SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

Houston Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Patriots vs Texans-7.8+0.8+10.2
-2.7*+0.1+3.6
+1.3-0.4-1.8
-0.9+0.1+1.2
NY Giants vs Jaguars+1.0*-0.3-1.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans+0.7*+0.2-0.9
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.5*-0.2+0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.2
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.3*+0.1+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.3*-0.3+0.4
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.3*-0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.3-0.2
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Browns vs Steelers+0.1*-0.2-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Titans vs Texans-9.3+1.5+12.2
-2.7*-0.3+3.5
+1.3-0.6-1.7
-1.0+0.2+1.4
Redskins vs Colts+1.0*-0.2-1.3
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots-0.7*+0.4+0.9
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.3*-0.0-0.4
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Broncos vs Raiders+0.1*+0.1-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Texans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
15.5-16InYes100No423*
1515-1-0In99.3%991No877*
14.514-1-1In99.5991No183
1414-2-0In99.19910No7,155*
13.513-2-1In98.19820No1,410*
1313-3-0In94.394500No33,575
12-2-2In95.7964No117
12.512-3-1In89.489901No6,204*
1212-4-0In75.776191030No111,736
11-3-2In78.17816104No552
11.511-4-1In61.862284060No19,199
10-3-3In69.269238No26
1111-5-0100.0%37.838371111210No272,256
10-4-2In38.23836111140No1,494
10.510-5-199.918.9193720319300No42,952
9-4-3In14.7154019243No75
1010-6-098.16.46232692410200No506,007
9-5-298.26.3624269231020No3,074*
9.59-6-192.70.919241523206100No71,485
8-5-397.00.8182615291921No133
99-7-069.00.102121813231993000No726,634
8-6-270.20.1031218142319820No4,508*
8.58-7-137.30.0004153152623113000No93,046
7-6-340.6No713317282371No175
88-8-014.8No019141322231682000No820,947
7-7-214.9No1914132224178200No5,175*
7.57-8-13.7No030028202823113000No92,539
6-7-35.2No5181629241331No173
77-9-01.3No010002716242516710No728,044
6-8-21.3No0101716252516610No4,589*
6.56-9-10.3No0000311253121710.0%71,564
5-8-3OutNo131122322471No134
66-10-00.1No000131125312260.3505,388
5-9-20.0No00021126322170.12,972*
5.55-10-1OutNo002102940192.242,763
4-9-3OutNo1112337272.773
55-11-00.0No0000417403812.0272,944
4-10-2OutNo0317403913.11,485
4.54-11-1OutNo06326232.818,980
3-10-3OutNo13256320.824
44-12-0OutNo002227653.1111,395
3-11-2OutNo2217755.7558
3.53-12-1OutNo0109077.06,299*
33-13-0OutNo069486.633,533
2-12-2OutNo59585.0120
2.52-13-1OutNo29896.31,371*
22-14-0OutNo19997.37,153*
1.51-14-1OutNo19998.8163
11-15-0OutNo010099.3877*
0-0.5OutNo100Yes417*
Total:37.5%6.3%66666666666666663.1%4,632,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Patriots vs Texans+1.9-0.3-2.4
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Browns vs Steelers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Titans vs Texans+2.0-0.4-2.7
Redskins vs Colts-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Broncos vs Raiders-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.1+0.1+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-09901
14.514-1-19911
1414-2-098110
13.513-2-196220
1313-3-08775000
12-2-29154
12.512-3-177139001
1212-4-0532219110300
11-3-25326160104
11.511-4-13329262400600
10-3-342271948
1111-5-0122628910010121100
10-4-2112726911111310
10.510-5-12172017182301623000
9-4-34112119192133
1010-6-00661717981159912000
9-5-206618179811589120
9.59-6-11099151339151736100
8-5-318131412392012721
99-7-000221010821111121410510000
8-6-2002210108211111214104100
8.58-7-1000341103114111918103100
7-6-37211321592315931
88-8-00011701042611151614116310000
7-7-211810426121516141153100
7.57-8-10030000026132123189310000
6-7-31513310222520831
77-9-000100000125101417171510621000
6-8-200101251014161715116210
6.56-9-100001391824221461000
5-8-312131522271171
66-10-000000251017212015720
5-9-200025915212215820
5.55-10-100039212925112
4-9-34123293283
55-11-0000012819302812
4-10-2002819302813
4.54-11-1015214033
3-10-38254621
44-12-00002103553
3-11-20193456
3.53-12-1032077
33-13-0011387
2-12-221385
2.52-13-1496
22-14-00397
1.51-14-1199
11-15-0199
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)