Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
Corinthians47114-5-12292.7%+2.7100.0%936100000000000000001.1+0.030.0%1.689Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
GremioTAtletico-PR 0-04012-4-5165.8-1.998.7-0.266021731100000000000002.5-0.020.02.585Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
SantosTCoritiba 0-03710-7-491.2-0.591.5-1.1122361895321100000000003.8-0.060.0+0.03.551Santos Futebol Clube
PalmeirasLChapecoense 0-13310-3-870.1-0.267.0-11.20515201612975432111000005.9-0.830.3+0.27.505Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Flamengo328-8-580.1+0.050.8+2.60281414121097654322110007.2+0.131.1+0.25.494Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-PRTGremio 0-0308-6-720.0-0.035.8-0.3015911111099876543211008.5-0.132.7+0.58.471Clube Atletico Paranaense
CruzeiroWSport Recife 2-0308-6-760.0+0.033.4+14.70148101010109876543221008.7+1.602.9-3.84.471Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Sport RecifeLCruzeiro 0-2298-5-820.0-0.025.3-10.3013689999887654322109.6-1.184.9+2.69.459Sport Club do Recife
Fluminense2716-9-520.0+0.020.2+1.70024678888887665431010.3-0.037.7+0.96.452Atletico-MGFluminense Football Club
BotafogoLPonte Preta 1-2287-7-720.0-0.018.3-9.40024678888887765431010.5-1.358.0+4.210.448Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Atletico-MG2617-5-8-20.0+0.014.3+1.30013467788888876542011.3-0.0611.7+1.211.440at FluminenseClube Atletico Mineiro
Ponte PretaWBotafogo 2-1277-6-8-30.0+0.011.5+6.30012456778888887643011.7+1.5513.3-10.412.436Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
ChapecoenseWPalmeiras 1-02517-4-9-90.09.9+6.00012345677888888764112.2+1.7416.9-13.513.428Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
BahiaWVasco da Gama 3-0267-5-900.07.8+4.50001234567889999864112.6+1.5018.8-12.715.425Esporte Clube Bahia
CoritibaTSantos 0-0267-5-9-50.0-0.07.3-0.50001234567789999875112.8-0.3620.1+2.914.425Coritiba Football Club
Vasco da GamaLBahia 0-3257-4-10-120.0-0.04.9-3.90001223456778910101096113.5-1.4226.2+10.918.414Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sao PauloTAvai 1-1236-5-10-30.0-0.01.5-0.300000112234567911141515415.5-0.4548.3+6.319.391Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Vitoria226-4-11-90.01.0+0.100000111223456810141720616.1-0.1556.1+3.017.379Esporte Clube Vitoria
AvaiTSao Paulo 1-1225-7-9-140.0-0.00.6-0.200000011122345710131824716.6-0.4663.0+7.116.379Avai Futebol Clube
Atletico-GO154-3-14-190.00.0000000000000000125127919.6-0.0498.0+0.420.299Atletico Clube Goianiense

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/19
Corinthians 0 Vitoria 1
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-3.2
Gremio+2.4
Ponte Preta+1.5
Chapecoense+1.6
Bahia+1.7
Coritiba+1.2
Vasco da Gama+1.1
Sao Paulo+1.9
Vitoria+0.5
-14.2
+1.0
Avai+1.9
Gremio 0 Atletico-PR 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+1.5
Gremio-1.5
-0.2
-0.1
Palmeiras+0.1
Flamengo+0.2
Atletico-PR-1.2
-0.1
-0.1
Cruzeiro+0.1
Sport Recife+0.2
Fluminense+0.1
Botafogo+0.1
Coritiba 0 Santos 0
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.4
Santos-0.5
-1.1
-0.1
Coritiba-0.9
+0.4
-0.1
Avai*-0.1
Palmeiras 0 Chapecoense 1
