SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Hurt

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Raiders vs LA Rams+6.4-1.2-8.3
+1.9-0.9-2.5
-1.5*+0.0+2.0
+0.7-0.1-1.0
Broncos vs Seahawks-1.0*+0.3+1.3
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.3*-0.3-0.4
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.3*-0.2-0.4
+0.1*+0.2-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Dolphins vs Titans+0.1*+0.1-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Broncos vs Raiders-9.3+1.2+12.2
-2.7*-0.2+3.5
+1.3-0.4-1.7
-1.0+0.2+1.4
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.7-0.9-0.9
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.5*+0.1-0.7
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.2
Redskins vs Colts+0.3*-0.1-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.3*-0.2-0.3
+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks+0.1*+0.0-0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.1*+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Raiders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
1616-0-0InYes100No405
15.515-0-1In90.9%919No11
1515-1-0In99.81000No879*
14.514-1-1In99.09911No194
1414-2-0In99.19910No6,949*
13.513-2-1In98.799100No1,357*
1313-3-0In93.994601No33,756
12-2-2In90.79191No140
12.512-3-1In89.489901No6,098*
1212-4-0In75.876191030No111,475
11-3-2In78.2781813No550
11.511-4-1In61.461294060No19,023
10-3-3In47.14718629No17
1111-5-0100.0%38.038371111210No272,728
10-4-2In37.23737121121No1,509*
10.510-5-199.919.3193719319200No42,429
9-4-3In25.0253917163No76
1010-6-098.16.46232692410200No505,832
9-5-298.27.0723251023920No2,979*
9.59-6-192.80.9110241523206100No71,842
8-5-392.21.6282724171471No128
99-7-068.90.102121813231993000No727,947
8-6-270.10.20313181323189200No4,613*
8.58-7-137.30.0003153152622113000No92,420
7-6-337.6No3174132521142No165
88-8-014.7No019141322231682000No821,583
7-7-214.7No01915142323168200No5,251*
7.57-8-13.7No030028202823113000No93,138
6-7-34.8No41410232023114No167
77-9-01.3No010002716242516710No728,487
6-8-21.1No0102615262616610No4,497*
6.56-9-10.3No00031125312171No71,441
5-8-3OutNo2833252561No123
66-10-00.1No0000131125312260.3%504,921
5-9-2OutNo0131225312170.33,148*
5.55-10-10.0No0002102939192.042,950
4-9-3OutNo114154623No78
55-11-00.0No0000418413812.0271,774
4-10-2OutNo0416403912.81,453
4.54-11-1OutNo006336132.618,965
3-10-3OutNo3326532.331
44-12-0OutNo002227653.1111,203
3-11-2OutNo02227554.8602
3.53-12-1OutNo1108976.76,193*
33-13-0OutNo0069486.833,536
2-12-2OutNo79386.0121
2.52-13-1OutNo29896.11,445*
22-14-0OutNo019997.66,859*
1.51-14-1OutNo19999.5182
0-1OutNo10099.71,306*
Total:37.5%6.3%66666666666666663.1%4,632,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Raiders vs LA Rams-1.8+0.2+2.3
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.1-0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.0-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.1+0.0
LA Chargers vs Chiefs-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos vs Raiders+2.0-0.3-2.7
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.1*+0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks+0.0*-0.1-0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-0100
15.515-0-1919
1515-1-010000
14.514-1-19911
1414-2-098210
13.513-2-1972100
1313-3-08686001
12-2-286591
12.512-3-177129001
1212-4-05323191100300
11-3-2582017113
11.511-4-13229262400600
1111-5-0122627911010121100
10-4-2132428912011111
10.510-5-1217191718230172200
9-4-352024161611333
1010-6-0066171798116991200
9-5-20771716910014981200
9.59-6-11099151329151736100
8-5-3289192046111471
99-7-000221010821111121410510000
8-6-2003211108211111214104100
8.58-7-10003511031141120181031000
7-6-336114113151814105
88-8-000117010426111516141163100000
7-7-2011710426111516141073100
7.57-8-10030000261321231893100
6-7-341145111725161141
77-9-000100000125101417171510621000
6-8-20100025915171915105210
6.56-9-10000139182423146200
5-8-32472027231171
66-10-0000000251017212015720
5-9-20125916222115720
5.55-10-1000039202925112
4-9-35426213312
55-11-0000012819302812
4-10-2002916302913
4.54-11-1015204133
3-10-333134832
44-12-0002103553
3-11-20193555
3.53-12-1022177
33-13-0011287
2-12-211386
2.52-13-1496
22-14-00298
1.51-14-1199
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)