Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSupporters ShieldChance will finish regular season at seedWooden Spoon
3/25PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
TimbersLCrew 2-393-0-1686.2%-2.314.5%-3.82619141197543113.5-0.280.3%+0.15.497Portland Timbers
FC Dallas712-1-0282.7+1.111.9+0.721171412108653213.9+0.110.4-0.02.486FC Dallas
Atlanta612-0-1876.7-1.810.3+0.119151311108765424.3-0.130.5-0.09.503at SoundersAtlanta United FC
Orlando622-0-0273.3-2.38.8-0.117141211109875434.6-0.160.7+0.04.483Orlando City SC
Sporting KC511-2-0171.8+1.86.3+0.5121313121110976424.8+0.141.1-0.13.486at Toronto FCSporting Kansas City
Toronto FC511-2-0271.5-3.17.7-0.415141211109876534.7-0.230.7+0.017.486Sporting KCToronto FC
Earthquakes612-0-1169.0+1.35.4+0.21112121211111086425.0+0.101.2-0.121.468San Jose Earthquakes
Dynamo612-0-1168.9+1.05.3+0.21112121212111086425.0+0.081.3-0.01.465Houston Dynamo
CrewWTimbers 3-272-1-1164.7+9.95.1+2.2111111111010987645.3+0.741.1-1.46.469Columbus Crew
NYCFC411-1-1362.5-2.75.0-0.0101111111010998755.4-0.181.4-0.012.493New York City FC
Sounders411-1-1162.4+1.43.9+0.2810111111111198645.5+0.112.0-0.18.466AtlantaSeattle Sounders
Red BullsTReal Salt Lake 0-072-1-1061.1-6.74.1-1.3910111110101098755.6-0.501.4+0.27.460New York Red Bulls
Rapids411-1-1054.5+1.92.5+0.2689101111111110856.0+0.143.0-0.113.458Colorado Rapids
RevolutionWMinnesota 5-2311-0-2149.9+17.22.5+1.767899101010101096.4+1.252.8-5.516.466New England Revolution
Galaxy311-0-2-145.3+1.31.5+0.1357810111212121186.7+0.114.6-0.210.446Los Angeles Galaxy
Fire411-1-1-243.7-3.41.8-0.1467891010111212116.8-0.233.8+0.111.437Chicago Fire
Impact210-2-1-136.3-2.61.2-0.034678910111314167.3-0.195.8+0.018.446Montreal Impact
Union210-2-1-136.2-2.61.2-0.034678910111314167.4-0.195.9+0.014.446Philadelphia Union
DC United110-1-2-624.3-2.00.5-0.01234679111317268.3-0.1710.8-0.115.438DC United
Whitecaps110-1-2-324.1+1.00.4+0.012346810121518208.2+0.1113.4-0.422.423Vancouver Whitecaps
MinnesotaLRevolution 2-510-1-3-1218.9-6.00.2-0.21123569121520258.6-0.4517.4+4.819.407Minnesota United FC
Real Salt LakeTRed Bulls 0-020-2-2-316.3-2.50.2-0.11123468111521298.8-0.1720.4+2.520.399Real Salt Lake

Direct Comments/Corrections to bgix on BigSoccer
Monte Carlo simulation: Does not prove mathematical Clinching or Elimination
Tie Breakers:
1. Wins
2. Goal Differential
3. Goals Scored

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/3
Atlanta 1 Red Bulls 2
7:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta-10.0
-1.7
+2.6
-0.8
Red Bulls+11.3
+2.6
-2.3
+0.9
Galaxy 1 FC Dallas 2
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+11.2
+2.9
-2.2
+0.9
Galaxy-10.0
-1.9
+2.5
-0.8
Rapids 1 Revolution 0
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas-0.6
Earthquakes-0.7
Crew+0.5
NYCFC+0.5
Sounders-0.7
Rapids+6.2
+1.4
-1.6
+0.5
Revolution-4.5
-1.2
+1.1
-0.3
Galaxy-0.7
Earthquakes 1 Impact 0
10:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando+0.5
Sporting KC-0.6
Toronto FC+0.5
Earthquakes+6.1
+1.4
-1.6
+0.5
Sounders-0.7
Impact-4.5
-1.2
+1.1
-0.3
Timbers 5 Minnesota 1
9:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers+6.7
+1.4
-1.6
+0.5
Minnesota-5.1
-1.2
+1.1
-0.4
Orlando 1 NYCFC 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando+6.7
+1.3
-1.6
+0.5
NYCFC-5.1
-1.1
+1.1
-0.4
Dynamo 2 Sounders 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo+6.6
+1.4
-1.5
+0.5
Sounders-5.2
-1.2
+1.1
-0.4
Whitecaps 0 Union 0
9:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers+0.5
Earthquakes+0.5
Crew*+0.1
Sounders+0.4
Impact*-0.1
Union*+0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Whitecaps-4.3
-1.0
+0.9
-0.3
Real Salt Lake+0.4
Real Salt Lake 0 Toronto FC 0
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC+0.5
Toronto FC-0.2
-0.2
-0.0
Earthquakes+0.4
Rapids+0.4
Real Salt Lake-4.4
-1.1
+0.9
-0.3
DC United 0 Sporting KC 0
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC-0.2
-0.3
Fire+0.4
Union+0.4
DC United-4.3
-1.1
+0.9
-0.3
Crew 1 Fire 1
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew-4.4
-1.1
+0.9
-0.3
Fire+0.5
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Week of 3/11
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew-0.7
NYCFC-0.7
Rapids+0.5
Revolution-0.7
Fire+6.4
+1.3
-1.5
+0.5
DC United-0.6
Whitecaps+0.4
Minnesota+0.5
Real Salt Lake-4.7
-1.2
+1.0
-0.4
Dynamo 3 Crew 1
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta+0.4
Dynamo+6.0
+1.8
-1.0
+0.5
Crew-4.5
-0.8
+1.3
-0.3
Sounders-0.6
Revolution+0.5
Fire+0.5
Impact+0.5
DC United+0.5
Minnesota-0.6
Real Salt Lake-0.6
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0
4:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew-0.6
Red Bulls+5.7
+2.4
-0.8
+0.5
Rapids-4.3
-1.8
+0.6
-0.3
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes+6.3
+2.1
-0.8
+0.5
Whitecaps-5.2
-1.2
+0.9
-0.4
Impact 2 Sounders 2
7:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew+0.4
NYCFC+0.3
Sounders-0.3
-0.2
-0.3
-0.0
Impact-4.3
-0.5
+1.5
-0.3
Real Salt Lake*+0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0
9:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+0.7
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Sporting KC-4.4
-1.3
+0.6
-0.3
Union 2 Toronto FC 2
4:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC+0.6
-0.1
-0.2
+0.0
Union-4.1
-1.3
+0.6
-0.3
Revolution vs OrlandoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
2:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando68.873.882.4
6.88.513.4
0.90.60.3
4.94.53.8
Revolution57.045.539.9
3.51.81.3
1.73.44.5
5.86.77.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Oxenreider for adding this league.