IIHF Division II Group B Title Chances 2015China +45.9, New Zealand -29.9 Chance Will Win Championship Explain Big GamesWho should we root for? Explain Thursday, 4/16 | New Zealand 4 China 7 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | +18.7 | | +18.7 | | No | | +0.4 | | New Zealand | -25.7 | | -25.7 | | +0.1 | | -0.4 | | Mexico | +6.9 | | +6.9 | | | | | | | Mexico 9 Bulgaria 1 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | -0.6 | | -0.6 | | -0.1 | | -0.0 | | New Zealand | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Mexico | +1.4 | | +1.4 | | -1.5 | | +0.3 | | Bulgaria | -1.1 | | -1.1 | | +3.4 | | -0.4 | | Israel | | | | | -1.5 | | +0.0 | | South Africa | | | | | -0.4 | | | | | South Africa 3 Israel 6 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Mexico | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Bulgaria | | | | | -14.7 | | +0.1 | | Israel | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | -18.0 | | +0.5 | | South Africa | No | | No | | +32.6 | | -0.5 | | | Friday, 4/17 | China 5 Mexico 2 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | +40.8 | | +40.8 | | | | +0.7 | | New Zealand | -24.8 | | -24.8 | | | | -0.1 | | Mexico | No | | No | | | | -0.6 | | Bulgaria | No | | No | | | | | | Israel | No | | No | | | | | | | South Africa 3 New Zealand 1 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | China | Yes | | Yes | | | | | | New Zealand | No | | No | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | Mexico | | | | | | | +0.1 | | Bulgaria | | | | | | | +0.1 | | Israel | | | | | +5.2 | | | | South Africa | | | | | -5.3 | | +0.1 | | | Bulgaria 10 Israel 5 | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | New Zealand | | | | | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | Mexico | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | Bulgaria | | | | | No | | +0.8 | | Israel | No | | No | | +1.5 | | -0.9 | | South Africa | | | | | +1.4 | | | | | Sunday, 4/19 | South Africa vs ChinaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | New Zealand | | | | | 2.1NoNoNoNoNo | | 2.82.62.62.62.62.6 | | Mexico | | | | | 0.4NoNoNoNoNo | | | | Israel | | | | | 82.176.476.3NoNoNo | | 5.55.45.44.74.74.7 | | South Africa | | | | | 15.423.623.7YesYesYes | | 4.95.25.26.06.06.0 | | | Israel vs MexicoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | New Zealand | | | | | 1.20.70.7NoNoNo | | 2.62.52.52.62.62.6 | | Mexico | | | | | 0.2NoNoNoNoNo | | 4.33.03.03.03.02.7 | | Bulgaria | | | | | | | 4.13.53.53.53.53.7 | | Israel | | | | | No1.91.810.110.210.9 | | 3.15.05.05.15.15.1 | | South Africa | | | | | 98.597.497.589.989.889.1 | | 6.06.06.05.95.95.9 | | | New Zealand vs BulgariaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | New Zealand | | | | | NoNoNoNoNo0.9 | | 2.02.82.83.83.84.1 | | Mexico | | | | | NoNoNoNoNo0.2 | | 3.22.62.62.52.52.6 | | Bulgaria | | | | | | | 4.23.83.82.82.82.8 | | Israel | | | | | 8.9*8.9*8.9*8.9*8.99.0 | | 4.74.94.94.94.94.8 | | South Africa | | | | | 91.191.191.191.191.190.0 | | 5.95.95.95.95.95.8 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know. Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league. |