Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
SundayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength8/26
FlamengoWCeara 1-03310-3-31537.3%+16.795.5%+6.9372416963211000000000002.6+0.960.0%-0.03.594Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
SantosLFortaleza 0-13210-2-41027.0-14.092.6-3.12724181275321100000000003.0-0.550.0+0.05.581Santos Futebol Clube
Palmeiras3018-6-11422.8+2.690.5+1.52323181386421110000000003.3+0.200.0+0.01.574Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Sao PauloLVasco da Gama 0-1277-6-383.2-2.757.0-10.637101213121097643211000006.3-0.890.1+0.12.520Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
CorinthiansLAvai 0-1277-6-383.1-3.056.7-12.137101213121097643211000006.4-1.010.1+0.14.520Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Atletico-MG278-3-553.1+0.555.5+4.636101212121097643211000006.4+0.240.1+0.08.520Clube Atletico Mineiro
Athletico-PR258-1-781.4+0.339.4+4.31368101111109875432100007.7+0.170.4+0.17.495Clube Athletico Paranaense
Bahia246-6-430.6+0.127.9+2.71246791010101097643210008.81.1+0.36.483Esporte Clube Bahia
InternacionalLGoias 0-1247-3-640.6-0.626.2-9.2123578910101098653210009.0-1.081.2+0.79.483Sport Club Internacional
Botafogo2217-1-7-10.5+0.124.4+3.4123578910101098754210009.2+0.091.6+0.310.475ChapecoenseBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Gremio215-6-5-10.1+0.08.4+1.500112356891011111196421011.6-0.076.3+1.013.446Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
GoiasWInternacional 1-0216-3-7-90.1+0.18.2+5.000112356891011111196421011.6+1.256.2-5.614.446Goias Esporte Clube
FortalezaWSantos 1-0206-2-8-40.1+0.06.2+4.200012345789111212118521012.2+1.358.4-8.011.434Fortaleza Esporte Clube
Vasco da GamaWSao Paulo 1-0205-5-6-70.0+0.05.7+3.700012345689111212118531012.3+1.279.4-8.012.434Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
CearaLFlamengo 0-1206-2-840.0-0.05.3-2.800012235679111212129531012.5-1.139.6+4.815.434Ceara Sporting Club
Chapecoense1313-4-8-110.00.2+0.000000000111246914171817816.7-0.2860.7+4.416.365at BotafogoAssociacao Chapecoense de Futebol
CruzeiroLCSA 0-1143-5-8-100.0-0.00.1-0.200000000011235914182018916.9-1.1664.5+19.919.360Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
CSAWCruzeiro 1-0143-5-8-170.00.1+0.100000000011235914181918916.9+0.6464.3-11.817.360Centro Sportivo Alagoano
Fluminense1213-3-9-60.00.1+0.0000000000112347121720211217.3-0.2969.9+4.118.353Fluminense Football Club
AvaiWCorinthians 1-091-6-9-130.0+0.00.0+0.00000000000000012510206119.3+0.3195.8-2.420.299Avai Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/25
Santos 0 Fortaleza 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+2.7
Santos-8.8
-2.6
-0.4
Palmeiras+2.8
Sao Paulo+1.0
Corinthians+1.1
Atletico-MG+0.5
Goias+0.6
Fortaleza+1.8
-6.7
+0.9
Vasco da Gama+0.7
Chapecoense+1.2
Cruzeiro+1.2
CSA+0.9
Fluminense+1.2
Ceara 0 Flamengo 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+5.1
+4.0
+0.4
Santos-2.2
Palmeiras-1.2
Sao Paulo-0.5
Corinthians-0.5
Ceara-2.6
+1.6
-0.5
Chapecoense-0.3
Cruzeiro-0.3
Avai 1 Corinthians 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.6
