SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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Minnesota Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Vikings vs 49ers+7.7-1.4-10.1
+2.5-0.9-3.2
-1.5*-0.3+2.0
+1.0-0.2-1.3
Lions vs NY Jets-1.0*+0.4+1.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.3*+0.1-0.4
+0.1*-0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.3*+0.1-0.4
+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.3*+0.1+0.4
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.3+0.1
Saints vs Buccaneers+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Patriots vs Texans-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.0*-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Packers vs Vikings-9.2+1.7+12.1
-2.7*+0.2+3.5
+1.3-0.6-1.7
-1.0+0.2+1.4
49ers vs Lions+0.7*-0.3-0.9
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks-0.7*+0.7+0.9
+0.0*+0.3-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.3*-0.1+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.3*+0.1+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vikings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-16InYes100No1,549*
1414-2-0In99.0%9910No7,138
13-1-2InYes100No23
13.513-2-1In98.59910No1,364*
1313-3-0In94.294501No33,468
12-2-2In96.39631No109
12.512-3-1In89.590901No6,317*
1212-4-0In75.776191030No111,269
11-3-2In79.5801802No528*
11.511-4-1In61.562284060No19,312
10-3-3In62.963316No35*
1111-5-0100.0%37.738371111210No271,874
10-4-299.938.538361111210No1,450*
10.510-5-199.919.0193719319200No42,973
9-4-3In22.22235141261No72
1010-6-098.16.462326924102000No506,346
9-5-298.35.6623269251020No2,990*
9.59-6-192.70.91924152420610No71,417
8-5-391.21.51122912181971No136
99-7-069.00.102121813231993000No728,943
8-6-270.40.1031219132418830No4,676*
8.58-7-137.5No04153152622113000No92,895
7-6-340.9No5182163016113No154
88-8-014.7No0191413222316820000No820,424
7-7-214.3No1805132323168200No5,117*
7.57-8-13.8No040028202823113000No93,070
6-7-30.6No119253219112No174
77-9-01.3No010002716242516710No727,698
6-8-21.2No101615252717610No4,523*
6.56-9-10.3No00031125312171No71,598
5-8-3OutNo31223342161No128
66-10-00.1No000131225312260.3%505,470
5-9-20.1No0031025322270.43,000*
5.55-10-10.0No0002102940192.242,783
4-9-3OutNo315235081.760
55-11-0OutNo000417413811.9271,874
4-10-2OutNo0417413710.31,491
4.54-11-1OutNo006336132.018,922
3-10-3OutNo9236937.135
44-12-0OutNo002227653.3111,382
3-11-2OutNo1237654.3543
3.53-12-1OutNo0109076.66,078*
33-13-0OutNo069486.733,379
2-12-2OutNo69487.8139
2.52-13-1OutNo19995.61,399*
22-14-0OutNo19997.47,071
1-13-2OutNo100Yes14
1.51-14-1OutNo010099.5205
11-15-0OutNo010099.6933*
0-0.5OutNo100Yes428*
Total:37.5%6.2%66666666666666663.1%4,632,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Vikings vs 49ers-1.9+0.3+2.5
Lions vs NY Jets+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1+0.1+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Saints vs Buccaneers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.0+0.0+0.1
Patriots vs Texans-0.0*+0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.0*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Packers vs Vikings+2.0-0.4-2.6
Bears vs Seahawks+0.1-0.1-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1+0.1-0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-01000
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-098110
13.513-2-195410
1313-3-08775001
12-2-287931
12.512-3-177129001
1212-4-05323191100300
11-3-25227171020
11.511-4-1332826240600
10-3-331312936
1111-5-0122628910010121100
10-4-21128298111112110
10.510-5-12172018182301722000
9-4-322211413112511
1010-6-0066171798116991200
9-5-205616179811699120
9.59-6-101099151329151636100
8-5-3112111810171018171
99-7-0002210108211111214105200000
8-6-20311111821111131495100
8.58-7-1004511031141120181041000
7-6-355132114111916931
88-8-00011701042611151614116310000
7-7-211700426121616141163100
7.57-8-1003000002513212318931000
6-7-31379172627821
77-9-000100000125101417171510621000
6-8-2100241014181814106200
6.56-9-10000139182423146200
5-8-32211182326153
66-10-0000000251017212015720
5-9-200015916222215720
5.55-10-1000139202925112
4-9-321022273352
55-11-000002819302812
4-10-2012821302810
4.54-11-1016204132
3-10-3365437
44-12-0002103553
3-11-21103454
3.53-12-1022177
33-13-0011387
2-12-211288
2.52-13-10496
22-14-00397
1.51-14-10100
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)