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.2
-8.5
-0.6
Flamengo+0.8
Atletico-PR+0.7
Sport Recife+0.7
Fluminense+0.5
+0.4
Botafogo+0.6
+0.3
Ponte Preta+1.0
Chapecoense+3.2
-10.5
+1.2
Bahia+1.2
Coritiba+0.3
+0.9
Vasco da Gama+0.3
+0.8
Sao Paulo+1.3
Vitoria+1.4
Avai+1.4
Cruzeiro 2 Sport Recife 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.1
Cruzeiro+8.1
-3.4
+1.1
Sport Recife-9.0
+1.3
-0.9
Ponte Preta 2 Botafogo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.5
Flamengo+0.7
Atletico-PR+0.6
Cruzeiro+0.4
+0.3
Sport Recife+0.6
Fluminense+0.4
+0.3
Botafogo-7.8
+2.2
-0.9
Ponte Preta+3.3
-8.6
+1.1
Chapecoense+0.7
Bahia+0.8
Sao Paulo+0.8
Vitoria+0.9
Avai+0.9
Bahia 3 Vasco da Gama 0
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia+2.1
-10.1
+1.1
Vasco da Gama-3.5
+6.1
-0.9
Vitoria+0.6
Avai+0.6
Flamengo 2 Atletico-GO 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras-0.7
Flamengo+7.3
-1.0
+0.7
Atletico-PR-0.9
Cruzeiro-0.7
Sport Recife-1.0
Fluminense-0.7
Botafogo-0.9
Atletico-MG-0.5
Vasco da Gama-0.4
Atletico-GO+1.7
-0.2
Avai 1 Sao Paulo 1
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia-0.7
Sao PauloNo
-0.5
+2.2
-0.2
Vitoria-0.8
AvaiNo
-0.3
+3.0
-0.2
Chapecoense vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians88.891.194.8
0.0NoNo
Gremio8.87.04.2
Chapecoense17.09.77.5
8.916.220.1
10.812.212.7
Fluminense vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense27.817.613.3
4.08.311.5
9.310.611.4
Atletico-MG9.212.421.4
16.112.46.3
12.211.510.1
Week of 8/26
Corinthians vs Atletico-GOIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians94.490.588.1
NoNo0.0
1.11.11.2
Gremio4.57.59.3
Atletico-GO98.597.895.2
19.719.619.3
Gremio vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians90.994.094.9
Gremio7.84.53.4
99.598.597.5
2.32.62.8
Sport Recife19.724.136.5
6.64.82.0
10.29.78.3
Cruzeiro vs SantosHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos0.60.91.8
86.990.795.6
4.23.93.3
Cruzeiro45.031.225.7
1.23.04.3
7.68.99.5
Palmeiras vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras0.20.10.0
75.362.856.7
0.10.30.7
5.36.26.7
Vasco da Gama4.75.05.1
25.426.027.7
13.513.513.6
Sao PauloNoNo0.0
0.71.23.0
55.449.535.1
16.115.614.4
Vitoria55.155.957.8
16.116.116.2
Avai62.162.964.6
16.516.616.7
Flamengo vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo62.147.539.7
0.41.11.8
6.37.48.1
Atletico-PR26.833.648.1
4.02.71.0
9.38.67.3
Ponte Preta vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG9.212.321.0
16.412.46.2
12.211.510.1
Ponte Preta17.19.46.8
7.414.518.8
10.612.012.7
Fluminense vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense27.317.313.3
4.08.411.9
9.310.711.4
Vasco da Gama2.74.08.4
33.227.416.3
14.413.812.3
Bahia vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo12.215.826.0
11.88.53.9
11.510.89.4
Bahia12.16.34.3
11.220.425.4
11.512.913.6
Avai vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense6.18.014.5
23.918.29.9
13.212.511.1
Avai0.0NoNo
1.20.40.3
50.965.772.1
15.716.817.2
Coritiba vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba10.85.64.1
12.422.328.8
11.813.213.8
VitoriaNoNo0.0
0.50.71.9
65.057.942.9
16.816.315.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.