
*No
+0.3
Internacional-1.5
Gremio-1.4
Palmeiras-1.3
Fluminense-0.8
Coritiba*No
+1.8
-0.2
Bahia 1 Internacional 2
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-1.2
Atletico-MG-1.5
Internacional+0.8
+9.9
No
+0.4
Gremio-2.7
Palmeiras-2.5
Fluminense-0.8
Athletico-PR-0.5
Fortaleza-1.1
Bragantino-0.9
Vasco da Gama-1.0
Sport Recife-1.6
Bahia+7.0
-0.5
Goias-0.6
Botafogo-0.8
Gremio 2 Atletico-GO 1
8:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-1.1
Atletico-MG-1.4
Internacional-2.7
Gremio+0.5
+9.1
No
+0.5
Palmeiras-2.0
Fluminense-0.8
Atletico-GONo
-0.3
+0.9
-0.6
Palmeiras 1 Bragantino 0
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-1.1
Atletico-MG-1.3
Internacional-2.6
Gremio-2.0
Palmeiras+0.4
+8.5
+0.5
Fortaleza-0.7
Bragantino*No
+4.6
-0.5
Vasco da Gama-0.6
Sport Recife-0.9
Bahia-0.9
Santos 1 Ceara 1
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-1.5
-0.2
Ceara-0.3
-0.1
Botafogo 0 Corinthians 2
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.9
-0.4
+0.7
Fortaleza-0.6
Vasco da Gama-0.6
Sport Recife-0.9
Bahia-0.8
BotafogoNo
+4.7
-0.3
Athletico-PR 3 Vasco da Gama 0
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR-4.9
+0.9
Vasco da Gama*No
+7.1
-0.7
Sport Recife-0.7
Goias 1 Sport Recife 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza-1.0
Vasco da Gama-1.0
Sport Recife+9.8
-0.8
Bahia-1.4
Goias-3.5
+0.4
Botafogo-0.8
Week of 1/4
Bragantino vs Sao PauloIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo63.869.981.6
98.298.999.7
1.61.51.3
Flamengo17.314.99.5
3.03.03.1
Atletico-MG11.39.15.4
3.23.23.3
Bragantino7.416.121.6
13.214.214.6
Flamengo vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo71.477.278.7
1.41.31.3
Flamengo17.39.67.3
90.080.875.0
2.73.23.5
Fluminense2.13.79.4
8.17.76.9
Atletico-MG vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo72.576.477.5
Atletico-MG11.15.43.7
87.877.470.9
2.93.43.7
Santos0.71.44.3
9.08.67.8
Ceara vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional0.91.43.7
40.247.363.6
5.04.74.0
Gremio44.442.438.0
4.94.95.0
Palmeiras38.136.532.1
5.15.25.3
Ceara0.0NoNo
0.60.10.0
0.10.50.9
9.610.611.0
Gremio vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional49.854.256.1
4.54.44.4
Gremio2.20.80.5
49.535.028.4
4.55.25.6
Palmeiras33.136.438.0
5.35.25.1
BahiaNoNo0.0
42.535.220.8
15.815.414.5
Palmeiras vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional49.654.054.9
4.54.44.4
Palmeiras1.90.70.4
45.430.324.1
No*0.00.0
4.75.45.8
Corinthians0.61.23.8
9.28.87.9
Botafogo vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR4.12.20.6
12.411.910.9
Botafogo84.092.594.9
18.018.618.8
Atletico-GO vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO0.62.44.5
10.911.912.4
Vasco da Gama31.925.413.5
15.314.813.7
Sport Recife vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza22.414.86.0
14.714.113.0
Sport Recife0.0No0.0
16.230.839.8
14.215.215.7
Coritiba vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias93.490.380.6
18.718.417.7
Coritiba92.897.398.4
18.619.219.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.