Fighting Sioux Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.02 to 92.8%
2 points 1 1-0 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | +7.2+4.8-8.2 | +3.0+0.0-3.0 | ||
| IceAge vs Wolfhounds | -1.2-0.4+1.3 | |||
| RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | -1.1-0.6+1.2 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | -0.9*-0.2+1.0 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| GLP vs Chiefs | +0.6*-0.2-0.6 | |||
| Rangers vs IceTurkeys | -0.3-0.4+0.4 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Squires vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +0.4*-0.3-0.4 | |||
| SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | +0.3*-0.1-0.3 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | -0.2*-0.1+0.2 | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | ||
| HighWide vs NESHLSouth | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |||
| TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||
| LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FightingSioux vs HighWide | +7.1+1.9-7.5 | +2.8-0.3-2.8 | ||
| GLP vs Cyclones | +1.0*+0.0-1.0 | |||
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | -0.6*-0.2+0.7 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Chiefs vs SurgeSouth | -0.6*-0.3+0.7 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| Wolfhounds vs ThreeFatGuysOneSkinnyGuy | +0.6*-0.3-0.6 | |||
| Squires vs NESHLSouth | -0.2-0.4+0.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | -0.2*-0.3+0.3 | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | ||
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | -0.2*-0.1+0.3 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | -0.2*-0.2+0.2 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | ||
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FightingSioux finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chowder | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | playoffs | Cup | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Count | ||||||
| 8 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | In | 0.0 | % | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 46,813 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31,179 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 139,583 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | In | No | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 6,854 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | In | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 62,012 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | In | No | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 532 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 99.9 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 140,514 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 99.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6,907 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 83.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 31,191 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 33.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 40 | 27 | 46,895 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 92.8 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 512,480 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/23 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| FightingSioux vs MooseKnuckles | -5.2-0.1+5.2 | |
| Hogbuffs vs IceFortune | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | |
| Rangers vs IceTurkeys | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |
| HighWide vs NESHLSouth | +0.0+0.2-0.1 | |
| LuckyDawgs vs NESHLSouth | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| SurgeSouth vs GoonSquad | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | |
| Cyclones vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| ATCJets vs WoodfordLawBoxers | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| TwistedWristers vs NESHLSouth | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| RoyalDangleBerries vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Haulers vs ShowPonyLifestyle | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Ticklefight vs Cashholes | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| VegasFightingIrish vs Brewskis | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 5/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| FightingSioux vs HighWide | -5.2+0.5+5.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |
| Hogbuffs vs NattyBeavers | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| Squires vs NESHLSouth | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| GoonSquad vs Ticklefight | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| ColtonsCrusaders vs Ticklefight | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Rangers vs BostonianBarberShop | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
| Cougars vs SouthKnights | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |
| WeathervaneRangers vs ATCJets | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | |
| GunnersHC vs NESHLSouth | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |
| Cashholes vs IceFortune | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | |
| PuckNSuds vs Rippers | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Chiefs vs SurgeSouth | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |
| Brewskis vs TwistedWristers | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| CoopsTroop vs VegasFightingIrish | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | |||
| 8 | 3 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:19 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
