Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
ThursdayPGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
CorinthiansWBahia 3-0237-0-21247.4%+5.891.9%+6.6472811632110000000000002.1+0.470.0%-0.02.593at GremioSport Club Corinthians Paulista
GremioWCoritiba 2-0227-1-11337.9+5.688.9+8.8383113743211000000000002.4+0.610.0-0.11.581CorinthiansGremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Santos165-3-133.9-1.939.2-0.1491413119876543322110006.4-0.011.6-0.15.507Sport RecifeSantos Futebol Clube
Botafogo154-2-352.3-1.229.1-0.2261011109877654432211007.4+0.012.9-0.13.495AvaiBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
CoritibaLGremio 0-2154-2-332.2-4.328.8-12.3261011109887654432211007.5-1.243.0+1.44.495at CruzeiroCoritiba Football Club
Fluminense144-3-211.2-0.719.8+0.1147888887766544322108.7+0.085.4-0.38.483at Sao PauloFluminense Football Club
Ponte PretaWCruzeiro 1-0144-3-201.3+0.419.4+8.4147888887766544322108.8+1.835.5-6.69.483PalmeirasAssociacao Atletica Ponte Preta
FlamengoWChapecoense 5-1143-1-571.1+0.317.5+7.9136788887776554332109.1+1.896.2-7.36.483at BahiaClube de Regatas do Flamengo
ChapecoenseLFlamengo 1-5134-4-1-50.8-2.015.4-9.6135778887776655432119.5-1.407.6+3.27.470Atletico-MGAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Palmeiras134-4-140.8-0.513.8-0.5125677777777665433219.7-0.038.4-0.012.470at Ponte PretaSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama124-5-0-80.4-0.310.2-0.00245667777777665542110.6+0.0611.8-0.313.458Atletico-GOClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama
CruzeiroLPonte Preta 0-1113-4-2-10.2-0.76.3-5.50123455667777777654211.8-1.4618.0+6.810.446CoritibaCruzeiro Esporte Clube
Atletico-PR113-4-2-60.2-0.16.0-0.10123445667777777664211.9+0.0618.6-0.411.446VitoriaClube Atletico Paranaense
BahiaLCorinthians 0-3103-5-100.1-0.44.1-3.60112334556677888876412.8-1.3224.6+8.014.433FlamengoEsporte Clube Bahia
Sao Paulo103-5-110.1-0.13.5-0.00012234456677889887413.2+0.0927.2-0.718.433FluminenseSao Paulo Futebol Clube
Atletico-MG102-3-4-20.1-0.12.9+0.00012233455677889997513.5+0.1130.1-0.917.433at ChapecoenseClube Atletico Mineiro
Sport Recife92-4-3-50.1-0.01.8+0.00011122344567899101110714.4+0.1138.3-1.016.421at SantosSport Club do Recife
Vitoria82-5-2-30.0-0.01.1-0.000011122334567891112131115.2+0.0546.3-0.515.409at Atletico-PREsporte Clube Vitoria
Atletico-GO62-7-0-90.0-0.00.3+0.000000011122345681014192316.9+0.0566.4-0.619.384at Vasco da GamaAtletico Clube Goianiense
Avai51-6-2-100.0-0.00.1-0.00000000011122346813203717.9+0.0478.4-0.520.372at BotafogoAvai Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/18
Gremio 2 Coritiba 0
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-2.4
Gremio+6.5
+5.6
+0.4
Santos-0.4
+0.2
Coritiba-2.3
-6.4
+0.6
-0.6
Corinthians 3 Bahia 0
7:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+5.9
+4.0
+0.3
Gremio-2.6
Santos-0.7
-0.2
Botafogo-0.4
-0.2
Coritiba-0.7
-0.2
Chapecoense-0.3
Bahia-0.3
-2.1
+3.3
-0.6
Atletico-MG-0.3
Sport Recife-0.3
Vitoria-0.4
Atletico-GO-0.3
Cruzeiro 3 Gremio 3
8:00 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+1.6
Gremio-2.6
-1.4
-0.1
Coritiba+0.3
+0.3
Cruzeiro-0.2
-1.1
+0.3
-0.2
Coritiba 0 Corinthians 0
11:00 AM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-2.1
-0.9
-0.1
Gremio+1.6
Santos+0.2
Coritiba-0.5
-1.6
-0.1
Chapecoense+0.3
+0.3
Chapecoense 0 Botafogo 3
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.5
+0.2
Gremio+0.5
+0.3
Santos+0.3
Botafogo+0.4
+4.3
-5.1
+1.1
Coritiba+0.4
Chapecoense-1.6
-7.4
+1.1
-0.8
Vitoria 0 Santos 2
7:30 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-0.4
-0.4
Santos+1.2
+6.6
