Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChowder CupChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthMonday
WJMosk2111-006YesYes1001.022.813WJ Mosk
Benders520-015In37.7%+0.038357863111000002.38.706ChiefsBenders
BisonWTuukkaDump 1-04120-006In+0.110.4+5.610571477310002.6+1.823.883Bison
MHS630-0012In41.2-0.041141411743320002.9-0.0114.823MHS
DiabloTPIA 5-5 (ot)520-015In36.8-7.1371081212732233100003.6-0.4716.706Diablo
MaxPower421-001In22.8+1.823101315791210204.1-0.0638.536at FiveMinuteMajorsMax Power
Pucklines410-025In10.8+6.3112017128877421110000004.4+0.3025.706Pucklines
NoDekes520-016In13.9-0.014116131915645420004.8-0.0233.694No Dekes
Predators4120-007In10.0+4.410171310911117421111100005.0-0.471.788Predators
ClamDiggers4120-002In17.7+5.3189111210767743211110005.3+0.1430.583Clam Diggers
Shanks421-000In1.3+0.0191917111011106211100005.4-0.0311.500PinkPanthersShanks
MustangJakes421-006In6.1+3.5614151299109642111100005.6+0.089.700PIAMustang Jakes
FrechetteTire4120-003In1.8-0.029161291014127322100005.8-0.036.676Frechette Tire
IceHogs4120-004In1.8+0.028118101415117543100006.2-0.013.692Ice Hogs
DarkHorses421-006In0.9+0.0161313101014148542100006.3+0.0210.694Dark Horses
CatFalcons4120-006In1.5-0.01712911131310645521006.4-0.0413.782CatFalcons
WhalersWHog 5-3421-001In+1.85.2+4.757891112109643333310006.8+4.772.541Whalers
Mystery421-002In2.7-2.236888111310743355420007.5+0.1035.568Mystery
HogLWhalers 3-5421-002In3.0-18.43666791111977654210007.9-3.0927.576Hog
Townies4120-007InNo0002102431228200011.9-0.3523.835Townies
FiveMinuteMajors4120-004100.0%61.7+2.062491472110002.2-0.063.683MaxPowerFive Minute Majors
BSDAO311-011100.00.0002610961122146333310008.5-0.0912.537BrewWhaleBSDAO
MangledMallards311-010100.0-0.00.1+0.101244335101295471111720011.5-0.2117.500Mangled Mallards
ALKUWGreenBeavers 5-3311-010100.0+9.90.1+0.1012222251013954611139300012.0+2.6015.500ALKU
MajesticDragon2111-00799.9+0.0No0014544711141189117310011.5-0.1231.769Majestic Dragon
BostonLobsters2210-00499.9+0.01.1-2.511024151513954204.8-0.186.696Boston Lobsters
LobstersWPigeons 13-5212-00099.7+31.1No0000134691416121112820013.3+3.3036.500Lobsters
JAFHT2111-00-199.6-0.02.2-2.0246131516171212306.0-0.3647.456JAFHT
ShenanigansWExpress 6-22111-00399.6+15.20.0+0.000136632457111210778630012.2+3.6747.676Shenanigans
ThirstyTurtles2111-00-299.6+0.0No001234492118116446620011.3-0.1121.372Thirsty Turtles
RedLightDistrict2111-00299.4-0.17.5+3.78108877911106322332100006.9+0.0627.612IceDevilsRed Light District
TuukkaDumpLBison 0-1212-00199.3-0.10.3-4.802891917101115716.4-1.0320.543Tuukka Dump
Warriors212-00-199.0-0.1No001246658161812633531011.6+0.4724.463Warriors
Blueliners212-00498.9+0.01.5+0.0210191614161082214.9-0.1145.636Blueliners
Intervention212-00-698.9-0.00.0-0.00025661522182417.9-0.0149.334Intervention
Lollygaggers2111-00-498.8+0.00.1-0.101568101718191417.334.252Lollygaggers
Puckheads2111-00-198.5-0.2No0014810108671010854431011.9+0.0419.456Puckheads
Walnuts212-00-197.6-1.40.000012321223481213111112102014.5-1.3446.468Walnuts
GreenBeaversLALKU 3-5212-00-296.1-2.90.0-0.2000121113798557101214114014.6-3.7332.421Green Beavers
Chiefs212-00-496.1-2.4No000011223581011111416124015.6-0.5429.303at BendersChiefs
Oilmen102-01-396.0+0.8No00013555101718116883113.8-0.1637.404Oilmen
PetetheCruisers1101-01-594.2+1.2No00123349161711711115114.4-0.1339.301Pete the Cruisers
BookHockey1101-01-790.7+2.0No0001333481615614178115.2-0.0842.201Book Hockey
PIATDiablo 5-5 (ot)1101-01-184.6+14.2No-0.00000234222511131172213216.4+0.9440.437at MustangJakesPIA
KendallUnited0102-00-474.9+0.0No0026712242314119.353.270Kendall United
PinkPanthers0102-00-1067.2+0.8No00001223410191510132017.0-0.0642.179at ShanksPink Panthers
Trinidad003-00-1365.7+0.8No0000233341019139122316.9-0.0717.164Trinidad
IceDevils0102-00-563.0+1.4No00001122236131715201718.2-0.0140.277at RedLightDistrictIce Devils
