Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change12345678Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
NESHLBoston12560-006YesYes1001.010.950NESHL Boston
BostonLobsters16380-0025100.0%97.7%+3.09820000001.0+0.031.685PuckheadsBoston Lobsters
WJMosk14272-0029100.098.6-0.0991000001.017.729WJ Mosk
MustangJakes14173-0020100.0+0.086.1+0.286122001.216.658at HolyCowMustang Jakes
BisonLExpress 5-810254-00999.9-0.12.1-3.127715510002.3-0.1725.581Bison
TuukkaDumpShenanigans10353-003499.9-0.073.7-7.7742141001.3-0.0913.722Tuukka Dump
IceHogs16281-002199.8-0.064.2+0.064211031001.62.663Ice Hogs
Pucklines13251-031899.8+0.067.2-0.067188421001.66.675Pucklines
PinkPanthers11253-011099.8-0.043.9+0.04428216001.943.590BendersPink Panthers
Diablo15172-011499.7-0.054.6-0.2553861001.68.626Diablo
BSDAO12153-02599.6+0.028.3+0.028322812002.230.549BrewWhaleBSDAO
Benders11154-01999.5+0.025.1-0.025323210002.349.587at PinkPanthersBenders
MysteryWhalers12461-00998.8+0.041.9+0.54243103101.8+0.023.573Mystery
ExpressWBison 8-512263-00398.7+2.521.3+8.82153196102.1+0.3329.527Express
MHS14173-002098.4-0.018.6+0.0193428125102.69.663MHS
Chiefs11154-01698.0+0.09.6-0.1105625822.436.559at FiveMinuteMajorsChiefs
DarkHorses14173-001397.9-0.014.0-0.1143232146202.74.610Dark Horses
Blueliners6236-00396.9+0.00.1+0.00124025146313.7+0.0748.524Blueliners
ClamDiggers12153-02493.3-0.07.3+0.071819191714603.922.542Clam Diggers
Warriors9145-01-193.0+0.02.7-0.0381964703.67.492Warriors
Ezekimos7433-01992.9+0.010.0+0.0102119171412703.7+0.0114.584Ezekimos
JAFHT7235-01-891.5+0.00.0+0.00621272413724.4+0.0538.431JAFHT
HolyCow9343-01-591.3-0.03.8-0.0424432093.132.460MustangJakesHoly Cow
Predators9343-01590.2+0.05.9-0.061517181816914.123.550Predators
Intervention8146-00-890.1-0.20.0+0.00317272815824.7+0.0139.436Intervention
RedLightDistrict10254-00189.8+0.04.7+0.0514171819181014.333.510IceDevilsRed Light District
MangledMallards10243-02488.9-0.04.7-0.0513161819181114.311.542Mangled Mallards
NoDekes9145-01-387.5-0.00.5+0.0030251913843.624.471No Dekes
Lobsters8245-00-385.0-0.00.5-0.01252320161053.827.475Lobsters
BookHockey9145-01-583.7+0.00.3+0.00252320161153.841.438Book Hockey
Shenanigansat TuukkaDump6335-00482.0-0.13.1-0.631336291353.5-0.0945.542Shenanigans
MajesticDragon10254-00978.1+0.02.0+0.0271429251574.45.575Majestic Dragon
Whalersat Mystery8344-00273.9-0.42.3+0.021036251883.7+0.0221.520Whalers
PIAPuckheads5413-03-573.1-1.11.8-0.421129321893.8-0.1146.450PIA
CatFalcons10254-00372.5-0.11.1-0.0151126301894.718.527CatFalcons
ThirstyTurtles6236-00-866.8+0.00.1+0.001215192120134.640.418Thirsty Turtles
ALKUWGreenBeavers 6-39145-01062.5+20.70.8+0.415253124134.1+0.5115.500ALKU
FiveMinuteMajorsWings7334-01-1356.4+0.10.3-0.0051536444.228.384ChiefsFive Minute Majors
Wingsat FiveMinuteMajors8135-02-1154.3-0.00.2-0.0031536464.231.402Wings
MaxPower737-01-1353.5-0.60.0+0.00037152932156.2-0.0147.383Max Power
KendallUnited4315-02-1553.4+0.50.00138152730176.2+0.0253.367Kendall United
Pigeons7136-01-1544.3-0.00.0-0.0048132027285.435.368Pigeons
Walnuts8146-00043.5-0.00.2-0.0013611225066.219.500Walnuts
GreenBeaversLALKU 3-67235-01-440.4-21.50.3-0.803142331294.7-0.5834.458Green Beavers
FrechetteTire1155-01-534.2+0.10.1-0.0013102034315.812.448Frechette Tire
PetetheCruisers3316-01-1232.7-0.00.0-0.003691523445.850.398Pete the Cruisers
IceDevils6236-00-1327.8-0.40.1-0.00181938345.0-0.0237.380at RedLightDistrictIce Devils
Hog7235-01-1124.8+1.20.1+0.00181626495.1+0.0226.392Hog
Oilmen9145-01-319.2-0.00.000151330516.220.471Oilmen
Puckheadsat PIA4326-00-1918.5-0.90.0-0.00151330525.3-0.0351.362at BostonLobstersPuckheads
Lollygaggers5226-01-4314.6+0.30.0000131022647.4+0.0154.240Lollygaggers
Shanks7136-01-287.4-0.00.0+0.0001777155.144.277Shanks
Trinidad4227-00-221.6-0.00.00000017917.942.311Trinidad
