Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
FridayPGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change123456Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
ChinaWMexico 5-2113-10-014Yes+45.9Yes+45.91001.0+0.71No1.826at South AfricaChina
New ZealandLSouth Africa 1-362-02-00No-29.9No-29.970424202.6-0.610.2%+0.03.500BulgariaNew Zealand
MexicoLChina 2-562-02-06No-15.8No-15.8245912503.0-0.400.0+0.02.693at IsraelMexico
BulgariaWIsrael 10-562-02-0-9No-0.0No-0.062161123.8+1.05No-2.84.266at New ZealandBulgaria
IsraelLBulgaria 5-1041-02-1-6No-0.2No-0.21617494.8-0.838.9+8.65.332MexicoIsrael
South AfricaWNew Zealand 3-131-03-0-5NoNo27915.9+0.0890.9-5.96.305ChinaSouth Africa

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday, 4/16
New Zealand 4 China 7
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
China+18.7
+18.7
No
+0.4
New Zealand-25.7
-25.7
+0.1
-0.4
Mexico+6.9
+6.9
Mexico 9 Bulgaria 1
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
China-0.6
-0.6
-0.1
-0.0
New Zealand+0.3
+0.3
Mexico+1.4
+1.4
-1.5
+0.3
Bulgaria-1.1
-1.1
+3.4
-0.4
Israel-1.5
+0.0
South Africa-0.4
South Africa 3 Israel 6
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Mexico-0.1
-0.1
Bulgaria-14.7
+0.1
Israel+0.1
+0.1
-18.0
+0.5
South AfricaNo
No
+32.6
-0.5
Friday, 4/17
China 5 Mexico 2
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
China+40.8
+40.8
+0.7
New Zealand-24.8
-24.8
-0.1
MexicoNo
No
-0.6
BulgariaNo
No
IsraelNo
No
South Africa 3 New Zealand 1
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ChinaYes
Yes
New ZealandNo
No
+0.1
-0.2
Mexico+0.1
Bulgaria+0.1
Israel+5.2
South Africa-5.3
+0.1
Bulgaria 10 Israel 5
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
New Zealand-0.2
-0.0
Mexico+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
BulgariaNo
+0.8
IsraelNo
No
+1.5
-0.9
South Africa+1.4
Sunday, 4/19
South Africa vs ChinaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
New Zealand2.1NoNoNoNoNo
2.82.62.62.62.62.6
Mexico0.4NoNoNoNoNo
Israel82.176.476.3NoNoNo
5.55.45.44.74.74.7
South Africa15.423.623.7YesYesYes
4.95.25.26.06.06.0
Israel vs MexicoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
New Zealand1.20.70.7NoNoNo
2.62.52.52.62.62.6
Mexico0.2NoNoNoNoNo
4.33.03.03.03.02.7
Bulgaria4.13.53.53.53.53.7
IsraelNo1.91.810.110.210.9
3.15.05.05.15.15.1
South Africa98.597.497.589.989.889.1
6.06.06.05.95.95.9
New Zealand vs BulgariaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
New ZealandNoNoNoNoNo0.9
2.02.82.83.83.84.1
MexicoNoNoNoNoNo0.2
3.22.62.62.52.52.6
Bulgaria4.23.83.82.82.82.8
Israel8.9*8.9*8.9*8.9*8.99.0
4.74.94.94.94.94.8
South Africa91.191.191.191.191.190.0
5.95.95.95.95.95.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.