2018-19 CAHA 16UAA ALT Playoff Chances 2018-2019

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	L	-	T	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Sharks	22		11	-	0	-	0	11	In			36	30	21	11	2	0	0										2.1	+0.10	1	.907	San Jose Jr. Sharks
Wave1	20	1	10	-	0	-	0	10	In		+0.0	33	27	21	13	4	1	0	0									2.3	-0.15	3	.883	California Wave 1
Empire	16	3	8	-	0	-	0	8	100.0	%	+0.1	15	19	23	24	12	5	2	0	0	0							3.2	+0.39	8	.857	Empire
Kings	16	3	8	-	0	-	0	8	100.0		-0.0	15	19	23	24	12	5	2	0	0	0							3.2	-0.16	8	.857	Los Angeles Jr. Kings
Ducks1	12	4	6	-	1	-	0	5	97.6		-0.2	1	2	6	13	28	24	17	7	2	0	0						5.5	-0.08	7	.733	Anaheim Jr. Ducks 1
Blackhawks	10	5	5	-	1	-	0	4	94.7		-0.4	0	1	3	8	20	26	24	12	5	1	0	0					6.1	-0.07	10	.687	Santa Clara Blackhawks
OC1	12	3	6	-	2	-	0	4	94.3		-0.4	0	0	2	6	18	26	27	14	5	1	0	0					6.3	-0.06	11	.678	OCHC 1
Gulls	4	7	2	-	2	-	0	0	52.8		+0.5	0	0	0	1	3	6	14	29	35	10	2	0	0	0	0	0	8.3	+0.03	4	.500	San Diego Jr. Gulls

Mariners	8	3	4	-	4	-	0	0	54.2		+0.5		0	0	0	2	6	14	32	36	9	1	0	0	0	0		8.3	+0.03	5	.500	Ventura Mariners
GSE	0	7	0	-	4	-	0	-4	6.1		+0.4			0	0	0	0	1	5	14	44	17	9	5	3	2	1	10.4	+0.15	2	.313	Golden State Elite
OC2	0	4	0	-	7	-	0	-7	0.2		-0.4						0	0	0	1	9	18	18	16	14	13	10	12.8	-0.63	6	.173	OCHC 2
Heat	0	4	0	-	7	-	0	-7	0.1		+0.0						0	0	0	1	8	17	18	16	15	13	11	12.9	+0.22	14	.173	California Heat
Ducks2	0	4	0	-	7	-	0	-7	0.0		+0.0							0	0	1	6	15	17	17	16	15	13	13.1	+0.23	15	.150	Anaheim Jr. Ducks 2
Leafs	0	3	0	-	8	-	0	-8	0.0		+0.0							0	0	0	4	11	14	16	17	18	19	13.6	+0.21	13	.143	Pasadena Maple Leafs
Reign	0	3	0	-	8	-	0	-8	0.0		-0.0							0	0	0	4	11	14	16	17	18	19	13.6	-0.39	12	.143	Ontario Jr. Reign
Wave2	0	2	0	-	9	-	0	-9	0.0										0	0	2	7	11	14	17	21	27	14.1	+0.19	16	.130	California Wave 2

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 10/5
Sharks 1 Blackhawks 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks	+11.1		+1.2
Empire	-0.1
Kings	-0.1
Blackhawks	-10.4		-1.2
OC1	-0.1
GSE	-0.1
Heat	-0.1
Leafs	-0.1
Wave2	-0.1

Wave2 0 Wave1 1
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wave1	+10.9		+1.2
Wave2	-10.6		-1.2

Empire 1 Heat 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Empire	+10.9		+1.2
Heat	-10.6		-1.2

Mariners vs BlackhawksIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks1	97.097.697.9		5.55.55.6
Blackhawks	86.693.998.5		6.86.45.8
OC1	92.994.294.9		6.36.36.4
Gulls	45.851.856.1		8.38.28.2
Mariners	72.856.345.4		7.78.28.5
GSE	4.95.96.7

