Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Libertadores			Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	Sunday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength	1/4

Sao Paulo			56		16	-	8	-	3	25	74.9	%	-1.3	99.2	%	-0.4	75	17	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0										1.4	-0.04	No			1	.640	at Bragantino	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Flamengo			49	1	14	-	7	-	5	11	12.5		-0.7	83.4		-5.0	13	31	24	15	9	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0							3.0	-0.21	No			4	.588	Fluminense	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-MG			49		15	-	4	-	8	12	7.6		-0.1	80.4		-5.2	8	28	27	18	11	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						3.3	-0.18	No			3	.572	Santos	Clube Atletico Mineiro
Internacional	W	Bahia 2-1	47		13	-	8	-	6	15	2.3		+0.9	52.3		+5.4	2	10	17	23	21	15	7	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					4.5	+0.34	No		-0.0	5	.552	at Ceara	Sport Club Internacional

Gremio	W	Atletico-GO 2-1	45	1	11	-	12	-	3	13	1.5		+0.7	41.1		+5.7	1	8	13	19	21	19	11	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				4.9	+0.43	0.0	%	-0.0	2	.549	Bahia	Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Palmeiras	W	Bragantino 1-0	44	1	12	-	8	-	6	12	1.2		+0.5	35.0		+5.1	1	6	11	17	22	21	12	6	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				5.2	+0.43	0.0		-0.0	6	.539	Corinthians	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Fluminense			40		11	-	7	-	9	6	0.0		-0.0	4.6		-2.3	0	0	1	3	7	14	24	20	14	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		7.7	-0.18	0.0		-0.0	7	.485	at Flamengo	Fluminense Football Club
Santos	T	Ceara 1-1	39		10	-	9	-	8	3	0.0		-0.0	1.9		-2.8	0	0	0	1	4	8	16	21	19	13	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.5	-0.44	0.0		-0.0	8	.475	at Atletico-MG	Santos Futebol Clube
Corinthians	W	Botafogo 2-0	39		10	-	9	-	8	0	0.0		+0.0	1.8		+0.3	0	0	0	1	3	8	15	20	19	14	9	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0		8.7	+0.81	0.1		-0.4	9	.475	at Palmeiras	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Ceara	T	Santos 1-1	36		9	-	9	-	9	1	0.0		-0.0	0.2		-0.5	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	15	18	17	13	8	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	10.5	-0.25	0.5		-0.3	11	.446	Internacional	Ceara Sporting Club
Athletico-PR	W	Vasco da Gama 3-0	34		10	-	4	-	13	-4	0.0			0.1		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	14	17	17	13	9	6	3	2	0	0	0	11.6	+1.22	2.0		-6.2	12	.427	at Botafogo	Clube Athletico Paranaense
Atletico-GO	L	Gremio 1-2	34		8	-	10	-	9	-7	0.0		-0.0	0.1		-0.3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	14	17	16	13	9	6	4	2	0	0	0	11.6	-0.65	2.3		+0.5	10	.427	Vasco da Gama	Atletico Clube Goianiense
Fortaleza			31		7	-	10	-	10	-1	No			0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	8	12	15	16	15	13	9	4	1	0	13.9	+0.21	14.3		-3.4	14	.398	at Sport Recife	Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Bragantino	L	Palmeiras 0-1	31		7	-	10	-	10	0	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	13	16	16	14	11	5	1	0	14.2	-0.55	17.2		+3.4	17	.398	Sao Paulo	Clube Atletico Bragantino
Vasco da Gama	L	Athletico-PR 0-3	28	1	7	-	7	-	12	-13	No		-0.0	0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	12	14	15	16	13	7	3	1	14.7	-0.65	24.4		+5.3	13	.380	at Atletico-GO	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Sport Recife			29		8	-	5	-	14	-13	No			0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	13	16	17	16	8	3	1	15.0	+0.22	28.6		-5.1	16	.378	Fortaleza	Sport Club do Recife

Bahia	L	Internacional 1-2	28		8	-	4	-	15	-15	No			0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	9	12	15	18	19	11	4	1	15.4	-0.48	35.7		+5.9	15	.369	at Gremio	Esporte Clube Bahia
Goias			23		5	-	8	-	14	-15	No			No							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	12	26	27	23	18.3	+0.20	87.8		-2.8	18	.320	at Coritiba	Goias Esporte Clube
Botafogo	L	Corinthians 0-2	23		4	-	11	-	12	-14	No			0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	10	23	32	27	18.5	-0.33	91.0		+4.1	19	.320	Athletico-PR	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Coritiba			21		5	-	6	-	16	-16	No			No								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	15	28	48	19.1	+0.11	96.0		-0.9	20	.301	Goias	Coritiba Football Club

