Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

																	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title														Libertadores			Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	Sunday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength	Monday

Corinthians			47	1	14	-	5	-	1	22	92.7	%	+2.7	100.0	%		93	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		1.1	+0.03	0.0	%		1	.689		Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Gremio	T	Atletico-PR 0-0	40		12	-	4	-	5	16	5.8		-1.9	98.7		-0.2	6	60	21	7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2.5	-0.02	0.0			2	.585		Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Santos	T	Coritiba 0-0	37		10	-	7	-	4	9	1.2		-0.5	91.5		-1.1	1	22	36	18	9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3.8	-0.06	0.0		+0.0	3	.551		Santos Futebol Clube
Palmeiras	L	Chapecoense 0-1	33		10	-	3	-	8	7	0.1		-0.2	67.0		-11.2	0	5	15	20	16	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5.9	-0.83	0.3		+0.2	7	.505		Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras

Flamengo			32		8	-	8	-	5	8	0.1		+0.0	50.8		+2.6	0	2	8	14	14	12	10	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	7.2	+0.13	1.1		+0.2	5	.494		Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Atletico-PR	T	Gremio 0-0	30		8	-	6	-	7	2	0.0		-0.0	35.8		-0.3	0	1	5	9	11	11	10	9	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	8.5	-0.13	2.7		+0.5	8	.471		Clube Atletico Paranaense

Cruzeiro	W	Sport Recife 2-0	30		8	-	6	-	7	6	0.0		+0.0	33.4		+14.7	0	1	4	8	10	10	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	0	8.7	+1.60	2.9		-3.8	4	.471		Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Sport Recife	L	Cruzeiro 0-2	29		8	-	5	-	8	2	0.0		-0.0	25.3		-10.3	0	1	3	6	8	9	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	9.6	-1.18	4.9		+2.6	9	.459		Sport Club do Recife
Fluminense			27	1	6	-	9	-	5	2	0.0		+0.0	20.2		+1.7	0	0	2	4	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	1	0	10.3	-0.03	7.7		+0.9	6	.452	Atletico-MG	Fluminense Football Club
Botafogo	L	Ponte Preta 1-2	28		7	-	7	-	7	2	0.0		-0.0	18.3		-9.4	0	0	2	4	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	3	1	0	10.5	-1.35	8.0		+4.2	10	.448		Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Atletico-MG			26	1	7	-	5	-	8	-2	0.0		+0.0	14.3		+1.3	0	0	1	3	4	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	0	11.3	-0.06	11.7		+1.2	11	.440	at Fluminense	Clube Atletico Mineiro
Ponte Preta	W	Botafogo 2-1	27		7	-	6	-	8	-3	0.0		+0.0	11.5		+6.3	0	0	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	4	3	0	11.7	+1.55	13.3		-10.4	12	.436		Associacao Atletica Ponte Preta
Chapecoense	W	Palmeiras 1-0	25	1	7	-	4	-	9	-9	0.0			9.9		+6.0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	4	1	12.2	+1.74	16.9		-13.5	13	.428		Associacao Chapecoense de Futebol
Bahia	W	Vasco da Gama 3-0	26		7	-	5	-	9	0	0.0			7.8		+4.5	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	8	9	9	9	9	8	6	4	1	12.6	+1.50	18.8		-12.7	15	.425		Esporte Clube Bahia
Coritiba	T	Santos 0-0	26		7	-	5	-	9	-5	0.0		-0.0	7.3		-0.5	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	5	1	12.8	-0.36	20.1		+2.9	14	.425		Coritiba Football Club
Vasco da Gama	L	Bahia 0-3	25		7	-	4	-	10	-12	0.0		-0.0	4.9		-3.9	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	6	1	13.5	-1.42	26.2		+10.9	18	.414		Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Sao Paulo	T	Avai 1-1	23		6	-	5	-	10	-3	0.0		-0.0	1.5		-0.3	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	11	14	15	15	4	15.5	-0.45	48.3		+6.3	19	.391		Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Vitoria			22		6	-	4	-	11	-9	0.0			1.0		+0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	14	17	20	6	16.1	-0.15	56.1		+3.0	17	.379		Esporte Clube Vitoria
Avai	T	Sao Paulo 1-1	22		5	-	7	-	9	-14	0.0		-0.0	0.6		-0.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	7	10	13	18	24	7	16.6	-0.46	63.0		+7.1	16	.379		Avai Futebol Clube
Atletico-GO			15		4	-	3	-	14	-19	0.0			0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	12	79	19.6	-0.04	98.0		+0.4	20	.299		Atletico Clube Goianiense

Week of 8/19
Corinthians 0 Vitoria 1
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	-3.2
Gremio	+2.4
Ponte Preta					+1.5
Chapecoense					+1.6
Bahia					+1.7
Coritiba					+1.2
Vasco da Gama					+1.1
Sao Paulo					+1.9
Vitoria			+0.5		-14.2		+1.0
Avai					+1.9

