Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsSérie BChance will finish regular season at seedSérie D
PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Guarani288-1-41399.7%-0.194.6%-1.28212410001.2-0.05No1.661Guarani
Botafogo-PB226-3-4691.9+16.265.1+25.2392617105210002.3+0.98No-0.06.540Botafogo-PB
Fortaleza226-3-4586.3-0.454.8-1.0312418138410002.6-0.03No11.540Fortaleza
Botafogo-SP236-2-51183.7+13.944.5+14.0103524161052003.0+0.62No3.560Botafogo-SP
Boa226-3-4974.8-1.829.4-5.052426191384003.5-0.11No2.540Boa Esporte Clube
Remo205-3-5468.7-14.329.1-22.411182019151051003.7-0.870.0%10.499Remo
ASA205-3-5164.6-1.226.0-1.511151820171162003.8-0.060.05.499ASA
ABC195-4-4455.7-0.019.8-0.17131719201472004.20.0-0.012.479ABC
Tombense-MG205-3-5744.0-3.210.7-2.31101419202114104.7-0.110.04.499Tombense-MG
Juventude205-3-51041.3-3.39.8-2.1191318202017104.8-0.110.08.499Juventude
Ypiranga-RS206-5-2-236.9-3.08.0-2.3171217202220105.0-0.110.09.499Ypiranga-RS
Mogi Mirim195-4-4-119.4-2.22.9-1.003610162339305.8-0.070.0-0.07.479Mogi Mirim
Salgueiro164-5-4-315.9+0.42.7-0.1125915232314726.2+0.020.4-0.214.418Salgueiro
América-RN164-5-4-213.7-0.52.4-0.1124713212616926.4-0.020.3-0.113.418América-RN
Cuiabá-MT133-6-4-12.0-0.10.1-0.0000148142728178.17.5-1.216.358Cuiabá-MT
Confiança132-4-7-71.0-0.10.1-0.0000126122432248.510.1-1.818.358Confiança
River-PI112-6-5-70.2-0.10.000001251423559.2-0.0231.9-2.719.317River-PI
Macaé113-8-2-100.0-0.00.0000013484718.4+0.0924.1-2.115.317Macaé
Portuguesa113-8-2-90.0-0.20.0-0.0000002465118.5-0.1626.6+8.417.317Portuguesa
Guaratinguetá41-11-1-28OutNo0129710.0+0.0199.0-0.220.176Guaratinguetá

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/13
Tombense-MG 4 Mogi Mirim 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP-0.5
+0.7
Boa+0.3
Tombense-MG+18.5
+5.5
+0.8
Mogi Mirim-17.7
-7.2
-0.7
Botafogo-PB 2 Remo 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+14.8
+21.5
No
+0.9
Fortaleza-0.5
-1.0
Remo-10.9
-18.8
-0.7
ASA-0.7
-0.7
América-RN 2 Salgueiro 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+1.8
+0.7
Remo+1.7
+0.7
ASA+1.7
+0.8
ABC+1.9
+0.6
Salgueiro-13.5
-4.4
-0.8
América-RN+5.4
+0.8
-3.4
+0.8
Botafogo-SP 2 Portuguesa 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP+12.3
+11.7
+0.5
Boa-2.1
-4.6
Tombense-MG-2.7
-1.8
Juventude-2.7
-1.6
Ypiranga-RS-2.6
-1.9
Mogi Mirim-1.9
-0.9
Confiança-1.3
River-PI-2.4
Macaé-2.0
Portuguesa+7.0
Guaratinguetá 1 Ypiranga-RS 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP-1.7
-0.6
Boa-1.4
-0.6
Tombense-MG-2.1
Juventude-2.0
-0.5
Ypiranga-RS+8.6
+2.3
No
+0.4
Mogi Mirim-1.3
Guaratinguetá+1.6
Confiança 1 ABC 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+2.0
+1.6
Fortaleza+0.6
+1.4
Remo+1.4
+1.7
ASA+1.7
+1.3
ABC-6.9
-6.2
-0.3
Salgueiro+1.0
América-RN+0.9
Cuiabá-MT+0.3
Confiança-0.8
-0.8
-0.1
River-PI 0 ASA 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+1.6
+1.9
Fortaleza+0.5
+2.0
Remo+1.4
+2.5
ASA-7.2
-8.4
-0.3
ABC+1.9
+1.5
Salgueiro+0.9
América-RN+0.9
Cuiabá-MT+0.3
River-PI-0.6
-0.0
Macaé+0.1
Portuguesa*+0.1
Cuiabá-MT 2 Fortaleza 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB+1.2
+3.9
Fortaleza-7.2
-16.5
-0.6
Remo+1.0
+4.2
ASA+1.1
+4.1
ABC+1.4
+3.3
Cuiabá-MT+0.9
-19.2
+0.6
Confiança+2.9
-0.2
River-PI+5.1
-0.2
Macaé+5.7
Portuguesa+4.4