+0.6
Santos+1.0
+0.3
Palmeiras+0.6
+0.5
Sao Paulo+0.2
+1.2
Corinthians-2.7
-10.0
-0.8
Atletico-MG+1.4
Athletico-PR+1.4
Bahia+1.1
Internacional+1.2
Botafogo+0.9
Gremio+0.4
Ceara+0.5
Avai-1.7
+0.2
Vasco da Gama 1 Sao Paulo 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.5
+0.4
Santos+0.8
Palmeiras+0.5
+0.4
Sao Paulo-2.3
-8.5
-0.7
Corinthians+0.8
Atletico-MG+0.9
Athletico-PR+1.0
Bahia+0.8
Internacional+0.9
Botafogo+0.7
Goias+0.5
Fortaleza+0.7
Vasco da Gama+1.6
-6.5
+0.8
Chapecoense+1.2
Cruzeiro+1.1
CSA+0.9
Fluminense+1.1
Goias 1 Internacional 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.4
Palmeiras+0.3
Sao Paulo+0.7
Corinthians+0.7
Atletico-MG+0.8
Athletico-PR+0.8
Bahia+0.6
Internacional-0.6
-7.9
+0.3
-0.7
Botafogo+0.5
Goias+2.1
-4.8
+0.8
Fortaleza+0.4
Vasco da Gama+0.5
Ceara+0.3
Chapecoense+0.8
Cruzeiro+0.8
CSA+0.6
Fluminense+0.8
CSA 1 Cruzeiro 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chapecoense-0.2
Cruzeiro+9.4
-0.6
CSA-8.9
+0.5
Fluminense-0.2
Botafogo vs ChapecoenseIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo0.80.40.2
30.420.917.2
0.71.82.8
8.59.610.1
Chapecoense0.10.10.4
66.761.949.8
17.116.816.1
CSA63.364.166.2
16.916.917.0
Week of 8/31
Flamengo vs PalmeirasIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo47.135.027.4
97.695.093.3
No0.00.0
2.12.63.0
Santos25.728.927.2
Palmeiras15.321.932.3
87.390.194.5
3.73.32.7
Chapecoense vs SantosHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo40.539.135.1
2.52.52.6
Santos19.623.032.1
88.691.095.1
3.53.22.7
Palmeiras25.124.021.2
90.7*90.590.3
3.23.33.3
Chapecoense0.40.10.1
49.161.165.7
16.016.817.0
Cruzeiro66.7*64.463.5
17.016.916.9
CSA66.5*64.363.4
17.0*16.916.9
Corinthians vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians4.82.51.8
66.754.347.3
0.0*0.10.3
5.66.57.1
Atletico-MG1.82.54.8
46.953.866.2
7.16.65.6
Sao Paulo vs GremioHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo4.62.41.8
65.553.547.3
0.0*0.10.3
5.76.67.1
Gremio5.47.613.4
8.36.43.3
12.211.710.6
Athletico-PR vs CearaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR2.11.00.7
47.935.830.4
0.20.50.8
7.08.08.5
Ceara3.24.68.7
12.69.95.4
13.112.611.5
Internacional vs BotafogoHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional1.00.40.3
34.423.618.9
0.51.31.8
8.19.29.8
Botafogo0.30.40.9
18.022.632.9
2.31.60.7
9.99.48.3
Bahia vs CSAHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia0.90.40.3
34.423.920.0
0.51.22.1
8.19.29.7
Chapecoense59.760.562.7
16.716.716.8
CSA0.00.10.3
70.065.353.3
17.317.016.3
Fortaleza vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias5.26.912.2
8.86.63.3
12.411.810.7
Fortaleza9.35.13.8
4.89.011.7
11.312.412.9
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da GamaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama3.44.58.2
14.110.25.3
13.112.611.6
Cruzeiro0.0NoNo
53.966.471.7
16.317.017.3
Fluminense vs AvaiHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense0.0NoNo
62.373.377.8
16.817.417.8
AvaiNoNo0.0
97.696.492.9
19.519.318.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.