Gremio 0 Atletico-PR 0
11:00 AM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+1.5
Gremio	-1.5		-0.2				-0.1
Palmeiras			+0.1
Flamengo			+0.2
Atletico-PR			-1.2		-0.1		-0.1
Cruzeiro			+0.1
Sport Recife			+0.2
Fluminense			+0.1
Botafogo			+0.1

Coritiba 0 Santos 0
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	+0.4
Santos	-0.5		-1.1				-0.1
Coritiba			-0.9		+0.4		-0.1
Avai					*-0.1

Palmeiras 0 Chapecoense 1
7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	-0.2		-8.5				-0.6
Flamengo			+0.8
Atletico-PR			+0.7
Sport Recife			+0.7
Fluminense			+0.5		+0.4
Botafogo			+0.6		+0.3
Ponte Preta					+1.0
Chapecoense			+3.2		-10.5		+1.2
Bahia					+1.2
Coritiba			+0.3		+0.9
Vasco da Gama			+0.3		+0.8
Sao Paulo					+1.3
Vitoria					+1.4
Avai					+1.4

Cruzeiro 2 Sport Recife 0
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo			+0.1
Cruzeiro			+8.1		-3.4		+1.1
Sport Recife			-9.0		+1.3		-0.9

Ponte Preta 2 Botafogo 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras			+0.5
Flamengo			+0.7
Atletico-PR			+0.6
Cruzeiro			+0.4		+0.3
Sport Recife			+0.6
Fluminense			+0.4		+0.3
Botafogo			-7.8		+2.2		-0.9
Ponte Preta			+3.3		-8.6		+1.1
Chapecoense					+0.7
Bahia					+0.8
Sao Paulo					+0.8
Vitoria					+0.9
Avai					+0.9

Bahia 3 Vasco da Gama 0
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bahia			+2.1		-10.1		+1.1
Vasco da Gama			-3.5		+6.1		-0.9
Vitoria					+0.6
Avai					+0.6

Flamengo 2 Atletico-GO 0
7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras			-0.7
Flamengo			+7.3		-1.0		+0.7
Atletico-PR			-0.9
Cruzeiro			-0.7
Sport Recife			-1.0
Fluminense			-0.7
Botafogo			-0.9
Atletico-MG			-0.5
Vasco da Gama			-0.4
Atletico-GO					+1.7		-0.2

Avai 1 Sao Paulo 1
4:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bahia					-0.7
Sao Paulo	No		-0.5		+2.2		-0.2
Vitoria					-0.8
Avai	No		-0.3		+3.0		-0.2

Chapecoense vs CorinthiansIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	88.891.194.8				0.0NoNo
Gremio	8.87.04.2
Chapecoense			17.09.77.5		8.916.220.1		10.812.212.7

Fluminense vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
8:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense			27.817.613.3		4.08.311.5		9.310.611.4
Atletico-MG			9.212.421.4		16.112.46.3		12.211.510.1

Week of 8/26
Corinthians vs Atletico-GOIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	94.490.588.1				NoNo0.0		1.11.11.2
Gremio	4.57.59.3
Atletico-GO					98.597.895.2		19.719.619.3

Gremio vs Sport RecifeHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians	90.994.094.9
Gremio	7.84.53.4		99.598.597.5				2.32.62.8
Sport Recife			19.724.136.5		6.64.82.0		10.29.78.3

Cruzeiro vs SantosHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	0.60.91.8		86.990.795.6				4.23.93.3
Cruzeiro			45.031.225.7		1.23.04.3		7.68.99.5

Palmeiras vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	0.20.10.0		75.362.856.7		0.10.30.7		5.36.26.7
Vasco da Gama			4.75.05.1		25.426.027.7		13.513.513.6
Sao Paulo	NoNo0.0		0.71.23.0		55.449.535.1		16.115.614.4
Vitoria					55.155.957.8		16.116.116.2
Avai					62.162.964.6		16.516.616.7

Flamengo vs Atletico-PRHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo			62.147.539.7		0.41.11.8		6.37.48.1
Atletico-PR			26.833.648.1		4.02.71.0		9.38.67.3

Ponte Preta vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG			9.212.321.0		16.412.46.2		12.211.510.1
Ponte Preta			17.19.46.8		7.414.518.8		10.612.012.7

Fluminense vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Fluminense			27.317.313.3		4.08.411.9		9.310.711.4
Vasco da Gama			2.74.08.4		33.227.416.3		14.413.812.3

Bahia vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo			12.215.826.0		11.88.53.9		11.510.89.4
Bahia			12.16.34.3		11.220.425.4		11.512.913.6

Avai vs ChapecoenseHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Chapecoense			6.18.014.5		23.918.29.9		13.212.511.1
Avai	0.0NoNo		1.20.40.3		50.965.772.1		15.716.817.2

Coritiba vs VitoriaHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Libertadores	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Coritiba			10.85.64.1		12.422.328.8		11.813.213.8
Vitoria	NoNo0.0		0.50.71.9		65.057.942.9		16.816.315.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Title Chances

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