Gulls vs GSEHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks	94.195.495.6		6.26.16.1
OC1	93.695.395.3		6.46.36.3
Gulls	61.746.435.4		8.08.58.8
Mariners	50.558.560.7		8.38.28.2
GSE	2.45.914.3		10.810.39.8

Ducks1 vs GullsHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks1	99.497.293.1		5.25.86.3
Blackhawks	95.294.593.3		6.26.16.1
OC1	94.994.192.7		6.46.36.3
Gulls	46.155.670.0		8.58.27.6
Mariners	57.452.646.0		8.28.38.3
GSE	6.75.84.8		10.410.510.5

Mariners vs OC2HomeTieAway
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks1	97.498.298.6		5.65.55.5
Blackhawks	94.195.896.5		6.26.16.1
OC1	93.795.596.3		6.46.36.3
Gulls	49.958.363.1		8.38.28.1
Mariners	59.344.835.9		8.18.58.8
GSE	5.57.28.3
OC2	0.0*0.21.0		13.012.611.9
Heat			12.913.013.1
Ducks2			13.113.213.3
Leafs			13.613.613.7
Reign			13.613.713.8
Wave2			14.014.114.2

Ducks2 vs GullsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks1	98.598.297.4
Blackhawks	96.495.794.2
OC1	96.295.593.8		6.26.36.4
Gulls	35.243.257.2		8.88.68.1
Mariners	64.960.051.5		8.18.28.3
GSE	8.07.15.7
OC2			13.012.912.8
Heat			13.113.012.9
Ducks2			12.212.813.4
Leafs			13.813.713.6
Reign			13.813.713.6
Wave2			14.214.114.0

Gulls vs LeafsHomeTieAway
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks1	97.498.198.5
Blackhawks	94.295.796.4
OC1	93.895.496.2		6.46.36.2
Gulls	57.043.135.1		8.18.68.8
Mariners	51.660.164.9		8.38.28.1
GSE	5.77.18.1
OC2			12.812.913.0
Heat			12.913.013.1
Ducks2			13.113.213.3
Leafs			13.813.312.7
Reign			13.613.713.8
Wave2			14.014.114.2

OC1 vs BlackhawksHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks	91.194.998.1		6.76.25.5
OC1	98.094.790.6		5.76.46.9

Heat vs GSEHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gulls	54.053.552.1		8.28.28.3
Mariners	55.555.253.4
GSE	2.53.98.2		11.210.610.1
Heat			12.012.813.4

Ducks2 vs GSEHomeTieAway
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gulls	54.153.652.2		8.28.28.3
Mariners	55.755.153.5		8.28.28.3
GSE	2.43.77.9		11.110.710.1
Ducks2			12.212.913.5

GSE vs Wave2HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Gulls	52.353.554.1		8.38.28.2
Mariners	53.555.355.7		8.38.28.2
GSE	7.73.62.3		10.210.711.2
Wave2	Out*Out0.0		14.413.913.2

Empire vs OC1HomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks			2.22.12.0
Wave1			2.42.22.2
Empire			2.93.44.0
OC1	92.795.798.1		6.66.25.6
Gulls	53.352.351.5		8.28.38.3
Mariners	54.853.652.6		8.28.38.3

Ducks1 vs EmpireHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Empire			4.03.42.8
Ducks1	99.398.396.8		4.85.55.9
Mariners	53.554.054.5

Ducks1 vs KingsHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks			2.02.12.2
Kings			4.03.42.8
Ducks1	99.398.296.8		4.85.55.9
Mariners	53.553.954.5

Reign vs HeatHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Heat			13.713.112.3
Reign			12.813.614.2

Ducks2 vs LeafsHomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks2			12.413.213.9
Leafs			14.313.712.9

Ducks2 vs Wave2HomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ducks2			12.513.213.9
Wave2	Out*0.00.0		14.614.213.4

Sharks vs Wave1HomeTieAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sharks			1.62.22.8
Wave1			2.82.31.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.