BrewWhale2108-02-220.7-0.00.0000115845.852.289at BSDAOBrew Whale

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/25
Ezekimos 4 Walnuts 7
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pucklines+1.1
Ezekimos-5.2
-1.8
-0.4
RedLightDistrict-3.8
Walnuts+10.8
+0.3
Lollygaggers 4 MaxPower 8
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MaxPower+9.2
+0.3
KendallUnited-1.8
Lollygaggers-6.8
-0.2
Shanks 2 PinkPanthers 10
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PinkPanthers+1.9
+4.3
+0.2
BSDAO-2.2
Benders+0.3
-1.6
Warriors+3.9
Shanks-6.4
-0.4
-0.1
MustangJakes 8 FiveMinuteMajors 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MustangJakes+0.5
+5.9
+0.1
Chiefs-3.6
HolyCow+0.9
-0.9
FiveMinuteMajors-4.3
-1.3
-0.1
Wings+2.8
Bison 8 Intervention 6
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BostonLobsters-1.3
Bison+0.3
+2.1
+0.2
Intervention-1.4
-0.7
-0.3
FrechetteTire 4 Warriors 4 (ot)
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MHS*+0.2
Warriors+0.4
CatFalcons*+0.3
FrechetteTire-0.5
-0.0
Oilmen*+0.1
Shanks*-0.4
Benders 2 BSDAO 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PinkPanthers-1.1
BSDAO+0.6
+13.2
+0.3
Benders-1.1
-12.0
-0.3
Wings 4 HolyCow 4 (ot)
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MustangJakes*+0.4
HolyCow+0.3
-0.5
-0.0
FiveMinuteMajors-0.9
Wings+0.7
+0.0
Chiefs 2 BrewWhale 2 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MustangJakes+2.6
Chiefs-3.4
-0.1
HolyCow+0.6
BrewWhale*No
Week of 12/2
Intervention 3 IceDevils 6
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Intervention-3.2
-0.3
Shenanigans-2.1
PIA-2.7
MaxPower+1.0
KendallUnited+1.0
IceDevils+6.8
+0.2
Puckheads-1.5
Mystery 11 ALKU 9
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Diablo+0.4
-3.9
Mystery+2.1
+6.7
+0.2
Whalers+2.3
-0.6
ALKU-7.9
-1.4
-0.3
GreenBeavers+1.7
-0.8
Hog+1.4
CatFalcons 4 MHS 6
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MHS+3.6
+2.9
+0.3
DarkHorses-1.3
CatFalcons-7.1
-0.5
-0.3
FrechetteTire+1.1
Oilmen+1.6
Diablo 2 GreenBeavers 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Diablo+1.9
+7.2
+0.2
Mystery+0.3
-3.2
Whalers+1.3
-0.6
ALKU+1.8
GreenBeavers-6.7
-3.1
-0.3
Hog+1.5
IceHogs 6 FrechetteTire 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
IceHogs+1.8
+5.3
+0.2
MHS+0.6
-0.9
DarkHorses-3.0
MajesticDragon+0.6
-1.0
CatFalcons+1.8
FrechetteTire-6.5
-0.2
Oilmen+1.5
Pucklines 2 Ezekimos 3
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Pucklines-11.3
-0.2
ClamDiggers+2.3
Ezekimos+3.0
+6.5
+0.5
Predators-0.3
+1.2
RedLightDistrict-1.0
MangledMallards-0.4
+1.0
Walnuts-1.0
MustangJakes vs FiveMinuteMajorsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MustangJakes88.984.278.2
1.11.21.3
Chiefs98.297.897.4
7.710.914.7
HolyCow92.190.889.2
3.14.35.6
FiveMinuteMajors52.659.966.8
0.1*0.41.1
4.34.13.9
Wings57.151.546.7
4.24.34.3
RedLightDistrict vs PredatorsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Predators85.5*90.394.2
3.15.38.3
4.64.23.7
RedLightDistrict94.590.785.6
7.44.42.5
3.84.24.7
Chiefs vs HolyCowHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MustangJakes84.787.387.8
Chiefs99.0*98.096.5
12.78.45.4
2.22.42.7
HolyCow88.892.294.9
2.1*3.76.2
3.33.02.7
Wings55.253.753.1
Shanks vs BrewWhaleHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Warriors90.893.495.0
Shanks10.57.14.5
4.95.15.2
BrewWhale0.20.61.2
No*No0.0
6.05.95.7
Benders vs WarriorsHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PinkPanthers41.544.947.2
BSDAO26.229.031.1
Benders99.8*99.699.1
31.223.416.6
2.12.32.6
Warriors90.893.996.1
1.0*2.65.1
3.83.63.4
Shanks9.16.65.1
PinkPanthers vs BSDAOHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
PinkPanthers99.999.899.6
56.242.929.6
1.71.92.2
BSDAO99.499.799.8
16.7*28.342.1
2.52.21.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.