Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Atletico-MG31210-1-41334.9%-7.990.3%-0.93527191052110000000000002.4-0.180.0%2.581at BahiaClube Atletico Mineiro
InternacionalWVasco da Gama 2-03410-4-31528.6+6.188.8+7.42927211263110000000000002.6+0.440.0-0.03.585Sport Club Internacional
FlamengoWCorinthians 5-13410-4-31127.1+5.787.8+7.72726221363110000000000002.7+0.450.0-0.04.585Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Sao Paulo2727-6-276.5-2.356.2-2.761217211510743211000000004.6-0.150.1-0.01.531Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Santos277-6-441.3-0.625.6-2.51481317151297542211000006.5-0.030.3-0.05.499Santos Futebol Clube
Fluminense267-5-550.7-0.417.9-1.912510141413118754321100007.3+0.010.7-0.18.486Fluminense Football Club
Palmeirasat Fortaleza2225-7-310.4-0.210.8-1.201361012121110876432211008.5+0.082.2-0.27.470Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
FortalezaPalmeiras2125-6-430.2-0.18.1-1.00125810111110987543221109.1+0.103.3-0.310.458Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Gremio2114-9-320.1-0.04.1-0.60013579101010987654321010.3+0.115.8-0.56.441Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Atletico-GO225-7-5-40.1-0.03.0-0.50012468910101098764321010.8+0.117.1-0.59.437Atletico Clube Goianiense
Sport Recifeat Bragantino2016-2-8-60.1-0.02.6-0.4001235789101098765432111.1+0.138.9-0.712.429Sport Club do Recife
Vasco da GamaLInternacional 0-21825-3-7-40.0-0.12.1-2.70011346789999876542111.7-1.0012.2+4.011.421Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Ceara1915-4-7-40.0-0.01.4-0.20001235678999987643112.2+0.1414.7-0.913.417Ceara Sporting Club
Botafogo1813-9-4-30.0-0.00.6-0.1000012345789910109875313.4+0.1523.3-1.315.405GoiasBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
CorinthiansLFlamengo 1-5184-6-7-60.0-0.00.2-0.500000122346789101111109514.7-0.9335.1+9.014.388Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Athletico-PR1614-4-8-50.0-0.00.2-0.0000001123456781011121211815.3+0.1443.0-1.817.380Clube Athletico Paranaense
Bahia1614-4-8-50.0-0.00.2-0.0000001123356781011121211815.3+0.1343.2-1.718.380Atletico-MGEsporte Clube Bahia
Coritiba164-4-9-80.00.1-0.0000000112234679111314141216.1+0.1352.7-1.916.363Coritiba Football Club
BragantinoSport Recife1312-7-7-70.0-0.00.0-0.000000000112234681115202617.5+0.0971.8-1.419.343Clube Atletico Bragantino
Goias1032-4-8-90.00.0-0.000000000111234571013203317.8+0.1075.7-1.520.339at BotafogoGoias Esporte Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/17
Internacional 2 Vasco da Gama 0
6:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-2.4
-0.2
Internacional+5.1
+5.2
+0.3
Flamengo-1.4
-0.4
Sao Paulo-0.7
-0.6
Santos-0.2
-0.7
Fluminense-0.6
Vasco da Gama-1.7
+2.1
-0.6
Athletico-PR-0.3
Coritiba-0.3
Corinthians 1 Flamengo 5
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-2.4
-0.3
Internacional-1.4
-0.5
Flamengo+4.9
+5.3
+0.3
Sao Paulo-0.6
-0.8
Santos-0.2
-0.9
Fluminense-0.7
Palmeiras-0.5
Fortaleza-0.4
Ceara-0.4
Botafogo-0.5
Corinthians-0.3
+5.0
-0.6
Athletico-PR-0.7
Bahia-0.6
Coritiba-0.7
Bragantino-0.5
Goias-0.5
Sao Paulo 0 Gremio 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+0.7
+0.2
Internacional+0.6
+0.5
Flamengo+0.5
+0.5
Sao Paulo-1.9
-3.3
-0.2
Santos+0.5
Fluminense+0.7
Palmeiras+0.5
Fortaleza+0.3
Gremio-0.5
-0.1
Fluminense 2 Ceara 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+0.3
Internacional+0.5
Flamengo+0.4
Sao Paulo+0.8
Santos+0.3
Fluminense-0.4
-3.2
-0.3
Palmeiras+0.3
Ceara-0.3
+0.5
-0.1
Coritiba 1 Santos 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-0.4
Internacional-0.7
Flamengo-0.7
Sao Paulo-0.9
Santos+0.5
+5.2
-0.8
+0.7
Fluminense-0.6
Sport Recife-0.4
