Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title											Libertadores		Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change	RPI	Strength	5/4

Fortaleza	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0	%	30.0	%	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0	%	1	.500	Athletico-PR	Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Palmeiras	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Vasco da Gama	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-GO	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Corinthians	Atletico Clube Goianiense
Santos	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Bragantino	Santos Futebol Clube

Gremio	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Fluminense	Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Internacional	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Coritiba	Sport Club Internacional

Ceara	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Sport Recife	Ceara Sporting Club
Vasco da Gama	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Palmeiras	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fluminense	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Gremio	Fluminense Football Club
Corinthians	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Atletico-GO	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Bahia	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Botafogo	Esporte Clube Bahia
Bragantino	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Santos	Clube Atletico Bragantino
Athletico-PR	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Fortaleza	Clube Athletico Paranaense
Botafogo	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Bahia	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Flamengo	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Atletico-MG	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Goias	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Sao Paulo	Goias Esporte Clube

Coritiba	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Internacional	Coritiba Football Club
Atletico-MG	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Flamengo	Clube Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	at Goias	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Sport Recife	0		0	-	0	-	0	0	5.0		30.0		5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	10.5		20.0		1	.500	Ceara	Sport Club do Recife

Week of 5/4
Palmeiras vs Vasco da GamaIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza	*5.05.15.0		*30.030.229.9		20.019.920.0
Palmeiras	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5
Atletico-GO	5.05.1*5.0		30.030.229.9		20.019.9*20.0
Vasco da Gama	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.1		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4
Botafogo			29.930.229.9
Flamengo	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.019.920.1
Coritiba	*5.05.15.0		29.930.2*29.9		20.119.9*20.0

Coritiba vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-GO	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.2*30.0		20.119.9*20.0
Internacional	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.2		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4
Athletico-PR	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.820.1
Botafogo	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9
Coritiba	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.821.324.9		9.410.811.5
Atletico-MG			29.930.329.9		20.119.9*20.0
Sport Recife	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0

Flamengo vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Internacional			29.930.229.9		20.119.8*20.0
Botafogo	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.8*20.0
Flamengo	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.821.324.9		9.410.811.5
Atletico-MG	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.1		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4
Sport Recife	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9

Fortaleza vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.2		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5
Palmeiras	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.329.9		*20.019.920.1
Athletico-PR	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.1		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4
Atletico-MG	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.920.1

Goias vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Goias	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5
Sao Paulo	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.1		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4

Santos vs BragantinoHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	6.94.33.4		36.627.924.1		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5
Fluminense	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.8*20.0
Bragantino	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.1		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4
Flamengo	*5.05.15.0		30.030.229.9		20.119.9*20.0
Atletico-MG	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0

Gremio vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.821.324.9		9.410.811.5
Ceara	*5.05.15.0		29.930.329.9		20.119.8*20.0
Vasco da Gama	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.019.9*20.0
Fluminense	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.1		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4
Corinthians	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9
Bragantino	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9
Athletico-PR	*5.05.15.0		29.930.329.9		*20.019.920.1

Corinthians vs Atletico-GOHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-GO	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.1		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4
Gremio	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.329.9		20.119.9*20.1
Corinthians	6.94.33.4		36.627.924.1		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5

Botafogo vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	*5.05.15.0		29.930.329.9
Bahia	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.2		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4
Bragantino	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0
Botafogo	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5

Sport Recife vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-GO	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9
Internacional	*5.05.15.0		*30.030.229.9
Ceara	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.1		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4
Vasco da Gama	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.2*30.0		20.019.9*20.0
Sport Recife	6.94.33.4		36.627.924.1		14.821.324.9		9.410.811.5

Week of 5/11
Atletico-MG vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.329.9		20.019.9*20.0
Palmeiras	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		*20.019.920.0
Corinthians	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.1		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4
Atletico-MG	6.94.33.4		36.727.824.1		14.821.324.9		9.410.811.5

Bahia vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	*5.05.15.0		29.930.329.9		*20.019.920.1
Ceara	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.329.9		20.119.9*20.0
Bahia	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.2		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5
Coritiba	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.2		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4
Sao Paulo	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0

Sao Paulo vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.2		24.421.014.5		11.410.79.4
Internacional	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0
Botafogo	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		*20.019.920.0
Atletico-MG	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		*20.019.920.1
Sao Paulo	6.94.33.4		36.727.824.1		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5

Fluminense vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.1		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4
Internacional	5.05.15.0		29.930.329.9		20.119.820.0
Fluminense	6.94.33.4		36.727.824.1		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5
Athletico-PR			29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0
Flamengo	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9
Goias	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9

Athletico-PR vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		*20.019.820.0
Bahia	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0
Athletico-PR	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.721.324.9		9.410.811.5
Botafogo	5.05.15.0		29.930.329.9		20.019.820.1
Goias	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.2		24.520.914.5		11.410.79.4
Coritiba	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9

Atletico-GO vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.8*20.0
Atletico-GO	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.821.324.9		9.410.811.5
Gremio	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.329.9		20.119.9*20.0
Fluminense			29.930.229.9		20.019.820.0
Corinthians	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0
Flamengo	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.1		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4
Coritiba	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9

Internacional vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.1		24.420.914.5		11.410.79.4
Internacional	6.94.33.4		36.627.924.1		14.821.324.9		9.410.811.5
Ceara			29.930.329.9

Bragantino vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.019.9*20.0
Bragantino	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.821.324.9		9.410.811.5
Botafogo	3.54.47.0		24.528.337.1		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4
Goias	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.820.1

Ceara vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-GO			29.930.329.9		20.119.8*20.0
Gremio	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.1		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4
Ceara	6.94.33.4		36.727.924.1		14.721.324.9		9.410.811.5
Bahia	5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		*20.019.920.1
Athletico-PR	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0

Vasco da Gama vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-GO			29.930.229.9		20.119.9*20.0
Internacional	*5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		20.019.920.0
Vasco da Gama	6.94.33.4		36.727.824.1		14.821.324.8		9.410.811.5
Fluminense			29.930.229.9
Corinthians	5.05.15.0		29.930.229.9		*20.019.920.1
Bragantino	5.05.1*5.0		29.930.229.9		20.019.9*20.0
Sport Recife	3.54.47.1		24.528.337.1		24.521.014.5		11.410.79.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

Big Games