NTPSA Playoff Chances 2012Spring

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

TeamBushwood	6		2	-	0	-	0	4	92.1	%	+12.2	46	23	14	9	5	2	1	0	2.1	+0.81	4	.610	TeamBushwood
StJudesFC	4		1	-	1	-	0	1	73.1		-6.2	15	21	19	17	14	8	4	1	3.4	-0.40	4	.517	StJudesFC
MRBohemians	4		1	-	1	-	0	1	72.7		+29.5	15	20	20	18	13	8	4	1	3.4	+1.41	1	.517	MRBohemians
TheSpurs	4		1	-	1	-	0	5	69.6		+26.4	14	18	19	18	15	9	5	1	3.6	+1.30	2	.517	TheSpurs

NorthsideArsena	3		1	-	0	-	1	4	56.7		-23.2	8	14	17	19	19	13	8	3	4.2	-1.21	7	.470	NorthsideArsenal
RealSuburbia	1		0	-	1	-	1	-2	17.3		-8.3	1	3	5	9	14	23	26	20	6.1	-0.27	3	.377	RealSuburbia
BarronUnited	0		0	-	0	-	2	-3	10.3		-14.5	0	1	3	6	10	19	27	34	6.6	-0.75	6	.330	BarronUnited
DallasRangersFC	0		0	-	0	-	2	-10	8.2		-16.0	0	1	2	5	9	18	27	39	6.7	-0.88	8	.330	DallasRangersFC

Week of 3/4
NorthsideArsena 0 MRBohemians 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TeamBushwood	-0.8
StJudesFC	-0.9
MRBohemians	+17.7		+0.9
TheSpurs	-1.1
NorthsideArsena	-12.7		-0.7
RealSuburbia	-0.7
BarronUnited	-0.7
DallasRangersFC	-0.8

DallasRangersFC 1 TheSpurs 6
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TeamBushwood	-0.5
StJudesFC	-0.5
MRBohemians	-0.9		-0.0
TheSpurs	+14.5		+0.7
NorthsideArsena	-0.6
RealSuburbia	-0.7
BarronUnited	-0.8
DallasRangersFC	-10.5		-0.6

BarronUnited 2 TeamBushwood 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TeamBushwood	+8.7		+0.5
StJudesFC			-0.0
MRBohemians	-0.1
TheSpurs	-0.1
NorthsideArsena	+0.1
RealSuburbia			+0.0
BarronUnited	-8.5		-0.5
DallasRangersFC	-0.2		+0.0

StJudesFC 3 RealSuburbia 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TeamBushwood	+0.5		+0.1
StJudesFC	-2.8		-0.2
MRBohemians	+0.8
TheSpurs	+0.8
NorthsideArsena	+0.4
RealSuburbia	-0.9		-0.0
BarronUnited	+0.6		+0.0
DallasRangersFC	+0.6		+0.0

Week of 3/11
NorthsideArsena vs StJudesFCIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TeamBushwood	91.892.492.3		2.12.12.2
StJudesFC	58.671.386.3		4.13.52.7
MRBohemians	71.473.473.3		3.53.43.4
TheSpurs	68.870.369.8		3.63.53.6
NorthsideArsena	74.755.442.6		3.44.24.8
RealSuburbia	16.817.817.4
BarronUnited	9.910.7*10.3
DallasRangersFC	8.08.68.2

MRBohemians vs RealSuburbiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TeamBushwood	91.992.5*92.1		2.22.12.1
StJudesFC	72.474.273.4		3.43.33.4
MRBohemians	84.068.856.3		2.93.64.2
TheSpurs	68.970.769.7		3.63.53.5
NorthsideArsena	55.758.057.3		4.24.14.1
RealSuburbia	9.516.331.9		6.56.15.3
BarronUnited	9.710.910.6		6.56.56.6
DallasRangersFC	7.78.78.6		6.76.76.8

TeamBushwood vs TheSpursHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TeamBushwood	97.191.585.5		1.72.22.7
StJudesFC	74.073.371.7
MRBohemians	73.672.871.2
TheSpurs	60.069.483.7		4.13.62.8
NorthsideArsena	57.956.954.9
RealSuburbia	18.117.416.0
BarronUnited	10.910.49.3
DallasRangersFC	8.58.37.7

DallasRangersFC vs BarronUnitedHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
TeamBushwood	91.992.4*92.1
StJudesFC	72.873.973.0
MRBohemians	72.573.672.2
TheSpurs	69.770.468.9
NorthsideArsena	*56.757.656.1
RealSuburbia	17.217.817.0		6.16.06.1
BarronUnited	4.98.117.1		7.16.76.0
DallasRangersFC	14.26.33.5		6.26.87.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

NTPSA Playoff Chances 2012Spring

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