"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleChance will finish season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Tennessee93-0-01033.2%+2.233302592100002.2+0.371.727Tennessee
Memphis93-0-0832.0+0.132302593100002.2+0.283.727Memphis
Huntsville93-0-01031.7+3.632302593100002.2+0.453.727Huntsville
Mandeville62-0-132.8-0.0371532201272104.4+1.019.572Mandeville
Vestavia31-0-2-50.1-2.50131422201712736.1-0.812.416Vestavia
Hattiesburg31-0-2-10.1-2.90131220201913946.3-1.216.416Hattiesburg
Houston31-0-2-30.1+0.00131017222014956.5+1.815.416Houston
Louisiana10-1-2-80.0-0.2000269142125238.1-0.698.313Louisiana
Mississippi10-1-2-50.0-0.3000159132126258.2-0.6210.313Mississippi
Destin00-0-3-90.0-0.1000136101724408.7-0.597.261Destin

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/22
Vestavia 0 Tennessee 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee+10.9
+0.5
Memphis-3.9
-0.1
Huntsville-3.5
-0.0
Mandeville-0.5
+0.0
Vestavia-2.1
-0.6
Hattiesburg-0.8
+0.0
Louisiana+0.0
Mississippi-0.1
+0.0
Destin+0.0
Mississippi 0 Memphis 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee-3.6
-0.1
Memphis+8.8
+0.4
Huntsville-3.3
-0.1
Mandeville-0.5
Vestavia-0.6
Hattiesburg-0.5
Houston+0.0
Louisiana-0.1
+0.1
Mississippi-0.2
-0.4
Destin+0.0
Huntsville 4 Louisiana 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee-3.2
-0.1
Memphis-3.4
-0.1
Huntsville+8.2
+0.4
Mandeville-0.4
Vestavia-0.4
Hattiesburg-0.4
Houston+0.1
Louisiana-0.2
-0.4
Mississippi-0.1
+0.0
Destin+0.1
Hattiesburg 0 Houston 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee+0.5
Memphis+0.6
+0.1
Huntsville+0.6
+0.1
Mandeville+0.2
+0.0
Vestavia+0.1
+0.0
Hattiesburg-2.2
-1.0
Houston+0.2
+1.0
Louisiana-0.1
Mississippi-0.1
Destin-0.1
Destin 0 Mandeville 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee-0.2
Memphis-0.2
Huntsville-0.2
Mandeville+0.6
+0.7
Vestavia-0.0
Hattiesburg-0.1
Houston-0.0
Louisiana+0.0
Mississippi+0.0
Destin-0.5
Mandeville vs HuntsvilleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee37.736.528.8
2.22.12.2
Memphis36.435.227.7
2.22.22.3
Huntsville17.125.742.9
2.92.41.9
Mandeville8.32.10.4
3.54.44.9
Vestavia6.26.16.1
Hattiesburg6.46.36.3
Houston0.20.10.1
6.66.56.4
Memphis vs HattiesburgHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee29.337.039.8
2.32.12.1
Memphis40.223.917.6
2.02.42.8
Huntsville28.035.437.9
2.32.22.1
Mandeville2.33.33.6
4.44.44.5
Vestavia0.10.10.2
6.16.16.3
Hattiesburg0.00.10.7
6.76.25.2
Houston6.46.56.6
Louisiana8.18.18.2
Mississippi8.28.28.3
Destin8.78.78.8
Louisiana vs TennesseeHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee17.824.140.4
2.72.42.0
Memphis39.136.228.6
2.12.12.3
Huntsville38.735.928.4
2.12.22.3
Mandeville3.73.32.3
Vestavia0.20.10.1
6.26.16.1
Hattiesburg0.20.20.1
6.56.36.3
Houston6.66.56.4
Louisiana7.18.08.3
Mississippi8.48.38.2
Destin8.98.78.7
Houston vs MississippiHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Memphis31.9*32.032.0
Mandeville4.54.44.4
Vestavia6.26.06.1
Hattiesburg6.46.26.3
Houston0.20.00.0
5.76.77.4
Louisiana8.18.18.2
Mississippi8.88.37.3
Destin8.78.78.8
Destin vs VestaviaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Mandeville4.34.34.5
Vestavia0.00.00.2
7.06.45.5
Hattiesburg6.36.36.4
Houston6.46.46.5
Louisiana8.28.18.1
Mississippi8.38.28.2
Destin0.00.0No
7.88.79.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Arrigo for adding this league.