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 12/26
Fluminense 1 Sao Paulo 2
9:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	+8.7		+1.0				+0.2
Flamengo	-5.2		+0.3
Atletico-MG	-2.0		+0.7
Internacional	-0.6		+0.9
Gremio	-0.4		+0.7
Palmeiras	-0.3		+0.6
Fluminense			-4.6				-0.5

Fortaleza 0 Flamengo 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	+3.5
Flamengo	-4.6		-2.0				-0.2
Atletico-MG	+0.6		+0.3
Internacional	+0.2		+0.5
Gremio			+0.3
Palmeiras			+0.5
Fortaleza	*No				-0.5		-0.0
Sport Recife					+0.1
Bahia					+0.2

Atletico-MG 2 Coritiba 0
5:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	-1.4
Flamengo	-0.7		-0.5
Atletico-MG	+2.4		+6.3		*No		+0.3
Internacional			-1.5
Gremio			-1.4
Palmeiras			-1.3
Fluminense			-0.8
Coritiba			*No		+1.8		-0.2

Bahia 1 Internacional 2
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo			-1.2
Atletico-MG			-1.5
Internacional	+0.8		+9.9		No		+0.4
Gremio			-2.7
Palmeiras			-2.5
Fluminense			-0.8
Athletico-PR					-0.5
Fortaleza					-1.1
Bragantino					-0.9
Vasco da Gama					-1.0
Sport Recife					-1.6
Bahia					+7.0		-0.5
Goias					-0.6
Botafogo					-0.8

Gremio 2 Atletico-GO 1
8:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo			-1.1
Atletico-MG			-1.4
Internacional			-2.7
Gremio	+0.5		+9.1		No		+0.5
Palmeiras			-2.0
Fluminense			-0.8
Atletico-GO	No		-0.3		+0.9		-0.6

Palmeiras 1 Bragantino 0
6:15 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo			-1.1
Atletico-MG			-1.3
Internacional			-2.6
Gremio			-2.0
Palmeiras	+0.4		+8.5				+0.5
Fortaleza					-0.7
Bragantino	*No				+4.6		-0.5
Vasco da Gama					-0.6
Sport Recife					-0.9
Bahia					-0.9

Santos 1 Ceara 1
6:15 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos			-1.5				-0.2
Ceara			-0.3				-0.1

Botafogo 0 Corinthians 2
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians			+0.9		-0.4		+0.7
Fortaleza					-0.6
Vasco da Gama					-0.6
Sport Recife					-0.9
Bahia					-0.8
Botafogo			No		+4.7		-0.3

Athletico-PR 3 Vasco da Gama 0
6:15 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR					-4.9		+0.9
Vasco da Gama	*No				+7.1		-0.7
Sport Recife					-0.7

Goias 1 Sport Recife 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza					-1.0
Vasco da Gama					-1.0
Sport Recife					+9.8		-0.8
Bahia					-1.4
Goias					-3.5		+0.4
Botafogo					-0.8

Week of 1/4
Bragantino vs Sao PauloIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	63.869.981.6		98.298.999.7				1.61.51.3
Flamengo	17.314.99.5						3.03.03.1
Atletico-MG	11.39.15.4						3.23.23.3
Bragantino					7.416.121.6		13.214.214.6

Flamengo vs FluminenseHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	71.477.278.7						1.41.31.3
Flamengo	17.39.67.3		90.080.875.0				2.73.23.5
Fluminense			2.13.79.4				8.17.76.9

Atletico-MG vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	72.576.477.5
Atletico-MG	11.15.43.7		87.877.470.9				2.93.43.7
Santos			0.71.44.3				9.08.67.8

Ceara vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Internacional	0.91.43.7		40.247.363.6				5.04.74.0
Gremio			44.442.438.0				4.94.95.0
Palmeiras			38.136.532.1				5.15.25.3
Ceara	0.0NoNo		0.60.10.0		0.10.50.9		9.610.611.0

Gremio vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Internacional			49.854.256.1				4.54.44.4
Gremio	2.20.80.5		49.535.028.4				4.55.25.6
Palmeiras			33.136.438.0				5.35.25.1
Bahia			NoNo0.0		42.535.220.8		15.815.414.5

Palmeiras vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Internacional			49.654.054.9				4.54.44.4
Palmeiras	1.90.70.4		45.430.324.1		No*0.00.0		4.75.45.8
Corinthians			0.61.23.8				9.28.87.9

Botafogo vs Athletico-PRHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Athletico-PR					4.12.20.6		12.411.910.9
Botafogo					84.092.594.9		18.018.618.8

Atletico-GO vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-GO					0.62.44.5		10.911.912.4
Vasco da Gama					31.925.413.5		15.314.813.7

Sport Recife vs FortalezaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fortaleza					22.414.86.0		14.714.113.0
Sport Recife			0.0No0.0		16.230.839.8		14.215.215.7

Coritiba vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Goias					93.490.380.6		18.718.417.7
Coritiba					92.897.398.4		18.619.219.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.