Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Libertadores			Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	Sunday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength	Monday

Atletico-MG			31	2	10	-	1	-	4	13	34.9	%	-7.9	90.3	%	-0.9	35	27	19	10	5	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.4	-0.18	0.0	%		2	.581	at Bahia	Clube Atletico Mineiro
Internacional	W	Vasco da Gama 2-0	34		10	-	4	-	3	15	28.6		+6.1	88.8		+7.4	29	27	21	12	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.6	+0.44	0.0		-0.0	3	.585		Sport Club Internacional
Flamengo	W	Corinthians 5-1	34		10	-	4	-	3	11	27.1		+5.7	87.8		+7.7	27	26	22	13	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.7	+0.45	0.0		-0.0	4	.585		Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Sao Paulo			27	2	7	-	6	-	2	7	6.5		-2.3	56.2		-2.7	6	12	17	21	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.6	-0.15	0.1		-0.0	1	.531		Sao Paulo Futebol Clube

Santos			27		7	-	6	-	4	4	1.3		-0.6	25.6		-2.5	1	4	8	13	17	15	12	9	7	5	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.5	-0.03	0.3		-0.0	5	.499		Santos Futebol Clube
Fluminense			26		7	-	5	-	5	5	0.7		-0.4	17.9		-1.9	1	2	5	10	14	14	13	11	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	7.3	+0.01	0.7		-0.1	8	.486		Fluminense Football Club
Palmeiras		at Fortaleza	22	2	5	-	7	-	3	1	0.4		-0.2	10.8		-1.2	0	1	3	6	10	12	12	11	10	8	7	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	8.5	+0.08	2.2		-0.2	7	.470		Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Fortaleza		Palmeiras	21	2	5	-	6	-	4	3	0.2		-0.1	8.1		-1.0	0	1	2	5	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	9.1	+0.10	3.3		-0.3	10	.458		Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Gremio			21	1	4	-	9	-	3	2	0.1		-0.0	4.1		-0.6	0	0	1	3	5	7	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	10.3	+0.11	5.8		-0.5	6	.441		Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Atletico-GO			22		5	-	7	-	5	-4	0.1		-0.0	3.0		-0.5	0	0	1	2	4	6	8	9	10	10	10	9	8	7	6	4	3	2	1	0	10.8	+0.11	7.1		-0.5	9	.437		Atletico Clube Goianiense
Sport Recife		at Bragantino	20	1	6	-	2	-	8	-6	0.1		-0.0	2.6		-0.4	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	8	9	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	11.1	+0.13	8.9		-0.7	12	.429		Sport Club do Recife
Vasco da Gama	L	Internacional 0-2	18	2	5	-	3	-	7	-4	0.0		-0.1	2.1		-2.7	0	0	1	1	3	4	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	11.7	-1.00	12.2		+4.0	11	.421		Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Ceara			19	1	5	-	4	-	7	-4	0.0		-0.0	1.4		-0.2	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	4	3	1	12.2	+0.14	14.7		-0.9	13	.417		Ceara Sporting Club
Botafogo			18	1	3	-	9	-	4	-3	0.0		-0.0	0.6		-0.1	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	7	8	9	9	10	10	9	8	7	5	3	13.4	+0.15	23.3		-1.3	15	.405	Goias	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Corinthians	L	Flamengo 1-5	18		4	-	6	-	7	-6	0.0		-0.0	0.2		-0.5	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	4	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	10	9	5	14.7	-0.93	35.1		+9.0	14	.388		Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Athletico-PR			16	1	4	-	4	-	8	-5	0.0		-0.0	0.2		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	11	12	12	11	8	15.3	+0.14	43.0		-1.8	17	.380		Clube Athletico Paranaense

Bahia			16	1	4	-	4	-	8	-5	0.0		-0.0	0.2		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	3	5	6	7	8	10	11	12	12	11	8	15.3	+0.13	43.2		-1.7	18	.380	Atletico-MG	Esporte Clube Bahia
Coritiba			16		4	-	4	-	9	-8	0.0			0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	7	9	11	13	14	14	12	16.1	+0.13	52.7		-1.9	16	.363		Coritiba Football Club
Bragantino		Sport Recife	13	1	2	-	7	-	7	-7	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	8	11	15	20	26	17.5	+0.09	71.8		-1.4	19	.343		Clube Atletico Bragantino
Goias			10	3	2	-	4	-	8	-9	0.0			0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	10	13	20	33	17.8	+0.10	75.7		-1.5	20	.339	at Botafogo	Goias Esporte Clube

Week of 10/17
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0
6:15 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	-2.4		-0.2
Internacional	+5.1		+5.2				+0.3
Flamengo	-1.4		-0.4
Sao Paulo	-0.7		-0.6
Santos	-0.2		-0.7
Fluminense			-0.6
Vasco da Gama			-1.7		+2.1		-0.6
Athletico-PR					-0.3
Coritiba					-0.3

Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	-2.4		-0.3
Internacional	-1.4		-0.5
Flamengo	+4.9		+5.3				+0.3
Sao Paulo	-0.6		-0.8
Santos	-0.2		-0.9
Fluminense			-0.7
Palmeiras			-0.5
Fortaleza			-0.4
Ceara					-0.4
Botafogo					-0.5
Corinthians			-0.3		+5.0		-0.6
Athletico-PR					-0.7
Bahia					-0.6
Coritiba					-0.7
Bragantino					-0.5
Goias					-0.5

Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0
9:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	+0.7		+0.2
Internacional	+0.6		+0.5
Flamengo	+0.5		+0.5
Sao Paulo	-1.9		-3.3				-0.2
Santos			+0.5
Fluminense			+0.7
Palmeiras			+0.5
Fortaleza			+0.3
Gremio			-0.5				-0.1

Fluminense 2 Ceara 2
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG			+0.3
Internacional			+0.5
Flamengo			+0.4
Sao Paulo			+0.8
Santos			+0.3
Fluminense	-0.4		-3.2				-0.3
Palmeiras			+0.3
Ceara			-0.3		+0.5		-0.1

Coritiba 1 Santos 2
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG			-0.4
Internacional			-0.7
Flamengo			-0.7
Sao Paulo			-0.9
Santos	+0.5		+5.2		-0.8		+0.7
Fluminense			-0.6
Sport Recife					-0.4
Ceara					-0.5
Botafogo					-0.6
Corinthians					-0.7
Athletico-PR					-0.8
Bahia					-0.8
Coritiba					+7.0		-0.6
Bragantino					-0.6
Goias					-0.5

Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-GO			-1.1		+0.8		-0.3
Ceara					-0.2
Botafogo					-0.3
Corinthians					-0.3
Athletico-PR					+1.4		-0.1
Bahia					-0.3
Coritiba					-0.3
Bragantino					-0.2
Goias					-0.2

Bahia vs Atletico-MGIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	26.730.840.8		85.788.593.3				2.82.62.2
Internacional	32.030.426.2		89.288.988.6				2.52.62.7
Flamengo	30.328.824.7		88.188.087.6				2.62.62.7
Bahia	0.10.0No		0.40.10.1		31.3*43.248.8		14.315.415.8

Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	40.430.526.4		93.288.385.5				2.22.62.8
Internacional	26.430.532.1		88.689.089.1				2.72.62.5
Flamengo	24.928.930.5		87.588.088.1				2.72.62.6
Athletico-PR			0.10.10.4		48.142.730.8		15.715.314.2

Ceara vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	4.05.28.8		47.352.664.0				5.14.84.1
Ceara			2.71.20.7		8.715.118.5		11.212.412.9

Goias vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	3.84.98.5		46.551.663.1				5.24.94.2
Goias	0.0No0.0				66.276.480.1		17.017.818.1

Fortaleza vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	0.20.30.7		7.29.415.5		3.22.21.0		9.38.77.6
Fortaleza	0.40.20.1		11.96.95.1		1.63.54.8		8.39.49.9

Palmeiras vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	0.60.30.2		14.79.07.0		1.02.43.5		7.88.89.3
Vasco da Gama			1.21.73.6		15.712.67.2		12.411.910.7

Vasco da Gama vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza	0.10.20.4		5.36.811.6		4.93.51.6		9.99.48.3
Vasco da Gama			3.41.71.1		7.413.016.2		10.711.912.5

Gremio vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			5.83.12.3		3.36.79.3		9.510.611.2
Goias	No0.00.0				80.976.866.4		18.117.817.1

Bragantino vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sport Recife			1.41.93.9		13.29.95.1		12.011.510.3
Bragantino	0.0NoNo				62.073.578.2		16.817.617.9

Botafogo vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo			1.00.40.3		16.225.531.6		12.613.814.3
Goias	No0.00.0				81.677.166.4		18.217.917.1

Week of 10/26
Internacional vs FlamengoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Internacional	37.926.819.7		93.388.084.5				2.22.73.0
Flamengo	18.925.836.9		83.787.192.7		0.00.0No		3.02.72.3

Atletico-MG vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	40.930.826.9		93.488.785.7		No0.00.1		2.22.62.8
Internacional	26.130.531.9		88.689.089.0				2.72.62.5
Flamengo	24.728.730.2		87.687.987.9				2.72.62.6
Sport Recife			1.62.44.8		11.18.74.6		11.711.210.0

Sao Paulo vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	8.65.13.9		63.452.046.9				4.24.85.2
Botafogo			0.30.51.3		28.0*23.214.8		14.013.512.4

Fluminense vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	0.71.02.1		18.523.434.3		0.5*0.30.1		7.16.65.8
Fluminense	1.20.50.3		24.915.911.9		0.30.71.1		6.57.58.0

Atletico-GO vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	0.20.30.6		7.29.315.2		3.32.31.0		9.38.77.7
Atletico-GO			4.82.41.6		3.87.69.9		9.811.011.6

Bahia vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza	0.10.10.4		5.16.611.3		5.23.61.6		10.09.48.3
Bahia			0.30.10.1		32.544.950.5		14.415.516.0

Athletico-PR vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			2.43.26.1		8.86.33.1		11.110.59.4
Athletico-PR			0.30.10.1		32.544.950.6		14.415.516.0

Vasco da Gama vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Vasco da Gama			3.11.61.1		7.413.417.4		10.812.012.6
Corinthians			0.10.20.4		42.636.624.7		15.414.913.7

Ceara vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Ceara			2.21.00.7		9.216.221.0		11.412.613.1
Coritiba	NoNo0.0				60.654.240.8		16.716.215.2

Bragantino vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino	0.0NoNo				63.174.679.6		16.817.718.0
Goias	No0.00.0				82.277.767.3		18.317.917.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

Big Games