"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibertadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
6/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
BotafogoLCuiaba 0-1248-0-31042.4%-7.793.5%-2.5422213853221100000000002.6-0.380.0%+0.01.567at PalmeirasBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
FlamengoWBragantino 1-0227-1-31118.9+11.181.8+14.01920161297543211100000004.1+1.380.2-0.27.542at SantosClube de Regatas do Flamengo
PalmeirasLBahia 0-1226-4-11317.9-5.580.7-7.11819161297543221110000004.2-0.740.2+0.12.542BotafogoSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-MGTFluminense 1-1195-4-265.6+0.456.9-3.16911111110876543322110006.5-0.331.2+0.64.505at FortalezaClube Atletico Mineiro
FluminenseTAtletico-MG 1-1185-3-353.5+0.346.5-2.34689109987655432211007.5-0.312.2+1.03.493BahiaFluminense Football Club
Sao PauloWAthletico-PR 2-1185-3-353.4+2.345.7+17.1368999987665432211007.5+1.692.3-1.811.493at CruzeiroSao Paulo Futebol Clube
GremioLAmerica-MG 0-1175-2-4-22.4-1.439.0-13.5257899988765543221108.2-1.413.4+2.45.481CoritibaGremio Football Porto Alegrense
FortalezaWCruzeiro 1-0174-5-251.9+1.434.4+15.1246788888776554321108.7+1.744.4-3.16.481Atletico-MGFortaleza Esporte Clube
Athletico-PRLSao Paulo 1-2165-1-501.5-0.730.8-10.8135678888876654332109.2-1.325.4+3.410.469CorinthiansClub Athletico Paranaense
CuiabaWBotafogo 1-0154-3-4-40.7+0.520.7+10.91234567788887765432110.5+1.749.7-6.18.456at VascoCuiaba Esporte Clube
CruzeiroLFortaleza 0-1144-2-530.4-0.314.4-7.60123455677888877653111.6-1.5114.4+8.213.444Sao PauloCruzeiro Esporte Clube
BragantinoLFlamengo 0-1143-5-300.4-0.314.0-7.80123445677888877653111.6-1.5614.9+8.512.444GoiasRed Bull Bragantino
InternacionalLCoritiba 0-1144-2-5-40.4-0.313.6-8.40123445677888887653111.7-1.6815.4+9.118.444at America-MGSport Club Internacional
SantosLCorinthians 0-2133-4-4-10.2-0.17.7-6.20011233456778999985313.2-1.7824.9+13.816.432FlamengoSantos Futebol Clube
CorinthiansWSantos 2-0123-3-5-40.1+0.16.6+4.100112234556789910996313.5+1.3827.9-10.99.420at Athletico-PRSport Club Corinthians Paulista
BahiaWPalmeiras 1-0123-3-5-40.1+0.15.6+3.50011223345678891010107413.9+1.3231.2-11.217.420at FluminenseEsporte Clube Bahia
GoiasWVasco 1-0113-2-6-80.1+0.03.9+2.40001122334567891011129514.6+1.1037.9-10.215.407at BragantinoGoias Esporte Clube
America-MGWGremio 1-0113-2-6-100.1+0.03.7+2.400011123345678910111210614.6+1.1938.5-11.614.407InternacionalAmerica Futebol Clube-MG
CoritibaWInternacional 1-071-4-6-110.0+0.00.3+0.20000000001122346914253218.0+0.6179.9-7.020.358at GremioCoritiba Football Club
VascoLGoias 0-161-3-7-100.0-0.00.1-0.20000000000111235712244318.5-1.1385.9+14.919.346CuiabaClub de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/21
Cuiaba 1 Botafogo 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-7.6
-2.1
-0.3
Flamengo+1.3
-0.2
Palmeiras+3.0
Atletico-MG+0.9
-0.3
Fluminense+0.5
-0.3
Gremio+0.6
-0.3
Cuiaba+0.2
+4.8
-5.7
+1.0
Corinthians+0.7
Bahia+0.8
Goias+0.7
America-MG+0.7
Vasco+0.7
Bahia 1 Palmeiras 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+3.0
Flamengo+0.7
+0.3
Palmeiras-5.7
-4.7
-0.5
Atletico-MG+0.5
+0.2
Cuiaba+0.8
Santos+0.6
Corinthians+1.4
Bahia+1.5
-10.0
+0.9
Goias+1.4
America-MG+1.4
Coritiba+0.6
Vasco+1.2
Bragantino 0 Flamengo 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-1.1
Flamengo+2.7
+7.6
-0.2
+0.7
Palmeiras-0.6
Bragantino-0.3