Juventude 1 Boa 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP+1.0
+3.9
Boa-1.4
-5.3
-0.1
Tombense-MG+1.4
+2.2
Juventude-3.5
-3.1
-0.1
Macaé 2 Guarani 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani+1.0
+5.4
+0.2
Botafogo-SP-1.7
Boa-1.5
Cuiabá-MT-1.2
River-PI-1.2
Macaé+4.4
-0.1
Week of 8/20
Ypiranga-RS vs Tombense-MGIf winner is:HomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Tombense-MG24.339.967.6
3.37.421.0
5.44.93.8
Ypiranga-RS59.631.318.0
16.24.91.9
4.15.25.7
ASA vs América-RNHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB91.592.791.8
61.767.567.7
2.32.22.2
Fortaleza85.187.586.8
51.756.957.2
2.72.52.6
Remo66.870.969.3
26.230.831.5
3.73.63.6
ASA81.959.145.0
39.919.212.8
3.04.14.7
ABC53.058.357.2
17.921.221.2
4.24.14.2
América-RN4.610.529.6
0.31.26.3
0.70.20.0
7.16.65.4
ABC vs FortalezaHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Fortaleza73.885.796.7
35.050.373.8
3.32.72.0
Remo66.169.470.2
29.831.926.5
3.73.63.7
ABC78.053.139.7
38.516.27.3
No0.00.0
3.24.34.9
Portuguesa vs JuventudeHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP86.785.281.5
46.946.042.6
2.93.03.1
Boa78.377.071.9
31.530.927.5
3.43.43.6
Tombense-MG48.746.440.5
11.611.210.1
4.64.64.8
Juventude23.131.455.6
3.05.315.6
5.65.24.3
Ypiranga-RS41.439.133.6
8.88.57.3
4.84.95.1
Confiança13.610.48.3
River-PI38.832.628.3
Macaé29.724.421.2
8.78.48.4
Portuguesa0.10.0Out
7.225.436.6
8.28.58.6
Remo vs ConfiançaHomeEmpateAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB90.892.793.2
61.567.669.0
2.42.22.1
Fortaleza84.787.388.0
51.057.458.9
2.72.52.5
Remo82.761.151.3
42.320.214.4
3.04.04.5
ASA61.666.468.0
23.327.829.2
3.93.73.7
ABC52.557.759.5
17.621.322.2
4.34.14.1
Confiança0.10.43.2
15.39.01.8
8.88.57.7
Boa vs GuaraniHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Guarani99.099.8100.0
86.994.899.3
1.51.31.1
Botafogo-SP81.583.885.0
36.646.148.5
3.13.03.0
Boa91.174.265.3
52.325.917.4
2.73.64.0
Tombense-MG40.544.146.1
8.011.312.1
4.84.74.6
Juventude37.741.543.4
7.310.311.1
4.94.84.8
Ypiranga-RS33.437.139.1
6.68.58.5
5.15.04.9
Guaratinguetá vs Botafogo-SPHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-SP65.274.790.9
22.330.854.5
3.93.52.7
Boa78.076.673.5
38.035.125.3
3.33.43.6
Tombense-MG48.246.142.4
14.212.89.2
4.54.64.8
Juventude45.643.439.7
13.011.78.4
4.74.74.9
Ypiranga-RS41.038.735.5
11.69.96.5
4.84.95.0
Mogi Mirim vs MacaéHomeEmpateAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Tombense-MG41.745.946.8
10.411.011.1
4.84.64.6
Mogi Mirim29.411.87.9
5.21.10.6
No0.00.0
5.36.16.4
River-PI28.632.538.0
MacaéOut0.00.1
33.523.06.3
8.68.58.1
Portuguesa23.727.032.1
8.48.58.7
Salgueiro vs Cuiabá-MTHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Salgueiro27.210.45.8
5.41.10.5
0.00.31.0
5.46.57.1
Cuiabá-MT0.31.15.1
12.67.31.0
8.78.27.3
River-PI vs Botafogo-PBHomeEmpateAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Série B100.0*Série D100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-PB82.389.097.4
45.555.978.0
2.92.51.8
Fortaleza87.286.685.8
59.657.051.7
2.52.52.7
Remo70.369.367.7
33.931.525.8
3.53.63.8
ASA66.165.163.6
30.628.223.0
3.73.83.9
ABC57.856.554.5
23.621.617.3
4.14.14.3
River-PI0.80.10.0
0.0NoNo
11.630.241.1
8.69.39.4
Macaé31.224.820.8
Portuguesa34.527.423.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you edsferr for adding this league.