Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleNPL Champions LeagueChance will finish season at seedNPL 2
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
MVLA 04G Barcel1916-1-01299.2%-0.0Yes9911.0No2.838MVLA 04G Barcelona White
San Jose Earthq165-1-215NoYes85152.1+0.11No3.646San Jose Earthquakes Pre-DA 05G
Santa Rosa Unit551-2-010.8+0.071.4%+4.71144611681233.9-0.032.6%-0.21.509Santa Rosa United 04G ECNL
Palo Alto SC 041012-4-10No60.9+18.93526029104.5+0.10No6.473Palo Alto SC 04G Blue
Barcelona Bay A113-2-31No42.9+29.2142341854.8+1.36No-0.05.458Barcelona Bay Area 04G NPL
Pleasanton RAGE113-2-31No5.3-64.8555405.3-1.27No4.458Pleasanton RAGE 04 ECNL
Santa Clara Spo812-2-3-2No19.5+12.0316556556.3-0.284.9+2.27.392Santa Clara Sporting 04G Green
California Thor511-2-4-7NoNo07927.9+0.0292.5-2.18.271California Thorns U14 Academy 2
Force North 04G010-0-7-21NoNo1009.0Yes9.069Force North 04G NPL

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/2
Barcelona Bay A 2 Pleasanton RAGE 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
Santa Rosa Unit+4.0
+0.0
Palo Alto SC 04+19.0
+0.1
Barcelona Bay A+35.7
*No
+1.5
Pleasanton RAGE-65.2
-1.3
Santa Clara Spo+6.5
+2.2
-0.3
California Thor-2.2
Pleasanton RAGE 0 San Jose Earthq 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
San Jose EarthqYes
+0.9
Santa Rosa Unit-0.8
-0.1
Palo Alto SC 04+3.6
+0.1
Barcelona Bay A+6.9
+0.1
Pleasanton RAGE-16.5
-1.0
Santa Clara Spo+0.9
San Jose Earthq 7 Force North 04G 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
San Jose Earthq+0.1
Santa Rosa Unit-0.1
Pleasanton RAGE-0.0
California Thor vs Santa Rosa UnitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G BarcelYesYes98.5
San Jose Earthq2.02.12.2
Santa Rosa UnitNoNo1.5
44.560.786.4
13.30.2No
5.04.33.3
Palo Alto SC 0461.0*60.960.9
4.44.44.6
Barcelona Bay A61.849.233.0
4.64.85.0
Pleasanton RAGE12.27.91.6
5.15.25.5
Santa Clara Spo20.621.318.2
25.5NoNo
6.36.26.3
California Thor61.299.8Yes
7.68.08.0
Week of 12/9
MVLA 04G Barcel vs Santa Rosa UnitIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G BarcelYesYes93.4
1.01.01.1
San Jose Earthq2.12.22.4
Santa Rosa UnitNoNo6.6
64.776.393.9
3.61.70.1
4.23.72.8
Palo Alto SC 044.54.64.7
Barcelona Bay A46.740.130.4
4.84.95.1
Pleasanton RAGE7.23.20.6
5.35.45.5
Santa Clara Spo20.5*19.514.4
5.04.94.9
6.26.36.4
California Thor91.593.495.1
Santa Rosa Unit vs Force North 04GHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*NPL Champions League100.0*NPL 2100.0*Average seed
MVLA 04G Barcel98.8YesYes
San Jose Earthq2.22.12.0
Santa Rosa Unit1.2NoNo
80.554.039.6
1.15.38.9
3.64.65.2
Palo Alto SC 044.64.44.3
Barcelona Bay A37.453.263.4
4.94.74.5
Pleasanton RAGE2.510.615.0
5.45.25.1
Santa Clara Spo18.721.220.9
4.94.95.6
6.36.26.1
California Thor94.089.885.5
7.97.97.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Geoff Stahl for adding this league.