Ceara-0.5
Botafogo-0.6
Corinthians-0.7
Athletico-PR-0.8
Bahia-0.8
Coritiba+7.0
-0.6
Bragantino-0.6
Goias-0.5
Atletico-GO 1 Athletico-PR 1
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-GO-1.1
+0.8
-0.3
Ceara-0.2
Botafogo-0.3
Corinthians-0.3
Athletico-PR+1.4
-0.1
Bahia-0.3
Coritiba-0.3
Bragantino-0.2
Goias-0.2
Bahia vs Atletico-MGIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG26.730.840.8
85.788.593.3
2.82.62.2
Internacional32.030.426.2
89.288.988.6
2.52.62.7
Flamengo30.328.824.7
88.188.087.6
2.62.62.7
Bahia0.10.0No
0.40.10.1
31.3*43.248.8
14.315.415.8
Atletico-MG vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG40.430.526.4
93.288.385.5
2.22.62.8
Internacional26.430.532.1
88.689.089.1
2.72.62.5
Flamengo24.928.930.5
87.588.088.1
2.72.62.6
Athletico-PR0.10.10.4
48.142.730.8
15.715.314.2
Ceara vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo4.05.28.8
47.352.664.0
5.14.84.1
Ceara2.71.20.7
8.715.118.5
11.212.412.9
Goias vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo3.84.98.5
46.551.663.1
5.24.94.2
Goias0.0No0.0
66.276.480.1
17.017.818.1
Fortaleza vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras0.20.30.7
7.29.415.5
3.22.21.0
9.38.77.6
Fortaleza0.40.20.1
11.96.95.1
1.63.54.8
8.39.49.9
Palmeiras vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras0.60.30.2
14.79.07.0
1.02.43.5
7.88.89.3
Vasco da Gama1.21.73.6
15.712.67.2
12.411.910.7
Vasco da Gama vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza0.10.20.4
5.36.811.6
4.93.51.6
9.99.48.3
Vasco da Gama3.41.71.1
7.413.016.2
10.711.912.5
Gremio vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio5.83.12.3
3.36.79.3
9.510.611.2
GoiasNo0.00.0
80.976.866.4
18.117.817.1
Bragantino vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife1.41.93.9
13.29.95.1
12.011.510.3
Bragantino0.0NoNo
62.073.578.2
16.817.617.9
Botafogo vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo1.00.40.3
16.225.531.6
12.613.814.3
GoiasNo0.00.0
81.677.166.4
18.217.917.1
Week of 10/26
Internacional vs FlamengoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional37.926.819.7
93.388.084.5
2.22.73.0
Flamengo18.925.836.9
83.787.192.7
0.00.0No
3.02.72.3
Atletico-MG vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG40.930.826.9
93.488.785.7
No0.00.1
2.22.62.8
Internacional26.130.531.9
88.689.089.0
2.72.62.5
Flamengo24.728.730.2
87.687.987.9
2.72.62.6
Sport Recife1.62.44.8
11.18.74.6
11.711.210.0
Sao Paulo vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo8.65.13.9
63.452.046.9
4.24.85.2
Botafogo0.30.51.3
28.0*23.214.8
14.013.512.4
Fluminense vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.71.02.1
18.523.434.3
0.5*0.30.1
7.16.65.8
Fluminense1.20.50.3
24.915.911.9
0.30.71.1
6.57.58.0
Atletico-GO vs PalmeirasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras0.20.30.6
7.29.315.2
3.32.31.0
9.38.77.7
Atletico-GO4.82.41.6
3.87.69.9
9.811.011.6
Bahia vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza0.10.10.4
5.16.611.3
5.23.61.6
10.09.48.3
Bahia0.30.10.1
32.544.950.5
14.415.516.0
Athletico-PR vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio2.43.26.1
8.86.33.1
11.110.59.4
Athletico-PR0.30.10.1
32.544.950.6
14.415.516.0
Vasco da Gama vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama3.11.61.1
7.413.417.4
10.812.012.6
Corinthians0.10.20.4
42.636.624.7
15.414.913.7
Ceara vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ceara2.21.00.7
9.216.221.0
11.412.613.1
CoritibaNoNo0.0
60.654.240.8
16.716.215.2
Bragantino vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino0.0NoNo
63.174.679.6
16.817.718.0
GoiasNo0.00.0
82.277.767.3
18.317.917.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.