-5.4
+2.1
-0.7
Gremio 0 America-MG 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.5
Flamengo+0.7
Atletico-MG+0.8
Fluminense+0.8
Sao Paulo+0.7
+0.3
Gremio-1.5
-8.7
+0.8
-0.8
Fortaleza+0.5
+0.5
Athletico-PR+0.8
Cuiaba+0.3
+0.8
Cruzeiro+0.6
+0.4
Bragantino+0.6
+0.4
Internacional+0.6
+0.4
Santos+0.4
+0.6
Corinthians+1.3
Bahia+1.4
Goias+1.4
America-MG+1.0
-10.2
+0.8
Coritiba+0.6
Vasco+1.1
Fluminense 1 Atletico-MG 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+0.6
Atletico-MG-0.7
-1.8
-0.2
Fluminense-0.5
-2.3
+0.1
-0.2
Sao Paulo 2 Athletico-PR 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+0.6
+7.9
-1.8
+0.9
Athletico-PR-0.8
-7.5
+0.9
-0.7
Cruzeiro 0 Fortaleza 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza+0.3
+6.6
-3.0
+1.0
Cruzeiro-0.3
-5.8
+2.4
-0.8
Coritiba 1 Internacional 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+0.6
Atletico-MG+0.6
Fluminense+0.6
Sao Paulo+0.5
Gremio+0.5
Athletico-PR+0.6
Cruzeiro+0.4
Bragantino+0.5
Internacional-0.3
-6.0
+3.0
-0.9
Coritiba-5.8
+0.5
Santos 0 Corinthians 2
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-4.2
+4.6
-0.9
Corinthians+1.6
-9.4
+0.9
Bahia+0.7
Goias+0.8
America-MG+0.7
Vasco+0.6
Vasco 0 Goias 1
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians+0.4
Bahia+0.4
Goias+0.8
-9.4
+0.7
America-MG+0.4
Vasco+7.0
-0.5
Week of 6/25
Palmeiras vs BotafogoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo33.840.851.9
91.093.196.2
3.02.72.2
Flamengo19.620.117.5
81.7*81.982.0
Palmeiras25.116.611.7
86.679.575.6
0.1*0.20.3
3.54.34.7
Santos vs FlamengoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo44.543.540.4
Flamengo14.016.523.5
76.079.986.9
0.3*0.20.1
4.64.33.5
Palmeiras19.018.516.9
80.880.880.5
Santos0.30.10.1
11.86.95.3
17.225.629.8
12.113.313.8
America-MG39.5*38.437.9
14.714.614.6
Fortaleza vs Atletico-MGHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG3.74.88.0
48.954.866.0
1.91.30.6
7.26.75.6
Fortaleza2.91.61.1
43.232.227.0
2.44.76.1
7.88.99.5
Fluminense vs BahiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense4.92.82.2
54.343.038.0
1.22.53.6
6.77.88.3
Bahia3.75.08.8
36.632.122.5
14.514.012.8
Goias3.84.04.0
37.337.738.9
Cruzeiro vs Sao PauloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo2.12.84.8
37.843.154.4
3.52.51.2
8.37.86.7
Cruzeiro0.70.30.2
20.213.010.1
9.415.218.4
10.511.812.4
Gremio vs CoritibaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fluminense45.846.947.4
7.57.47.4
Gremio3.31.81.4
45.834.930.6
2.04.05.5
7.58.69.2
Coritiba0.10.20.5
84.080.771.9
18.318.017.3
Athletico-PR vs CorinthiansHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Athletico-PR2.21.10.8
37.927.723.5
3.16.08.0
8.39.510.1
Corinthians4.45.910.1
33.428.819.7
14.213.712.5
Vasco vs CuiabaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cuiaba0.40.51.1
14.917.926.2
13.810.86.2
11.410.99.7
Vasco0.0No0.0
0.30.10.1
79.786.989.6
18.018.518.8
America-MG vs InternacionalHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional0.20.30.6
9.611.918.5
20.616.410.0
12.612.010.8
America-MG5.73.12.2
29.440.445.9
13.714.915.3
Bragantino vs GoiasHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libertadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bragantino0.60.30.2
18.612.09.7
9.916.320.4
10.712.012.6
Goias2.53.46.1
44.639.228.4
15.214.713.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you mva87 for adding this league.