Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedRelegated
MondayPGW-L-TGD%Change12345678Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength11/28
Lynch1015-1-014In9461.1+0.01No1.781Lynch
Guest723-1-15In6454272.5-0.09No2.657Guest
Coffey104-1-210In48522.5+0.05No4.693Coffey
ManthaWVollrath 3-0613-3-00In+14.97712024.2+0.96No-14.95.500Mantha
VollrathLMantha 0-3321-3-1-1372.4%-15.61626306215.9-0.9327.6%+15.63.343at GravelVollrath
Douglas412-4-0467.5+11.245232945.9+0.1232.5-11.26.360Douglas
McEwen412-4-0-538.2-19.666275666.5-0.3261.8+19.67.360McEwen
Gravel221-4-0-1521.9+9.2041810687.4+0.1978.1-9.28.264VollrathGravel

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/22
Mantha 2 McEwen 6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Guest+0.1
Mantha-2.9
+2.9
-0.6
Vollrath-0.7
+0.7
+0.1
Douglas-32.0
+32.0
-0.3
McEwen+44.9
-44.9
+1.0
Gravel-9.4
+9.4
-0.3
Coffey 1 Douglas 10
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lynch+0.3
Guest+0.4
Coffey-0.9
Mantha-1.4
+1.4
+0.1
Vollrath-0.9
+0.9
Douglas+36.9
-36.9
+0.8
McEwen-12.3
+12.3
-0.5
Gravel-22.3
+22.3
-0.2
Mantha 3 Vollrath 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ManthaIn
No
+0.9
Vollrath-9.6
+9.6
-0.7
Douglas+4.8
-4.8
McEwen-14.6
+14.6
-0.3
Gravel+4.4
-4.4
+0.1
Lynch 10 Vollrath 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lynch+0.4
Guest-0.1
Coffey-0.2
Mantha+0.1
Vollrath-1.0
+1.0
-0.2
Douglas+0.3
-0.3
McEwen+0.2
-0.2
Gravel+0.6
-0.6
Gravel vs VollrathIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Mantha4.04.04.3
Vollrath44.549.393.6
55.550.76.4
6.86.25.3
Douglas82.154.258.6
17.945.841.4
5.86.16.0
McEwen18.683.547.8
81.416.552.2
6.76.06.4
Gravel54.713.00.1
45.387.099.9
6.77.77.9
Week of 11/29
Douglas vs VollrathIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Mantha4.04.04.4
Vollrath48.959.899.0
51.140.21.0
6.96.34.8
Douglas100.088.830.2
0.011.269.8
5.15.86.8
McEwen18.218.062.1
81.882.037.9
6.76.76.3
Gravel32.933.48.8
67.166.691.2
7.27.17.7
Lynch vs McEwenHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lynch1.01.01.5
Guest2.52.52.0
Mantha4.14.14.7
Vollrath76.576.345.0
23.523.755.0
5.85.86.3
Douglas71.151.151.1
28.948.948.9
5.86.06.5
McEwen26.964.299.8
73.135.80.2
6.86.34.7
Gravel25.58.44.0
74.591.696.0
7.47.67.7
Guest vs GravelHomeTieAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lynch1.11.01.0
Guest2.33.13.3
Coffey2.62.22.0
Mantha4.23.93.9
Vollrath72.970.670.3
27.129.429.7
5.96.16.1
Douglas67.353.773.0
32.746.327.0
5.96.26.0
McEwen42.439.715.5
57.660.384.5
6.46.47.0
Gravel17.435.941.1
82.664.158.9
7.67.16.7
Guest vs ManthaHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lynch1.11.01.0
Guest2.12.83.2
Coffey2.82.22.0
Mantha4.44.03.8
Vollrath5.86.16.1
McEwen38.3*38.238.2
61.7*61.861.8
6.56.66.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.