SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

Jacksonville Playoff Chances 2018-2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
NY Giants vs Jaguars-6.5*+0.7+8.5
-2.1*-0.1+2.7
+1.4-0.5-1.8
-0.7+0.1+1.0
Dolphins vs Titans+0.7*-0.0-0.9
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Patriots vs Texans+0.7*-0.2-0.9
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.5*+0.2+0.7
+0.1*+0.2-0.2
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.3*+0.3+0.4
-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.2*-0.2+0.3
-0.1*-0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.2*-0.0-0.3
+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.0+0.5*+0.0
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Browns vs Steelers-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*+0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs Chiefs+0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Jaguars vs Patriots+7.6-1.3-10.0
+2.5-0.7-3.2
-1.5*-0.2+2.0
+0.9-0.1-1.2
Redskins vs Colts+1.0*-0.3-1.4
+0.1*+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.3*+0.2-0.4
+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jaguars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
15-16InYes100No1,288*
14.514-1-1In99.0%991No205
1414-2-0In99.29910No7,076*
13.513-2-1In98.7991No1,408*
1313-3-0In94.094501No33,510
12-2-2In91.89271No122
12.512-3-1In89.690901No6,252*
1212-4-0In75.776191030No111,708
11-3-2In78.1781723No548
11.511-4-1100.0%61.7622840600No18,995
10-3-3In66.76733No24
1111-5-0100.037.738371111310No271,808
10-4-2In38.13836111121No1,499*
10.510-5-199.919.2193719319200No42,512
9-4-3In20.2203824117No84
1010-6-098.16.46232692410200No505,142
9-5-298.46.4624268249100No2,990*
9.59-6-192.80.919241523206100No72,358
8-5-391.3No62413242372No115
99-7-069.00.102121813231993000No728,196
8-6-269.30.10313181323208200No4,438*
8.58-7-137.3No04153152623113000No92,795
7-6-340.8No4154182821631No174
88-8-014.70.000191413222316820000No819,118
7-7-213.5No1814132325168200No5,280
7.57-8-13.6No030028202823113000No92,466
6-7-32.9No3371725291241No174
77-9-01.3No010002716242516720No729,747
6-8-21.1No102715252617610No4,608*
6.56-9-10.2No00031125312171No71,871
5-8-3OutNo1692328248No138
66-10-00.1No0000131125312260.3%505,315
5-9-20.1No0031225312270.33,035*
5.55-10-10.0No0002102939192.042,235
4-9-3OutNo282250183.360
55-11-00.0No0000417413812.1272,289
4-10-2OutNo1416423711.11,523*
4.54-11-1OutNo006336132.218,999
3-10-3OutNo33385735.137
44-12-0OutNo002227653.2111,871
3-11-2OutNo02237553.4537
3.53-12-1OutNo0108976.66,372*
33-13-0OutNo069486.733,675
2-12-2OutNo49689.2130
2.52-13-1OutNo29895.11,428*
22-14-0OutNo19997.77,242
1-13-2OutNo100Yes17
1.51-14-1OutNo100Yes205
11-15-0OutNo010099.6944*
0-0.5OutNo100Yes413*
Total:37.5%6.2%66666666666666663.1%4,632,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
NY Giants vs Jaguars+1.8-0.3-2.3
Ravens vs Bills+0.1-0.1-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Patriots vs Texans-0.1+0.0+0.1
Browns vs Steelers+0.1*-0.0-0.1
LA Chargers vs Chiefs+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.0*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Jaguars vs Patriots-1.9+0.3+2.5
Redskins vs Colts-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Titans vs Texans-0.0-0.2+0.0
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-01000
14.514-1-1991
1414-2-098110
13.513-2-19531
1313-3-08685001
12-2-284771
12.512-3-177129001
1212-4-0532219110300
11-3-25226170220
11.511-4-133292624006000
10-3-33333258
1111-5-0122627911010121100
10-4-21325271011011111
10.510-5-12172017172301722000
9-4-321820181951151
1010-6-0066171798116991200
9-5-206717179801688110
9.59-6-11099151329151736100
8-5-31591612191621372
99-7-000221010821111121410520000
8-6-200221111721111121410420
8.58-7-1003511031131120181031000
7-6-344114216112212941
88-8-000011701042611151614116310000
7-7-21171042611151715116310
7.57-8-100300000261321241893100
6-7-3323132025181052
77-9-000100000125101417171510621000
6-8-2100251014171715105210
6.56-9-10000139182422146200
5-8-311591422231771
66-10-000000251017212015720
5-9-20000141116212115720
5.55-10-1000139212925112
4-9-313203218133
55-11-0000012819302812
4-10-2003919292811
4.54-11-1015204132
3-10-314223035
44-12-00002103553
3-11-21123453
3.53-12-1022177
33-13-0011387
2-12-21189
2.52-13-10595
22-14-00298
1.51-14-1100
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)