ExpressLShenanigans 2-6003-00-1050.9-26.5No0002333481415232618.8-2.2944.212Express
BrewWhale0102-00-449.6+2.8No00001111491122302118.1+0.0126.228at BSDAOBrew Whale
PigeonsLLobsters 5-130102-00-938.4-39.6No0000001366715283418.4-2.8550.187Pigeons
HolyCow0102-00-1315.1-0.0No000002310236211.451.175Holy Cow
MorningGaggers0300-00014.6+0.0No15592711.154.500Morning Gaggers
Wings003-00-1214.1-9.0No0000000001247325420.2-0.2152.190Wings

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/30
MaxPower 4 Blueliners 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Bison+0.9
MaxPowerIn
+15.3
+3.9
JAFHT+0.9
TuukkaDump+0.9
Blueliners-30.5
No
-4.3
Intervention+0.9
Lollygaggers+0.9
KendallUnited+0.9
HolyCowIn
Mystery 11 Lobsters 8
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MysteryIn
+3.8
+3.8
Lobsters-19.5
No
-3.0
RedLightDistrict 0 Shanks 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ShanksIn
+7.3
+6.0
RedLightDistrict-13.0
No
-6.3
BSDAO 4 FrechetteTire 5
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
FrechetteTireIn
+3.3
+3.6
BSDAO-24.0
No
-4.3
BrewWhale+2.8
Walnuts 4 Warriors 8
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
WarriorsIn
+3.2
+3.5
Walnuts-12.8
-4.6
-3.5
JAFHT 5 KendallUnited 2
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
FiveMinuteMajors+0.9
JAFHTIn
+14.7
+2.5
KendallUnited-20.9
No
-2.5
HolyCow+0.7
MorningGaggers+3.1
+1.0
+0.5
TuukkaDump 8 Intervention 2
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
TuukkaDumpIn
+9.0
+2.6
Intervention-15.9
No
-2.4
Trinidad 3 NoDekes 7
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
NoDekesIn
+2.3
+3.6
Trinidad-18.6
No
-3.7
Townies 8 Express 5
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
TowniesIn
+1.2
+4.8
Express-13.4
No
-3.9
Oilmen 4 MHS 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MHSIn
+2.8
+3.7
Oilmen-15.0
No
-3.7
DarkHorses 6 MajesticDragon 4
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DarkHorsesIn
+3.4
+3.9
MajesticDragon-14.3
No
-3.9
MangledMallards 7 Wings 4
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MangledMallardsIn
+6.0
+4.2
Wings-13.4
No
-4.3
Diablo 4 Whalers 1
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
DiabloIn
+5.4
+4.2
Whalers-13.1
No
-4.2
GreenBeavers 5 Hog 6
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
HogIn
+4.0
+3.9
GreenBeavers-12.6
No
-4.4
Lollygaggers 0 Bison 5
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BisonIn
+0.1
+2.9
BostonLobsters-0.3
Lollygaggers-9.0
No
-2.2
PinkPanthers 4 ClamDiggers 5
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
ClamDiggersIn
+8.6
+4.0
Puckheads*No
-0.2
PinkPanthers-9.4
No
-3.5
Week of 10/7
MustangJakes 6 FiveMinuteMajors 7
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Diablo+5.5
+0.4
ClamDiggers+5.0
+0.4
MustangJakesNo
-5.5
FiveMinuteMajorsIn
+3.3
BostonLobsters-2.0
-0.7
Intervention-5.3
-0.3
Lollygaggers-5.1
-0.4
MorningGaggers-5.9
-0.3
Benders 3 BSDAO 3 (ot)
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Benders-26.5
-2.3
Shanks+7.0
+0.4
BSDAO+21.9
+2.6
MaxPower 8 HolyCow 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BisonNo
MaxPower+18.9
+1.2
BostonLobsters+2.7
+0.4
JAFHT-9.7
TuukkaDump-7.2
Intervention+4.1
Lollygaggers+4.2
+0.2
HolyCow-20.3
No
-2.8
MorningGaggers+5.0
No
Chiefs 2 PIA 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
MustangJakes+1.9
ChiefsIn
+5.6
PIA-11.1
-5.8
BrewWhale 2 Shanks 4
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
BendersNo
NoDekes-1.2
Shanks+5.2
+0.6
FrechetteTire-1.1
DarkHorses-1.0
BSDAO*In
BrewWhale-2.7
-0.6
ClamDiggers vs RedLightDistrictIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chowder Cup100.0*Average seed
Diablo30.439.841.8
ClamDiggers36.319.00.9
3.04.77.5
RedLightDistrict98.6100.0100.0
No0.215.7
10.26.84.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Jason Breslau for adding this league.