-2.1
+0.9
Botafogo-0.4
Coritiba-0.7
Chapecoense-0.6
Vasco da Gama-0.5
Atletico-PR-0.4
Atletico-MG-0.4
Sport Recife-0.4
Vitoria-1.2
+6.2
-0.7
Atletico-GO-0.4
Avai-0.4
Flamengo 5 Chapecoense 1
9:00 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.2
Coritiba+0.2
Flamengo+0.4
+3.9
-4.5
+1.0
Chapecoense-1.0
-5.7
+1.7
-0.8
Botafogo 3 Vasco da Gama 1
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.8
+5.8
-2.9
+1.0
Vasco da Gama-0.7
-4.8
+2.5
-0.8
Ponte Preta 1 Cruzeiro 0
7:30 PM Thu100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta+0.5
+4.0
-4.1
+1.0
Cruzeiro-0.4
-3.4
+3.4
-0.8
Sao Paulo 1 Atletico-MG 2
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba+0.4
Palmeiras+0.5
Atletico-PR+0.5
Sao Paulo-0.4
-3.9
+4.0
-0.9
Atletico-MG+1.0
-9.3
+1.0
Atletico-GO+0.6
Bahia 2 Palmeiras 4
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba+0.3
Palmeiras+2.0
-7.9
+1.1
Bahia-0.4
-4.1
+3.7
-0.9
Avai 0 Fluminense 3
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba-0.4
Fluminense+0.4
+3.7
-4.2
+0.9
Sport Recife-0.2
Vitoria-0.2
Avai-0.2
+6.0
-0.5
Palmeiras 1 Atletico-GO 0
9:00 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Palmeiras+0.3
+3.0
-5.2
+0.9
Sport Recife-0.2
Atletico-GO-0.4
+6.6
-0.6
Fluminense 2 Flamengo 2
4:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense-0.2
-1.6
+0.8
-0.3
Flamengo-0.2
-1.2
+0.7
-0.2
Atletico-PR 1 Sao Paulo 0
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+1.5
-8.1
+1.0
Sao Paulo-0.2
-2.4
+5.2
-0.9
Sport Recife 1 Vitoria 3
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife-2.0
+6.5
-0.9
Vitoria+0.7
-9.7
+0.9
Atletico-GO+0.4
Atletico-MG 2 Sport Recife 2
9:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-0.7
+1.9
-0.3
Sport Recife-0.4
+1.4
-0.2
Week of 6/24
Gremio vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians37.146.758.5
89.391.595.0
2.42.21.8
Gremio48.436.827.6
92.788.185.4
2.12.52.8
Santos vs Sport RecifeHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos5.33.12.5
46.235.731.4
0.81.82.6
5.76.77.2
Botafogo28.429.529.9
2.8*2.93.0
Coritiba28.129.329.6
2.9*3.03.1
Sport Recife1.11.63.1
43.939.129.0
15.014.613.4
Vitoria45.746.147.2
Botafogo vs AvaiHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos38.439.740.1
6.56.46.4
Botafogo3.11.81.4
34.925.622.0
1.73.34.6
6.77.88.3
Coritiba28.229.229.7
2.9*3.03.1
Avai0.10.10.3
82.579.370.3
18.218.017.2
Cruzeiro vs CoritibaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba1.41.83.2
22.526.435.9
4.33.21.6
8.37.76.6
Cruzeiro0.40.20.1
9.45.54.1
12.319.022.5
10.812.112.6
Ponte Preta vs PalmeirasHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta1.91.00.7
25.217.314.1
3.26.07.7
7.89.09.6
Palmeiras0.40.61.2
9.912.619.2
11.08.85.1
10.59.98.7
Sao Paulo vs FluminenseHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense0.71.01.8
14.717.725.5
7.75.83.1
9.59.07.8
Sao Paulo5.32.92.1
19.828.733.0
12.213.414.0
Bahia vs FlamengoHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo0.60.81.6
12.815.622.9
8.86.63.6
9.99.38.1
Bahia6.23.52.5
17.625.930.1
11.813.113.6
Chapecoense vs Atletico-MGHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense1.20.60.4
20.013.411.0
4.68.310.7
8.69.810.4
Atletico-MG1.82.54.5
35.931.121.9
14.313.712.5
Vasco da Gama vs Atletico-GOHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama0.60.30.2
13.48.56.8
7.913.116.6
9.811.011.6
Atletico-GO0.20.20.6
72.267.556.9
17.417.016.1
Atletico-PR vs VitoriaHomeEmpateAway
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR0.30.10.1
8.34.93.8
12.920.124.7
11.012.312.9
Vitoria0.60.91.9
53.147.736.5
15.815.414.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.