Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Libertadores			Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	Thursday		P	G	W	-	L	-	E	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength	Saturday

Corinthians	W	Bahia 3-0	23		7	-	0	-	2	12	47.4	%	+5.8	91.9	%	+6.6	47	28	11	6	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.1	+0.47	0.0	%	-0.0	2	.593	at Gremio	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Gremio	W	Coritiba 2-0	22		7	-	1	-	1	13	37.9		+5.6	88.9		+8.8	38	31	13	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.4	+0.61	0.0		-0.1	1	.581	Corinthians	Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Santos			16		5	-	3	-	1	3	3.9		-1.9	39.2		-0.1	4	9	14	13	11	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	6.4	-0.01	1.6		-0.1	5	.507	Sport Recife	Santos Futebol Clube
Botafogo			15		4	-	2	-	3	5	2.3		-1.2	29.1		-0.2	2	6	10	11	10	9	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	7.4	+0.01	2.9		-0.1	3	.495	Avai	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas

Coritiba	L	Gremio 0-2	15		4	-	2	-	3	3	2.2		-4.3	28.8		-12.3	2	6	10	11	10	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	7.5	-1.24	3.0		+1.4	4	.495	at Cruzeiro	Coritiba Football Club
Fluminense			14		4	-	3	-	2	1	1.2		-0.7	19.8		+0.1	1	4	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	0	8.7	+0.08	5.4		-0.3	8	.483	at Sao Paulo	Fluminense Football Club
Ponte Preta	W	Cruzeiro 1-0	14		4	-	3	-	2	0	1.3		+0.4	19.4		+8.4	1	4	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	0	8.8	+1.83	5.5		-6.6	9	.483	Palmeiras	Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Flamengo	W	Chapecoense 5-1	14		3	-	1	-	5	7	1.1		+0.3	17.5		+7.9	1	3	6	7	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	0	9.1	+1.89	6.2		-7.3	6	.483	at Bahia	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Chapecoense	L	Flamengo 1-5	13		4	-	4	-	1	-5	0.8		-2.0	15.4		-9.6	1	3	5	7	7	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	1	9.5	-1.40	7.6		+3.2	7	.470	Atletico-MG	Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Palmeiras			13		4	-	4	-	1	4	0.8		-0.5	13.8		-0.5	1	2	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	3	3	2	1	9.7	-0.03	8.4		-0.0	12	.470	at Ponte Preta	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama			12		4	-	5	-	0	-8	0.4		-0.3	10.2		-0.0	0	2	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	2	1	10.6	+0.06	11.8		-0.3	13	.458	Atletico-GO	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro	L	Ponte Preta 0-1	11		3	-	4	-	2	-1	0.2		-0.7	6.3		-5.5	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	2	11.8	-1.46	18.0		+6.8	10	.446	Coritiba	Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Atletico-PR			11		3	-	4	-	2	-6	0.2		-0.1	6.0		-0.1	0	1	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	4	2	11.9	+0.06	18.6		-0.4	11	.446	Vitoria	Clube Atletico Paranaense
Bahia	L	Corinthians 0-3	10		3	-	5	-	1	0	0.1		-0.4	4.1		-3.6	0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	7	6	4	12.8	-1.32	24.6		+8.0	14	.433	Flamengo	Esporte Clube Bahia
Sao Paulo			10		3	-	5	-	1	1	0.1		-0.1	3.5		-0.0	0	0	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	8	8	7	4	13.2	+0.09	27.2		-0.7	18	.433	Fluminense	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Atletico-MG			10		2	-	3	-	4	-2	0.1		-0.1	2.9		+0.0	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	9	7	5	13.5	+0.11	30.1		-0.9	17	.433	at Chapecoense	Clube Atletico Mineiro

Sport Recife			9		2	-	4	-	3	-5	0.1		-0.0	1.8		+0.0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	10	11	10	7	14.4	+0.11	38.3		-1.0	16	.421	at Santos	Sport Club do Recife
Vitoria			8		2	-	5	-	2	-3	0.0		-0.0	1.1		-0.0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	11	12	13	11	15.2	+0.05	46.3		-0.5	15	.409	at Atletico-PR	Esporte Clube Vitoria
Atletico-GO			6		2	-	7	-	0	-9	0.0		-0.0	0.3		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	14	19	23	16.9	+0.05	66.4		-0.6	19	.384	at Vasco da Gama	Atletico Clube Goianiense
Avai			5		1	-	6	-	2	-10	0.0		-0.0	0.1		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	8	13	20	37	17.9	+0.04	78.4		-0.5	20	.372	at Botafogo	Avai Futebol Clube

Week of 6/18
Gremio 2 Coritiba 0
9:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	-2.4
Gremio	+6.5		+5.6				+0.4
Santos	-0.4		+0.2
Coritiba	-2.3		-6.4		+0.6		-0.6

Corinthians 3 Bahia 0
7:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+5.9		+4.0				+0.3
Gremio	-2.6
Santos	-0.7		-0.2
Botafogo	-0.4		-0.2
Coritiba	-0.7		-0.2
Chapecoense	-0.3
Bahia	-0.3		-2.1		+3.3		-0.6
Atletico-MG					-0.3
Sport Recife					-0.3
Vitoria					-0.4
Atletico-GO					-0.3

Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3
8:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+1.6
Gremio	-2.6		-1.4				-0.1
Coritiba	+0.3		+0.3
Cruzeiro	-0.2		-1.1		+0.3		-0.2

Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0
11:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	-2.1		-0.9				-0.1
Gremio	+1.6
Santos			+0.2
Coritiba	-0.5		-1.6				-0.1
Chapecoense	+0.3		+0.3

Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+0.5		+0.2
Gremio	+0.5		+0.3
Santos			+0.3
Botafogo	+0.4		+4.3		-5.1		+1.1
Coritiba			+0.4
Chapecoense	-1.6		-7.4		+1.1		-0.8

Vitoria 0 Santos 2
7:30 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	-0.4		-0.4
Santos	+1.2		+6.6		-2.1		+0.9
Botafogo			-0.4
Coritiba			-0.7
Chapecoense			-0.6
Vasco da Gama			-0.5
Atletico-PR					-0.4
Atletico-MG					-0.4
Sport Recife					-0.4
Vitoria			-1.2		+6.2		-0.7
Atletico-GO					-0.4
Avai					-0.4

Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1
9:00 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo			+0.2
Coritiba			+0.2
Flamengo	+0.4		+3.9		-4.5		+1.0
Chapecoense	-1.0		-5.7		+1.7		-0.8

Botafogo 3 Vasco da Gama 1
9:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	+0.8		+5.8		-2.9		+1.0
Vasco da Gama	-0.7		-4.8		+2.5		-0.8

Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0
7:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta	+0.5		+4.0		-4.1		+1.0
Cruzeiro	-0.4		-3.4		+3.4		-0.8

Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Coritiba			+0.4
Palmeiras					+0.5
Atletico-PR					+0.5
Sao Paulo	-0.4		-3.9		+4.0		-0.9
Atletico-MG			+1.0		-9.3		+1.0
Atletico-GO					+0.6

Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Coritiba			+0.3
Palmeiras			+2.0		-7.9		+1.1
Bahia	-0.4		-4.1		+3.7		-0.9

Avai 0 Fluminense 3
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Coritiba			-0.4
Fluminense	+0.4		+3.7		-4.2		+0.9
Sport Recife					-0.2
Vitoria					-0.2
Avai			-0.2		+6.0		-0.5

Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0
9:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	+0.3		+3.0		-5.2		+0.9
Sport Recife					-0.2
Atletico-GO			-0.4		+6.6		-0.6

Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	-0.2		-1.6		+0.8		-0.3
Flamengo	-0.2		-1.2		+0.7		-0.2

Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-PR			+1.5		-8.1		+1.0
Sao Paulo	-0.2		-2.4		+5.2		-0.9

Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sport Recife			-2.0		+6.5		-0.9
Vitoria			+0.7		-9.7		+0.9
Atletico-GO					+0.4

Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2
9:45 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG			-0.7		+1.9		-0.3
Sport Recife			-0.4		+1.4		-0.2

Week of 6/24
Gremio vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	37.146.758.5		89.391.595.0				2.42.21.8
Gremio	48.436.827.6		92.788.185.4				2.12.52.8

Santos vs Sport RecifeHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	5.33.12.5		46.235.731.4		0.81.82.6		5.76.77.2
Botafogo			28.429.529.9		2.8*2.93.0
Coritiba			28.129.329.6		2.9*3.03.1
Sport Recife			1.11.63.1		43.939.129.0		15.014.613.4
Vitoria					45.746.147.2

Botafogo vs AvaiHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos			38.439.740.1				6.56.46.4
Botafogo	3.11.81.4		34.925.622.0		1.73.34.6		6.77.88.3
Coritiba			28.229.229.7		2.9*3.03.1
Avai			0.10.10.3		82.579.370.3		18.218.017.2

Cruzeiro vs CoritibaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Coritiba	1.41.83.2		22.526.435.9		4.33.21.6		8.37.76.6
Cruzeiro	0.40.20.1		9.45.54.1		12.319.022.5		10.812.112.6

Ponte Preta vs PalmeirasHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Ponte Preta	1.91.00.7		25.217.314.1		3.26.07.7		7.89.09.6
Palmeiras	0.40.61.2		9.912.619.2		11.08.85.1		10.59.98.7

Sao Paulo vs FluminenseHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense	0.71.01.8		14.717.725.5		7.75.83.1		9.59.07.8
Sao Paulo			5.32.92.1		19.828.733.0		12.213.414.0

Bahia vs FlamengoHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	0.60.81.6		12.815.622.9		8.86.63.6		9.99.38.1
Bahia			6.23.52.5		17.625.930.1		11.813.113.6

Chapecoense vs Atletico-MGHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Chapecoense	1.20.60.4		20.013.411.0		4.68.310.7		8.69.810.4
Atletico-MG			1.82.54.5		35.931.121.9		14.313.712.5

Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GOHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Vasco da Gama	0.60.30.2		13.48.56.8		7.913.116.6		9.811.011.6
Atletico-GO			0.20.20.6		72.267.556.9		17.417.016.1

Atletico-PR vs VitoriaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-PR	0.30.10.1		8.34.93.8		12.920.124.7		11.012.312.9
Vitoria			0.60.91.9		53.147.736.5		15.815.414.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

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